Table 14. Growth factors from the U.S. Lower 48 Monotone - 1996 model "(E.D. Attanasi, written commun., 2001)." "Multipliers, for Forecasts" Years Since Discovery Annual Oil Factors Annual Gas Factors Cumulative Oil Factors Cumulative Gas Factors 30-Year Oil 30-Year Gas 80-Year Oil 80-Year Gas 0 1.98172 1.73034 1.00000 1.00000 4.96669 5.63108 7.20507 8.50209 1 1.13918 1.36730 1.98172 1.73034 2.53956 3.30815 3.65592 4.93152 2 1.13919 1.16233 2.25754 2.36589 2.25891 2.45250 3.22703 3.61996 3 1.05491 1.07925 2.57176 2.74995 2.00927 2.13398 2.84845 3.12579 4 1.04863 1.06714 2.71298 2.96789 1.93000 1.99636 2.71515 2.90685 5 1.04862 1.05452 2.84490 3.16715 1.86497 1.88883 2.60360 2.73393 6 1.04863 1.05452 2.98323 3.33982 1.80212 1.80847 2.49663 2.60208 7 1.04668 1.04779 3.12830 3.52191 1.73623 1.73122 2.39405 2.47657 8 1.03724 1.03134 3.27433 3.69021 1.67482 1.66793 2.29996 2.37227 9 1.03724 1.02973 3.39626 3.80586 1.63028 1.63257 2.22968 2.30860 10 1.03724 1.02973 3.52274 3.91901 1.58692 1.60047 2.16154 2.25015 11 1.02290 1.02624 3.65392 4.03553 1.54472 1.56899 2.09549 2.19318 12 1.02208 1.02307 3.73758 4.14141 1.52473 1.54336 2.05994 2.14492 13 1.02208 1.02220 3.82009 4.23697 1.50620 1.52285 2.02661 2.10422 14 1.01867 1.01654 3.90442 4.33101 1.48790 1.50391 1.99383 2.06606 15 1.01867 1.01654 3.97731 4.40265 1.47473 1.49346 1.96814 2.03988 16 1.01867 1.01654 4.05156 4.47548 1.46168 1.48308 1.93207 2.00669 17 1.01867 1.01654 4.12719 4.54951 1.44875 1.47277 1.89667 1.97403 18 1.01768 1.01654 4.20424 4.62477 1.43594 1.46254 1.86191 1.94191 19 1.01368 1.01654 4.27855 4.70127 1.41882 1.45238 1.82957 1.91031 20 1.01369 1.01654 4.33710 4.77903 1.40742 1.44229 1.80487 1.87923 21 1.01369 1.01654 4.39646 4.85809 1.39611 1.43226 1.78050 1.84864 22 1.01369 1.01654 4.45664 4.93845 1.38490 1.42231 1.75646 1.81856 23 1.01369 1.01654 4.51763 5.02014 1.37377 1.41243 1.73275 1.78897 24 1.01369 1.01654 4.57946 5.10318 1.36273 1.40262 1.70935 1.75986 25 1.01369 1.01654 4.64214 5.18759 1.35179 1.39287 1.68627 1.73122 26 1.01369 1.01654 4.70568 5.27340 1.34092 1.38319 1.66350 1.70305 27 1.01369 1.01654 4.77008 5.36063 1.33015 1.37358 1.64104 1.67534 28 1.01369 1.01654 4.83537 5.44931 1.31946 1.36404 1.61889 1.64808 29 1.01329 1.01654 4.90155 5.53945 1.30886 1.35456 1.59703 1.62126 30 1.01329 1.01654 4.96669 5.63108 1.29886 1.34237 1.57608 1.59488 31 1.01329 1.01365 5.03270 5.72422 1.28893 1.33028 1.55541 1.56893 32 1.01329 1.01137 5.09959 5.80234 1.27907 1.32207 1.53501 1.54780 33 1.01329 1.00966 5.16737 5.86833 1.26929 1.31687 1.51487 1.53040 34 1.01329 1.00966 5.23604 5.92499 1.25959 1.31391 1.49501 1.51576 35 1.01329 1.00966 5.30564 5.98220 1.24995 1.31096 1.47539 1.50127 36 1.01029 1.00948 5.37615 6.03997 1.24040 1.30802 1.45604 1.48691 37 1.00966 1.00948 5.43145 6.09721 1.23457 1.30532 1.44122 1.47295 38 1.00966 1.00948 5.48390 6.15501 1.22954 1.30262 1.42743 1.45912 39 1.00966 1.00948 5.53685 6.21334 1.22453 1.29992 1.41378 1.44542 40 1.00966 1.00948 5.59031 6.27224 1.21954 1.29723 1.40026 1.43185 41 1.00966 1.00948 5.64429 6.33169 1.21458 1.29455 1.38687 1.41840 42 1.00966 1.00948 5.69879 6.39170 1.20963 1.29187 1.37361 1.40508 43 1.00965 1.00948 5.75382 6.45228 1.20470 1.28443 1.36047 1.39189 44 1.00966 1.00948 5.80937 6.51344 1.19979 1.27702 1.34746 1.37882 45 1.00965 1.00948 5.86547 6.57517 1.19490 1.26966 1.33458 1.36588 46 1.00966 1.00948 5.92210 6.63749 1.19004 1.26234 1.32181 1.35305 47 1.00966 1.00948 5.97928 6.70040 1.18519 1.25507 1.30917 1.34035 48 1.00554 1.00948 6.03702 