By R.R. Luckey and M.F. Becker
Water-Resources Investigations Report 99-4104
Prepared in cooperation with the
Oklahoma Water Resources Board
The report is available in PDF format.
The U.S. Geological Survey, in cooperation with the Oklahoma Water Resources Board, began a three-year study of the High Plains aquifer in northwestern Oklahoma in 1996. The primary purpose of this study was to develop a ground-water flow model to provide the Water Board with the information it needs to manage the quantity of water withdrawn from the aquifer. The study area consists of about 7,100 square miles in Oklahoma and about 20,800 square miles in adjacent states to provide appropriate hydrologic boundaries for the flow model.
The High Plains aquifer includes all sediments from the base of the Ogallala Formation to the potentiometric surface. The saturated thickness in Oklahoma ranges from more than 400 feet to less than 50 feet. Natural recharge to the aquifer from precipitation occurs throughout the area but is extremely variable. Dryland agricultural practices appear to enhance recharge from precipitation, and part of the water pumped for irrigation also recharges the aquifer. Natural discharge occurs as discharge to streams, evapotranspiration where the depth to water is shallow, and diffuse ground-water flow across the eastern boundary. Artificial discharge occurs as discharge to wells.
Irrigation accounted for 96 percent of all use of water from the High Plains aquifer in the Oklahoma portion of the study area in 1992 and 93 percent in 1997. Total estimated water use in 1992 for the Oklahoma portion of the study area was 396,000 acre-feet and was about 3.2 million acre-feet for the entire study area.
Since development of the aquifer, water levels have declined more than 100 feet in small areas of Texas County, Oklahoma, and more than 50 feet in areas of Cimarron County. Only a small area of Beaver County had declines of more than 10 feet, and Ellis County had rises of more than 10 feet.
A flow model constructed using the MODFLOW computer code had 21,073 active cells in one layer and had a 6,000- foot grid in both the north-south and east-west directions. The model was used to simulate the period before major development of the aquifer and the period of development. The model was calibrated using observed conditions available as of 1998.
The predevelopment-period model integrated data or estimates on the base of aquifer, hydraulic conductivity, streambed and drain conductances, and recharge from precipitation to calculate the predevelopment altitude of the water table, discharge to the rivers and streams, and other discharges. Hydraulic conductivity, recharge, and streambed conductance were varied during calibration so that the model produced a reasonable representation of the observed water table altitude and the estimated discharge to streams. Hydraulic conductivity was reduced in the area of salt dissolution in underlying Permianage rocks. Recharge from precipitation was estimated to be 4.0 percent of precipitation in greater recharge zones and 0.37 percent in lesser recharge zones. Within Oklahoma, the mean difference between water levels simulated by the model and measured water levels at 86 observation points is -2.8 feet, the mean absolute difference is 44.1 feet, and the root mean square difference is 52.0 feet. The simulated discharge is much larger than the estimated discharge for the Beaver River, is somewhat larger for Cimarron River and Wolf Creek, and is about the same for Crooked Creek.
The development-period model added specific yield, pumpage, and recharge due to irrigation and dryland cultivation to simulate the period 1946 through 1997. During calibration, estimated specific yield was reduced by 15 percent in Oklahoma east of the Cimarron-Texas County line. Simulated recharge due to irrigation ranges from 24 percent for the 1940s and 1950s to 2 percent for the 1990s. Estimated recharge due to dryland cultivation is about 3.9 percent of precipitation. The mean difference between the simulated and observed waterlevel changes from predevelopment to 1998 at 162 observation points in Oklahoma is less than 0.01 foot, the mean absolute difference is 13.1 feet, and the root mean square difference is 17.9 feet. The model simulates 7.8 cubic feet per second discharge to the Beaver River above Optima Reservoir at the end of 1997, whereas the river was actually dry to this point by this time. The model simulates a decrease in discharge to the Cimarron River and Wolf Creek that appears to be reasonable.
The sensitivity of the predevelopment-period model to changes in recharge and hydraulic conductivity was tested. Simulated water levels are sensitive to changes in both recharge and hydraulic conductivity. Simulated discharge to streams is sensitive to recharge but is insensitive to hydraulic conductivity. Recharge and hydraulic conductivity are closely related with respect to water levels but are not related with respect to discharge to streams. The sensitivity of the development-period model to changes in specific yield and recharge due to dryland cultivation was tested. The model appears more sensitive to specific yield, but the two inputs were not varied over the same range in percent change.
The calibrated development-period model was used to simulate water-level changes from 1998 to 2020 using mean 1996-97 pumpage. The largest simulated water-level changes in Oklahoma occur in Texas County where water levels are simulated to decline 25 to 50 additional feet over a large area. Water levels also are simulated to decline 10 to 25 additional feet in two large areas of Cimarron County, two areas in Beaver County, and one area in Ellis County, all in Oklahoma. Water levels are simulated to decline more than 100 additional feet in several areas in Kansas and were simulated to decline 50 to 100 additional feet in several areas in Texas.
Abstract
Introduction
Purpose and Scope
Description of study area
Previous study
Geology
Hydrology
Base of aquifer
Potentiometric surface
Saturated thickness
Water-level changes
Hydraulic properties
Recharge and discharge
Water use
Irrigation use
Other use
Total use
Ground-water flow model
Model design
Predevelopment-period simulation
Development-period simulation
Model sensitivity
Simulated response to future withdrawals
Summary
Selected references
Appendix
Summary of information required by Oklahoma water law
Download the PDF version of the report for high-resolution, printable pages (2.3MB).
For additional information write to:
District Chief
U.S. Geological Survey
Water-Resources Division
202 NW 66 St., Bldg. 7
Oklahoma City, OK 73116
Copies of this report can be purchased from:
U.S. Geological Survey
Information Services
Box 25286
Federal Center
Denver, CO 80225
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