U.S. Geological Survey Open - File Report 02 - 349 Human Impact on the Planet: An Earth System Science Perspective and Ethical Considerations Richard S. Williams, Jr., Ph.D. Research Geologist - ST U.S. Geological Survey Woods Hole Field Center 384 Woods Hole Road Woods Hole, MA 02543 - 1598 U.S.A. 1. Invited presentation prepared for Iceland 2000: Faith in the Future. The Common Task of Religion and Science in the New Millennium held at H‡sk—lab’— v/Hagatorg, IS - 107 Reykjav’k, êsland (Iceland) on 6-8 July 2000. 2. The presentation on the morning of 7 July 2000 was extemporaneous (e.g., no written text other than the abstract), and included a mixture of 35 - mm color slides and viewgraphs (overhead transparencies). All graphics used are included here, although with some minor changes; additional 35 - mm color slides have been added to make the Earth System Science perspective more complete. An explanatory text slide follows each slide where appropriate. 3. The invited presentation is available in three formats: a set of 43 35 - mm color slides, PowerPoint, and on the http://www.kirkjan.is/faithinthefuture/ Web site as a post - symposium addition to the abstract and viewgraphs). Abstract: The modern Earth Narrative, the scientific story of the 4.5 billion - year natural and human history of the Earth, has emerged from the solid foundation of two factual concepts: Deep (or Geologic) Time and Biological Evolution. Widespread acceptance of the Earth Narrative is critically important as we begin the third millennium, because it provides a clear understanding of the growing impact of human population growth and associated activities on the Earth System, especially the negative impact on Earth's biosphere. It is important for humans to realize that we are but one of 4,500 species of mammals that exist on Earth and that we are but one species in the estimated 30 to 100 million species that form the complex biosphere. We also need to recognize that all species exist within the physical limits imposed by the geosphere. We are totally dependent on the biosphere for food, oxygen, and other necessities of life. Humans are one of the latest results of biological evolution operating over a long period of Geologic Time. We find ourselves on Earth, after 4.5 billion years of Earth history by chance, not by design. Humans have become so successful at modifying their environment that many of the natural limitations on the expansion of populations of our fellow animals have been overcome by technological and cultural innovations. According to Peter Raven, "Humans, at a current population of 6 billion [expected to nearly double by 2050], are consuming or wasting about 50 percent of the total net biological productivity on land and 50 percent of the available supply of freshwater. The overwhelming and expanding human presence leaves less and less room in the environment for other biota." The 21st century will be a pivotal time in the fate of Earth's biosphere. Whereas human modification of the geosphere will slowly recover over time, human changes to the biosphere are a far more consequential matterÑ extinction of a species is forever! Will humans effectively use our new knowledge of natural and human history to stop further degradation of Earth's ecosystems and extinction of its biota? The fate of the biosphere, including humanity, depends on a reaffirmation by all humans of all cultures and religions of the global importance of a planet - wide conservation of the Earth's biotic heritage. For the world's religions it means elevation of stewardship of the Earth to a moral imperative and a goal of complete preservation of the Earth's biotic inheritance, one which is based on a Do No Harm ethic. Theme 4 Caring for the Future of the Planet ¥ Life - support systems of the planet ¥ Spiritual and ethical dimensions of sustainable development ¥ Responsible use of resources and environment services - legacy for future generations (stewardship) ¥ Respect for intrinsic value of nature - sustainable development policy - making Theme 4. Caring for the Future of our [sic, The] Planet. Conference organizers included four subtopics to be addressed. Stewardship was added by me to the third subtopic, stewardship in a broad, planetwide (Earth System) sense, not in the Biblical or ever modern religious (e.g., annual donation to a specific church) person - to - person sense. In my presentation, I also challenged the absurdity of the term "sustainable development," calling it the ultimate oxymoron when used in the context of the Earth System, essentially an interactive, closed system, with finite resources (e.g., Buckminster Fuller's "Spaceship Earth"). I also renamed Theme 4 to be "Caring