6.76391 1.18036 1.24783 1.29665 1.32776 49 1.00554 1.00948 6.07048 6.82802 1.18036 1.24064 1.28950 1.31530 50 1.00554 1.00948 6.10413 6.89274 1.18036 1.23348 1.28240 1.30295 51 1.00554 1.00948 6.13796 6.95807 1.18036 1.22637 1.27533 1.29071 52 1.00554 1.00948 6.17198 7.02402 1.18036 1.21931 1.26830 1.27860 53 1.00554 1.00948 6.20619 7.09060 1.18036 1.21228 1.26131 1.26659 54 1.00554 1.00948 6.24059 7.15780 1.18036 1.20529 1.25435 1.25470 55 1.00554 1.00948 6.27518 7.22565 1.18036 1.19834 1.24744 1.24292 56 1.00554 1.00948 6.30996 7.29413 1.18036 1.19143 1.24056 1.23125 57 1.00554 1.00948 6.34493 7.36327 1.18036 1.18456 1.23373 1.21969 58 1.00554 1.00948 6.38010 7.43306 1.18036 1.17774 1.22693 1.20823 59 1.00554 1.00739 6.41546 7.50351 1.18036 1.17095 1.22016 1.19689 60 1.00554 1.00739 6.45102 7.55897 1.18036 1.16661 1.21344 1.18811 61 1.00554 1.00739 6.48678 7.61483 1.18036 1.16229 1.20675 1.17939 62 1.00554 1.00739 6.52273 7.67111 1.18036 1.15798 1.20010 1.17074 63 1.00554 1.00739 6.55888 7.72780 1.18036 1.15369 1.19348 1.16215 64 1.00554 1.00739 6.59524 7.78491 1.18036 1.14942 1.18690 1.15363 65 1.00554 1.00739 6.63179 7.84245 1.18036 1.14516 1.18036 1.14516 66 1.00554 1.00739 6.66855 7.90041 1.17385 1.13676 1.17385 1.13676 67 1.00554 1.00739 6.70551 7.95879 1.16738 1.12842 1.16738 1.12842 68 1.00554 1.00739 6.74268 8.01761 1.16095 1.12014 1.16095 1.12014 69 1.00554 1.00739 6.78005 8.07687 1.15455 1.11193 1.15455 1.11193 70 1.00554 1.00739 6.81763 8.13656 1.14819 1.10377 1.14819 1.10377 71 1.00554 1.00739 6.85542 8.19669 1.14186 1.09567 1.14186 1.09567 72 1.00554 1.00366 6.89341 8.25727 1.13556 1.08763 1.13556 1.08763 73 1.00554 1.00366 6.93162 8.28748 1.12930 1.08367 1.12930 1.08367 74 1.00554 1.00366 6.97004 8.31781 1.12308 1.07972 1.12308 1.07972 75 1.00554 1.00366 7.00867 8.34824 1.11689 1.07578 1.11689 1.07578 76 1.00554 1.00366 7.04752 8.37879 1.11073 1.07186 1.11073 1.07186 77 1.00554 1.00366 7.08658 8.40944 1.10461 1.06795 1.10461 1.06795 78 1.00554 1.00366 7.12586 8.44022 1.09852 1.06406 1.09852 1.06406 79 1.00554 1.00366 7.16536 8.47110 1.09247 1.06018 1.09247 1.06018 80 1.00554 1.00366 7.20507 8.50209 1.08644 1.05631 1.08644 1.05631 81 1.00554 1.00366 7.24501 8.53320 1.08046 1.05246 1.08046 1.05246 82 1.00554 1.00366 7.28516 8.56443 1.07450 1.04863 1.07450 1.04863 83 1.00554 1.00366 7.32554 8.59576 1.06858 1.04480 1.06858 1.04480 84 1.00554 1.00366 7.36615 8.62722 1.06269 1.04099 1.06269 1.04099 85 1.00554 1.00366 7.40697 8.65878 1.05683 1.03720 1.05683 1.03720 86 1.00554 1.00366 7.44803 8.69047 1.05100 1.03342 1.05100 1.03342 87 1.00554 1.00366 7.48931 8.72226 1.04521 1.02965 1.04521 1.02965 88 1.00554 1.00366 7.53082 8.75418 1.03945 1.02590 1.03945 1.02590 89 1.00554 1.00366 7.57256 8.78621 1.03372 1.02216 1.03372 1.02216 90 1.00554 1.00366 7.61453 8.81836 1.02802 1.01843 1.02802 1.01843 91 1.00554 1.00366 7.65674 8.85063 1.02236 1.01472 1.02236 1.01472 92 1.00554 1.00366 7.69918 8.88301 1.01672 1.01102 1.01672 1.01102 93 1.00554 1.00366 7.74185 8.91551 1.01112 1.00733 1.01112 1.00733 94 1.00554 1.00366 7.78476 8.94814 1.00554 1.00366 1.00554 1.00366 95 1.00000 1.00000 7.82791 8.98088 1.00000 1.00000 1.00000 1.00000 96 1.00000 1.00000 7.82791 8.98088 1.00000 1.00000 1.00000 1.00000 97 1.00000 1.00000 7.82791 8.98088 1.00000 1.00000 1.00000 1.00000 98 1.00000 1.00000 7.82791 8.98088 1.00000 1.00000 1.00000 1.00000 99 1.00000 1.00000 7.82791 8.98088 1.00000 1.00000 1.00000 1.00000 100 1.00000 1.00000 7.82791 8.98088 1.00000 1.00000 1.00000 1.00000