{"pageNumber":"290","pageRowStart":"7225","pageSize":"25","recordCount":40783,"records":[{"id":70218239,"text":"70218239 - 2020 - Infrasound generated by the 2016-2017 shallow submarine eruption of Bogoslof volcano, Alaska","interactions":[],"lastModifiedDate":"2021-02-19T16:31:08.740362","indexId":"70218239","displayToPublicDate":"2020-01-31T10:19:14","publicationYear":"2020","noYear":false,"publicationType":{"id":2,"text":"Article"},"publicationSubtype":{"id":10,"text":"Journal Article"},"seriesTitle":{"id":1109,"text":"Bulletin of Volcanology","active":true,"publicationSubtype":{"id":10}},"title":"Infrasound generated by the 2016-2017 shallow submarine eruption of Bogoslof volcano, Alaska","docAbstract":"<p><span>The 2016–2017 shallow submarine eruption of Bogoslof volcano produced numerous infrasound signals over 9&nbsp;months that were recorded on six Alaska Volcano Observatory (AVO) arrays at ranges of 59 to over 800&nbsp;km from the volcano. The lack of geophysical monitoring near Bogoslof and the repeated production of volcanic clouds to flight levels made monitoring by remote infrasound critical during the eruption; for the first time, AVO relied extensively on automated infrasound detections from regional arrays to dispatch timely notifications of the ongoing activity. Most of the 70 eruptive events were detected on at least one array, but no array detected all of the events mainly because atmospheric conditions were highly variable during the eruption. Acoustic propagation modeling helps explain some of the variation in array detections but also highlights limitations in regional propagation models. To our knowledge, this is the first example of well-recorded infrasound from an explosive eruption occurring in shallow seawater, providing extensive insights into eruption dynamics in this unique environment. The dominance of low-frequency infrasound (0.1–1&nbsp;Hz) is attributed to eruptions occurring beneath tens of meters of seawater. Higher-frequency infrasound signals were mostly limited to eruptions where the vent was isolated from major interaction with seawater or in several cases where a lava dome grew above sea level.</span></p>","language":"English","publisher":"Springer","doi":"10.1007/s00445-019-1355-0","usgsCitation":"Lyons, J.J., Iezzi, A., Fee, D., Schwaiger, H., Wech, A., and Haney, M.M., 2020, Infrasound generated by the 2016-2017 shallow submarine eruption of Bogoslof volcano, Alaska: Bulletin of Volcanology, v. 82, 19, 14 p., https://doi.org/10.1007/s00445-019-1355-0.","productDescription":"19, 14 p.","ipdsId":"IP-112505","costCenters":[{"id":617,"text":"Volcano Science Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"links":[{"id":383363,"type":{"id":24,"text":"Thumbnail"},"url":"https://pubs.usgs.gov/thumbnails/outside_thumb.jpg"}],"country":"United States","state":"Alaska","otherGeospatial":"Bogoslof Volcano","geographicExtents":"{\n  \"type\": \"FeatureCollection\",\n  \"features\": [\n    {\n      \"type\": \"Feature\",\n      \"properties\": {},\n      \"geometry\": {\n        \"type\": \"Polygon\",\n        \"coordinates\": [\n          [\n            [\n              -178.63769531249997,\n              48.86471476180277\n            ],\n            [\n              -155.0390625,\n              48.86471476180277\n            ],\n            [\n              -155.0390625,\n              61.39671887310411\n            ],\n            [\n              -178.63769531249997,\n              61.39671887310411\n            ],\n            [\n              -178.63769531249997,\n              48.86471476180277\n            ]\n          ]\n        ]\n      }\n    }\n  ]\n}","volume":"82","noUsgsAuthors":false,"publicationDate":"2020-01-31","publicationStatus":"PW","contributors":{"authors":[{"text":"Lyons, John J. 0000-0001-5409-1698 jlyons@usgs.gov","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5409-1698","contributorId":5394,"corporation":false,"usgs":true,"family":"Lyons","given":"John","email":"jlyons@usgs.gov","middleInitial":"J.","affiliations":[{"id":615,"text":"Volcano Hazards Program","active":true,"usgs":true},{"id":617,"text":"Volcano Science Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"preferred":true,"id":810600,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":1},{"text":"Iezzi, Alexandra M. 0000-0002-6782-7681","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6782-7681","contributorId":196436,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Iezzi","given":"Alexandra M.","affiliations":[],"preferred":false,"id":810601,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":2},{"text":"Fee, David","contributorId":199660,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Fee","given":"David","affiliations":[],"preferred":false,"id":810602,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":3},{"text":"Schwaiger, Hans 0000-0001-7397-8833","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7397-8833","contributorId":214983,"corporation":false,"usgs":true,"family":"Schwaiger","given":"Hans","affiliations":[{"id":617,"text":"Volcano Science Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"preferred":true,"id":810603,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":4},{"text":"Wech, Aaron 0000-0003-4983-1991","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4983-1991","contributorId":202561,"corporation":false,"usgs":true,"family":"Wech","given":"Aaron","affiliations":[{"id":617,"text":"Volcano Science Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"preferred":true,"id":810604,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":5},{"text":"Haney, Matthew M. 0000-0003-3317-7884 mhaney@usgs.gov","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3317-7884","contributorId":172948,"corporation":false,"usgs":true,"family":"Haney","given":"Matthew","email":"mhaney@usgs.gov","middleInitial":"M.","affiliations":[{"id":615,"text":"Volcano Hazards Program","active":true,"usgs":true},{"id":617,"text":"Volcano Science Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"preferred":true,"id":810605,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":6}]}}
,{"id":70226997,"text":"70226997 - 2020 - Ecosystem-specific growth responses to climate pattern by a temperate freshwater fish","interactions":[],"lastModifiedDate":"2021-12-27T14:45:19.675432","indexId":"70226997","displayToPublicDate":"2020-01-31T08:42:41","publicationYear":"2020","noYear":false,"publicationType":{"id":2,"text":"Article"},"publicationSubtype":{"id":10,"text":"Journal Article"},"seriesTitle":{"id":1456,"text":"Ecological Indicators","active":true,"publicationSubtype":{"id":10}},"title":"Ecosystem-specific growth responses to climate pattern by a temperate freshwater fish","docAbstract":"<div id=\"abstracts\" class=\"Abstracts u-font-serif\"><div id=\"ab010\" class=\"abstract author\" lang=\"en\"><div id=\"as010\"><p id=\"sp0010\">Somatic growth patterns among animal populations are maintained through complex processes that vary among ecosystems. Changes in growth patterns may be concomitant with changes in climate; however, understanding how growth will manifest among ecosystems is limited. Information embedded within fish hard-parts (i.e., otoliths, spines, vertebrae) can account for variation in growth patterns resulting from changing climate conditions. Channel catfish<span>&nbsp;</span><i>Ictalurus punctatus</i><span>&nbsp;</span>is a freshwater fish species widely distributed across North America with limited information regarding climate influences on growth and differences in climate-growth relations among ecological systems. We assessed growth (total length) response to changing climate conditions for channel catfish among three waterbody types—pit lakes, irrigation and power-generation reservoirs, and flood-control reservoirs in Nebraska, USA. We used linear mixed-effect models and an information theoretic approach to assess the relative strengths among competing hypotheses. The most supported linear mixed-effect model of channel catfish growth was a function of fish age and an interaction between waterbody type and growing-degree-day (GDD). A positive trend existed in GDD from 1990 through 2008 whereby the predicted increase in GDD among waterbody types ranged from 182 GDD to 189 GDD. The predicted change in channel catfish growth resulting from increased GDD ranged from 1% to 39% among waterbody types. Channel catfish population rate functions, thus, may not respond similarly to climate conditions across ecosystem types. Changes in climate variables may contribute to system-specific responses in population dynamics for channel catfish as well as other similar freshwater species. The establishment of relations between climate and growth variables for a freshwater generalist with a plastic diet and broad temperature tolerance serves as an indication of the breadth of responses possible for freshwater fishes under global changes in climate conditions.</p></div></div></div>","language":"English","publisher":"Elsevier","doi":"10.1016/j.ecolind.2020.106130","usgsCitation":"Spurgeon, J.J., Pegg, M., Pope, K.L., and Xie, L., 2020, Ecosystem-specific growth responses to climate pattern by a temperate freshwater fish: Ecological Indicators, v. 112, 106130, 6 p., https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2020.106130.","productDescription":"106130, 6 p.","ipdsId":"IP-106474","costCenters":[{"id":198,"text":"Coop Res Unit Atlanta","active":true,"usgs":true}],"links":[{"id":467300,"rank":0,"type":{"id":40,"text":"Open Access Publisher Index Page"},"url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2020.106130","text":"Publisher Index Page"},{"id":393417,"type":{"id":24,"text":"Thumbnail"},"url":"https://pubs.usgs.gov/thumbnails/outside_thumb.jpg"}],"country":"United 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,{"id":70209332,"text":"70209332 - 2020 - Habitat affinities and at-sea ranging behaviors among main Hawaiian Island seabirds: Breeding seabird telemetry, 2013–2016","interactions":[],"lastModifiedDate":"2020-04-01T08:39:57","indexId":"70209332","displayToPublicDate":"2020-01-31T08:36:24","publicationYear":"2020","noYear":false,"publicationType":{"id":18,"text":"Report"},"publicationSubtype":{"id":4,"text":"Other Government Series"},"title":"Habitat affinities and at-sea ranging behaviors among main Hawaiian Island seabirds: Breeding seabird telemetry, 2013–2016","docAbstract":"Recent Hawaiʻi state clean energy policy mandates and federal interest in developing offshore renewable energy resources have prompted unsolicited lease requests for offshore wind energy infrastructure (OWEI) to be located in ocean waters off Hawaiʻi. This study describing at-sea ranging behaviors for five seabirds was intended to provide new information on Hawaiian breeding seabird distribution at sea, habitat utilization, and ranging behaviors within near-island waters and throughout outer continental shelf (OCS) waters surrounding the main Hawaiian Islands (MHI). We also estimate the percentage of time the five study species spent flying at altitudes equivalent to an expected rotor-swept-zone (RSZ; 30–194 m) for an offshore wind turbine and discuss potential collision risk from OWEI to the seabirds studied here. The MHI supports important seabird breeding populations and individual seabirds can now be equipped with a wide-variety of data loggers and location tracking devices that can provide complex, high-resolution information on movement patterns at sea. In this study, we used GPS loggers and temperature-depth-recorders (TDRs) to examine the at-sea distributions and ranging behaviors of five abundantly breeding species in the MHI: Red-tailed Tropicbird, Laysan Albatross, Wedge-tailed Shearwater, Brown Booby, and Red-footed Booby. We tracked these breeding seabirds from 14 different sites throughout the MHI; study colonies were located on the main islands of Maui, Oʻahu, Kauaʻi, and on associated islets. We used the Residence in Space and Time (RST) algorithm to classify behavior into resting, transiting, and searching/foraging (Torres et al. 2017). We used GPS altitude measurements to examine species-specific flight height and to estimate time spent flying in the RSZ. We mapped rediscretized tracking data for seabirds at each study colony according to behavioral class and trip type (when applicable) using kernel density estimates. During 2014–2016, we obtained GPS and TDR data from 59 and 34 Red-tailed Tropicbirds, respectively. Taken together, individuals revealed a bimodal (short- [~3 h, <100 km range] and long- [>3 d, >800 km range]) trip foraging strategy. While ranging at sea, we estimated that Red-tailed Tropicbirds spend 70.6% (95% confidence interval [CI] 70.1–71.0%) of flight time in the RSZ. TDR data for tropicbirds was noisy and we could not reliably identify dives. During 2014 and 2016, we obtained GPS data from 35 Laysan Albatrosses nesting on Kauaʻi and Oʻahu. Individuals during the mid- to late-chick rearing period engaged in a bimodal short- (<6 d, <400 km range) and long- (>6 d, >2,000 km range) trip foraging strategy. While ranging at sea, we estimated that Laysan Albatrosses spend 2.57% (95% CI 2.50–2.64%) of flight time in the RSZ. During 2013–2015, we obtained GPS and TDR data from 313 and 55 Wedge-tailed Shearwaters, respectively. Considering all the data together, individuals revealed a multi-modal trip duration foraging strategy consisting of intra-day (<24 h, <100 km range), short (<4 d, ~200 km range), and long (>4 d, ~100–400 km range) trips. While ranging at sea, we estimated that Wedge-tailed Shearwaters spend 5.20% (95% CI 5.13–5.27%) of flight time in the RSZ. Wedge-tailed Shearwaters dove to a mean (± SD) depth of 1.78 ± 1.35 m (median = 1.38 m); the deepest dive recorded was to 10.06 m. The mean dive duration for Wedge-tailed Shearwaters was 3.12 ± 3.44 s (median = 1.80 s). During 2014–2015, we obtained GPS and TDR data from 42 and 37 Brown Boobies, respectively. Almost all foraging trips (97%) were single-day trips and we did not detect any bimodality in the distribution of single-day trip durations. Brown Boobies foraged relatively close to their colony (<60 km range) and focused their at-sea use in nearshore, coastal waters off Kauaʻi and Niʻihau. While foraging at sea, we estimated that Brown Boobies spend 3.41% (95% CI 3.16–3.67%) of flight time in the RSZ","language":"English","publisher":"BOEM","collaboration":"BOEM","usgsCitation":"Adams, J., Felis, J.J., and Czapanskiy, M., 2020, Habitat affinities and at-sea ranging behaviors among main Hawaiian Island seabirds: Breeding seabird telemetry, 2013–2016, viii, 111 p. .","productDescription":"viii, 111 p. 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0000-0002-6302-905X","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6302-905X","contributorId":207793,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Czapanskiy","given":"Max","email":"","affiliations":[{"id":37635,"text":"San Fransciso State University","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":786136,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":3}]}}
,{"id":70208453,"text":"70208453 - 2020 - Estimating late 19th century hydrology in the Greater Everglades Ecosystem: An integration of paleoecologic data and models","interactions":[],"lastModifiedDate":"2020-02-11T07:40:36","indexId":"70208453","displayToPublicDate":"2020-01-31T07:37:52","publicationYear":"2020","noYear":false,"publicationType":{"id":2,"text":"Article"},"publicationSubtype":{"id":10,"text":"Journal Article"},"seriesTitle":{"id":5738,"text":"Frontiers in Environmental Science","active":true,"publicationSubtype":{"id":10}},"title":"Estimating late 19th century hydrology in the Greater Everglades Ecosystem: An integration of paleoecologic data and models","docAbstract":"Determining hydrologic conditions prior to instrumental records is a challenge for restoration of freshwater ecosystems worldwide.  Paleoecologic data provide this information on past conditions and when these data are used to adjust hydrologic models, allow conditions to be hindcast that may not be directly estimated from the paleo-data alone. In this context, the paleo-data provide real-world estimates as input to the models.  Restoration of the Greater Everglades Ecosystem requires this understanding of the hydrology of the natural system prior to significant alterations due to water management and land use.  Large scale models such as the Natural Systems Model (NSM 4.6.2) have been used by the South Florida Water Management District and other agencies responsible for restoration to estimate past hydrologic conditions; however, these models typically portray a drier natural system for the beginning of the 20th century than what is indicated by paleoecologic analyses and historical data.  The purpose of this study is to estimate pre-20th century water levels, hydroperiods and flow in the freshwater wetlands of the Everglades by using pollen assemblage data in three sediment cores to adjust the Natural Systems Model.  This study is designed to further test estimates of flow through the Everglades derived from analysis of sediment cores collected in Florida Bay.  The results demonstrate that the NSM 4.6.2 underestimates water levels and hydroperiods in the Everglades compared to the paleo-adjusted NSM 4.6.2 model outputs.  Flow models that use the paleo-adjusted water levels as input indicate flow through Shark River Slough in the late 19th century was approximately two times flow between 1990 and 2000, and flow through Taylor Slough was approximately three times flow between 1990 and 2000.  The flow estimates derived from this study agree with the estimates derived from earlier studies using estuarine cores.  This integration of paleoecologic information and hydrologic models provides resource managers with the best available estimates of past conditions and allows them to set realistic targets for restoration of freshwater ecosystems.","language":"English","publisher":"Frontiers","doi":"10.3389/fenvs.2020.00003","usgsCitation":"Marshall, F.E., Bernhardt, C.E., and Wingard, G.L., 2020, Estimating late 19th century hydrology in the Greater Everglades Ecosystem: An integration of paleoecologic data and models: Frontiers in Environmental Science, v. 8, no. 3, 21 p., https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2020.00003.","productDescription":"21 p.","ipdsId":"IP-099728","costCenters":[{"id":243,"text":"Eastern Geology and Paleoclimate Science Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"links":[{"id":457934,"rank":0,"type":{"id":40,"text":"Open Access Publisher Index Page"},"url":"https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2020.00003","text":"Publisher Index Page"},{"id":372206,"type":{"id":24,"text":"Thumbnail"},"url":"https://pubs.usgs.gov/thumbnails/outside_thumb.jpg"}],"country":"United States","state":"Florida","otherGeospatial":"Everglades ","geographicExtents":"{\n  \"type\": \"FeatureCollection\",\n  \"features\": [\n    {\n      \"type\": \"Feature\",\n      \"properties\": {},\n      \"geometry\": {\n        \"type\": \"Polygon\",\n        \"coordinates\": [\n          [\n            [\n              -81.58447265624999,\n              25.110471486223346\n            ],\n            [\n              -80.2716064453125,\n              25.110471486223346\n            ],\n            [\n              -80.2716064453125,\n              25.903703303407667\n            ],\n            [\n              -81.58447265624999,\n              25.903703303407667\n            ],\n            [\n              -81.58447265624999,\n              25.110471486223346\n            ]\n          ]\n        ]\n      }\n    }\n  ]\n}","volume":"8","issue":"3","publishingServiceCenter":{"id":9,"text":"Reston PSC"},"noUsgsAuthors":false,"publicationDate":"2020-01-31","publicationStatus":"PW","contributors":{"authors":[{"text":"Marshall, Frank E.","contributorId":222355,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Marshall","given":"Frank","email":"","middleInitial":"E.","affiliations":[{"id":40533,"text":"Cetacean Logic Foundation","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":781946,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":1},{"text":"Bernhardt, Christopher E. 0000-0003-0082-4731 cbernhardt@usgs.gov","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0082-4731","contributorId":2131,"corporation":false,"usgs":true,"family":"Bernhardt","given":"Christopher","email":"cbernhardt@usgs.gov","middleInitial":"E.","affiliations":[{"id":243,"text":"Eastern Geology and Paleoclimate Science Center","active":true,"usgs":true},{"id":40020,"text":"Florence Bascom Geoscience Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"preferred":true,"id":781947,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":2},{"text":"Wingard, G. Lynn 0000-0002-3833-5207 lwingard@usgs.gov","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3833-5207","contributorId":605,"corporation":false,"usgs":true,"family":"Wingard","given":"G.","email":"lwingard@usgs.gov","middleInitial":"Lynn","affiliations":[{"id":40020,"text":"Florence Bascom Geoscience Center","active":true,"usgs":true},{"id":243,"text":"Eastern Geology and Paleoclimate Science Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"preferred":true,"id":781945,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":3}]}}
