US Geological Survey

U.S. Geological Survey
Open-File Report 00-336
Online version 1.0
Web only


Assessment of Folsom Lake Response to Historical and Potential Future Climate Scenarios

By Huaming Yao1 and Aris Georgakakos1

1Georgia Water Resources Institute; School of Civil and Environmental Engineering
Georgia Institute of Technology; Atlanta, GA 30332-0355 USA


An integrated forecast-decision system for Folsom Lake (California) is developed and used to assess the sensitivity of reservoir performance to various forecast-management schemes under historical and future climate scenarios. The assessments are based on various combinations of inflow forecasting models, decision rules, and climate scenarios and demonstrate that (1) reliable inflow forecasts and adaptive decision systems can substantially benefit reservoir performance and (2) dynamic operational procedures represent effective climate change coping strategies.


Download the complete report as a PDF document (500 Kb)


If you wish to download the latest version of Acrobat Reader free of charge, click here.

Get Acrobat

For questions about the content of this report, contact Dave Kirtland.

This report is available only on the web.

URL of this page:
Maintained by: Kathie Watson
Last modified: 11.22.00