for the Future of The [not Our] Planet. Our implies "ownership" by humans, only one of as many as 30 million individual life forms (species) on the planet. "Our Planet" is a concept derived from Judaeo/Christian traditions, especially as presented in the Pentatuch (five books of Moses) of the Old Testament of the Bible. Therefore, referring to "Our Planet" carries a strong emotive overprint that is based on religious values, not scientific fact. It is instructive to note that the concept of "land ownership" was used by European settlers in both North America and Australia to ignore the rights of Native Americans and Aborigines, respectively, by referring to the already - settled land as terra nullilus ("belonging to noone"). Native Americans had already populated North (and South) America at least 15,000 years Before Present (B.P., calculated from A.D. 1950); Aborigines had populated Australia and Tasmania, eventually with approximately 700 tribal groups, at least 50,000 years B.P. Figure: Stewardship: Common Ground for Science and Religion This "Venn - type" diagram illustrates the importance of Stewardship when discussing the Earth from the religious ("Our Planet") and Earth System ("The Planet") perspective. Stewardship can provide a "common ground" at the non - overlapping boundary (frontier) between religion and science in consideration of human impact on the geosphere and biosphere, especially the fate of the latter. Human Impact on the Planet: An Earth System Science Perspective and Ethical Considerations ¥ Theme 4 - Caring for the Future of the Planet ¥ Prologue ¥ The Natural and Human History of the Earth ¥ The Earth System ¥ Human Impact on the Earth System ¥ Scientific and Ethical Challenges to Science and Religion ¥ Stewardship ¥ Epilogue ÔTo Albert Schweitzer who said "Man has lost the capacity to foresee and to forestall. He will end by destroying the earth.''' - Rachael Carson's dedication in Silent Spring "We are the most dangerous species of life on the planet, and every other species, even the earth itself, has cause to fear our power to exterminate. But we are also the only species which, when it chooses to do so, will go to great effort to save what it might destroy." - Wallace Stegner The earth does not belong to man; man belongs to the earth. This we knowÉ All things are connected. Whatever befalls the earth befalls the sons of the earth. Man did not weave the web of life, he does to himselfÉ This earth is precious to Him [the Creator], and to harm the earth is to heap contempt upon its creator. - Chief Seattle Suquamish Tribe 19th Century Prologue. Selected quotations from the works of three well - known environmental writers who addressed the impact of humans on the planet from the perspective of the 19th century (Chief Seattle) and the latter part of the 20th century (Wallace Stegner and Rachael Carson). Rachael Carson is considered by many to be the scientist who first successfully raised the global alarm of human impact on other species. She specifically cited widespread dispersal of synthetic chemicals, in this case the insecticide dichlorodiphenyltrichloroethane (DDT), and its impact on birds, especially thinning of raptor eggshells. The Natural and Human History of the Earth ¥ The Earth System ¥ Geosphere ¥ Biosphere ¥ Climatic Processes, Hydrologic Cycle, and Biogeochemical Cycles ¥ Human Impact on the Earth System Figure: Great Galaxy in Andromeda (M31) Telescopic photograph of the Great Galaxy in Andromeda (NGC 224/Messier 31) taken by the 122 cm (48 in.) Schmidt telescope at the Hale Observatory (Hale Catalogue No. S-24). The Great Galaxy is 2x10 to the 6th power light years from Earth and is a type of spiral galaxy quite similar to the Milky Way Galaxy in which Earth is situated. The Sun and associated planets, moons, comets, asteroids, etc., is one of an estimated 300 million stars in the Milky Way Galaxy; the Sun is located out on one of the spiral arms. Slide courtesy of the Astronomical Society of the Pacific. The Earth System Figure: Apollo 17 Photograph of the Earth Apollo 17 photograph of the Earth taken in 1972 by the astronaut/geologist Harrison H. Schmidt. Photograph 72-HC-928 courtesy of NASA. Elements of the geosphere [hydrosphere (oceans), lithosphere (Africa and the Middle East), atmosphere (clouds), and cryosphere (glacier - covered Antarctica)] and biosphere (swatch of green rain forest across central Africa), climatic processes (storm systems), and hydrologic cycle (water vapor in the atmosphere, water in the oceans, frozen water in Antarctica, and transpiration from rain forest vegetation) are included in this iconographic photograph of the Earth as a dynamic, interactive, holistic system Ñ from its