,{"id":70208263,"text":"70208263 - 2020 - Throughfall reduction x fertilization: Deep soil water usage in a clay rich ultisol under loblolly pine in the Southeast USA","interactions":[],"lastModifiedDate":"2020-06-19T16:20:27.21759","indexId":"70208263","displayToPublicDate":"2020-01-31T07:06:58","publicationYear":"2020","noYear":false,"publicationType":{"id":2,"text":"Article"},"publicationSubtype":{"id":10,"text":"Journal Article"},"seriesTitle":{"id":5860,"text":"Frontiers in Forests and Global Change","active":true,"publicationSubtype":{"id":10}},"title":"Throughfall reduction x fertilization: Deep soil water usage in a clay rich ultisol under loblolly pine in the Southeast USA","docAbstract":"Forests in the Southeast USA are predicted to experience a moderate decrease in precipitation inputs over this century that may result in soil water deficiency during the growing season. The potential impact of a drier climate on the productivity of managed loblolly pine (Pinus taeda L.) plantations in the Southeast USA is uncertain. Access to water reserves in deep soil during drought periods may help buffer these forests from the effects of water deficits. To better understand the potential impact of drought on deep soil water, we studied the combined effects of throughfall reduction and fertilization on soil water usage in a clay rich Piedmont Ultisol to a depth of 3 m. In a 6-year-old loblolly pine plantation, we applied a throughfall reduction treatment (ambient vs. ~30% throughfall reduction) and a fertilization treatment (no fertilization vs. fertilization). Over 28 months, throughfall reduction lowered soil moisture for all depths and differences were significant in the surface soils (0–0.3 m) (1.2–3.6%) and deep soils (below 2 m) (2.6–3.6%). Fertilization also lowered soil moisture for all depths and differences were significant at 0.3–0.6 m (2.9%) and 1.94–3.06 m (4.5%). Fertilization when combined with the throughfall reduction treatment significantly decreased soil water at 0.1–0.9 m depth. Soils of all depths were rarely depleted of plant available water with the exception of 0–0.1 m, mainly during the growing season. Under throughfall reduction treatment, soil below 0.9 m consistently accounted for more than half of the change in plant available water during months when transpiration exceeded precipitation. When considering the whole soil profile in this clay rich Ultisol, soil water storage buffered transpirational demand in the face of decreasing throughfall input.","language":"English","publisher":"Frontiers","doi":"10.3389/ffgc.2019.00093","usgsCitation":"Qi, J., Markewitz, D.M., McGuire, M.A., Samuelson, L., and Ward, E., 2020, Throughfall reduction x fertilization: Deep soil water usage in a clay rich ultisol under loblolly pine in the Southeast USA: Frontiers in Forests and Global Change, v. 2, 93, 13 p., https://doi.org/10.3389/ffgc.2019.00093.","productDescription":"93, 13 p.","ipdsId":"IP-112050","costCenters":[{"id":17705,"text":"Wetland and Aquatic Research Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"links":[{"id":457937,"rank":0,"type":{"id":40,"text":"Open Access Publisher Index Page"},"url":"https://doi.org/10.3389/ffgc.2019.00093","text":"Publisher Index Page"},{"id":371901,"type":{"id":24,"text":"Thumbnail"},"url":"https://pubs.usgs.gov/thumbnails/outside_thumb.jpg"}],"country":"United States","geographicExtents":"{\n  \"type\": \"FeatureCollection\",\n  \"features\": [\n    {\n      \"type\": \"Feature\",\n      \"properties\": {},\n      \"geometry\": {\n        \"type\": \"Polygon\",\n        \"coordinates\": [\n          [\n            [\n              -94.130859375,\n              25.085598897064752\n            ],\n            [\n              -78.837890625,\n              25.085598897064752\n            ],\n            [\n              -78.837890625,\n              37.78808138412046\n            ],\n            [\n              -94.130859375,\n              37.78808138412046\n            ],\n            [\n              -94.130859375,\n              25.085598897064752\n            ]\n          ]\n        ]\n      }\n    }\n  ]\n}","volume":"2","publishingServiceCenter":{"id":5,"text":"Lafayette PSC"},"noUsgsAuthors":false,"publicationDate":"2020-01-31","publicationStatus":"PW","contributors":{"authors":[{"text":"Qi, Jiaguo","contributorId":191352,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Qi","given":"Jiaguo","email":"","affiliations":[],"preferred":false,"id":781188,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":1},{"text":"Markewitz, Daniel M.","contributorId":222099,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Markewitz","given":"Daniel","email":"","middleInitial":"M.","affiliations":[{"id":37470,"text":"University of Georgia, Athens","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":781189,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":2},{"text":"McGuire, Mary Ann","contributorId":222100,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"McGuire","given":"Mary","email":"","middleInitial":"Ann","affiliations":[{"id":37470,"text":"University of Georgia, Athens","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":781190,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":3},{"text":"Samuelson, Lisa","contributorId":222101,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Samuelson","given":"Lisa","email":"","affiliations":[{"id":13360,"text":"Auburn University","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":781191,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":4},{"text":"Ward, Eric 0000-0002-5047-5464","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5047-5464","contributorId":167035,"corporation":false,"usgs":true,"family":"Ward","given":"Eric","email":"","affiliations":[{"id":17705,"text":"Wetland and Aquatic Research Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"preferred":true,"id":781187,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":5}]}}
,{"id":70236098,"text":"70236098 - 2020 - SPEAR: The next generation GFDL modeling system for seasonal to multidecadal prediction and projection","interactions":[],"lastModifiedDate":"2022-08-29T11:53:33.588643","indexId":"70236098","displayToPublicDate":"2020-01-31T06:49:27","publicationYear":"2020","noYear":false,"publicationType":{"id":2,"text":"Article"},"publicationSubtype":{"id":10,"text":"Journal Article"},"seriesTitle":{"id":5407,"text":"Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems","active":true,"publicationSubtype":{"id":10}},"title":"SPEAR: The next generation GFDL modeling system for seasonal to multidecadal prediction and projection","docAbstract":"<div class=\"article-section__content en main\"><p>We document the development and simulation characteristics of the next generation modeling system for seasonal to decadal prediction and projection at the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL). SPEAR (<strong>S</strong>eamless System for<span>&nbsp;</span><strong>P</strong>rediction and<span>&nbsp;</span><strong>EA</strong>rth System<span>&nbsp;</span><strong>R</strong>esearch) is built from component models recently developed at GFDL—the AM4 atmosphere model, MOM6 ocean code, LM4 land model, and SIS2 sea ice model. The SPEAR models are specifically designed with attributes needed for a prediction model for seasonal to decadal time scales, including the ability to run large ensembles of simulations with available computational resources. For computational speed SPEAR uses a coarse ocean resolution of approximately 1.0° (with tropical refinement). SPEAR can use differing atmospheric horizontal resolutions ranging from 1° to 0.25°. The higher atmospheric resolution facilitates improved simulation of regional climate and extremes. SPEAR is built from the same components as the GFDL CM4 and ESM4 models but with design choices geared toward seasonal to multidecadal physical climate prediction and projection. We document simulation characteristics for the time mean climate, aspects of internal variability, and the response to both idealized and realistic radiative forcing change. We describe in greater detail one focus of the model development process that was motivated by the importance of the Southern Ocean to the global climate system. We present sensitivity tests that document the influence of the Antarctic surface heat budget on Southern Ocean ventilation and deep global ocean circulation. These findings were also useful in the development processes for the GFDL CM4 and ESM4 models.</p></div>","language":"English","publisher":"American Geophysical Union","doi":"10.1029/2019MS001895","usgsCitation":"Delworth, T.L., Cooke, W.F., Adcroft, A.A., Bushuk, M., Chen, J., Dunne, K.A., Ginoux, P., Gudgel, R., Harris, L., Harrison, M.J., Hallberg, R.W., Johnson, N., Kapnick, S.B., Lin, S., Lu, F., Malyshev, S., Milly, P.C., Murakami, H., Naik, V., Pascale, S., Paynter, D., Rosati, A., Schwarzkopf, M.D., Shevliakova, E., Underwood, S., Wittenberg, A.T., Xiang, B., Yang, X., Zeng, F., Zhang, H., Zhang, L., and Zhao, M., 2020, SPEAR: The next generation GFDL modeling system for seasonal to multidecadal prediction and projection: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, v. 12, no. 3, e2019MS001895, 36 p., https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS001895.","productDescription":"e2019MS001895, 36 p.","ipdsId":"IP-106684","costCenters":[{"id":37778,"text":"WMA - Integrated Modeling and Prediction Division","active":true,"usgs":true}],"links":[{"id":457939,"rank":0,"type":{"id":40,"text":"Open Access Publisher Index Page"},"url":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2019ms001895","text":"Publisher Index Page"},{"id":405782,"type":{"id":24,"text":"Thumbnail"},"url":"https://pubs.usgs.gov/thumbnails/outside_thumb.jpg"}],"volume":"12","issue":"3","noUsgsAuthors":false,"publicationDate":"2020-03-11","publicationStatus":"PW","contributors":{"authors":[{"text":"Delworth, Thomas L.","contributorId":189909,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Delworth","given":"Thomas","email":"","middleInitial":"L.","affiliations":[],"preferred":false,"id":849991,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":1},{"text":"Cooke, William F.","contributorId":295785,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Cooke","given":"William","email":"","middleInitial":"F.","affiliations":[{"id":36803,"text":"NOAA","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":849992,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":2},{"text":"Adcroft, Alistair A.","contributorId":295786,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Adcroft","given":"Alistair","email":"","middleInitial":"A.","affiliations":[{"id":36803,"text":"NOAA","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":849993,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":3},{"text":"Bushuk, Mitchell","contributorId":295787,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Bushuk","given":"Mitchell","email":"","affiliations":[{"id":36803,"text":"NOAA","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":849994,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":4},{"text":"Chen, Jan-Huey","contributorId":295788,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Chen","given":"Jan-Huey","email":"","affiliations":[{"id":36803,"text":"NOAA","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":849995,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":5},{"text":"Dunne, Krista A. 0000-0002-1220-6140 kadunne@usgs.gov","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1220-6140","contributorId":203816,"corporation":false,"usgs":true,"family":"Dunne","given":"Krista","email":"kadunne@usgs.gov","middleInitial":"A.","affiliations":[{"id":37778,"text":"WMA - Integrated Modeling and Prediction Division","active":true,"usgs":true},{"id":436,"text":"National Research Program - Eastern Branch","active":true,"usgs":true}],"preferred":true,"id":849997,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":6},{"text":"Ginoux, Paul","contributorId":295789,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Ginoux","given":"Paul","email":"","affiliations":[{"id":36803,"text":"NOAA","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":849996,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":7},{"text":"Gudgel, Richard","contributorId":295790,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Gudgel","given":"Richard","email":"","affiliations":[{"id":36803,"text":"NOAA","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":849998,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":8},{"text":"Harris, Lucas","contributorId":295792,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Harris","given":"Lucas","email":"","affiliations":[{"id":36803,"text":"NOAA","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":850000,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":9},{"text":"Harrison, Matthew J.","contributorId":295793,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Harrison","given":"Matthew","email":"","middleInitial":"J.","affiliations":[{"id":36803,"text":"NOAA","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":850001,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":10},{"text":"Hallberg, Robert W.","contributorId":295791,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Hallberg","given":"Robert","email":"","middleInitial":"W.","affiliations":[{"id":36803,"text":"NOAA","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":849999,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":11},{"text":"Johnson, Nathaniel","contributorId":295794,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Johnson","given":"Nathaniel","email":"","affiliations":[{"id":36803,"text":"NOAA","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":850002,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":12},{"text":"Kapnick, Sarah B.","contributorId":189908,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Kapnick","given":"Sarah","email":"","middleInitial":"B.","affiliations":[],"preferred":false,"id":850003,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":13},{"text":"Lin, Shian-Jian","contributorId":295795,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Lin","given":"Shian-Jian","email":"","affiliations":[{"id":36803,"text":"NOAA","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":850004,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":14},{"text":"Lu, Feiyu","contributorId":295796,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Lu","given":"Feiyu","email":"","affiliations":[{"id":36803,"text":"NOAA","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":850005,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":15},{"text":"Malyshev, Sergey","contributorId":189177,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Malyshev","given":"Sergey","affiliations":[],"preferred":false,"id":850006,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":16},{"text":"Milly, Paul C. D. 0000-0003-4389-3139 cmilly@usgs.gov","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4389-3139","contributorId":176836,"corporation":false,"usgs":true,"family":"Milly","given":"Paul","email":"cmilly@usgs.gov","middleInitial":"C. D.","affiliations":[{"id":37778,"text":"WMA - Integrated Modeling and Prediction Division","active":true,"usgs":true},{"id":436,"text":"National Research Program - Eastern