U.S. Geological
Survey
Open-File Report 00-336
Online version 1.0
Web only
By Huaming Yao1 and Aris Georgakakos1
ABSTRACT
An integrated forecast-decision system for Folsom Lake (California) is developed and used to assess the sensitivity of reservoir performance to various forecast-management schemes under historical and future climate scenarios. The assessments are based on various combinations of inflow forecasting models, decision rules, and climate scenarios and demonstrate that (1) reliable inflow forecasts and adaptive decision systems can substantially benefit reservoir performance and (2) dynamic operational procedures represent effective climate change coping strategies. |
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Last modified: 11.22.00