internal core (not shown) to the upper reaches of the atmosphere. Earth is a misnomer; the planet should really be called Water, because it makes Earth unique in its abundance on the surface and is a critical substance in the support of all known life forms. Figure: Systems and subsystems of terrestrial planets. Schematic showing system and subsystems of the terrestrial planets in the Solar System. Note that Mars is the planet most similar to Earth, the reason that NASA is focusing so many exploration missions on this planet during the next decade and beyond. There is a strong possibility that life forms were present earlier in the history of Mars and primitive forms may still be present. Recently, a 250 million - year - old bacterium from a Permian Period (Paleozoic Era) salt formation in New Mexico was found to be viable. The systems and subsystems of Earth are extremely dynamic and interact with each other in complex ways: the geosphere (lithosphere, hydrosphere, atmosphere, and cryosphere) and biosphere, with a vigorous hydrologic cycle, climatic processes, and biogeochemical cycles. Life forms evolved early in Earth's history, at least 3.8 billion years ago (Ba), only a short time after the Earth formed (4.8 Ba) from planetismals that condensed from the solar nebula. Figure: Evolution of life on Earth. Time line showing the evolution of life (the biosphere) on Earth during the past 4.8 billion years (By). Modern humans only evolved during the past 100 thousand years (100 ky) and represent one of 11 different biped primate mammals (hominids) which evolved during the past 5 million years (5 My), some of which coexisted in time and which are all extinct except our species (Homo sapiens). For example, Neanderthal (Homo sapiens neanderthalensis) coexisted with Homo sapiens until about 30 Ka ago. Diagram from Gould, S.J., gen. ed., 1993, The book of life. An illustrated history of the evolution of life on Earth. New York, W.W. Norton and Co., p. 24-25. Figure: Geologic Time Scale (includes extinction events) Credit: The Miner's Canary, Niles Eldredge, 1991, p. xii and xiii, Prentice Hall Press The geologic time scale for the past 570 My, showing the eras and periods assigned by geologists to intervals of time during and between in which significant evolution of life forms in the biosphere took place. The boundary between the Cambrian Period and the Precambrian is significant, because multicellular organisms first evolved on Earth in the Lower Cambrian. Life forms evolved into more complex organisms over time, but the evolution in many lineages was not a continuous process during the past 530 My, because five major extinction events from extraterrestrial (comets and asteroids) or terrestrial (climate change and megavolcanic eruptions) processes markedly reduced the number of terrestrial and marine species. Evolution continued after each extinction event but from a reduced suite of life forms. Geologic time scale from Eldredge, N., 1991, The miner's canary. Unraveling the mysteries of extinction. New York, Prentice - Hall Press, p. xii-xiii. Figure: Collision Course of Earth with a Comet Figure: Crossing the Flat (dinosaurs) "Crossing the flat." Mesozoic dinosaurs, herbivores and pterodactyls, are portrayed in this poster produced for an exhibition organized by the Natural History Museum of Los Angeles County(copyright), Dinosaurs Past and Present. The painting, The Giant - Mamonchisaurus hochuanensis - 1986(copyright). This Mamonchisauarus, with an 11 m (33 ft.) neck, is from Sichuan, China; it is related to North American sauropods, Diplodocus and Aptosaurus. Dinosaurs, a dominant group in the biosphere during the Mesozoic, became extinct at the end of the Mesozoic Era (245 Ma - 65 Ma), 65 Ma ago, partly due to the consequences of a sudden global climate change caused by an asteroid impact in the Yucat‡n Peninsula, MŽxico/Gulf of Mexico region, marked by the Chicxulub impact crater. Figure: Giant Sequoia Tree Giant Sequoia tree (Sequoya sp.), California, a long - lived conifer, which can exceed 90 m (300 feet) in height. Source of color photograph unknown; obtained from the U.S. Global Change Research Program. Plants comprise one of the five kingdoms of the biosphere. Figure: Oblique Aerial Photograph of Tepu’s in Southern Venezuela Oblique color aerial photograph of flat - topped tepu’s in La Gran Sabana area of southeastern Venezuela. Tepu’s have microclimates and specialized ecosystems (diverse and specialized biota) on their summits where they rise above the surrounding rain forests; the rock formation, an element of the lithosphere, is 1 By - old well - cemented sandstone. Photograph courtesy of John C. Dohrenwend, U.S. Geological Survey. Figure: Space Shuttle Photograph of Coral Reefs in the Bora - Bora Archipelago, Tahiti Space shuttle (STS-8) photograph of coral reefs around two volcanic islands, a barrier reef on Raiatea (center) and a fringing reef on Tahaa (right), and an atoll (around a submerged volcano) on Tapai (left), in the Bora - Bora archipelago, Tahiti. Coral reefs, which support a diverse assemblage of marine biota (6,000 to 8,000 species of fish and a still unknown number of species of plants, algae, and invertebrate animals), are distributed to lat 30 deg north and south around the Equator where annual seawater temperatures range between 20 deg C and 30 deg C. Coral reefs harbor 25 percent of Earth's marine species. Corals first appeared in the geologic record 450 Ma (during the Ordovician Period) and are currently represented by 2,500 different species. Coral reefs are particularly vulnerable to environmental disruptions caused by direct (deforestation and dispersal of sediments) and indirect (warming of the ocean) activities of humans. Many coral reef experts believe that all of the world's coral reefs are threatened and at risk of loss. (See National Geographic Society's Coral world map and virtual reefscape poster, 2000, for more comprehensive information). Photograph 83-HC-602 courtesy of NASA. Figure: Landsat Thematic Mapper Image of Compound Crescentic Dunes in the United Arab Emirates Landsat thematic mapper (TM) false - color composite image of compound crescentic dunes in the United Arab Emirates taken on 3 December 1988. Landsat image courtesy of the U.S. Geological Survey EROS Data Center. Dunes are an extremely mobile and dynamic part of the lithosphere, a diverse variety of land forms created by a large source of sediment (lithosphere), strong seasonal winds (atmosphere), and dry climate (climatic processes). Figure: Number of Species in Major Taxonomic Groups Assigned a Binomial Name Number of species in major taxonomic groups of the biosphere that have been assigned a binomial name (from Morell, V., 1999, The variety of life ÑWilderness headcount Ñ The sixth extinction Ñ Restoring Madagascar. In search of solutions: National Geographic, v. 195, no. 2, p. 6-87. Figure: Sunset Over West Falmouth Harbor, Cape Cod, Massachusetts Sunset over West Falmouth Harbor, Cape Cod, Massachusetts [hydrosphere, atmosphere, and Sun (solar energy)]. Photograph by Richard S. Williams, Jr., U.S. Geological Survey. Figure: Satellite Image of Sea Surface Temperature Off the East Coast Satellite thermal image from NASA's Heat Capacity mapping Mission (HCMM) showing contrast between warmer Gulf Stream waters and detached warm - core rings and colder, near - shore Labrador Current along the east coast of the United States and Nova Scotia, eastern Canada (hydrosphere). Figure: Landsat Image of Marine Eddies Off the Southwest Coast of Iceland Landsat 1 multispectral scanner (MSS) image mosaic of current patterns, eddies, and multiple double gyres off the southwest coast of Iceland on 19 June 1976. The current patterns and double gyres (hydrosphere) are made visible by the strong plankton bloom in surface waters (biosphere). Landsat 1 images 2514-12019 and 2514-12021, band 4, courtesy of the U.S. Geological Survey's EROS Data Center. Figure: Active Volcanoes of the World Sketch map showing spreading and convergent plate boundaries (blue) and the location of active volcanoes of the world (red) (lithosphere). Map courtesy of Robert I. Tilling, U.S. Geological Survey. Figure: Eruption of Mt. Hekla, Iceland in 1947 Oblique aerial photograph of explosive and effusive activity of Mt. Hekla Volcano, Iceland, in 1947 (lithosphere). The eruption cloud is 10 km (6.25 mi) high. Of the annual global volcanic activity on Earth, only 20 percent is subaerial (about 50 eruptions each year on the average). The other 80 percent is submarine (200 eruptions per year). S—larfilm Slide No. 22/2(copyright) from S—larfilma hf., Reykjav’k, Iceland. Figure: Landsat MSS False - Color Composite Image of Glacier Bay, Alaska Landsat 1 MSS false - color infrared image of the glacierized Glacier Bay area, Alaska (cryosphere). Landsat 1 image 1416-19480, bands 4, 5, and 7; 12 September 1973, courtesy of the U.S. Geological Survey's EROS Data Center. Human Impact the Earth System Figure: Growth of Human Population Figure: Cover of book by Joel E. Cohen: How many people can the Earth support?, 1995, New York, W.W. Norton and Co., 523 p. (biosphere). Human Population of the Top 10 Nations (in millions) China 1,210 India 968 United States 268 Indonesia 210 Brazil 165 Russia 148 Pakistan 132 Japan 126 Bangladesh 125 Nigeria 107 Credit: World Almanac and Book of Facts 1998 Figures: World populations booming. REFLECTIONS ON SUSTAINABILITY, POPULATION GROWTH, AND THE ENVIRONMENTÑREVISITED - Bartlett (1999) "Every day the planet sees a net increase...of about [250,000]...people." "carrying capacity"... "refers to the limit to the number of humans the Earth can support in the long term without damage to the environment" (Giampietro et al., 1992) "...the scale and scope of human activities have, for the first time, grown to rival the natural processes that built the biosphere and that maintain it as a place where live can flourish."