<?xml version='1.0' encoding='utf-8'?>
<oai_dc:dc xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:oai_dc="http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc/" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xsi:schemaLocation="http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc/ http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc.xsd">
  <dc:contributor>Paul L. Flint</dc:contributor>
  <dc:contributor>Mark S. Udevitz</dc:contributor>
  <dc:contributor>Joshua C. Koch</dc:contributor>
  <dc:contributor>Todd C. Atwood</dc:contributor>
  <dc:contributor>Karen L. Oakley</dc:contributor>
  <dc:contributor>John M. Pearce</dc:contributor>
  <dc:creator>Caroline R. Van Hemert</dc:creator>
  <dc:date>2015</dc:date>
  <dc:description>&lt;p&gt;&lt;span class="ScopusTermHighlight"&gt;Arctic&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="ScopusTermHighlight"&gt;wildlife&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&amp;nbsp;species face a dynamic and increasingly novel environment because of climate&amp;nbsp;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="ScopusTermHighlight"&gt;warming&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&amp;nbsp;and the associated increase&amp;nbsp;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="ScopusTermHighlight"&gt;in&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&amp;nbsp;human activity. Both marine and terrestrial environments are undergoing&amp;nbsp;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="ScopusTermHighlight"&gt;rapid&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&amp;nbsp;environmental shifts, including loss of sea ice, permafrost degradation, and altered biogeochemical fluxes.&amp;nbsp;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="ScopusTermHighlight"&gt;Forecasting&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="ScopusTermHighlight"&gt;wildlife&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&amp;nbsp;responses to climate change can facilitate proactive decisions that balance stewardship with resource development.&amp;nbsp;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="ScopusTermHighlight"&gt;In&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&amp;nbsp;this article, we discuss the primary and secondary responses to physical climate-related drivers&amp;nbsp;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="ScopusTermHighlight"&gt;in&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&amp;nbsp;the&amp;nbsp;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="ScopusTermHighlight"&gt;Arctic&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;, associated&amp;nbsp;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="ScopusTermHighlight"&gt;wildlife&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&amp;nbsp;responses, and additional sources of complexity&amp;nbsp;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="ScopusTermHighlight"&gt;in&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="ScopusTermHighlight"&gt;forecasting&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="ScopusTermHighlight"&gt;wildlife&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&amp;nbsp;population outcomes. Although the effects of&amp;nbsp;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="ScopusTermHighlight"&gt;warming&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&amp;nbsp;on&amp;nbsp;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="ScopusTermHighlight"&gt;wildlife&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&amp;nbsp;populations are becoming increasingly well documented&amp;nbsp;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="ScopusTermHighlight"&gt;in&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&amp;nbsp;the scientific literature, clear mechanistic links are often difficult to establish. An integrated science approach and robust modeling tools are necessary to make predictions and determine resiliency to change. We provide a conceptual framework and introduce examples relevant for developing&amp;nbsp;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="ScopusTermHighlight"&gt;wildlife&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&amp;nbsp;forecasts useful to management decisions. © 2015 Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the American Institute of Biological Sciences 2014. This work is written by US Government employees and is&amp;nbsp;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="ScopusTermHighlight"&gt;in&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&amp;nbsp;the public domain&amp;nbsp;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span class="ScopusTermHighlight"&gt;in&lt;/span&gt;&lt;span&gt;&amp;nbsp;the US.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;</dc:description>
  <dc:format>application/pdf</dc:format>
  <dc:identifier>10.1093/biosci/biv069</dc:identifier>
  <dc:language>en</dc:language>
  <dc:publisher>Oxford University Press</dc:publisher>
  <dc:title>Forecasting wildlife response to rapid warming in the Alaskan Arctic</dc:title>
  <dc:type>article</dc:type>
</oai_dc:dc>