Adam R. Backlin
Elizabeth Gallegos
Bradd Baskerville-Bridges
Robert N. Fisher
Thierry Chambert
2022
<p><span>The endangered mountain yellow-legged frog (</span><i>Rana muscosa</i><span>) has been reduced to <10 isolated populations in the wild. Due to frequent catastrophic events (floods, droughts, wildfires), the recent dynamics of these populations have been erratic, making the future of the species highly uncertain. In 2018, a recovery plan was developed to improve the species status by reducing the impacts of various threats (predation, disease, habitat destruction), as well as reinforcing wild populations through the reintroduction of captive-bred frogs. The short-term goal stated in this plan was to reach a minimum of 20 populations of 50 adults each (hereafter, the </span><i>20/50 target</i><span>), before the species can be considered for downlisting from the U.S. Endangered Species Act. However, there is no guarantee that this </span><i>20/50 target</i><span> will be sufficient to ensure the species persistence in the long run. Using 19 years of mark-recapture data, we estimated populations' demographic trends and assessed the viability of </span><i>R. muscosa</i><span> from a starting state of 20 populations of 50 adults each (i.e., the downlisting criteria). Our results reveal that, from this </span><i>20/50 state</i><span>, the species has high chances of persistence only at a short time horizon (50 years). Moreover, >80% of populations would be extinct 50 years later. Therefore, the species will not be able to persist without implementation of the reintroduction program. We found that it is more important to increase the number of suitable sites occupied by </span><i>R. muscosa</i><span> than to simply reinforce or augment existing populations. Expanding the current distribution by establishing new populations at suitable sites, even after the “20 populations” mark has been reached, would increase the likelihood of the species' persistence in the longer term.</span></p>
application/pdf
10.1111/csp2.12666
en
Society for Conservation Biology
Defining relevant conservation targets for the endangered Southern California distinct population segment of the mountain yellow-legged frog (Rana muscosa)
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