Stress-based aftershock forecasts made within 24h post mainshock: Expected north San Francisco Bay area seismicity changes after the 2014 M=6.0 West Napa earthquake - Parsons, Thomas; Segou, Margaret; Sevilgen, Volkan; Milner, Kevin; Field, Edward H.; Toda, Shinji; Stein, Ross (Geophysical Research Letters, 2014)