Branch","active":true,"usgs":true}],"preferred":false,"id":850007,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":17},{"text":"Murakami, Hiroyuki","contributorId":295797,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Murakami","given":"Hiroyuki","email":"","affiliations":[{"id":36803,"text":"NOAA","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":850008,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":18},{"text":"Naik, Vaishali","contributorId":295798,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Naik","given":"Vaishali","email":"","affiliations":[{"id":36803,"text":"NOAA","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":850009,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":19},{"text":"Pascale, Salvatore","contributorId":295799,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Pascale","given":"Salvatore","email":"","affiliations":[{"id":36803,"text":"NOAA","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":850010,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":20},{"text":"Paynter, David","contributorId":295801,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Paynter","given":"David","email":"","affiliations":[{"id":36803,"text":"NOAA","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":850011,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":21},{"text":"Rosati, Anthony","contributorId":295803,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Rosati","given":"Anthony","email":"","affiliations":[{"id":36803,"text":"NOAA","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":850012,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":22},{"text":"Schwarzkopf, M. D.","contributorId":295805,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Schwarzkopf","given":"M.","email":"","middleInitial":"D.","affiliations":[{"id":36803,"text":"NOAA","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":850013,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":23},{"text":"Shevliakova, Elena","contributorId":201589,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Shevliakova","given":"Elena","email":"","affiliations":[{"id":36211,"text":"GFDL/NOAA","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":850014,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":24},{"text":"Underwood, Seth","contributorId":201611,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Underwood","given":"Seth","email":"","affiliations":[],"preferred":false,"id":850015,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":25},{"text":"Wittenberg, Andrew T.","contributorId":295809,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Wittenberg","given":"Andrew","email":"","middleInitial":"T.","affiliations":[{"id":36803,"text":"NOAA","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":850016,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":26},{"text":"Xiang, Baoqiang","contributorId":295812,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Xiang","given":"Baoqiang","email":"","affiliations":[{"id":36803,"text":"NOAA","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":850017,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":27},{"text":"Yang, Xiaosong","contributorId":201610,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Yang","given":"Xiaosong","email":"","affiliations":[],"preferred":false,"id":850018,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":28},{"text":"Zeng, Fanrong","contributorId":295816,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Zeng","given":"Fanrong","email":"","affiliations":[{"id":36803,"text":"NOAA","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":850019,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":29},{"text":"Zhang, Honghai","contributorId":295819,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Zhang","given":"Honghai","email":"","affiliations":[{"id":36803,"text":"NOAA","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":850020,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":30},{"text":"Zhang, Liping","contributorId":210614,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Zhang","given":"Liping","email":"","affiliations":[],"preferred":false,"id":850021,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":31},{"text":"Zhao, Ming","contributorId":295823,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Zhao","given":"Ming","email":"","affiliations":[{"id":36803,"text":"NOAA","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":850022,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":32}]}}
,{"id":70208526,"text":"70208526 - 2020 - Climate change vulnerability assessment for Pacific Lamprey in rivers of the Western United States","interactions":[],"lastModifiedDate":"2020-02-14T06:51:19","indexId":"70208526","displayToPublicDate":"2020-01-31T06:48:25","publicationYear":"2020","noYear":false,"publicationType":{"id":2,"text":"Article"},"publicationSubtype":{"id":10,"text":"Journal Article"},"seriesTitle":{"id":2299,"text":"Journal of Freshwater Ecology","active":true,"publicationSubtype":{"id":10}},"title":"Climate change vulnerability assessment for Pacific Lamprey in rivers of the Western United States","docAbstract":"Pacific Lamprey (Entosphenus tridentatus) are a native anadromous species that, like salmon, historically returned to spawn in large numbers in watersheds along the west coast of the United States (U.S.). Lamprey play a vital role in river ecosystems and are one of the oldest vertebrates that have persisted over time likely influencing the evolution of many aquatic species. Pacific Lamprey have declined in abundance and are restricted in distribution throughout Washington, Oregon, Idaho and California. A key uncertainty influencing Pacific Lamprey status is the impact of climate change. We modified the NatureServe Climate Change Vulnerability Index (CCVI) to accommodate climate predictions from the International Panel on Climate Change. Using downscaled information, we characterized changes in 15 rivers occupied by Pacific Lamprey in the western U.S. We evaluated this risk under Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5 for two time periods (mid-century 2040–2069 and end-century 2070–2099). The CCVI scores generally increased when going from RCP 4.5 to RCP 8.5 in three Global Climate Models for both mid-century and end-century, which our analyses forecasts degraded stream temperature and hydrologic conditions under increasing greenhouse gas emissions. The geographically assessed results suggest that climate change impacts to Pacific Lamprey vulnerability are magnified in highly altered rivers. If we continue to observe greenhouse gas emission levels associated with the RCP 8.5, Pacific Lamprey will be at greater risk to climate change impacts. In order to mitigate the risk from climate change toward the end of the century, additional actions will need to be prioritized to rapidly reduce the impact of these threats such as increasing flow, creating backwater habitat, restoring riparian vegetation and reducing stream disturbances. The findings revealed the patterns of vulnerability for Pacific Lamprey across their U.S. range are informative for prioritizing river restoration actions when paired with regional implementation plans.","language":"English","publisher":"Taylor and Francis","doi":"10.1080/02705060.2019.1706652","usgsCitation":"Wang, C., Shaller, H.A., Coates, K.C., Hayes, M.C., and Rose, R.K., 2020, Climate change vulnerability assessment for Pacific Lamprey in rivers of the Western United States: Journal of Freshwater Ecology, v. 35, no. 1, p. 29-55, https://doi.org/10.1080/02705060.2019.1706652.","productDescription":"27 p.","startPage":"29","endPage":"55","ipdsId":"IP-113962","costCenters":[{"id":654,"text":"Western Fisheries Research Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"links":[{"id":457941,"rank":0,"type":{"id":40,"text":"Open Access Publisher Index Page"},"url":"https://doi.org/10.1080/02705060.2019.1706652","text":"Publisher Index Page"},{"id":372336,"type":{"id":24,"text":"Thumbnail"},"url":"https://pubs.usgs.gov/thumbnails/outside_thumb.jpg"}],"country":"United States","state":"California, Washington, Oregon, Idaho","geographicExtents":"{\n  \"type\": \"FeatureCollection\",\n  \"features\": [\n    {\n      \"type\": \"Feature\",\n      \"properties\": {},\n      \"geometry\": {\n        \"type\": \"Polygon\",\n        \"coordinates\": [\n          [\n            [\n              -125.0244140625,\n              48.04870994288686\n            ],\n            [\n              -124.49707031249999,\n              44.77793589631623\n            ],\n            [\n              -124.49707031249999,\n              41.934976500546604\n            ],\n            [\n              -124.49707031249999,\n              40.38002840251183\n            ],\n            [\n              -123.96972656249999,\n              39.232253141714885\n            ],\n            [\n              -122.9150390625,\n              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and Wildlife Service, Retired","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":782297,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":2},{"text":"Coates, Kelly C.","contributorId":193504,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Coates","given":"Kelly","email":"","middleInitial":"C.","affiliations":[],"preferred":false,"id":782298,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":3},{"text":"Hayes, Michael C. 0000-0002-9060-0565 mhayes@usgs.gov","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9060-0565","contributorId":3017,"corporation":false,"usgs":true,"family":"Hayes","given":"Michael","email":"mhayes@usgs.gov","middleInitial":"C.","affiliations":[{"id":654,"text":"Western Fisheries Research Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"preferred":true,"id":782299,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":4},{"text":"Rose, Robert K","contributorId":222492,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Rose","given":"Robert","email":"","middleInitial":"K","affiliations":[{"id":40550,"text":"Yakama Nation Fisheries, Toppenish, WA","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":782300,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":5}]}}
,{"id":70207986,"text":"ofr20201008 - 2020 - Evaluation of survey methods for colonial waterbirds at Chase Lake National Wildlife Refuge, North Dakota","interactions":[],"lastModifiedDate":"2020-02-19T14:05:23","indexId":"ofr20201008","displayToPublicDate":"2020-01-30T17:08:14","publicationYear":"2020","noYear":false,"publicationType":{"id":18,"text":"Report"},"publicationSubtype":{"id":5,"text":"USGS Numbered Series"},"seriesTitle":{"id":330,"text":"Open-File Report","code":"OFR","onlineIssn":"2331-1258","printIssn":"0196-1497","active":true,"publicationSubtype":{"id":5}},"seriesNumber":"2020-1008","displayTitle":"Evaluation of Survey Methods for Colonial Waterbirds at Chase Lake National Wildlife Refuge, North Dakota","title":"Evaluation of survey methods for colonial waterbirds at Chase Lake National Wildlife Refuge, North Dakota","docAbstract":"<p>Estimating the number of breeding pairs in a mixed-species waterbird colony is difficult because colonial waterbirds are vulnerable to human intrusion and their colonies are often in remote areas with limited access. We investigated methods to estimate the number of nests of waterbirds at a large, mixed-species colony at Chase Lake National Wildlife Refuge in south-central North Dakota. The primary goals of this study were to evaluate survey methods for shrub- and ground-nesting colonial waterbirds at Chase Lake National Wildlife Refuge and to develop protocols for estimating abundance of the different species. The specific objectives were (1) to assess visible-nest counts for ciconiiform species from the perimeter of nesting areas (hereafter, perimeter counts) and observational surveys from fixed points outside the colony to count flights of adult ciconiiforms in and out of the colony (hereafter, flightline surveys) as alternatives to within-colony counts of ciconiiform nests, and (2) to assess semiautomated, pixel-based image-analysis techniques to estimate abundance of American White Pelicans (<i>Pelecanus erythrorhynchos</i>) as an alternative to traditional manual counts from aerial photographs.</p><p>For shrub-nesting ciconiiform species, observers counted 2,259 and 1,759 active ciconiiform nests in 2012 and 2013, respectively, during within-colony counts of ciconiiform nests. Results from within-colony counts of ciconiiform nests indicated a positive relation between the number of nests and the area of the shrub subcolony for the three most common ciconiiform species and all ciconiiform species combined. The perimeter nest counts of ciconiiform nests at Chase Lake represented only 18.8 percent of the total active ciconiiform nests counted in 11 subcolonies in 2012, which was well below the recommended target of 50 percent. Although we found a positive relationship between the number of nests counted during perimeter counts and the number of nests counted during within-colony counts for the three most common ciconiiform species and all ciconiiform species combined, perimeter counts at Chase Lake were hampered by disturbance to nesting birds. Thus, we discontinued the perimeter counts before they were completed. We did not develop predictive models from these perimeter counts in 2012 because these models could be misleading due to inconsistent application of the survey methods, which likely would have provided inaccurate perimeter counts. The extent of this issue is unknown. Flightline surveys at Chase Lake documented patterns of ciconiiform activity that were unknown for this region. For the common ciconiiform species, the number of flights to and from the South Island at Chase Lake were greatest in the morning (7:00−12:00 central daylight time [CDT]) and least in the afternoon (12:00−17:00), and least early in the breeding season (May 29–June 20, 2013) and greatest later in the breeding season (June 24–August 1, 2013). Flightline surveys are an index but lacked comparability with within-colony nest counts because the two methods provide measures of different things (that is, adult activity away from the colony as compared to the number of nests within the colony). The overall proportions of flights generally reflected the proportions of the within-colony nest counts for the four most common species: Black-crowned Night-Heron (<i>Nycticorax nycticorax</i>), Cattle Egret (<i>Bubulcus ibis</i>), Great Egret (<i>Ardea alba</i>), and Snowy Egret (<i>Egretta thula</i>). Flightline surveys at Chase Lake indicated apparent variation related to the time of day and season, as well as a variation in detection of inbound and outbound adult ciconiiforms. For ciconiiforms at Chase Lake, the most appropriate combination of survey approaches will depend on the need for annual estimates of nest abundance of ciconiiform species, balanced with the financial, personnel, and logistical constraints associated with the survey methods.</p><p>For ground-nesting American White Pelicans, the results from this study indicated that digital-image processing using remote-sensing software provides an accurate estimate of the number of American White Pelican nests. Estimates of the number of pelican nests from digital-image processing, using two commercially available remote-sensing software packages, produced nest estimates that were comparable to those of traditional manual counts from aerial photographs.</p>","language":"English","publisher":"U.S. Geological Survey","publisherLocation":"Reston, VA","doi":"10.3133/ofr20201008","collaboration":"Prepared in cooperation with the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service","usgsCitation":"Igl, L.D., Bartos, A.J., Woodward, R.O., Scherr, P., and Sovada, M.A, 2020, Evaluation of survey methods for colonial waterbirds at Chase Lake National Wildlife Refuge, North Dakota: U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 2020–1008, 44 p., https://doi.org/10.3133/ofr20201008. ","productDescription":"Report: viii, 44 p.; Data Release","numberOfPages":"56","onlineOnly":"Y","ipdsId":"IP-112516","costCenters":[{"id":480,"text":"Northern Prairie Wildlife Research Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"links":[{"id":371775,"rank":2,"type":{"id":11,"text":"Document"},"url":"https://pubs.usgs.gov/of/2020/1008/ofr20201008.pdf","text":"Report","size":"7.63 MB","linkFileType":{"id":1,"text":"pdf"},"description":"OFR 2020–1008"},{"id":371774,"rank":1,"type":{"id":24,"text":"Thumbnail"},"url":"https://pubs.usgs.gov/of/2020/1008/coverthb.jpg"},{"id":371776,"rank":3,"type":{"id":30,"text":"Data Release"},"url":"https://doi.org/10.5066/P90NK31K","text":"USGS data release","description":"USGS Data Release","linkHelpText":"Evaluation of Survey Methods for Colonial Waterbirds at Chase Lake National Wildlife Refuge, North Dakota, data release"}],"country":"United States","state":"North Dakota ","otherGeospatial":"Chase Lake National Wildlife Refuge","geographicExtents":"{ \"type\": \"FeatureCollection\", \"features\": [ { \"type\": \"Feature\", \"properties\": {}, \"geometry\": { \"type\": \"Polygon\", \"coordinates\": [ [ [ -99.481105,46.983794 ], [ -99.481105,47.030693 ], [ -99.417191,47.030693 ], [ -99.417191,46.983794 ], [ -99.481105,46.983794 ] ] ] } } ] }","contact":"<p>Director, <a data-mce-href=\"https://www.usgs.gov/centers/npwrc\" href=\"https://www.usgs.gov/centers/npwrc\">Northern Prairie Wildlife Research Center</a> <br>U.S. Geological Survey<br>8711 37th Street Southeast <br>Jamestown, North Dakota 58401</p>","tableOfContents":"<ul><li>Acknowledgments</li><li>Abstract</li><li>Introduction</li><li>History of Waterbird Monitoring at Chase Lake</li><li>Review of Potential Survey Methods at Chase Lake</li><li>Objectives</li><li>Study Area</li><li>Part A. Ciconiiforms Nesting in Tall Shrubs</li><li>Part B. Image Analysis of Nesting American White Pelicans</li><li>References</li><li>Appendix 1</li></ul>","publishingServiceCenter":{"id":4,"text":"Rolla PSC"},"publishedDate":"2020-01-30","noUsgsAuthors":false,"publicationDate":"2020-01-30","publicationStatus":"PW","contributors":{"authors":[{"text":"Igl, Lawrence D. 0000-0003-0530-7266 ligl@usgs.gov","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0530-7266","contributorId":2381,"corporation":false,"usgs":true,"family":"Igl","given":"Lawrence","email":"ligl@usgs.gov","middleInitial":"D.","affiliations":[{"id":480,"text":"Northern Prairie Wildlife Research Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"preferred":true,"id":780036,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":1},{"text":"Bartos, Alisa J.","contributorId":221712,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Bartos","given":"Alisa J.","affiliations":[{"id":40407,"text":"Northern Great Plains Joint Venture","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":780037,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":2},{"text":"Woodward, Robert O.","contributorId":221713,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Woodward","given":"Robert","email":"","middleInitial":"O.","affiliations":[{"id":12443,"text":"U.S. Geological Survey (retired)","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":780038,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":3},{"text":"Scherr, Paulette","contributorId":221714,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Scherr","given":"Paulette","email":"","affiliations":[{"id":36673,"text":"U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (retired)","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":780039,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":4},{"text":"Sovada, Marsha A.","contributorId":221715,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Sovada","given":"Marsha","email":"","middleInitial":"A.","affiliations":[{"id":12443,"text":"U.S. Geological Survey (retired)","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":780040,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":5}]}}
