Mary Anne Evans Dan Obenour Donald Scavia 2014 <p>The Gulf of Mexico annual summer hypoxia forecasts are based on average May total nitrogen loads from the Mississippi River basin for that year. The load estimate, recently released by USGS, is 4,761 metric tons per day. Based on that estimate, we predict the area of this summer’s hypoxic zone to be 14,000 square kilometers (95% credible interval, 8,000 to 20,000) – an “average year”.</p> <br/> </p>Our forecast hypoxic volume is 50 km³ (95% credible interval, 20 to 77). application/pdf en University of Michigan 2014 Gulf of Mexico Hypoxia Forecast reports