... "It is estimated that somewhere between 20 and 40 percent of the earth's primary productivity, from plant photosynthesis on land and in the sea, is now appropriated for human use." "Can you think of any problem, on any scale, from microscopic to global, whose long - term solution is in any demonstrable way, aided, assisted, or advanced, by having larger populations at the local level, the state level, the national level, or globally?" Reflections on sustainability, population growth, and the environment (1999) by Al Bartlett, Professor of Physics, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado; selected excerpts from his paper (human impact on the geosphere and biosphere). Civilization - The Magazine of the Library of Congress - Aug/Sep 99 (p. 67): Voice of Authority Edward O. Wilson Two - time Pulitzer Prize winner and Harvard entomologist "In the 21st century, we are going to pass through a bottleneck. The land required to maintain one American's standard of living, on average, is 12 acres; the amount required to sustain the current standard of living of someone in one of the developing countries, where 80 percent of the world's population lives, is one acre. Now here's the problem: The whole world wants to live like Americans. Thus we have the aftershock following the population explosion: not only too many people, but people attempting legitimately, understandably, to increase the quality of their lives. It's been estimated that to bring the whole world up to America's standard of living would require two more planet Earths. The results, politically, economically, and environmentally, of the rush to achieve that impossibility in the next century will be our greatest problem." Statement by Edward O. Wilson, two - time Pulitzer Prize awardee and Harvard entomologist about human impact on the geosphere and biosphere of the Earth. Statement published in Civilization (The Magazine of the Library of Congress) in Aug/Sep 1999 (p. 67). Prof. Wilson says that we will need three Planet Earths in the latter part of the 21st century, if the total human population is to achieve the same standard of living as the United States. Figure: Roadway Jammed with Cars Oblique photograph of major highway filled with cars and trucks at a toll interchange. Consider the demand for fossil energy to fuel cars, trucks, electricity generation, etc., of a rapidly expanding human population (human impact on the geosphere and biosphere) from a finite source. Photograph furnished by Dr. Dorothy K. Hall, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center; source unknown. Figure: Cover of book by Niles Eldredge, Life in the balance. Humanity and the biodiversity crisis, 1998, Princeton, New Jersey, Princeton University Press, 224 p. (human impact on the biosphere). Figure: Cover of book by Rachael Carson, Silent Spring, 1962: Boston, Houghton Mifflin Co., 368 p. (25th anniversary edition, 1987) (human impact on the biosphere). Global Status of Bird Species Status Species Number Stable or Increasing 3,500 In Decline 5,000 Nearly Threatened with Extinction 600 Threatened with Extinction 1,000 Credit: Youth, H., 1994, Birds are in decline; Vital Signs 1994, Washington, D.C., Worldwatch Institute, p.128 - 129. Table showing global status of bird species. From Youth, H., 1994, Birds are in decline, in Brown, L.R., Kane, H., Roodman, D.M., eds., Vital signs 1994: Washington, DC, Worldwatch Institute, p. 128-129 (human impact on the biosphere). Figure: Twin Landsat Images Showing Changes in Amazon Rainforest Changes in the Brazilian rainforest on two Landsat MSS false - color infrared images, one acquired on 19 June 1975, the other acquired 11 years later on 1 August 1986. The construction of a major road through the rainforest in the Territory of Rond™nia has markedly improved access by settlers, who have built numerous parallel roads orthogonal to the main road (human impact on the biosphere). ÔThe Historical Roots of Our Ecological Crisis' (Lynn White, Jr., Science 1967) "Especially in its Western form, Christianity is the most anthropocentric religion the world has ever seen." "I personally doubt that disastrous ecological backlash can be avoided simply by