,{"id":70208330,"text":"70208330 - 2020 - A geospatially resolved wetland vulnerability index: Synthesis of physical drivers","interactions":[],"lastModifiedDate":"2020-02-04T15:36:39","indexId":"70208330","displayToPublicDate":"2020-01-30T15:30:57","publicationYear":"2020","noYear":false,"publicationType":{"id":2,"text":"Article"},"publicationSubtype":{"id":10,"text":"Journal Article"},"seriesTitle":{"id":2980,"text":"PLoS ONE","active":true,"publicationSubtype":{"id":10}},"title":"A geospatially resolved wetland vulnerability index: Synthesis of physical drivers","docAbstract":"Assessing wetland vulnerability to chronic and episodic physical drivers is fundamental\nfor establishing restoration priorities. We synthesized multiple data sets from E.B\nForsythe National Wildlife Refuge, New Jersey, to establish a wetland vulnerability\nmetric that integrates a range of physical processes, regulatory information and\nphysical/biophysical features. The geospatial data are based on aerial imagery, remote\nsensing, regulatory information, and hydrodynamic modeling, and include elevation,\ntidal range, unvegetated to vegetated marsh ratio (UVVR), shoreline erosion, potential\nexposure to contaminants, residence time, marsh condition change, change in salinity\nand salinity exposure, and sediment concentration. First, we delineated the wetland\ncomplex into individual marsh units based on surface contours and then defined a\nwetland vulnerability index that combined contributions from all parameters. We\napplied principal component and cluster analyses to explore the interrelations between\nthe data layers and separate regions that exhibited common characteristics. Our\nanalysis shows that the spatial variation of vulnerability in this domain cannot be\nexplained satisfactorily by a smaller subset of the variables. The most influential factor\non the vulnerability index was the combined effect of elevation, tide range, residence\ntime, and UVVR. Tide range and residence time had the highest correlation, and\nsimilar bay-wide spatial variation. Some variables (e.g., shoreline erosion) had no\nsignificant correlation with the rest of the variables. The aggregated index based on the\ncomplete dataset allows us to assess the overall state of a given marsh unit and quickly\nlocate the most vulnerable units in a larger marsh complex. The application of\ngeospatially complete datasets and consideration of chronic and episodic physical drivers\nrepresents an advance over traditional point-based methods for wetland assessment.","language":"English","publisher":"PLoS","doi":"10.1371/journal.pone.0228504","usgsCitation":"Defne, Z., Aretxabaleta, A., Ganju, N., Kalra, T., Jones, D.K., and Smith, K., 2020, A geospatially resolved wetland vulnerability index: Synthesis of physical drivers: PLoS ONE, v. 15, no. 1, e0228504, 27 p., https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0228504.","productDescription":"e0228504, 27 p.","ipdsId":"IP-109605","costCenters":[{"id":678,"text":"Woods Hole Coastal and Marine Science Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"links":[{"id":457943,"rank":0,"type":{"id":40,"text":"Open Access Publisher Index Page"},"url":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0228504","text":"Publisher Index Page"},{"id":372025,"type":{"id":24,"text":"Thumbnail"},"url":"https://pubs.usgs.gov/thumbnails/outside_thumb.jpg"}],"country":"United States","state":"New Jersey","otherGeospatial":"E.B. Forsythe National Wildlife Refuge","geographicExtents":"{\n  \"type\": \"FeatureCollection\",\n  \"features\": [\n    {\n      \"type\": \"Feature\",\n      \"properties\": {},\n      \"geometry\": {\n        \"type\": \"Polygon\",\n        \"coordinates\": [\n          [\n            [\n              -74.476318359375,\n              39.37889504706486\n            ],\n            [\n              -74.0478515625,\n              39.37889504706486\n            ],\n            [\n              -74.0478515625,\n              40.1095880747414\n            ],\n            [\n              -74.476318359375,\n              40.1095880747414\n            ],\n            [\n              -74.476318359375,\n              39.37889504706486\n            ]\n          ]\n        ]\n      }\n    }\n  ]\n}","volume":"15","issue":"1","publishingServiceCenter":{"id":11,"text":"Pembroke PSC"},"noUsgsAuthors":false,"publicationDate":"2020-01-30","publicationStatus":"PW","contributors":{"authors":[{"text":"Defne, Zafer 0000-0003-4544-4310 zdefne@usgs.gov","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4544-4310","contributorId":5520,"corporation":false,"usgs":true,"family":"Defne","given":"Zafer","email":"zdefne@usgs.gov","affiliations":[{"id":678,"text":"Woods Hole Coastal and Marine Science Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"preferred":true,"id":781431,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":1},{"text":"Aretxabaleta, Alfredo 0000-0002-9914-8018 aaretxabaleta@usgs.gov","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9914-8018","contributorId":140090,"corporation":false,"usgs":true,"family":"Aretxabaleta","given":"Alfredo","email":"aaretxabaleta@usgs.gov","affiliations":[{"id":678,"text":"Woods Hole Coastal and Marine Science Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"preferred":true,"id":781432,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":2},{"text":"Ganju, Neil K. 0000-0002-1096-0465","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1096-0465","contributorId":202878,"corporation":false,"usgs":true,"family":"Ganju","given":"Neil K.","affiliations":[{"id":678,"text":"Woods Hole Coastal and Marine Science Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"preferred":true,"id":781434,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":3},{"text":"Kalra, Tarandeep S. 0000-0001-5468-248X tkalra@usgs.gov","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5468-248X","contributorId":178820,"corporation":false,"usgs":true,"family":"Kalra","given":"Tarandeep S.","email":"tkalra@usgs.gov","affiliations":[{"id":678,"text":"Woods Hole Coastal and Marine Science Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"preferred":false,"id":781433,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":4},{"text":"Jones, Daniel K. 0000-0003-0724-8001 dkjones@usgs.gov","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0724-8001","contributorId":4959,"corporation":false,"usgs":true,"family":"Jones","given":"Daniel","email":"dkjones@usgs.gov","middleInitial":"K.","affiliations":[{"id":610,"text":"Utah Water Science Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"preferred":true,"id":781435,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":5},{"text":"Smith, Kathryn E.L. 0000-0002-7521-7875 kelsmith@usgs.gov","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7521-7875","contributorId":173264,"corporation":false,"usgs":true,"family":"Smith","given":"Kathryn","email":"kelsmith@usgs.gov","middleInitial":"E.L.","affiliations":[{"id":574,"text":"St. Petersburg Coastal and Marine Science Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"preferred":true,"id":781436,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":6}]}}
,{"id":70207582,"text":"sir20195150 - 2020 - Numerical simulation of groundwater availability in central Moloka‘i, Hawai‘i","interactions":[],"lastModifiedDate":"2022-04-25T20:32:20.678493","indexId":"sir20195150","displayToPublicDate":"2020-01-30T12:22:46","publicationYear":"2020","noYear":false,"publicationType":{"id":18,"text":"Report"},"publicationSubtype":{"id":5,"text":"USGS Numbered Series"},"seriesTitle":{"id":334,"text":"Scientific Investigations Report","code":"SIR","onlineIssn":"2328-0328","printIssn":"2328-031X","active":true,"publicationSubtype":{"id":5}},"seriesNumber":"2019-5150","displayTitle":"Numerical Simulation of Groundwater Availability in Central Moloka‘i, Hawai‘i","title":"Numerical simulation of groundwater availability in central Moloka‘i, Hawai‘i","docAbstract":"<p>Since the 1990s, increased chloride concentrations of water pumped from wells (much of which is used for drinking water) and the effects of withdrawals on groundwater-dependent ecosystems have led to concerns over groundwater availability on the island of Molokaʻi, Hawaiʻi. An improved understanding of the hydrologic effects of proposed groundwater withdrawals is needed to ensure effective management of the groundwater resources of Molokaʻi, plan for possible growth, and accommodate cultural, social, and economic concerns. To address the information needs of managers and community stakeholders on Molokaʻi, the U.S. Geological Survey developed a numerical groundwater model capable of simulating salinity change and reduction in groundwater discharge in coastal areas of central and southern Molokaʻi. Estimates of groundwater recharge needed as input to the numerical groundwater model were made using a daily water budget for each decade during 1940−2012 (the period 2000−12 spanned 13 years) and the most current available data, including the distributions of monthly rainfall and potential evapotranspiration. Total island recharge during the decadal periods ranged from a low of about 189 Mgal/d during the 1970s to a high of 278 Mgal/d during the 1960s. These recharge estimates were used to develop an island-wide numerical groundwater model with simplifying assumptions (sharp interface between freshwater and saltwater; two-dimensional flow). The island-wide model provided estimates of groundwater inflows to the main area of interest simulated with a three-dimensional numerical groundwater model. Simulated withdrawal scenarios were selected in consultation with water managers and stakeholders and consisted of: (1) a baseline scenario using average recharge (1978−2007 rainfall and 2010 land cover) and average 2016−17 withdrawals; (2) a scenario using average recharge and withdrawals from existing wells at pending (as of January 2019) water-use permit rates; (3) six scenarios using average recharge and selected withdrawals from existing and proposed wells; and (4) a scenario using reduced recharge and selected withdrawals from existing and proposed wells. Results of the simulated withdrawal scenarios indicate that wells may be capable of producing groundwater with chloride concentrations below 250 mg/L at withdrawal rates exceeding average 2016−17 rates. However, the quality of water&nbsp;withdrawn from production wells is dependent on the rate and distribution of the withdrawals. For all nonbaseline scenarios, simulated groundwater discharge to the nearshore environment is reduced relative to the baseline scenario. Areas of discharge reduction may correspond to areas used for cultural or subsistence purposes. The three-dimensional numerical groundwater model developed for this study utilizes the latest available hydrologic and geologic information and is a useful tool for understanding the hydrologic effects of additional groundwater withdrawals in central Molokaʻi. The model has several limitations, including its nonuniqueness and inability to account for local-scale heterogeneities.</p>","language":"English","publisher":"U.S. Geological Survey","publisherLocation":"Reston, VA","doi":"10.3133/sir20195150","collaboration":"Prepared in cooperation with the State of Hawai‘i Department of Hawaiian Home Lands, State of Hawai‘i Office of Hawaiian Affairs, and County of Maui Department of Water Supply","usgsCitation":"Oki, D.S., Engott, J.A., and Rotzoll, K., 2020, Numerical simulation of groundwater availability in central Moloka‘i, Hawai‘i: U.S. Geological Survey Scientific Investigations Report 2019–5150, 95 p., https://doi.org/10.3133/sir20195150.","productDescription":"Report: ix, 95 p.; Data Release","numberOfPages":"95","onlineOnly":"Y","ipdsId":"IP-032683","costCenters":[{"id":525,"text":"Pacific Islands Water Science Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"links":[{"id":399622,"rank":4,"type":{"id":36,"text":"NGMDB Index 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data-mce-href=\"mailto:dc_hi@usgs.gov\">Director</a>,<br><a href=\"https://www.usgs.gov/piwsc\" data-mce-href=\"https://www.usgs.gov/piwsc\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Pacific Islands Water Science Center</a><br><a href=\"https://www.usgs.gov/\" data-mce-href=\"https://www.usgs.gov/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">U.S. Geological Survey</a><br>Inouye Regional Center<br>1845 Wasp Blvd., B176<br>Honolulu, HI 96818</p>","tableOfContents":"<p></p><ul><li>Acknowledgments</li><li>Abstract</li><li>Introduction</li><li>Description of Study Area</li><li>Geology</li><li>Regional Groundwater-Flow System</li><li>Island-Wide Two-Dimensional Numerical Groundwater-Flow Model</li><li>Three-Dimensional Numerical Groundwater-Flow and Salinity Model</li><li>Simulation of Selected Withdrawal Scenarios</li><li>Limitations</li><li>Summary</li><li>References Cited</li><li>Appendixes</li></ul><p></p>","publishingServiceCenter":{"id":14,"text":"Menlo Park PSC"},"publishedDate":"2020-01-30","noUsgsAuthors":false,"publicationDate":"2020-01-30","publicationStatus":"PW","contributors":{"authors":[{"text":"Oki, Delwyn S. 0000-0002-6913-8804","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6913-8804","contributorId":221122,"corporation":false,"usgs":true,"family":"Oki","given":"Delwyn","email":"","middleInitial":"S.","affiliations":[{"id":525,"text":"Pacific Islands Water Science Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"preferred":true,"id":778606,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":1},{"text":"Engott, John A. 0000-0003-1889-4519 jaengott@usgs.gov","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1889-4519","contributorId":1142,"corporation":false,"usgs":true,"family":"Engott","given":"John","email":"jaengott@usgs.gov","middleInitial":"A.","affiliations":[{"id":154,"text":"California Water Science Center","active":true,"usgs":true},{"id":525,"text":"Pacific Islands Water Science Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"preferred":true,"id":778607,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":2},{"text":"Rotzoll, Kolja 0000-0002-5910-888X kolja@usgs.gov","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5910-888X","contributorId":3325,"corporation":false,"usgs":true,"family":"Rotzoll","given":"Kolja","email":"kolja@usgs.gov","affiliations":[{"id":525,"text":"Pacific Islands Water Science Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"preferred":false,"id":778608,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":3}]}}
,{"id":70209826,"text":"70209826 - 2020 - Climate relationships with increasing wildfire in the southwestern US from 1984 to 2015","interactions":[],"lastModifiedDate":"2020-04-30T12:22:10.730349","indexId":"70209826","displayToPublicDate":"2020-01-30T07:17:10","publicationYear":"2020","noYear":false,"publicationType":{"id":2,"text":"Article"},"publicationSubtype":{"id":10,"text":"Journal Article"},"seriesTitle":{"id":1687,"text":"Forest Ecology and Management","active":true,"publicationSubtype":{"id":10}},"title":"Climate relationships with increasing wildfire in the southwestern US from 1984 to 2015","docAbstract":"Over the last several decades in forest and woodland ecosystems of the southwestern United States, wildfire size and severity have increased, thereby increasing the vulnerability of these systems to type conversions, invasive species, and other disturbances. A combination of land use history and climate change is widely thought to be contributing to the changing fire regimes. We examined climate-fire relationships in forest and woodland ecosystems from 1984 – 2015 in Arizona and New Mexico using 1) an expanded satellite-derived burn severity dataset that incorporates over one million additional burned hectares when compared to MTBS data, and 2) climate variables including temperature, precipitation, and vapor pressure deficit (VPD). Regional climate-fire relationships were assessed by correlating annual area burned, area burned at high and low severity, and percent high severity with fire season (May-August) and water-year (October-September) climate variables. We also analyzed relationships between climate and high-severity fire at the scale of the individual fires using a hurdle model. We found that increasing temperature and VPD and decreasing precipitation were associated with increasing area burned regionally, and that area burned at high severity had the strongest relationships with climate metrics. The relationship between climate and fire activity in the Southwest appears to be strengthening since 2000. VPD-fire correlations were consistently as strong as, or stronger than, temperature or precipitation variables alone, both regionally and at the scale of the individual fires. Notably, at the scale of the individual fires, temperature and precipitation were not significant predictors of fire activity. Thus, our results support the use of VPD as a more integrative climate metric to forecast fire activity. We suggest that the strong relationship between VPD and fire activity may be useful to assess the likelihood of high-severity fire occurrence through continued development of the high-severity fire threshold model we present. The link between increasing aridity and increasing wildfire activity suggests a future with more fire in Southwest forests and woodlands with projected warming, underscoring the urgency of restoration in dry forests to reduce the likelihood of uncharacteristic, large high-severity fires.","language":"English","publisher":"Elsevier","doi":"10.1016/j.foreco.2019.117861","collaboration":"","usgsCitation":"Mueller, S., Thode, A.E., Margolis, E.Q., Yocom, L., Young, J.M., and Iniguez, J.M., 2020, Climate relationships with increasing wildfire in the southwestern US from 1984 to 2015: Forest Ecology and Management, v. 460, no. , https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foreco.2019.117861.","productDescription":"117861, 14 p.","startPage":"","ipdsId":"IP-109702","costCenters":[{"id":291,"text":"Fort Collins Science Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"links":[{"id":457950,"rank":0,"type":{"id":40,"text":"Open Access Publisher Index 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,{"id":70228631,"text":"70228631 - 2020 - Upper plate heterogeneity along the Southern Hikurangi Margin, New Zealand","interactions":[],"lastModifiedDate":"2022-02-15T12:50:52.660668","indexId":"70228631","displayToPublicDate":"2020-01-30T06:45:37","publicationYear":"2020","noYear":false,"publicationType":{"id":2,"text":"Article"},"publicationSubtype":{"id":10,"text":"Journal Article"},"seriesTitle":{"id":1807,"text":"Geophysical Research Letters","active":true,"publicationSubtype":{"id":10}},"title":"Upper plate heterogeneity along the Southern Hikurangi Margin, New Zealand","docAbstract":"<div class=\"article-section__content en main\"><p>Controlled and natural source seismic data are used to build a 3-D<span>&nbsp;</span><i>P</i><span>&nbsp;</span>wave model for southern North Island, New Zealand, where the Pacific Plate subducts beneath the Australian Plate at a rate of ~41 mm/year. Our analysis reveals an abrupt along-strike transition in overthrusting plate structure within Cook Strait. Contrasts in properties (Vp, Vp/Vs, and Qs) likely reflects the degree of deformation in the Australian Plate, where the Alpine-Wairau and Awatere Faults mark the northern boundary of a terrane that has undergone &gt;50° of clockwise vertical-axis rotation since the early Miocene. Heterogeneity of the crustal transition is likely associated with changes in frictional and elastic properties that may impact elastic stress accumulation and inhibit southward propagation of megathrust earthquakes. Low connectivity of faults in Cook Strait is consistent with the heterogeneity we observe and may promote complex earthquake triggering by lateral stress loading during earthquakes or slow slip events.