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Open-File Report 2014–1125

Prepared for the Southeast Regional Partnership for Planning and Sustainability (SERPPAS)

Historic and Forecasted Population and Land-Cover Change in Southeastern North Carolina, 1992–2030

By Peter R. Claggett, Paul P. Hearn, Jr., and David I. Donato

Thumbnail of and link to report PDF (6.38 MB)Introduction

The Southeast Regional Partnership for Planning and Sustainability (SERPPAS) was formed in 2005 as a partnership between the Department of Defense (DOD) and State and Federal agencies to promote better collaboration in making resource-use decisions. In support of this goal, the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) conducted a study to evaluate historic population growth and land-cover change, and to model future change, for the 13-county SERPPAS study area in southeastern North Carolina (fig. 1). Improved understanding of trends in land-cover change and the ability to forecast land-cover change that is consistent with these trends will be a key component of efforts to accommodate local military-mission imperatives while also promoting sustainable economic growth throughout the 13-county study area. The study had three principal objectives:

    1.  Evaluate historic changes in population and land cover for the period 1992–2006 using both previously existing as well as newly generated land-cover data.
    2.  Develop models to forecast future change in land cover using the data gathered in objective 1 in conjunction with ancillary data on the suitability of the various sub-areas within the study area for low- and high-intensity urban development.
    3.  Deliver these results—including an executive-level briefing and a USGS technical report—to DOD, other project cooperators, and local counties in hard-copy and digital formats and via the Web through a map-based data viewer.

This report provides a general overview of the study and is intended for general distribution to non-technical audiences.

First posted May 6, 2015

For additional information, contact:
Director, Eastern Geographic Science Center
U.S. Geological Survey
12201 Sunrise Valley Drive
Reston, VA 20192
​http://egsc.usgs.gov

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Suggested citation:

Claggett, P.R., Hearn, P.P., Jr., and Donato, D.I., 2015, Historic and forecasted population and land-cover change in southeastern North Carolina, 1992–2030: U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 2014–1125, 23 p., https://dx.doi.org/10.3133/ofr20141125.

ISSN 2331-1258 (online)



Contents

Introduction

Historic and Forecasted Population Change

Historic Land-Cover Change (1992–2006)

Forecasting Land-Cover Change

Web-Based Map Viewer

Results and Discussion

Conclusions

References Cited


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