# Stochastic Empirical Loading and Dilution Model (SELDM) output: 2013-03-10 13:24:15 # # SELDM Output Documentation File # # # Version: 1.0.0 # March 2013 # Granato, G.E., 2013, Stochastic empirical loading and dilution model (SELDM) version 1.0.0: U.S. Geological # Survey Techniques and Methods, book 4, chap. C3, 112 p., CD–ROM. (Also available at http://pubs.usgs.gov/tm/04/c03/) # Initial Release # # # SELDM # SELDM is a planning-level event-based runoff-quality model that uses Monte-Carlo methods to generate # a random sample of precipitation, stormflows, and runoff quality to assess the potential for adverse # effects of runoff on the water-quality of receiving waters. SELDM calculates potential effects of random # combinations of these input factors. The output values are a stochastic random sample generated using # input statistics, but because the outputs are a random sample, statistics calculated using SELDM outputs # may be different than input values. The user may input regional estimates, local estimates, or site-specific # data to estimate precipitation, flows, loads, and concentrations of the constituents of concern. The # representativeness of output values will depend on site-specific factors and the inputs that are selected. # # # Disclaimer # The information, data, and metadata in this application was prepared by the U.S. Geological Survey # (USGS) in cooperation with the Federal Highway Administration (FHWA); both are agencies of the U.S. # Government. This model was compiled for planning-level analysis of runoff data on a national, regional, # or local scale. Although the methods and data have been subjected to rigorous review and are substantially # complete and accurate, this information was generated from original data from other sources. The USGS # and the FHWA reserve the right to revise the data and methods pursuant to further analysis and review. # These data and this software have been used by the USGS and the FHWA, and are released on condition # that the USGS, the FHWA, or the U.S. Government may not be held liable for any damages resulting from # their use. Information and numerical methods used in this relational database are attributable to the # works cited in the technical method-development documents published by the FHWA and the USGS. # # # Annual and Storm Sequences # Individual storm events are identified by sequence number and annual-load accounting years. SELDM, # however, generates each storm randomly; there is no serial correlation. The order of storms does not # reflect seasonal patterns. Flows and loads are not propagated from storm to storm. The annual-load # accounting years are just random collections of events generated with storm durations and interevent # times that are less than or equal to a year. The sequence number and annual-load accounting years are # provided to facilitate generation of paired-value scatter plots and examination of the output to check/verify # the results of calculations. # # # Analyst(s): # Role: Primary analyst # Initials/Short Name: Anonymous # Additional Information: # The Anonymous profile is the default for hypothetical use # # # Project Information: # Short Title: z01 Example Project # Title: Example Project Z01 # Number: FHWA-EIS-200X-XX-D # Organization: # Federal Highway Administration # Abstract: # This is an example project that can be used to experiment with the SELDM model # # # GIS Grid Information: # The grid is used to discretize geographic data for use within the database # Short Title: SELDM 0.25 degree Conterminous U.S. # Grid Information: # A 0.25 degree grid for the conterminous U.S. developed for the SELDM model # # # Analysis Information: # Example Analysis (I-81) # Description: Example highway analysis I-81 Near Harrisburg PA # Type: Stream and Lake Analysis # Status: Draft # Master seed: 3166 # # # Ecoregion Information: # Group: USEPA Level III Ecoregion # Citation: # U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 2003, Level III ecoregions of the continental United States: # Washington, D.C., U.S. Environmental Protection Agency National Health and Environmental Effects Research # Laboratory, 1 pl. # Ecoregion Number: 67 # Ecoregion Name: Central Appalachian Ridges and Valleys # Description: # This northeast-southwest trending, relatively low-lying, but diverse ecoregion is sandwiched between # generally higher, more rugged mountainous regions with greater forest cover. As a result of extreme # folding and faulting events, the