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U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 03-040
Version 1.0

Tables 25-26

Table 25.  Probability distribution of volumetric parameters for oil or gas in the Beaufortian Lower Jurassic Topset Play.

Attribute

Units

LTP*

F50

F05

Max

 

Net Reservoir Thickness

feet

15

30

60

100

 

Area of Closure

1000 acres

3

4

8

20

 

Trap Fill

percent

50

75

99

100

 

Porosity

percent

15

18

20

22

 

Porosity-Water Saturation Product

percent

       

8

Hydrocarbon Pore Volume

percent

7

10

12

14

 
             
   

Min

F50

F05

Max

 

Trap Depth (oil)

1000 feet

3

5

8

14

 

Trap Depth (gas)

 

3

8

13

17

 

Number of Prospects

number

15

40

65

90

 

Total Play Area

million acres

       

9.3

*LTP is lower truncation point for input distribution (see Scheunemeyer, this volume).

Table 26.  Probability of occurrence for play and prospect in the Beaufortian Lower Jurassic Topset Play.

 

Play Attributes

   
 

Charge (C)

1

 
 

Trap (T)

0.9

 
 

Timing (F)

1

 
 

Play Probability (CxTxF)

 

0.9

       
 

Prospect Attributes

   
 

Charge (c)

0.7

 
 

Trap (t)

0.2

 
 

Timing (f)

1

 
 

Prospect Probability (CxTxF)

 

0.14

       
 

Play Probability x Prospect Probability

 

0.126

       
 

Fraction of Accumulations That Are Oil

0.5

 
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