Table4

Probability Model for Total Damage from Landslides in San Francisco Bay Region                 Panel 2 of 2
  Estimates of Total Damage as Economic Loss During a Specified Time
  Total Costs Lognormal Confidence Total Costs Specified Chance
  Mean S. D. Mu Sigma Level Low High Costs (SC) Exceed SC
County (millions of $)     (%) (millions of $) (10^6 $) (%)
Alameda 100.1 13.07558 4.59771 0.130073 90 80.13872 122.9357 110 21.473582
Contra Costa 135 15.26065 4.898926 0.112683 90 111.4503 161.4626 150 16.075563
Marin 12.7 1.802868 2.531626 0.141251 90 9.967099 15.86258 17 1.6375497
Napa 5.6 0.638792 1.716303 0.113702 90 4.614854 6.708162 7 2.172339
San Mateo 275 23.95483 5.612991 0.086944 90 237.4558 316.0819 300 14.81854
Santa Clara 38 7.225265 3.619829 0.188453 90 27.38106 50.89711 55 1.9879655
San Francisco 20.5 4.410286 2.997803 0.212707 90 14.12478 28.43653 27 8.0584986
Solano 25 6.452391 3.186632 0.253946 90 15.94153 36.75724 35 7.3257959
Sonoma 105 26.36642 4.623387 0.24728 90 67.80577 152.9523 160 3.3847833
Santa Cruz 73.4 9.244752 4.288054 0.125455 90 59.24606 89.5153 85 10.892073
  790.3 108.4318     90 628.126 981.6094 875 21.736121
  790.3 43.30465     90 719.0702 861.5298 875 2.5237802
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