region’s roughly parallel ridges and valleys have a variety of widths, # heights, and geologic materials, including limestone, dolomite, shale, siltstone, sandstone, chert, # mudstone, and marble. Springs and caves are relatively numerous. Present-day forests cover about 50% # of the region. The ecoregion has a diversity of aquatic habitats and species of fish. # # # Precipitation Dataset Information: # Name: Federal Highway Administration Synoptic Analysis (FHWA 2010) # Period of Record: 1965-2006 # Reference: # Granato, G.E., 2010, Methods for development of planning-level estimates of stormflow at unmonitored # sites in the conterminous United States: Washington, D.C., U.S. Department of Transportation, Federal # Highway Administration, FHWA-HEP-09-005, 90 p. with CD-ROM # Precipitation Selection: Avg of Rain Zone 3: Midatlantic DS: 3 # Precipitation Calculation Method: Rain Zone (average of station values) # # # Streamflow Dataset Information: # Name: Federal Highway Administration Streamflow Analysis (FHWA 2010) # Period of Record: 1961-2004 # Reference: # Granato, G.E., 2010, Methods for development of planning-level estimates of stormflow at unmonitored # stream sites in the conterminous United States: U.S. Department of Transportation, Federal Highway # Administration, FHWA-HEP-09-005, 90 p. CD-ROM. # Streamflow Selection: Bixler Run near Loysville, PA # Streamflow Calculation Method: Selected Stations (median of station values) # # # Highway Site Information: # Site: I-81 Near Harrisburg PA # Name: I-81 Near Harrisburg PA at intersection of RT-944 Wertzville Rd, p21 FHWA-RD-81-045 # Site Location # Latitude: 40.292249 # Longitude: -76.980517 # Drainage Basin Characteristics: # Drainage Area(Ac): 18.5 # Drainage Length(ft): 2000 # Mean Drainage Slope(ft/mi): 105 # Impervious Fraction: 0.27 # Basin Development Factor: 6 # Highway Characteristics: # Number of lanes: 6 # Lane Width (ft): 12 # Average Daily Traffic (Vehicles per Day): 24000 # Pavement Type: Concrete # Type of Curbing: flush/none # Site Information: # This site was monitored in the 1970's for the FHWA Constituents of Highway Runoff Study # # Upstream Basin Information: # Site: Upstream Basin I-81 PA # Name: Conodoguinet Creek Tributary near Enola PA # Drainage Basin Characteristics: # Drainage Area(mi^2): 0.5 # Drainage Length(ft): 6500 # Mean Drainage Slope(ft/mi): 669 # Impervious Fraction: 0.007 # Basin Development Factor: 0 # Minimum hydrograph recession factor: 1 # Most Probable Value hydrograph recession factor: 1.85 # Maximum hydrograph recession factor: 4.4 # Basin Description: # A forested (60 percent), rural/agricultural basin with two farm ponds. Developed area is 3.13 percent. # The basin's northern border is a steep straight ridge line. # # # BMP Information: # BMP Selection: Flow Reduction & SSC BMP # BMP Full Name: Hypothetical flow and suspended sediment reduction BMP # Description: # This hypothetical BMP should not be used for an actual analysis # # BMP Flow Reduction Specifications: # Flow reduction is calculated using the unitless ratio of outflow to inflow volume. # If a non-zero rank correlation value is specified, flow reduction is a randomized function of inflow volume. # Specified Input Statistics: # Minimum Value: 0 # Lower Bound of the Most Probable Value: 0.5 # Upper Bound of the Most Probable Value: 0.5 # Maximum Value: 1 # Rank Correlation to Inflow: -0.75 # # Calculated Statistics: # Median: 0.5 # Average: 0.5 # Standard Deviation: 0.204 # # BMP Hydrograph Extension Specifications: # Hydrograph extension (in hours) is the time from the end of highway runoff to the end of BMP discharge. # If a non-zero rank correlation value is specified, hydrograph extension is a randomized function of inflow volume. # Specified Input Statistics: # Minimum Value: 0 # Lower Bound of the Most Probable Value: 1 # Upper Bound of the Most Probable Value: 4 # Maximum Value: 6 # Rank Correlation to Inflow: 0 # # Calculated Statistics: # Median: 2.75 # Average: 2.78 # Standard Deviation: 1.38 # # # Water-Quality Modification Definition(s): # Concentration reduction is calculated using the unitless ratio of outflow to inflow concentration. # If a non-zero rank correlation value is specified, concentration reduction is a randomized function of inflow concentration. # # Parameter: p80154 Suspended sediment concentration, milligrams per liter # Irreducible Minimum Concentration: 1 # Concentration Ratios (MPV is most probable value): # Minimum: 0 # Lower bound of the MPV: 