Table 8. Growth factors from the Mean of U.S. Lower 48 Annual Growth Factors - 1996 model. "Multipliers, for Forecasts" Years Since Discovery Annual Oil Factors Annual Gas Factors Cumulative Oil Factors Cumulative Gas Factors 30-Year Oil 30-Year Gas 80-Year Oil 80-Year Gas 0 2.00003 1.85752 1.00000 1.00000 4.86792 5.35267 7.07487 20.04353 1 1.16938 1.21431 2.00003 1.85752 2.46683 2.93657 3.56203 11.27496 2 1.11420 1.08080 2.33880 2.25561 2.12890 2.45298 3.08729 9.33281 3 1.04605 1.06812 2.60588 2.43786 1.93702 2.31354 2.80441 9.39381 4 1.02333 1.08568 2.72589 2.60394 1.87148 2.20255 2.71196 9.78555 5 1.05029 1.05208 2.78947 2.82704 1.85270 2.03949 2.67935 10.83116 6 1.05372 1.06774 2.92975 2.97428 1.78554 1.97726 2.56035 12.47188 7 1.04254 1.01472 3.08715 3.17577 1.71365 1.87461 2.46880 12.52569 8 1.03074 1.04187 3.21847 3.22253 1.65700 1.87244 2.38841 14.60375 9 1.03545 1.03103 3.31741 3.35746 1.61237 1.81074 2.33151 15.88762 10 1.02741 1.05154 3.43502 3.46164 1.57227 1.76444 2.25016 15.21895 11 1.02730 1.03539 3.52918 3.64005 1.54083 1.68907 2.18403 15.50666 12 1.01787 1.02532 3.62552 3.76887 1.50960 1.65142 2.13635 15.92179 13 1.02758 1.03017 3.69030 3.86431 1.49637 1.62827 2.10564 16.86093 14 1.01610 1.02162 3.79206 3.98092 1.46593 1.60154 2.05778 18.05605 15 1.01615 1.03306 3.85311 4.06696 1.45827 1.57865 2.05863 19.37719 16 1.02081 1.01586 3.91536 4.20140 1.44155 1.54452 2.03085 19.19005 17 1.02835 1.01417 3.99685 4.26803 1.42480 1.54122 2.00565 19.30618 18 1.01073 1.02145 4.11016 4.32852 1.39566 1.53287 1.95036 19.03636 19 1.02319 1.01511 4.15426 4.42138 1.38490 1.51704 1.92966 18.63655 20 1.01788 1.01976 4.25059 4.48820 1.35796 1.51146 1.88592 18.35912 21 1.00865 1.01961 4.32657 4.57688 1.33962 1.50300 1.85280 18.00339 22 1.01698 1.01391 4.36402 4.66665 1.33568 1.48638 1.83691 17.65709 23 1.01451 1.02110 4.43812 4.73155 1.31931 1.48331 1.80624 17.41486 24 1.01363 1.01571 4.50252 4.83139 1.30736 1.46501 1.78040 17.05499 25 1.01292 1.01162 4.56390 4.90728 1.29768 1.46305 1.75646 16.79125 26 1.01537 1.01778 4.62288 4.96432 1.28490 1.45485 1.73405 16.59832 27 1.01621 1.01146 4.69395 5.05260 1.27166 1.44765 1.70779 16.30831 28 1.01038 1.02287 4.77006 5.11052 1.25608 1.43339 1.68054 16.12349 29 1.01003 1.02396 4.81959 5.22740 1.25073 1.41700 1.66327 15.76298 30 1.01352 1.01907 4.86792 5.35267 1.24468 1.40147 1.64676 15.39407 31 1.00919 1.01435 4.93375 5.45472 1.23227 1.38215 1.62479 15.10606 32 1.01377 1.01936 4.97908 5.53297 1.22765 1.37500 1.61000 14.89242 33 1.01066 1.01688 5.04764 5.64008 1.21601 1.37568 1.58813 14.60961 34 1.01306 1.00530 5.10144 5.73531 1.21286 1.37335 1.57138 14.36703 35 1.01222 1.01998 5.16806 5.76573 1.20240 1.38924 1.55112 14.29124 36 1.01130 1.01231 5.23119 5.88093 1.20035 1.36219 1.53240 14.01127 37 1.00807 1.01355 5.29031 5.95334 1.20540 1.37180 1.51528 13.84087 38 1.00298 1.00754 5.33300 6.03399 1.20722 1.38116 1.50315 13.65586 39 1.00970 1.00467 5.34889 6.07948 1.21416 1.38562 1.49868 13.55368 40 1.00686 1.00662 5.40080 6.10787 1.20818 1.41572 1.48428 13.49069 41 1.00648 1.01231 5.43786 6.14830 1.20901 1.48827 1.47416 13.40198 42 1.00895 1.01095 5.47308 6.22398 1.21135 1.50211 1.46468 13.23901 43 1.00667 1.01326 5.52206 6.29216 1.21056 1.73895 1.45168 13.09556 44 1.01079 1.00701 5.55888 6.37561 1.21584 1.73464 1.44207 12.92416 45 1.00450 1.01072 5.61888 6.42033 1.21047 1.76857 1.42667 12.83413 46 1.00895 1.01369 5.64418 6.48916 1.21264 2.14969 1.42028 12.69801 47 1.00732 1.00868 5.69471 6.57798 1.20741 2.79790 1.40767 12.52654 48 1.00294 1.01090 5.73639 6.63507 