</p></div>","language":"English","publisher":"American Geophysical Union","doi":"10.1029/2019GL085511","usgsCitation":"Henrys, S., Eberhart-Phillips, D., Bassett, D., Sutherland, R., Okaya, D., Savage, M., Evanzia, D., Stern, T.A., Sato, H., Mochizuki, K., Iwasaki, T., Kurashimo, E., Seward, A., and Wech, A., 2020, Upper plate heterogeneity along the Southern Hikurangi Margin, New Zealand: Geophysical Research Letters, v. 47, no. 4, e2019GL085511, 9 p., https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL085511.","productDescription":"e2019GL085511, 9 p.","ipdsId":"IP-112339","costCenters":[{"id":617,"text":"Volcano Science Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"links":[{"id":457954,"rank":0,"type":{"id":40,"text":"Open Access Publisher Index Page"},"url":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2019gl085511","text":"Publisher 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0000-0002-2080-0676","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2080-0676","contributorId":278673,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Savage","given":"Martha","email":"","affiliations":[{"id":57245,"text":"School of Geography, Environment and Earth Sciences, Victoria University of Wellington","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":834881,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":6},{"text":"Evanzia, Dominic 0000-0003-3302-8491","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3302-8491","contributorId":278675,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Evanzia","given":"Dominic","email":"","affiliations":[{"id":57245,"text":"School of Geography, Environment and Earth Sciences, Victoria University of Wellington","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":834882,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":7},{"text":"Stern, Tim A.","contributorId":189814,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Stern","given":"Tim","email":"","middleInitial":"A.","affiliations":[],"preferred":false,"id":834883,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":8},{"text":"Sato, Hiroshi 0000-0001-5699-1964","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5699-1964","contributorId":278678,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Sato","given":"Hiroshi","email":"","affiliations":[{"id":57248,"text":"Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":834884,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":9},{"text":"Mochizuki, Kimihiro 0000-0001-6126-135X","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6126-135X","contributorId":278679,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Mochizuki","given":"Kimihiro","email":"","affiliations":[{"id":57248,"text":"Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":834885,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":10},{"text":"Iwasaki, Takaya 0000-0003-0463-9111","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0463-9111","contributorId":278680,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Iwasaki","given":"Takaya","email":"","affiliations":[{"id":57248,"text":"Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":834886,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":11},{"text":"Kurashimo, Eiji 0000-0001-9585-388X","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9585-388X","contributorId":278681,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Kurashimo","given":"Eiji","email":"","affiliations":[{"id":57248,"text":"Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":834887,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":12},{"text":"Seward, Anya 0000-0003-2694-5443","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2694-5443","contributorId":278682,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Seward","given":"Anya","email":"","affiliations":[{"id":36277,"text":"GNS Science","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":834888,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":13},{"text":"Wech, Aaron 0000-0003-4983-1991","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4983-1991","contributorId":202561,"corporation":false,"usgs":true,"family":"Wech","given":"Aaron","affiliations":[{"id":617,"text":"Volcano Science Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"preferred":true,"id":834889,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":14}]}}
,{"id":70209003,"text":"70209003 - 2020 - The community code verification exercise for simulating sequences of earthquakes and aseismic slip (SEAS)","interactions":[],"lastModifiedDate":"2020-03-10T18:40:26","indexId":"70209003","displayToPublicDate":"2020-01-29T18:36:01","publicationYear":"2020","noYear":false,"publicationType":{"id":2,"text":"Article"},"publicationSubtype":{"id":10,"text":"Journal Article"},"seriesTitle":{"id":3372,"text":"Seismological Research Letters","onlineIssn":"1938-2057","printIssn":"0895-0695","active":true,"publicationSubtype":{"id":10}},"title":"The community code verification exercise for simulating sequences of earthquakes and aseismic slip (SEAS)","docAbstract":"Numerical simulations of sequences of earthquakes and aseismic slip (SEAS) have made\ngreat progress over past decades to address important questions in earthquake physics.\nHowever, significant challenges in SEAS modeling remain in resolving multiscale interactions\nbetween earthquake nucleation, dynamic rupture, and aseismic slip, and understanding\nphysical factors controlling observables such as seismicity and ground\ndeformation. The increasing complexity of SEAS modeling calls for extensive efforts\nto verify codes and advance these simulations with rigor, reproducibility, and broadened\nimpact. In 2018, we initiated a community code-verification exercise for SEAS simulations,\nsupported by the Southern California Earthquake Center. Here, we report the\nfindings from our first two benchmark problems (BP1 and BP2), designed to verify different\ncomputational methods in solving a mathematically well-defined, basic faulting\nproblem. We consider a 2D antiplane problem, with a 1D planar vertical strike-slip fault\nobeying rate-and-state friction, embedded in a 2D homogeneous, linear elastic halfspace.\nSequences of quasi-dynamic earthquakes with periodic occurrences (BP1) or\nbimodal sizes (BP2) and their interactions with aseismic slip are simulated. The comparison\nof results from 11 groups using different numerical methods show excellent agreements\nin long-term and coseismic fault behavior. In BP1, we found that truncated\ndomain boundaries influence interseismic stressing, earthquake recurrence, and coseismic\nrupture, and that model agreement is only achieved with sufficiently large domain\nsizes. In BP2, we found that complexity of fault behavior depends on how well physical\nlength scales related to spontaneous nucleation and rupture propagation are resolved.\nPoor numerical resolution can result in artificial complexity, impacting simulation results\nthat are of potential interest for characterizing seismic hazard such as earthquake size\ndistributions, moment release, and recurrence times. These results inform the development\nof more advanced SEAS models, contributing to our further understanding of\nearthquake system dynamics.","language":"English","publisher":"SSA","doi":"10.1785/0220190248","usgsCitation":"Erickson, B., Jiang, J., Barall, M., Lapusta, N., Dunham, E., Harris, R.A., Abrahams, L., Allison, K., Ampuero, J., Barbot, S., Cattania, C., Elbanna, A., Fialko, Y., Idini, B., Kozdon, J., Lambert, V., Liu, Y., Luo, Y., Ma, X., McKay, M.B., Segall, P., Shi, P., van den Ende, M., and Wei, M., 2020, The community code verification exercise for simulating sequences of earthquakes and aseismic slip (SEAS): Seismological Research Letters, v. 91, no. 2A, p. 874-890, https://doi.org/10.1785/0220190248.","productDescription":"17 p.","startPage":"874","endPage":"890","ipdsId":"IP-110929","costCenters":[{"id":237,"text":"Earthquake Science Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"links":[{"id":457961,"rank":0,"type":{"id":41,"text":"Open Access External Repository Page"},"url":"https://hal.science/hal-03578332","text":"External Repository"},{"id":373083,"type":{"id":24,"text":"Thumbnail"},"url":"https://pubs.usgs.gov/thumbnails/outside_thumb.jpg"}],"volume":"91","issue":"2A","publishingServiceCenter":{"id":14,"text":"Menlo Park PSC"},"noUsgsAuthors":false,"publicationDate":"2020-01-29","publicationStatus":"PW","contributors":{"authors":[{"text":"Erickson, Brittany","contributorId":206382,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Erickson","given":"Brittany","affiliations":[{"id":6929,"text":"Portland State University","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":784482,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":1},{"text":"Jiang, Junle","contributorId":206383,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Jiang","given":"Junle","email":"","affiliations":[{"id":16619,"text":"UCSD","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":784483,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":2},{"text":"Barall, Michael 0000-0001-7724-8563","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7724-8563","contributorId":198670,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Barall","given":"Michael","affiliations":[],"preferred":false,"id":784484,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":3},{"text":"Lapusta, Nadia","contributorId":223189,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Lapusta","given":"Nadia","email":"","affiliations":[{"id":13711,"text":"Caltech","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":784485,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":4},{"text":"Dunham, Eric","contributorId":204616,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Dunham","given":"Eric","affiliations":[{"id":6986,"text":"Stanford University","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":784486,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":5},{"text":"Harris, Ruth A. 0000-0002-9247-0768 harris@usgs.gov","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9247-0768","contributorId":786,"corporation":false,"usgs":true,"family":"Harris","given":"Ruth","email":"harris@usgs.gov","middleInitial":"A.","affiliations":[{"id":237,"text":"Earthquake Science Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"preferred":true,"id":784481,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":6},{"text":"Abrahams, Lauren","contributorId":223190,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Abrahams","given":"Lauren","affiliations":[{"id":6986,"text":"Stanford University","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":784487,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":7},{"text":"Allison, Kali","contributorId":223191,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Allison","given":"Kali","email":"","affiliations":[{"id":7083,"text":"University of Maryland","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":784488,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":8},{"text":"Ampuero, Jean-Paul","contributorId":141194,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Ampuero","given":"Jean-Paul","email":"","affiliations":[{"id":13711,"text":"Caltech","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":784489,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":9},{"text":"Barbot, Sylvain","contributorId":194835,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Barbot","given":"Sylvain","email":"","affiliations":[],"preferred":false,"id":784490,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":10},{"text":"Cattania, Camilla 0000-0003-0031-1696","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0031-1696","contributorId":197284,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Cattania","given":"Camilla","email":"","affiliations":[],"preferred":false,"id":784491,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":11},{"text":"Elbanna, Ahmed","contributorId":223192,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Elbanna","given":"Ahmed","affiliations":[{"id":38021,"text":"University of Illinois 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School","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":784495,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":15},{"text":"Lambert, Valere","contributorId":223195,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Lambert","given":"Valere","email":"","affiliations":[{"id":13711,"text":"Caltech","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":784496,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":16},{"text":"Liu, Yajing","contributorId":202367,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Liu","given":"Yajing","email":"","affiliations":[{"id":6646,"text":"McGill University","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":784497,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":17},{"text":"Luo, Yingdi","contributorId":223196,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Luo","given":"Yingdi","email":"","affiliations":[{"id":13711,"text":"Caltech","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":784498,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":18},{"text":"Ma, Xiao","contributorId":223197,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Ma","given":"Xiao","email":"","affiliations":[{"id":38021,"text":"University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":784499,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":19},{"text":"McKay, Maricela Best","contributorId":223198,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"McKay","given":"Maricela","email":"","middleInitial":"Best","affiliations":[{"id":6929,"text":"Portland State University","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":784500,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":20},{"text":"Segall, Paul","contributorId":223199,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Segall","given":"Paul","email":"","affiliations":[{"id":6986,"text":"Stanford University","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":784501,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":21},{"text":"Shi, Pengsheng","contributorId":223200,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Shi","given":"Pengsheng","email":"","affiliations":[{"id":6922,"text":"University of Rhode Island","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":784502,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":22},{"text":"van den Ende, Martijn","contributorId":223201,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"van den Ende","given":"Martijn","email":"","affiliations":[{"id":40683,"text":"Universite Cote d'Azur, Geoazur, France","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":784503,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":23},{"text":"Wei, Mengjie","contributorId":146734,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Wei","given":"Mengjie","email":"","affiliations":[{"id":16739,"text":"Qingdao Institute of Marine Geology, Shandong Province, China","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":784504,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":24}]}}