0.5 # Upper bound of the MPV: 0.5 # Maximum: 1 # Rank Correlation to Inflow Concentration: -0.75 # Calculated Statistics: # Median: 0.5 # Average: 0.5 # Standard Deviation: 0.204 # # # ExampleAnalysisI81-PS.txt # # Prestorm Streamflow # SELDM uses streamflow statistics for generating a random sample of prestorm streamflows from the basin # upstream of the highway-runoff outfall. The mean, standard deviation, and skew of the logarithms of # nonzero streamflows and the proportion of zero flows relative to all streamflow values are used to # generate a population of prestorm flows. Prestorm streamflow may be a substantial proportion of the # total upstream stormflow during a storm event. The methods for estimating prestorm streamflows are # described in Federal Highway Administration Report FHWA-HEP-09-005. # # The population of prestorm flows is well represented by statistics for the complete population of mean # daily streamflows. Mean daily flow statistics represent the full range of prestorm flows for many basins # because of differences in the timing of discrete rainfall-runoff events and the storm runoff hydrograph. # Prestorm flows commonly are associated with base flow (generally defined as groundwater discharge) # because the occurrence of storm runoff defines the end of the base-flow recession period. In reality, # however, prestorm streamflow commonly includes base flow and some residual stormflow from previous # storms. Uncertainties in using streamflow statistics to model prestorm flows are well within other # runoff modeling uncertainties because results from different base flow-separation techniques can vary # substantially and because estimation of streamflow at unmonitored sites is considered to be one of # the most difficult unsolved problems in hydrology. # # The prestorm flow file includes the prestorm flow rate from the upstream basin for each storm event # in the random sample generated by SELDM. # # ExampleAnalysisI81-PE.txt # # Precipitation Events # SELDM uses synoptic precipitation statistics for generating a random sample of precipitation events. # Storms commonly are defined as independent statistical events using synoptic precipitation statistics # for the purposes of planning, analysis, and sampling efforts. Synoptic precipitation statistics include # the interval between storm-event midpoints, the precipitation volume, and duration for each storm event. # The interval between storm-event midpoints is modeled using the average and coefficient of variation # (COV--the standard deviation divided by the average) of intervals and a minimum interevent time. The # precipitation volume is modeled using the average and COV of storm-event precipitation volumes and # a minimum total storm volume, which is commonly defined as 0.1 inch for runoff producing events. The # storm event duration is modeled using the average and COV of durations. A minimum duration of one hour # is used because synoptic precipitation statistics are calculated using hourly precipitation data. The # number of storms per year are calculated using values generated for the interval between storm-event # midpoints. The methods for estimating precipitation statistics for use in SELDM are described in Federal # Highway Administration Report FHWA-HEP-09-005. # # The precipitation file includes the interval between storm event midpoints, the volume, and the duration # of precipitation for each storm event in the random sample generated by SELDM. # # ExampleAnalysisI81-SF.txt # # Stormflows # SELDM uses prestorm flow statistics, precipitation statistics, and runoff coefficient statistics for # generating a random sample of stormflows from the upstream basin; the model uses precipitation statistics, # runoff coefficient statistics, and best management practice (BMP) flow-modification statistics for # generating a random sample of stormflows from the highway. SELDM uses basin characteristics and precipitation-event # duration statistics to calculate the duration of upstream stormflow, highway runoff, and BMP discharge. # The flow durations determine the amount of upstream stormflow that is available to dilute highway runoff # during the highway and BMP discharge period. The methods for estimating runoff-coefficient statistics # and stormflow duration statistics for use in SELDM are described in Federal Highway Administration # Report FHWA-HEP-09-005. # # The stormflow file includes runoff coefficients, stormflows and stormflow durations, for the highway # site (with or without a BMP) and the upstream basin. # # ExampleAnalysisI81-DF.txt # # Dilution Factor # SELDM uses the random samples of highway discharge, BMP discharge, and concurrent upstream stormflows # to calculate dilution factors for each storm. The dilution factor is the ratio of highway runoff to # downstream flow. This file includes the dilution factors for each storm with and without BMP modification # of the highway-runoff hydrograph. # # ExampleAnalysisI81-HQ.txt # # Highway Runoff Quality # SELDM uses event mean concentration (EMC) statistics for generating a random sample of concentrations # and loads of selected constituents in highway runoff. In theory, the event mean concentration is the # total load of a constituent that discharges from the highway site divided by the total flow of runoff # that discharges from the highway site. In practice, a series of small samples are collected throughout # a storm event and composited to measure or calculate the event mean concentration (EMC). Concentrations # of water-quality constituents in runoff may be random or may be correlated with another water-quality # constituent. The highway-runoff database (HRBD) documented in Federal Highway Administration Report # FHWA-HEP-09-004 can be used to estimate these event mean concentration (EMC) statistics from available # data. # # The highway runoff quality file includes the concentration and load of highway runoff and BMP discharge # for every selected constituent for each storm event in the random sample of storms generated by SELDM. # # ExampleAnalysisI81-Annual.txt # # Annual Highway Runoff Loads # SELDM uses the storm event output for generating a random sample of annual flows and loads from a highway # site with or without use of a BMP. The annual-load accounting years in this file are just random collections # of events generated with storm durations and inter-event times that are less than or equal to a year. # The annual highway-runoff file includes annual precipitation volumes, highway-runoff flows and loads, # and BMP discharge flows and loads. # # ExampleAnalysisI81-UQ.txt # # Upstream Water Quality # SELDM uses water-quality statistics for generating a random sample of event mean concentrations (EMCs) # and loads of selected constituents in streamflow from the basin upstream of the highway runoff outfall. # Concentrations of water-quality constituents in upstream streamflow may be random, may be a function # of upstream streamflow, or may be correlated with another water-quality constituent. Methods for estimating # upstream concentrations are described in documented in Federal Highway Administration Report FHWA-HEP-09-003. # # The upstream water quality file includes the concentration and load of every selected constituent for # each storm event in the random sample of storms generated by SELDM. An upstream water-quality file # will only be generated if one or more downstream water-quality selections are made. # # ExampleAnalysisI81-DQ.txt # # Downstream Water Quality # SELDM uses the random samples of highway discharge loads (with or without BMP treatment) highway discharge # flows, upstream loads and upstream flows to calculate the sample of downstream concentrations and loads. # The upstream loads and flows used for the calculations are the values that are concurrent to discharge # from the highway site. The downstream water quality file includes the concentration and load of every # selected constituent for each storm event in the random sample of storms generated by SELDM. The downstream # water quality file also includes adverse effect concentrations, which are the proportion of the total # downstream concurrent concentration thought to have an adverse effect on water quality. The adverse # effect concentrations are calculated as a random fraction of the total downstream concentration on # the basis of user-defined statistics. # # ExampleAnalysisI81-Lake.txt # # Lake Analysis # SELDM uses the random samples of highway discharges and loads with random samples of discharges and # loads from the entire lake basin to generate a random sample of total annual loads from the entire # lake basin and average annual concentrations in the lake. The lake-basin output uses the highway runoff # results for storm events, but calculates daily loads from the rest of the lake basin for the entire # simulation period. This is because a substantial proportion of many water-quality constituents can # be transported during dry-weather baseflows. #