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Open-File Report 2008–1173

In Cooperation with the World Bank, the Mauritania Ministry of Mines and Industry, and Futures Group

Hydrologic Modeling Strategy for the Islamic Republic of Mauritania, Africa

By Michael J. Friedel

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Open-File Report
2008-1173 PDF (166 kB)
Abstract

The government of Mauritania is interested in how to maintain hydrologic balance to ensure a long-term stable water supply for minerals-related, domestic, and other purposes. Because of the many complicating and competing natural and anthropogenic factors, hydrologists will perform quantitative analysis with specific objectives and relevant computer models in mind. Whereas various computer models are available for studying water-resource priorities, the success of these models to provide reliable predictions largely depends on adequacy of the model-calibration process. Predictive analysis helps us evaluate the accuracy and uncertainty associated with simulated dependent variables of our calibrated model. In this report, the hydrologic modeling process is reviewed and a strategy summarized for future Mauritanian hydrologic modeling studies.

Version 1.0

Posted June 2008


Suggested citation:

Friedel, M.J., 2008, Hydrologic modeling strategy for the Islamic Republic of Mauritania, Africa: U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 2008–1173, 20 p.



Contents

Abstract

Introduction

Modeling Process

Numerical Model Development

Model Design

Conceptualization

Parameterization

Calibration

Information Content

Regularization

Eigenvector Analysis

Model Quality

Model Validation

Predictive Uncertainty

Summary

References Cited

 



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