,{"id":70208331,"text":"70208331 - 2020 - Field observations of wind waves in Upper Delaware Bay with living shorelines","interactions":[],"lastModifiedDate":"2020-05-05T16:46:39.517086","indexId":"70208331","displayToPublicDate":"2020-01-29T17:58:17","publicationYear":"2020","noYear":false,"publicationType":{"id":2,"text":"Article"},"publicationSubtype":{"id":10,"text":"Journal Article"},"seriesTitle":{"id":1584,"text":"Estuaries and Coasts","active":true,"publicationSubtype":{"id":10}},"title":"Field observations of wind waves in Upper Delaware Bay with living shorelines","docAbstract":"Constructed oyster reefs (CORs) provide shore protections and habitats for fish and shellfish communities via wave energy attenuation. However, the processes and mechanism of CORs on wave attenuation remain unclear, thus limiting the effective assessment of CORs for shoreline protection. This paper presents results of a field investigation on wave characteristics and wave spectral variations along a shoreline with CORs in an estuary with a large tidal range as well as large wind waves and swell energy. Six pressure transducers were deployed from January 31 to April 2, 2018, in Gandy’s Beach, New Jersey, in upper Delaware Bay. CORs were constructed at the study site in 2016 as living shoreline structures after Hurricane Sandy. The data collected from the study site exhibits the wave variations and spectral characteristics over the span of 2 months, including four winter storms (i.e., nor’easters). The spatial variations of wave heights measured on both sides of CORs show a strong dependence on the ratio between the freeboard of CORs and the offshore wave heights. Due to the large tidal range (> 2 m), the crests of CORs remain submerged over 85% of the time. The submerged CORs only provide partial attenuation of wave energy. The wave environment in the estuary is complex, especially during nor’easters. For instance, winds with rapid changing fetches could lead to bi-modal wind seas. Due to the complex wave spectra, the bulk wave heights such as the significant wave heights cannot be adopted to adequately reveal the capacity of CORs to attenuate wave energy. Spectral analysis is conducted to investigate the spatial and temporal variations of wave energy in targeted frequency bins. The spectral analysis results reveal the energy transfer from the primary waves to the high harmonics after waves propagate over the submerged CORs. Moreover, it is found that swell energy originated from the Atlantic Ocean can penetrate CORs without any dampening even when CORs are emergent. This study could help resource managers for in-depth evaluation of living shoreline effectiveness and improvement of living shoreline structures such as CORs.","language":"English","publisher":"Springer","doi":"10.1007/s12237-019-00670-7","usgsCitation":"Zhu, L., Chen, Q., Wang, H., Capurso, W.D., Niemoczynski, L., Hu, K., and Snedden, G., 2020, Field observations of wind waves in Upper Delaware Bay with living shorelines: Estuaries and Coasts, v. 43, p. 739-755, https://doi.org/10.1007/s12237-019-00670-7.","productDescription":"17 p.","startPage":"739","endPage":"755","ipdsId":"IP-108855","costCenters":[{"id":470,"text":"New Jersey Water Science Center","active":true,"usgs":true},{"id":474,"text":"New York Water Science Center","active":true,"usgs":true},{"id":17705,"text":"Wetland and Aquatic Research Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"links":[{"id":437136,"rank":0,"type":{"id":30,"text":"Data Release"},"url":"https://doi.org/10.5066/P9YEUNTM","text":"USGS data release","linkHelpText":"Field observations and spectral evolution of wind waves in Upper Delaware Bay with living shorelines"},{"id":372048,"type":{"id":24,"text":"Thumbnail"},"url":"https://pubs.usgs.gov/thumbnails/outside_thumb.jpg"}],"country":"United States","state":"Delaware, New Jersey","otherGeospatial":"Delaware Bay","geographicExtents":"{\n  \"type\": \"FeatureCollection\",\n  \"features\": [\n    {\n      \"type\": \"Feature\",\n      \"properties\": {},\n      \"geometry\": {\n        \"type\": \"Polygon\",\n        \"coordinates\": [\n          [\n            [\n              -75.56396484375,\n              38.34165619279595\n            ],\n            [\n              -74.86358642578125,\n              38.34165619279595\n            ],\n            [\n              -74.86358642578125,\n              39.42346418978382\n            ],\n            [\n              -75.56396484375,\n              39.42346418978382\n            ],\n            [\n              -75.56396484375,\n              38.34165619279595\n            ]\n          ]\n        ]\n      }\n    }\n  ]\n}","volume":"43","publishingServiceCenter":{"id":5,"text":"Lafayette PSC"},"noUsgsAuthors":false,"publicationDate":"2020-01-29","publicationStatus":"PW","contributors":{"authors":[{"text":"Zhu, Ling 0000-0003-0261-6848","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0261-6848","contributorId":222169,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Zhu","given":"Ling","affiliations":[{"id":38331,"text":"Northeastern University","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":781438,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":1},{"text":"Chen, Q. 0000-0002-6540-8758","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6540-8758","contributorId":56532,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Chen","given":"Q.","affiliations":[{"id":38331,"text":"Northeastern University","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":true,"id":781439,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":2},{"text":"Wang, Hongqing 0000-0002-2977-7732 wangh@usgs.gov","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2977-7732","contributorId":215079,"corporation":false,"usgs":true,"family":"Wang","given":"Hongqing","email":"wangh@usgs.gov","affiliations":[{"id":17705,"text":"Wetland and Aquatic Research Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"preferred":true,"id":781437,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":3},{"text":"Capurso, William D. 0000-0003-1182-2846 wcapurso@usgs.gov","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1182-2846","contributorId":2113,"corporation":false,"usgs":true,"family":"Capurso","given":"William","email":"wcapurso@usgs.gov","middleInitial":"D.","affiliations":[],"preferred":true,"id":781440,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":4},{"text":"Niemoczynski, Lukasz M. 0000-0003-2008-9148","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2008-9148","contributorId":222171,"corporation":false,"usgs":true,"family":"Niemoczynski","given":"Lukasz","middleInitial":"M.","affiliations":[{"id":470,"text":"New Jersey Water Science Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"preferred":true,"id":781441,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":5},{"text":"Hu, Kelin","contributorId":177218,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Hu","given":"Kelin","email":"","affiliations":[],"preferred":false,"id":781442,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":6},{"text":"Snedden, Gregg 0000-0001-7821-3709 sneddeng@usgs.gov","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7821-3709","contributorId":140235,"corporation":false,"usgs":true,"family":"Snedden","given":"Gregg","email":"sneddeng@usgs.gov","affiliations":[{"id":455,"text":"National Wetlands Research Center","active":true,"usgs":true},{"id":17705,"text":"Wetland and Aquatic Research Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"preferred":true,"id":781443,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":7}]}}
,{"id":70208145,"text":"70208145 - 2020 - Simulation modeling of complex climate, wildfire, and vegetation dynamics to address wicked problems in land management","interactions":[],"lastModifiedDate":"2020-07-09T14:32:31.735778","indexId":"70208145","displayToPublicDate":"2020-01-29T17:34:44","publicationYear":"2020","noYear":false,"publicationType":{"id":2,"text":"Article"},"publicationSubtype":{"id":10,"text":"Journal Article"},"seriesTitle":{"id":5860,"text":"Frontiers in Forests and Global Change","active":true,"publicationSubtype":{"id":10}},"title":"Simulation modeling of complex climate, wildfire, and vegetation dynamics to address wicked problems in land management","docAbstract":"Complex, reciprocal interactions among climate, disturbance, and vegetation\ndramatically alter spatial landscape patterns and influence ecosystem dynamics.\nAs climate and disturbance regimes shift, historical analogs and past empirical studies\nmay not be entirely appropriate as templates for future management. The need for a\nbetter understanding of the potential impacts of climate changes on ecosystems is\nreaching a new level of urgency, especially in highly perturbed or vulnerable ecological\nsystems. Simulation models are extremely useful tools for guiding management\ndecisions in an era of rapid change, thus providing potential solutions for wicked\nproblems in land management—those that are difficult to solve and inherently resistant\nto easily definable solutions. We identify three experimental approaches for landscape\nmodeling that address management challenges in the context of uncertain climate\nfutures and complex ecological interactions: (1) an historical comparative approach, (2)\na future comparative approach, and (3) threshold detection. We provide examples of\neach approach from previously published studies of simulated climate, disturbance, and\nlandscape dynamics in forested landscapes of the western United States, modeled with\nthe FireBGCv2 ecosystem process model. Cumulatively, model outcomes indicate that\ntypical land management strategies will likely not be sufficient to counteract the impacts\nof rapid climate change and altered disturbance regimes that threaten the stability\nof ecosystems. Without implementation of new, adaptive management strategies,\nfuture landscapes are very likely to be different than historical or contemporary ones,\nwith significant and sometimes persistent changes triggered by interactions of climate\nand wildfire.","language":"English","publisher":"Frontiers","doi":"10.3389/ffgc.2020.00003","usgsCitation":"Loehman, R.A., Keane, R.E., and Holsinger, L.M., 2020, Simulation modeling of complex climate, wildfire, and vegetation dynamics to address wicked problems in land management: Frontiers in Forests and Global Change, v. 3, 3, 13 p., https://doi.org/10.3389/ffgc.2020.00003.","productDescription":"3, 13 p.","ipdsId":"IP-113393","costCenters":[{"id":118,"text":"Alaska Science Center Geography","active":true,"usgs":true}],"links":[{"id":457966,"rank":0,"type":{"id":40,"text":"Open Access Publisher Index Page"},"url":"https://doi.org/10.3389/ffgc.2020.00003","text":"Publisher Index Page"},{"id":371739,"type":{"id":24,"text":"Thumbnail"},"url":"https://pubs.usgs.gov/thumbnails/outside_thumb.jpg"}],"country":"United States","state":"Montana, New Mexico, Wyoming","otherGeospatial":"East Fork of the Bitterroot River, Jemez Mountains, Yellowstone National Park","geographicExtents":"{\n  \"type\": \"FeatureCollection\",\n  \"features\": [\n    {\n      \"type\": \"Feature\",\n      \"properties\": {},\n      \"geometry\": {\n        \"type\": \"Polygon\",\n        \"coordinates\": [\n          [\n            [\n              -111.1651611328125,\n              44.09547572946637\n            ],\n            [\n              -109.84680175781249,\n              44.09547572946637\n            ],\n            [\n              -109.84680175781249,\n              45.089035564831036\n            ],\n            [\n              -111.1651611328125,\n              45.089035564831036\n            ],\n            [\n              -111.1651611328125,\n              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E.","contributorId":200723,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Keane","given":"Robert","email":"","middleInitial":"E.","affiliations":[{"id":6679,"text":"US Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":780710,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":2},{"text":"Holsinger, Lisa M.","contributorId":187607,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Holsinger","given":"Lisa","email":"","middleInitial":"M.","affiliations":[{"id":6679,"text":"US Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":780711,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":3}]}}
,{"id":70211925,"text":"70211925 - 2020 - Associations between riparian plant morphological guilds and fluvial sediment dynamics along the regulated Colorado River in Grand Canyon","interactions":[],"lastModifiedDate":"2020-08-11T20:05:52.987178","indexId":"70211925","displayToPublicDate":"2020-01-29T15:01:11","publicationYear":"2020","noYear":false,"publicationType":{"id":2,"text":"Article"},"publicationSubtype":{"id":10,"text":"Journal Article"},"seriesTitle":{"id":3301,"text":"River Research and Applications","active":true,"publicationSubtype":{"id":10}},"title":"Associations between riparian plant morphological guilds and fluvial sediment dynamics along the regulated Colorado River in Grand Canyon","docAbstract":"<p><span>Effects of riparian vegetation on fluvial sediment dynamics depend on morphological traits of the constituent species. Determining the effects of different morphological guilds on sedimentation rates, as influenced by multiple aspects of dam operations, can help identify viable strategies for streamflow and vegetation management to achieve riparian resource goals. Plants of increasing size and branching density or complexity have been found to have greater effects on sedimentation in free‐flowing systems; however, this relationship could differ in regulated rivers. We tested the hypothesis that plant guilds of increasing height and branching complexity would be positively associated with sedimentation rates on 23 sandbars deposited in zones of recirculating flow (eddies) along the Colorado River in Grand Canyon. We used an image‐based vegetation classification and digital elevation models from annual topographic surveys to track associations between six plant morphological guilds and topographic change over 5 years. Vegetation had significant associations with deposition after accounting for geomorphic setting, but the ordinal guild scale was not positively correlated with deposition magnitude. Instead, low‐statured rhizomatous and herbaceous guilds were particularly effective at capturing sediment in the separation zone of sandbars, whereas tall herbs and large shrubs were most effective at capturing sediment in reattachment zones. These nuanced interactions between geomorphic position and morphological guild may be a direct consequence of flow regulation through modifications to physical deposition and erosion processes. Flow regulation may also select for a narrow subset of morphological guilds, reducing the diversity of vegetation feedbacks on sedimentation and emphasizing geomorphic drivers.</span></p>","language":"English","publisher":"Wiley","doi":"10.1002/rra.3589","usgsCitation":"Butterfield, B.J., Grams, P.E., Durning, L., Hazel, J., Palmquist, E.C., Ralston, B., and Sankey, J.B., 2020, Associations between riparian plant morphological guilds and fluvial sediment dynamics along the regulated Colorado River in Grand Canyon: River Research and Applications, v. 36, no. 3, p. 410-421, https://doi.org/10.1002/rra.3589.","productDescription":"12 p.","startPage":"410","endPage":"421","ipdsId":"IP-110031","costCenters":[{"id":568,"text":"Southwest Biological Science Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"links":[{"id":437137,"rank":0,"type":{"id":30,"text":"Data Release"},"url":"https://doi.org/10.5066/P93F8JJK","text":"USGS data release","linkHelpText":"Long-term sandbar monitoring data along the Colorado River in Marble and Grand Canyons, Arizona"},{"id":377385,"type":{"id":24,"text":"Thumbnail"},"url":"https://pubs.usgs.gov/thumbnails/outside_thumb.jpg"}],"country":"United States","state":"Arizona","otherGeospatial":"Colorado River, Grand Canyon","geographicExtents":"{\n  \"type\": \"FeatureCollection\",\n  \"features\": [\n    {\n      \"type\": \"Feature\",\n      \"properties\": {},\n      \"geometry\": {\n        \"type\": \"Polygon\",\n        \"coordinates\": [\n          [\n            [\n              -114.005126953125,\n              35.71083783530009\n            ],\n            [\n              -111.37390136718749,\n              35.71083783530009\n            ],\n            [\n              -111.37390136718749,\n              36.92793899776678\n            ],\n            [\n              -114.005126953125,\n              36.92793899776678\n            ],\n            [\n              -114.005126953125,\n              35.71083783530009\n            ]\n          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Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"preferred":true,"id":795830,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":2},{"text":"Durning, Laura E. 0000-0003-3282-2458","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3282-2458","contributorId":177023,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Durning","given":"Laura E.","affiliations":[],"preferred":false,"id":795831,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":3},{"text":"Hazel, Joseph 0000-0003-0903-3397","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0903-3397","contributorId":189310,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Hazel","given":"Joseph","affiliations":[],"preferred":false,"id":795832,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":4},{"text":"Palmquist, Emily C. 0000-0003-1069-2154 epalmquist@usgs.gov","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1069-2154","contributorId":5669,"corporation":false,"usgs":true,"family":"Palmquist","given":"Emily","email":"epalmquist@usgs.gov","middleInitial":"C.","affiliations":[{"id":568,"text":"Southwest Biological Science Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"preferred":true,"id":795833,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":5},{"text":"Ralston, Barbara 0000-0001-9991-8994 bralston@usgs.gov","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9991-8994","contributorId":195797,"corporation":false,"usgs":true,"family":"Ralston","given":"Barbara","email":"bralston@usgs.gov","affiliations":[{"id":568,"text":"Southwest Biological Science Center","active":true,"usgs":true},{"id":501,"text":"Office of Science Quality and Integrity","active":true,"usgs":true}],"preferred":true,"id":795834,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":6},{"text":"Sankey, Joel B. 0000-0003-3150-4992 jsankey@usgs.gov","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3150-4992","contributorId":3935,"corporation":false,"usgs":true,"family":"Sankey","given":"Joel","email":"jsankey@usgs.gov","middleInitial":"B.","affiliations":[{"id":568,"text":"Southwest Biological Science Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"preferred":true,"id":795835,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":7}]}}