1.21789 2.72866 1.39745 12.41877 49 1.00329 1.01138 5.75323 6.70741 1.21632 2.93771 1.39335 12.28483 50 1.00413 1.01405 5.77215 6.78371 1.22569 2.95465 1.38879 12.14665 51 1.00569 1.00833 5.79596 6.87905 1.22916 3.04452 1.38308 11.97830 52 1.00452 1.01182 5.82892 6.93639 1.23875 3.03489 1.37526 11.87929 53 1.00532 1.00850 5.85524 7.01837 1.24811 3.26298 1.36908 11.74052 54 1.00613 1.01435 5.88640 7.07803 1.25586 3.60000 1.36183 11.64157 55 1.00295 1.00595 5.92247 7.17959 1.26197 4.26489 1.35354 11.47689 56 1.00491 1.01275 5.93995 7.22232 1.26284 5.13615 1.34956 11.40899 57 1.00376 1.00150 5.96912 7.31438 1.27683 5.43842 1.34296 11.26540 58 1.00608 1.01117 5.99158 7.32536 1.28297 6.42439 1.33793 11.24850 59 1.00515 1.01274 6.02799 7.40722 1.28311 7.20137 1.32984 11.12419 60 1.00342 1.00502 6.05901 7.50160 1.27568 7.02285 1.32304 10.98424 61 1.00541 1.00910 6.07970 7.53926 1.26780 7.48681 1.31853 10.92937 62 1.00416 1.01986 6.11257 7.60785 1.26712 7.88754 1.31145 10.83083 63 1.00804 1.01516 6.13797 7.75894 1.26596 8.39752 1.30602 10.61992 64 1.00433 1.01693 6.18731 7.87659 1.26117 9.12573 1.29560 10.46130 65 1.01049 1.00012 6.21408 8.00997 1.27648 9.83853 1.29002 10.28710 66 1.01555 1.01945 6.27928 8.01094 1.26631 10.06438 1.27663 10.28586 67 1.00960 1.02046 6.37694 8.16677 1.25708 10.08959 1.25708 10.08959 68 1.00874 1.01079 6.43813 8.33389 1.24513 9.88726 1.24513 9.88726 69 1.00473 1.02649 6.49440 8.42385 1.23434 9.78167 1.23434 9.78167 70 1.00755 1.05821 6.52512 8.64701 1.22853 9.52923 1.22853 9.52923 71 1.00843 1.02172 6.57441 9.15036 1.21932 9.00504 1.21932 9.00504 72 1.00829 1.17035 6.62982 9.34911 1.20913 8.81361 1.20913 8.81361 73 1.01106 1.01075 6.68477 10.94173 1.19919 7.53075 1.19919 7.53075 74 1.00633 1.02671 6.75869 11.05940 1.18607 7.45062 1.18607 7.45062 75 1.00631 1.22853 6.80146 11.35479 1.17861 7.25679 1.17861 7.25679 76 1.00460 1.31935 6.84437 13.94968 1.17122 5.90690 1.17122 5.90690 77 1.01606 0.98372 6.87585 18.40455 1.16586 4.47712 1.16586 4.47712 78 1.00164 1.08835 6.98631 18.10484 1.14743 4.55123 1.14743 4.55123 79 1.01102 1.01721 6.99777 19.70442 1.14555 4.18177 1.14555 4.18177 80 1.00697 1.04490 7.07487 20.04353 1.13307 4.11102 1.13307 4.11102 81 1.01353 1.00514 7.12417 20.94344 1.12522 3.93438 1.12522 3.93438 82 1.01211 1.08786 7.22056 21.05116 1.11020 3.91424 1.11020 3.91424 83 1.01157 1.11267 7.30797 22.90079 1.09692 3.59810 1.09692 3.59810 84 1.01102 1.20169 7.39251 25.48093 1.08438 3.23377 1.08438 3.23377 85 1.00364 1.21146 7.47395 30.62012 1.07256 2.69102 1.07256 2.69102 86 1.01605 1.07235 7.50119 37.09490 1.06867 2.22131 1.06867 2.22131 87 1.00859 1.18307 7.62158 39.77867 1.05179 2.07145 1.05179 2.07145 88 1.00619 1.13347 7.68703 47.06097 1.04283 1.75091 1.04283 1.75091 89 0.99932 0.98764 7.73459 53.34212 1.03642 1.54473 1.03642 1.54473 90 0.99721 1.07142 7.72935 52.68256 1.03712 1.56407 1.03712 1.56407 91 1.00487 1.06311 7.70783 56.44500 1.04002 1.45982 1.04002 1.45982 92 1.00324 1.08580 7.74538 60.00722 1.03498 1.37316 1.03498 1.37316 93 1.00422 1.10319 7.77045 65.15588 1.03164 1.26465 1.03164 1.26465 94 1.01652 1.09637 7.80321 71.87960 1.02731 1.14635 1.02731 1.14635 95 1.00244 1.02308 7.93213 78.80634 1.01061 1.04559 1.01061 1.04559 96 1.00815 1.02201 7.95151 80.62515 1.00815 1.02201 1.00815 1.02201 97 1.00458 1.04212 8.01629 82.39936 1.00000 1.00000 1.00000 1.00000 98 1.00000 1.00000 8.01629 82.39936 1.00000 1.00000 1.00000 1.00000 99 1.00000 1.00000 8.01629 82.39936 1.00000 1.00000 1.00000 1.00000 100 1.00000 1.00000 8.01629 82.39936 1.00000 1.00000 1.00000 1.00000