by Mark A. Ayers, David M. Wolock, Gregory J. McCabe, Lauren E. Hay, and Gary D . Tasker
Abstract
Introduction
The Greenhouse Effect and Climate Change
Recent Measurements and Causes of Increasing Greenhouse Gases
Projections of Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide Concentrations
Historical Evidence of Climate Change
Detecting Change
Projecting Change From Climate Records
Simulation of the Earth's Climate System
General Circulation Models
Projecting Climate Change With General Circulation Models
Hydrologic Implications of Climate Change
The Thornthwaite Moisture Index
Potential Changes in the Thornthwaite Moisture Index Due to Climate Change
Detecting Changes in the Thornthwaite Moisture Index
Delaware River Basin Characteristics
Water Supply and Water Use-by D.J. Phelan and M.A. Ayers
Effects of Climate, Topography, and Soils on Hydrologic Characteristics-by D.M. Wolock and C.V. Price
Relation of Streamflow to Temperature: and Precipitation
Sensitivity of Water Resources to Climate Variability and Change
Potential Changes in Soil Moisture and Irrigation Demand
Potential Changes in Streamflow
Relation of Changes in Temperature, Precipitation, and Stomatal Resistance to Streamflow Variability
Sensitivity of Streamflow to Changes in Climate and Stomatal Resistance
Potential Difficulty in Detecting Changes in Streamflow
Potential Changes in Drought
Sensitivity of Drought to Changes in Climate
Sensitivity of Drought to Changes in Consumptive Water Use
Sensitivity of Drought to Changes in Reservoir Capacity and Use of Ground Water
Sensitivity of Drought to Changes in Specified Flows
Potential Effects of Sea-Level Rise
Historical and Potential Changes in Sea Level
Effects on Estuary Salinity-by R.A. Walters and M.A. Ayers
Effects on Coastal Aquifers-by W.H. Werkheiser and M.A. Ayers
Effects on Coastal Wetlands
Effects on Coastal Flooding and Erosion
Summary and Conclusions
Selected References
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