,{"id":70211256,"text":"70211256 - 2020 - Impacts of seagrass dynamics on the coupled long-term evolution of barrier-marsh-bay systems","interactions":[],"lastModifiedDate":"2020-07-22T15:45:46.58433","indexId":"70211256","displayToPublicDate":"2020-01-29T10:42:16","publicationYear":"2020","noYear":false,"publicationType":{"id":2,"text":"Article"},"publicationSubtype":{"id":10,"text":"Journal Article"},"seriesTitle":{"id":2320,"text":"Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences","active":true,"publicationSubtype":{"id":10}},"title":"Impacts of seagrass dynamics on the coupled long-term evolution of barrier-marsh-bay systems","docAbstract":"Seagrass provides a wide range of economically and ecologically valuable ecosystem services, with shoreline erosion control often listed as a key service, but can also alter the sediment dynamics and waves within back-barrier bays. Here we incorporate seagrass dynamics into an existing barrier-marsh exploratory model, GEOMBEST++, to examine the coupled interactions of the back-barrier bay with both adjacent (marsh) and non-adjacent (barrier island) subsystems. While seagrass reduces marsh edge erosion rates and increases progradation rates in many of our 288 model simulations, seagrass surprisingly increases marsh edge erosion rates when sediment export from the back-barrier basin is negligible because the ability of seagrass to reduce the volume of marsh sediment eroded matters little for back-barrier basins in which all sediment is conserved. Our model simulations also suggest that adding seagrass to the bay subsystem leads to increased deposition in the bay, reduced sediment available to the marsh, and enhanced marsh edge erosion until the bay reaches a new, shallower equilibrium depth. In contrast, removing seagrass liberates previously-sequestered sediment that is then delivered to the marsh, leading to enhanced marsh progradation. Lastly, we find that seagrass reduces barrier island migration rates in the absence of back-barrier marsh by filling accommodation space in the bay. These model observations suggest that seagrass meadows operate as dynamic sources and sinks of sediment that can influence the evolution of coupled marsh and barrier island landforms in unanticipated ways.","language":"English","publisher":"Wiley","doi":"10.1029/2019JG005416","usgsCitation":"Reeves, I., Moore, L., Goldstein, E., Murray, B., Carr, J., and Kirwan, M.L., 2020, Impacts of seagrass dynamics on the coupled long-term evolution of barrier-marsh-bay systems: Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, v. 125, no. 2, e2019JG005416, 19 p., https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JG005416.","productDescription":"e2019JG005416, 19 p.","ipdsId":"IP-102822","costCenters":[{"id":531,"text":"Patuxent Wildlife Research Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"links":[{"id":457972,"rank":0,"type":{"id":40,"text":"Open Access Publisher Index Page"},"url":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2019jg005416","text":"Publisher Index Page"},{"id":376641,"type":{"id":24,"text":"Thumbnail"},"url":"https://pubs.usgs.gov/thumbnails/outside_thumb.jpg"}],"country":"United States","state":"Virginia","otherGeospatial":"Delmarva Peninsula","geographicExtents":"{\n  \"type\": \"FeatureCollection\",\n  \"features\": [\n    {\n      \"type\": \"Feature\",\n      \"properties\": {},\n      \"geometry\": {\n        \"type\": \"Polygon\",\n        \"coordinates\": [\n          [\n            [\n              -76.15997314453125,\n              37.03983207971425\n            ],\n            [\n              -75.74523925781249,\n              37.01571219880126\n            ],\n            [\n              -75.41015624999999,\n              37.87268533717655\n            ],\n            [\n              -75.87432861328125,\n              37.87268533717655\n            ],\n            [\n              -76.15997314453125,\n              37.03983207971425\n            ]\n          ]\n        ]\n      }\n    }\n  ]\n}","volume":"125","issue":"2","noUsgsAuthors":false,"publicationDate":"2020-01-31","publicationStatus":"PW","contributors":{"authors":[{"text":"Reeves, Ian","contributorId":229522,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Reeves","given":"Ian","affiliations":[{"id":16637,"text":"University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":793437,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":1},{"text":"Moore, Laura","contributorId":19090,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Moore","given":"Laura","affiliations":[{"id":24532,"text":"Department of Geological Sciences, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC 27599, USA","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":793438,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":2},{"text":"Goldstein, Evan ","contributorId":221556,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Goldstein","given":"Evan ","affiliations":[{"id":7043,"text":"University of North Carolina","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":793439,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":3},{"text":"Murray, Brad","contributorId":229523,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Murray","given":"Brad","affiliations":[{"id":12643,"text":"Duke University","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":793440,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":4},{"text":"Carr, Joel A. 0000-0002-9164-4156 jcarr@usgs.gov","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9164-4156","contributorId":168645,"corporation":false,"usgs":true,"family":"Carr","given":"Joel A.","email":"jcarr@usgs.gov","affiliations":[{"id":531,"text":"Patuxent Wildlife Research Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"preferred":true,"id":793441,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":5},{"text":"Kirwan, Matt L.","contributorId":189205,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Kirwan","given":"Matt","middleInitial":"L.","affiliations":[],"preferred":false,"id":793442,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":6}]}}
,{"id":70208019,"text":"ofr20201009 - 2020 - Potential duration of aftershocks of the 2020 southwestern Puerto Rico earthquake","interactions":[],"lastModifiedDate":"2022-04-21T20:38:12.80295","indexId":"ofr20201009","displayToPublicDate":"2020-01-29T08:27:35","publicationYear":"2020","noYear":false,"publicationType":{"id":18,"text":"Report"},"publicationSubtype":{"id":5,"text":"USGS Numbered Series"},"seriesTitle":{"id":330,"text":"Open-File Report","code":"OFR","onlineIssn":"2331-1258","printIssn":"0196-1497","active":true,"publicationSubtype":{"id":5}},"seriesNumber":"2020-1009","displayTitle":"Potential Duration of Aftershocks of the 2020 Southwestern Puerto Rico Earthquake","title":"Potential duration of aftershocks of the 2020 southwestern Puerto Rico earthquake","docAbstract":"<h1>Abstract</h1><p>Aftershocks (earthquakes clustered spatially and chronologically near the occurrence of a causative earthquake) are ongoing in southwestern Puerto Rico after a series of earthquakes, which include a magnitude 6.4 earthquake that occurred near Barrio Indios, Guayanilla, on January 7, 2020, and affected the surrounding area. This report estimates the expected duration of these aftershocks by incorporating observations of aftershocks as of January 17, 2020, into a well-established statistical model of how earthquake sequences behave. Aftershocks will persist for years to decades, although with decreasing frequency, and earthquakes will likely be felt on a daily basis for up to several months. These estimates have significant uncertainty owing to different scenarios of how the earthquake sequence may evolve over time and could also change if a new large aftershock occurs. This report also estimates the amount of time remaining until the annual probability of magnitude 5, 6, and 7 or greater aftershocks—which could cause additional damage—decreases to 50, 25, 10, 5, and 1 percent. As of this writing, the chance of having a magnitude 6 or greater earthquake within a given year, going forward, will not fall below 25 percent for another 3 months to 3 years. The chance of having a magnitude 5 or greater earthquake will not fall below 25 percent for a decade or more. The aftershocks discussed in this report would be located in the same general area as the aftershocks that have already occurred. Our results do not imply a change in the risk of earthquakes in other parts of Puerto Rico.<br><br></p><h3>Resumen</h3><p>Las réplicas (terremotos agrupados espacial y cronológicamente cerca de la ocurrencia de un terremoto causante) están en curso en el suroeste de Puerto Rico después de una serie de terremotos, que incluyen un terremoto de magnitud 6.4, ocurrido cerca del Barrio Indios, Guayanilla, el 7 de enero de 2020 y que afectaron las áreas circundantes. Este informe estima la duración esperada de las réplicas incorporando observaciones de réplicas a partir del 17 de enero de 2020 en un modelo estadístico bien establecido de cómo se comportan las secuencias de terremotos. Las réplicas persistirán durante años o décadas, aunque con una frecuencia decreciente, y los terremotos probablemente se sentirán a diario durante varios meses. Estos estimados tienen una incertidumbre significativa debido a diferentes escenarios de cómo la secuencia del terremoto puede evolucionar con el tiempo y también podrían cambiar si ocurre una nueva réplica grande. Este informe también estima la cantidad de tiempo restante hasta que la probabilidad anual de réplicas de magnitud 5, 6 y 7 o más - que podría causar daños adicionales- disminuya a un 50, 25, 10, 5 y 1 por ciento. Al momento de escribir este artículo, la posibilidad de tener un terremoto de magnitud 6 en un año determinado, en el futuro, no caerá por debajo del 25 por ciento durante otros 3 meses a 3 años. La probabilidad de tener un terremoto de magnitud 5 o mayor no será inferior al 25 por ciento durante una década o más. Las réplicas discutidas en este informe se ubicarían en la misma área general que las réplicas que ya han ocurrido. Nuestros resultados no implican un cambio en el riesgo de terremotos en otras partes de Puerto Rico.</p>","language":"English, Spanish","publisher":"U.S. Geological Survey","publisherLocation":"Reston, VA","doi":"10.3133/ofr20201009","usgsCitation":"van der Elst, N.J., Hardebeck, J.L., and Michael, A.J., 2020, Potential duration of aftershocks of the 2020 southwestern Puerto Rico earthquake: U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 2020–1009, 5 p., https://doi.org/10.3133/ofr20201009.","productDescription":"v, 5 p.","onlineOnly":"Y","ipdsId":"IP-115560","costCenters":[{"id":237,"text":"Earthquake Science Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"links":[{"id":399452,"rank":4,"type":{"id":36,"text":"NGMDB Index Page"},"url":"https://ngmdb.usgs.gov/Prodesc/proddesc_109627.htm"},{"id":371666,"rank":3,"type":{"id":24,"text":"Thumbnail"},"url":"https://pubs.usgs.gov/of/2020/1009/coverthb.jpg"},{"id":371665,"rank":2,"type":{"id":11,"text":"Document"},"url":"https://pubs.usgs.gov/of/2020/1009/ofr20201009_spanish.pdf","text":"Report (Español)","linkFileType":{"id":1,"text":"pdf"}},{"id":371664,"rank":1,"type":{"id":11,"text":"Document"},"url":"https://pubs.usgs.gov/of/2020/1009/ofr20201009.pdf","text":"Report (English)","linkFileType":{"id":1,"text":"pdf"}}],"country":"United States","state":"Puerto Rico","geographicExtents":"{\n  \"type\": \"FeatureCollection\",\n  \"features\": [\n    {\n      \"type\": \"Feature\",\n      \"properties\": {},\n      \"geometry\": {\n        \"type\": \"Polygon\",\n        \"coordinates\": [\n          [\n            [\n              -67.21,\n              17.7683\n            ],\n            [\n              -66.5942,\n              17.7683\n            ],\n            [\n              -66.5942,\n              18.0558\n            ],\n            [\n              -67.21,\n              18.0558\n            ],\n            [\n              -67.21,\n              17.7683\n            ]\n          ]\n        ]\n      }\n    }\n  ]\n}","contact":"<p><a href=\"https://earthquake.usgs.gov/contactus/menlo/menloloc.php\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-mce-href=\"https://earthquake.usgs.gov/contactus/menlo/menloloc.php\">Earthquake Science Center</a><br><a href=\"https://usgs.gov/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-mce-href=\"https://usgs.gov\">U.S. Geological Survey</a><br>345 Middlefield Road, MS 977<br>Menlo Park, California 94025</p>","tableOfContents":"<ul><li>Abstract</li><li>Introduction</li><li>2020 Southwestern Puerto Rico Earthquake Aftershock Sequence</li><li>Modeling the Aftershock Sequence</li><li>Conclusions</li><li>References</li><li>Appendix 1</li></ul>","publishingServiceCenter":{"id":14,"text":"Menlo Park PSC"},"publishedDate":"2020-01-29","noUsgsAuthors":false,"publicationDate":"2020-01-29","publicationStatus":"PW","contributors":{"authors":[{"text":"van der Elst, Nicholas 0000-0002-3812-1153 nvanderelst@usgs.gov","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3812-1153","contributorId":147858,"corporation":false,"usgs":true,"family":"van der Elst","given":"Nicholas","email":"nvanderelst@usgs.gov","affiliations":[{"id":237,"text":"Earthquake Science Center","active":true,"usgs":true},{"id":234,"text":"Earthquake Hazards Program","active":true,"usgs":true}],"preferred":true,"id":780165,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":1},{"text":"Hardebeck, Jeanne L. 0000-0002-6737-7780 jhardebeck@usgs.gov","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6737-7780","contributorId":841,"corporation":false,"usgs":true,"family":"Hardebeck","given":"Jeanne","email":"jhardebeck@usgs.gov","middleInitial":"L.","affiliations":[{"id":234,"text":"Earthquake Hazards Program","active":true,"usgs":true},{"id":237,"text":"Earthquake Science Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"preferred":true,"id":780166,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":2},{"text":"Michael, Andrew J. 0000-0002-2403-5019 michael@usgs.gov","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2403-5019","contributorId":1280,"corporation":false,"usgs":true,"family":"Michael","given":"Andrew","email":"michael@usgs.gov","middleInitial":"J.","affiliations":[{"id":237,"text":"Earthquake Science Center","active":true,"usgs":true},{"id":234,"text":"Earthquake Hazards Program","active":true,"usgs":true}],"preferred":true,"id":780164,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":3}]}}
,{"id":70208271,"text":"70208271 - 2020 - Fatty acid-based diet estimates suggest ringed seal remain the main prey of southern Beaufort Sea polar bears despite recent use of onshore food resources","interactions":[],"lastModifiedDate":"2020-03-11T15:14:29","indexId":"70208271","displayToPublicDate":"2020-01-29T07:04:28","publicationYear":"2020","noYear":false,"publicationType":{"id":2,"text":"Article"},"publicationSubtype":{"id":10,"text":"Journal Article"},"seriesTitle":{"id":1467,"text":"Ecology and Evolution","active":true,"publicationSubtype":{"id":10}},"title":"Fatty acid-based diet estimates suggest ringed seal remain the main prey of southern Beaufort Sea polar bears despite recent use of onshore food resources","docAbstract":"<p><span>Polar bears (</span><i>Ursus maritimus</i><span>) from the southern Beaufort Sea (SB) subpopulation have traditionally fed predominantly upon ice‐seals; however, as the proportion of the subpopulation using onshore habitat has recently increased, foraging on land‐based resources, including remains of subsistence‐harvested bowhead whales (</span><i>Balaena mysticetus</i><span>) and colonial nesting seabirds has been observed. Adipose tissue samples were collected from this subpopulation during the springs of 2013–2016 and analyzed for fatty acid signatures. Diet estimates were generated for the proportional consumption of ringed seal (</span><i>Pusa hispida</i><span>), bearded seal (</span><i>Erignathus barbatus</i><span>), and beluga whale (</span><i>Delphinapterus leucas</i><span>), relative to onshore foods, including bowhead whale remains and seabird, as represented by black guillemot (</span><i>Cepphus grylle mandtii</i><span>) nestlings and eggs. Quantitative fatty acid signature analysis (QFASA) estimated that the ice‐obligate prey, ringed seal, remained the predominant prey species of SB polar bears (46.4&nbsp;±&nbsp;1.8%), with much lower consumption of bearded seal (19.6&nbsp;±&nbsp;2.0%), seabird (17.0&nbsp;±&nbsp;1.2%), bowhead whale (15.0&nbsp;±&nbsp;1.4%), and hardly any beluga whale (2.0&nbsp;±&nbsp;0.5%). Adult and subadult females appeared to depend more on the traditional ringed seal prey than adult and subadult males. Diet estimates of SB polar bears showed significant interannual variability for all prey (</span><i>F</i><sub>12, 456</sub><span>&nbsp;=&nbsp;3.17,&nbsp;</span><i>p</i><span>&nbsp;&lt;&nbsp;.001). Longer‐term estimates suggested that both types of onshore prey, bowhead whale remains and seabird, have represented a moderate proportion of the food resources used by SB polar bears since at least the start of the 21st Century.</span></p>","language":"English","publisher":"Wiley","doi":"10.1002/ece3.6043","usgsCitation":"Bourque, J., Atwood, T.C., Divoky, G.J., Stewart, C., and McKinney, M.A., 2020, Fatty acid-based diet estimates suggest ringed seal remain the main prey of southern Beaufort Sea polar bears despite recent use of onshore food resources: Ecology and Evolution, v. 10, no. 4, p. 2093-2103, https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.6043.","productDescription":"11 p.","startPage":"2093","endPage":"2103","ipdsId":"IP-108540","costCenters":[{"id":116,"text":"Alaska Science Center Biology MFEB","active":true,"usgs":true}],"links":[{"id":457977,"rank":1,"type":{"id":40,"text":"Open Access Publisher Index Page"},"url":"https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.6043","text":"Publisher Index Page"},{"id":437138,"rank":0,"type":{"id":30,"text":"Data Release"},"url":"https://doi.org/10.5066/P9JXZSUS","text":"USGS data release","linkHelpText":"Diet Estimates of Southern Beaufort Sea Polar Bears, 2004-2016"},{"id":371900,"type":{"id":24,"text":"Thumbnail"},"url":"https://pubs.usgs.gov/thumbnails/outside_thumb.jpg"}],"country":"United States","state":"Alaska ","otherGeospatial":"Southern Beaufort Sea","geographicExtents":"{\n  \"type\": \"FeatureCollection\",\n  \"features\": [\n    {\n      \"type\": \"Feature\",\n      \"properties\": {},\n      \"geometry\": {\n        \"type\": \"Polygon\",\n        \"coordinates\": [\n          [\n            [\n              -162.68554687499997,\n              69.62651016802958\n            ],\n            [\n              -140.9765625,\n              69.62651016802958\n            ],\n            [\n              -140.9765625,\n              73.57816726137321\n            ],\n            [\n              -162.68554687499997,\n              73.57816726137321\n            ],\n            [\n              -162.68554687499997,\n              69.62651016802958\n            ]\n          ]\n        ]\n      }\n    }\n  ]\n}","volume":"10","issue":"4","publishingServiceCenter":{"id":12,"text":"Tacoma PSC"},"noUsgsAuthors":false,"publicationDate":"2020-01-29","publicationStatus":"PW","contributors":{"authors":[{"text":"Bourque, Jennifer","contributorId":222102,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Bourque","given":"Jennifer","email":"","affiliations":[{"id":36710,"text":"University of Connecticut","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":781205,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":1},{"text":"Atwood, Todd C. 0000-0002-1971-3110 tatwood@usgs.gov","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1971-3110","contributorId":4368,"corporation":false,"usgs":true,"family":"Atwood","given":"Todd","email":"tatwood@usgs.gov","middleInitial":"C.","affiliations":[{"id":116,"text":"Alaska Science Center Biology MFEB","active":true,"usgs":true},{"id":114,"text":"Alaska Science Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"preferred":true,"id":781204,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":2},{"text":"Divoky, George J.","contributorId":100912,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Divoky","given":"George","email":"","middleInitial":"J.","affiliations":[{"id":13117,"text":"Institute of Arctic Biology, University of Alaska Fairbanks","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":781206,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":3},{"text":"Stewart, Connie","contributorId":222103,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Stewart","given":"Connie","email":"","affiliations":[{"id":18889,"text":"University of New Brunswick","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":781207,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":4},{"text":"McKinney, Melissa A.","contributorId":11496,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"McKinney","given":"Melissa","email":"","middleInitial":"A.","affiliations":[{"id":6619,"text":"University of Connecticutt","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":781208,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":5}]}}
