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USGS Open-File Report 94-588

Sea-ice absence and 3°C marine seas -- Is this all it takes?

David M. Harwood
Department of Geology, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln
Aradhna Srivastav
Department of Geology, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln
Diane M. Winters
Department of Geology, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln
Paleobiogeographic information from the Antarctic shelf and Southern Ocean suggests that early Pliocene marine temperatures were sufficiently high to reduce and perhaps remove sea-ice from the Southern Ocean and most Antarctic regions. The absence of a seasonal blanket of sea-ice leads to significant atmospheric warming of the Antarctic region, as oceanic heat is available throughout the year. This factor, as well a comparison of annual temperature trends for Southern Ocean islands in thermal regimes similar to that of the Antarctic Pliocene, suggest an increase of mean annual atmospheric temperatures around Antarctica more than 15°C higher than today. This places the Antarctic ice sheet into a dynamic glacial regime, as indicated by recent glacial models, and is more than sufficient to support the growth of Nothofagus in the Transantarctic Mountains.
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