applying to our problems more science and more technology. Our science and technology have grown out of Christian attitudes toward man's relationship to nature which are almost universally held not only by Christians and neo - Christians but also by those who fondly regard themselves as post - Christians. Despite Copernicus, all the cosmos rotates around our little globe. Despite Darwin, we are not, in our hearts, part of the natural process. We are superior to nature, contemptuous of it, willing to use it for our slightest whim." "Both our present science and our present technology are so tinctured with orthodox Christian arrogance toward nature that no solution for our ecologic crisis can be expected from them alone. Since the roots of our trouble are so largely religious, the remedy must also be essentially religious, whether we call it that or not. We must rethink and refeel our nature and destiny. The profoundly religious, but heretical, sense of primitive Franciscans for the spiritual autonomy of all parts of nature may point a direction. I propose Francis as a patron saint for ecologists." Excerpts from Lynn White, Jr.'s 1967 Science article, The historical roots of our ecological crisis. He says that "Since the roots of our trouble are largely religious, the remedy must also be essentially religious,..." (human impact on the geosphere and biosphere). Scientific and Ethical Challenges to Science and Religion Will natural scientists strive to educate humanity about the accelerating human impact on the entire Earth System as they labor to better understand and expand our knowledge of the natural and human history of the Earth? Will humans use our new knowledge of the Earth's natural and human history to stop further degradation of the planet's ecosystems and extinction of its biota? Will the world's religions make stewardship of the planet (the Earth's biosphere and geosphere) a primary moral imperative? Will science provide the facts based on observation and will religion provide the moral and ethical force based on faith to guide individuals in making the personal decisions (e.g., size of family, consumption of resources, impact on the environment) that will collectively improve stewardship of the Earth and avoid the "Tragedy of the Commons?" Will all humans of all cultures and religions reaffirm the global importance of planet - wide conservation of the Earth's biotic heritage - one that is based on a Do No Harm ethic? Figure: Stewardship: Common Ground for Science and Religion Epilogue Mourn not the dead who in the cool earth lie Dust to dust The calm sweet earth that mothers all who die As all men must But rather mourn the apathetic throng The cowed and the meek Who see the world's great anguish and its wrong And dare not speak Source: Unknown Figure: Apollo 17 Photograph of the Earth Apollo 17 photograph of the Earth taken in 1972 by the astronaut/geologist, Harrison H. Schmidt. When Buckminster Fuller, the noted American architect and inventor of the geodesic dome, first saw this photograph, he referred to the planet as "Spaceship Earth." His was an apt analogy, because a spaceship is self - contained, with finite resources to be used by its passengers. The 6 billion plus humans on Planet Earth are also "passengers", but the planet must be shared with at least 30 million other species. The actions humans take, individually and collectively during the 21st century, will definitely determine the fate of many millions of species, including our own. Will all humans of all cultures and religions reaffirm the global importance of planet - wide conservation of the Earth's biotic heritage? Will science provide the facts based on observation? Will religion provide the moral and ethical force to guide individuals in making personal decisions? Will we all collectively improve Stewardship of the Earth? Will the world's religions make Stewardship of the planet (the Earth's biosphere and geosphere, especially the former) a primary Moral Imperative? Postscript At the 4th Symposium on Religion, Science and the Environment, a declaration for the environment was signed in Venice, Italy, in 2002, by many notable scientists and religious leaders, including the leader of the Roman Catholic Church, Pope John Paul II of the Vatican, and the leader of the Greek Orthodox Church, Ecumenical Patriarch Bartholomew I of Constantinople. The symposium focused on the issue of environmental ethics and explored common ground for an ethical code. In July 2002, Archbishop John Bathersby, speaking on behalf of the Roman Catholic Church of Australia, said that Australian Roman Catholics must be mobilized "to take decisive action to protect the natural world before it is too late."