Table4
Probability Model for Total Damage from Landslides in San Francisco Bay Region | Panel 2 of 2 | ||||||||
Estimates of Total Damage as Economic Loss During a Specified Time | |||||||||
Total Costs | Lognormal | Confidence | Total Costs | Specified | Chance | ||||
Mean | S. D. | Mu | Sigma | Level | Low | High | Costs (SC) | Exceed SC | |
County | (millions of $) | (%) | (millions of $) | (10^6 $) | (%) | ||||
Alameda | 100.1 | 13.07558 | 4.59771 | 0.130073 | 90 | 80.13872 | 122.9357 | 110 | 21.473582 |
Contra Costa | 135 | 15.26065 | 4.898926 | 0.112683 | 90 | 111.4503 | 161.4626 | 150 | 16.075563 |
Marin | 12.7 | 1.802868 | 2.531626 | 0.141251 | 90 | 9.967099 | 15.86258 | 17 | 1.6375497 |
Napa | 5.6 | 0.638792 | 1.716303 | 0.113702 | 90 | 4.614854 | 6.708162 | 7 | 2.172339 |
San Mateo | 275 | 23.95483 | 5.612991 | 0.086944 | 90 | 237.4558 | 316.0819 | 300 | 14.81854 |
Santa Clara | 38 | 7.225265 | 3.619829 | 0.188453 | 90 | 27.38106 | 50.89711 | 55 | 1.9879655 |
San Francisco | 20.5 | 4.410286 | 2.997803 | 0.212707 | 90 | 14.12478 | 28.43653 | 27 | 8.0584986 |
Solano | 25 | 6.452391 | 3.186632 | 0.253946 | 90 | 15.94153 | 36.75724 | 35 | 7.3257959 |
Sonoma | 105 | 26.36642 | 4.623387 | 0.24728 | 90 | 67.80577 | 152.9523 | 160 | 3.3847833 |
Santa Cruz | 73.4 | 9.244752 | 4.288054 | 0.125455 | 90 | 59.24606 | 89.5153 | 85 | 10.892073 |
790.3 | 108.4318 | 90 | 628.126 | 981.6094 | 875 | 21.736121 | |||
790.3 | 43.30465 | 90 | 719.0702 | 861.5298 | 875 | 2.5237802 |
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