GEOLOGIC
VARIABLES
The
geomorphology variable expresses the relative erodibility
of different landform types (Table
1). These data were derived from 1994 1 meter resolution digital
orthophotos (Table 2). In addition,
field visits were made within the park to ground-truth the geomorphologic
classification. The geomorphology of CACO varies from low vulnerability
glacial cliffs to very high vulnerability barrier shoreline (Figures
3-8).
Shoreline
erosion and accretion rates for CACO were calculated from
existing shoreline data provided by USGS, Massachusetts Office of
Coastal Zone Management, and Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution Seagrant
(Thieler et al., 2001 and O’Connell
et al., 2002). Shoreline rates of change were calculated at 20 m intervals
(transects) along the coast using a linear regression technique to
derive the rate of shoreline change over time (see Dolan,1985, for
a general discussion of shoreline change calculation methods). The
rates for each transect within a 1-minute grid cell were averaged
to determine the shoreline change value used here. Shoreline change
rates on CACO range from +2 m/yr (low vulnerability) to -2 m/yr (high
vulnerability) (Figure 9 A-C).
The
determination of regional coastal slope identifies
the relative vulnerability of inundation and the potential rapidity
of shoreline retreat because low-sloping coastal regions should retreat
faster than steeper regions (Pilkey and Davis, 1987). The regional
slope of the coastal zone was calculated from a grid of topographic
and bathymetric elevations extending landward and seaward of the shoreline.
Elevation data were obtained from the National Geophysical Data Center
(NGDC) as gridded topographic and bathymetric elevations at 0.1 meter
vertical resolution for 3 arc-second (~90 m) grid cells. These data
were resampled to 1-minute resolution (Figure 2). Regional coastal
slopes for CACO vary from very low vulnerability to very high vulnerability
(Figure 10 A-D).
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