,{"id":70208196,"text":"70208196 - 2020 - A brief introduction to seismic instrumentation: Where does my data come from?","interactions":[],"lastModifiedDate":"2020-03-11T15:05:45","indexId":"70208196","displayToPublicDate":"2020-01-29T06:56:27","publicationYear":"2020","noYear":false,"publicationType":{"id":2,"text":"Article"},"publicationSubtype":{"id":10,"text":"Journal Article"},"seriesTitle":{"id":3372,"text":"Seismological Research Letters","onlineIssn":"1938-2057","printIssn":"0895-0695","active":true,"publicationSubtype":{"id":10}},"title":"A brief introduction to seismic instrumentation: Where does my data come from?","docAbstract":"Modern seismology has been able to take advantage of several technological advances.  These include feedback loops in the seismometer, specialized digitizers with absolute timing, and compression formats for storing data.  While all of these advances have helped to improve the field, they can also leave newcomers a bit confused.  Our goal here is to give a brief overview of how recordings of seismic ground motion originate.  We discuss the chain of events that are required to obtain digital data plus how these steps can be reversed to recover units of ground motion such as acceleration, velocity, or displacement.  Finally, we show a few examples of data that has become compromised because of various non-ground motion signals.  We hope to give a quick practical introduction to allow the reader to become familiar with the various jargon used in observational seismology.","language":"English","publisher":"Seismological Society of America","doi":"10.1785/0220190214","usgsCitation":"Ringler, A.T., and Bastien, P., 2020, A brief introduction to seismic instrumentation: Where does my data come from?: Seismological Research Letters, v. 91, no. 2A, p. 1074-1083, https://doi.org/10.1785/0220190214.","productDescription":"10 p.","startPage":"1074","endPage":"1083","ipdsId":"IP-112527","costCenters":[{"id":300,"text":"Geologic Hazards Science Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"links":[{"id":371784,"type":{"id":24,"text":"Thumbnail"},"url":"https://pubs.usgs.gov/thumbnails/outside_thumb.jpg"}],"volume":"91","issue":"2A","publishingServiceCenter":{"id":2,"text":"Denver PSC"},"noUsgsAuthors":false,"publicationDate":"2020-01-29","publicationStatus":"PW","contributors":{"authors":[{"text":"Ringler, Adam T. 0000-0002-9839-4188 aringler@usgs.gov","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9839-4188","contributorId":145576,"corporation":false,"usgs":true,"family":"Ringler","given":"Adam","email":"aringler@usgs.gov","middleInitial":"T.","affiliations":[{"id":300,"text":"Geologic Hazards Science Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"preferred":true,"id":780907,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":1},{"text":"Bastien, Patrick 0000-0001-7222-3906","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7222-3906","contributorId":222001,"corporation":false,"usgs":true,"family":"Bastien","given":"Patrick","email":"","affiliations":[{"id":300,"text":"Geologic Hazards Science Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"preferred":true,"id":780908,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":2}]}}
,{"id":70227803,"text":"70227803 - 2020 - Age distribution of red tree voles in northern spotted owl pellets estimated from molar tooth development","interactions":[],"lastModifiedDate":"2022-02-01T20:45:09.725338","indexId":"70227803","displayToPublicDate":"2020-01-28T15:44:17","publicationYear":"2020","noYear":false,"publicationType":{"id":2,"text":"Article"},"publicationSubtype":{"id":10,"text":"Journal Article"},"seriesTitle":{"id":2900,"text":"Northwest Science","onlineIssn":"2161-9859","printIssn":"0029-344X","active":true,"publicationSubtype":{"id":10}},"title":"Age distribution of red tree voles in northern spotted owl pellets estimated from molar tooth development","docAbstract":"<p>We used molar measurements from 136 known-age red tree voles (<i>Arborimus longicaudus</i>) to develop regression models that could estimate tree vole age from skeletonized remains. The best regression included a quadratic structure of the ratio between two measurements, crown height and anterior height, and natural log-transformed age in days. The regression predicted that molar roots begin to develop at 40 days of age and that molar crowns are worn completely away at 1,177 days of age. We used the regression to estimate the age distribution of 1,703 red tree voles found in northern spotted owl (<i>Strix occidentalis caurina</i>) pellets collected in western Oregon during 1970–2009. The age distribution of red tree voles in pellets was dominated by young individuals, with 81% younger than one year and only 0.5% older than two years. The proportion of individuals 61–120 days old was particularly high relative to other age classes. The proportion of subadult (52–120 days old) individuals exhibited regional variation between the Oregon Cascades and the Coast Range. Localized annual variation in age distribution was low, exhibited no evidence of cyclic variation, and was positively associated with local precipitation rates during the spotted owl nesting season (March–June). We hypothesize that the age distribution of tree voles in owl pellets may be similar to the age structure of tree vole populations in the wild, but acknowledge that this is virtually impossible to test because tree voles cannot be adequately sampled using conventional small mammal capture methods.</p>","language":"English","publisher":"BioOne","doi":"10.3955/046.093.0304","usgsCitation":"Marks-Fife, C.A., Forsman, E.D., and Dugger, K., 2020, Age distribution of red tree voles in northern spotted owl pellets estimated from molar tooth development: Northwest Science, v. 93, no. 3-4, p. 193-208, https://doi.org/10.3955/046.093.0304.","productDescription":"16 p.","startPage":"193","endPage":"208","ipdsId":"IP-092934","costCenters":[{"id":200,"text":"Coop Res Unit Seattle","active":true,"usgs":true}],"links":[{"id":395244,"type":{"id":24,"text":"Thumbnail"},"url":"https://pubs.usgs.gov/thumbnails/outside_thumb.jpg"}],"volume":"93","issue":"3-4","noUsgsAuthors":false,"publicationStatus":"PW","contributors":{"authors":[{"text":"Marks-Fife, Chad A.","contributorId":272849,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Marks-Fife","given":"Chad","email":"","middleInitial":"A.","affiliations":[{"id":25426,"text":"OSU","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":832335,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":1},{"text":"Forsman, Eric D.","contributorId":96792,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Forsman","given":"Eric","email":"","middleInitial":"D.","affiliations":[],"preferred":false,"id":832336,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":2},{"text":"Dugger, Katie M. 0000-0002-4148-246X cdugger@usgs.gov","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4148-246X","contributorId":4399,"corporation":false,"usgs":true,"family":"Dugger","given":"Katie","email":"cdugger@usgs.gov","middleInitial":"M.","affiliations":[{"id":200,"text":"Coop Res Unit Seattle","active":true,"usgs":true}],"preferred":true,"id":832334,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":3}]}}
,{"id":70210620,"text":"70210620 - 2020 - Does the virus cross the road? Viral phylogeographic patterns among bobcat populations reflect a history of urban development","interactions":[],"lastModifiedDate":"2020-09-10T19:53:51.951009","indexId":"70210620","displayToPublicDate":"2020-01-28T11:42:26","publicationYear":"2020","noYear":false,"publicationType":{"id":2,"text":"Article"},"publicationSubtype":{"id":10,"text":"Journal Article"},"seriesTitle":{"id":1601,"text":"Evolutionary Applications","active":true,"publicationSubtype":{"id":10}},"title":"Does the virus cross the road? Viral phylogeographic patterns among bobcat populations reflect a history of urban development","docAbstract":"<p><span>Urban development has major impacts on connectivity among wildlife populations and is thus likely an important factor shaping pathogen transmission in wildlife. However, most investigations of wildlife diseases in urban areas focus on prevalence and infection risk rather than potential effects of urbanization on transmission itself. Feline immunodeficiency virus (FIV) is a directly transmitted retrovirus that infects many felid species and can be used as a model for studying pathogen transmission at landscape scales. We investigated phylogenetic relationships among FIV isolates sampled from five bobcat (</span><i>Lynx rufus<span>&nbsp;</span></i><span>) populations in coastal southern California that appear isolated due to major highways and dense urban development. Divergence dates among FIV phylogenetic lineages in several cases reflected historical urban growth and construction of major highways. We found strong FIV phylogeographic structure among three host populations north‐west of Los Angeles, largely coincident with host genetic structure. In contrast, relatively little FIV phylogeographic structure existed among two genetically distinct host populations south‐east of Los Angeles. Rates of FIV transfer among host populations did not vary significantly, with the lack of phylogenetic structure south‐east of Los Angeles unlikely to reflect frequent contemporary transmission among populations. Our results indicate that major barriers to host gene flow can also act as barriers to pathogen spread, suggesting potentially reduced susceptibility of fragmented populations to novel directly transmitted pathogens. Infrequent exchange of FIV among host populations suggests that populations would best be managed as distinct units in the event of a severe disease outbreak. Phylogeographic inference of pathogen transmission is useful for estimating the ability of geographic barriers to constrain disease spread and can provide insights into contemporary and historical drivers of host population connectivity.</span></p>","language":"English","publisher":"Wiley","doi":"10.1111/eva.12927","usgsCitation":"Kozakiewicz, C.P., Burridge, C.P., Funk, W., Craft, M.E., Crooks, K.R., Fisher, R.N., Fountain-Jones, N.M., Jennings, M.K., Kraberger, S.J., Lee, J.S., Lyren, L.M., Riley, S.P., Serieys, L.E., VandeWoude, S., and Carver, S., 2020, Does the virus cross the road? Viral phylogeographic patterns among bobcat populations reflect a history of urban development: Evolutionary Applications, v. 13, no. 3, p. 1806-1817, https://doi.org/10.1111/eva.12927.","productDescription":"12 p.","startPage":"1806","endPage":"1817","ipdsId":"IP-115355","costCenters":[{"id":651,"text":"Western Ecological Research Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"links":[{"id":457988,"rank":0,"type":{"id":40,"text":"Open Access Publisher Index Page"},"url":"https://doi.org/10.1111/eva.12927","text":"Publisher Index Page"},{"id":375558,"type":{"id":24,"text":"Thumbnail"},"url":"https://pubs.usgs.gov/thumbnails/outside_thumb.jpg"}],"country":"United States","state":"California","city":"Los Angeles, San Diego","geographicExtents":"{\n  \"type\": \"FeatureCollection\",\n  \"features\": [\n    {\n      \"type\": \"Feature\",\n      \"properties\": {},\n      \"geometry\": {\n        \"type\": \"Polygon\",\n        \"coordinates\": [\n          [\n            [\n              -120.38818359375,\n              34.07086232376631\n            ],\n            [\n              -117.65258789062499,\n              34.07086232376631\n            ],\n            [\n              -117.65258789062499,\n              35.25907654252574\n            ],\n            [\n              -120.38818359375,\n              35.25907654252574\n            ],\n            [\n              -120.38818359375,\n              34.07086232376631\n            ]\n          ]\n        ]\n      }\n    },\n    {\n      \"type\": \"Feature\",\n      \"properties\": {},\n      \"geometry\": {\n        \"type\": \"Polygon\",\n        \"coordinates\": [\n          [\n            [\n              -117.68554687499999,\n              32.55144352864431\n            ],\n            [\n              -114.949951171875,\n              32.55144352864431\n            ],\n            [\n              -114.949951171875,\n              34.25721644329402\n            ],\n            [\n              -117.68554687499999,\n              34.25721644329402\n            ],\n            [\n              -117.68554687499999,\n              32.55144352864431\n            ]\n          ]\n        ]\n      }\n    }\n  ]\n}","volume":"13","issue":"3","noUsgsAuthors":false,"publicationDate":"2020-02-20","publicationStatus":"PW","contributors":{"authors":[{"text":"Kozakiewicz, Christopher P.","contributorId":212126,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Kozakiewicz","given":"Christopher","email":"","middleInitial":"P.","affiliations":[{"id":38423,"text":"School of Biological Sciences, University of Tasmania, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":790866,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":1},{"text":"Burridge, Christopher P.","contributorId":221854,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Burridge","given":"Christopher","email":"","middleInitial":"P.","affiliations":[{"id":16141,"text":"University of Tasmania","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":790867,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":2},{"text":"Funk, W. Chris 0000-0002-9254-6718","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9254-6718","contributorId":189580,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Funk","given":"W. Chris","affiliations":[],"preferred":false,"id":790868,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":3},{"text":"Craft, Meggan E.","contributorId":168372,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Craft","given":"Meggan","email":"","middleInitial":"E.","affiliations":[{"id":6626,"text":"University of Minnesota","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":790869,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":4},{"text":"Crooks, Kevin R.","contributorId":51137,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Crooks","given":"Kevin","email":"","middleInitial":"R.","affiliations":[{"id":6621,"text":"Colorado State University","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":790870,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":5},{"text":"Fisher, Robert N. 0000-0002-2956-3240 rfisher@usgs.gov","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2956-3240","contributorId":1529,"corporation":false,"usgs":true,"family":"Fisher","given":"Robert","email":"rfisher@usgs.gov","middleInitial":"N.","affiliations":[{"id":651,"text":"Western Ecological Research Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"preferred":true,"id":790871,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":6},{"text":"Fountain-Jones, Nicholas M. 0000-0001-9248-8493","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9248-8493","contributorId":197452,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Fountain-Jones","given":"Nicholas","email":"","middleInitial":"M.","affiliations":[],"preferred":false,"id":790872,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":7},{"text":"Jennings, Megan K.","contributorId":221856,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Jennings","given":"Megan","email":"","middleInitial":"K.","affiliations":[{"id":6608,"text":"San Diego State University","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":790873,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":8},{"text":"Kraberger, Simona J","contributorId":225262,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Kraberger","given":"Simona","email":"","middleInitial":"J","affiliations":[{"id":6621,"text":"Colorado State University","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":790874,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":9},{"text":"Lee, Justin S.","contributorId":212111,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Lee","given":"Justin","email":"","middleInitial":"S.","affiliations":[{"id":38413,"text":"Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Pathology, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, USA","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":790875,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":10},{"text":"Lyren, Lisa M.","contributorId":197457,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Lyren","given":"Lisa","email":"","middleInitial":"M.","affiliations":[],"preferred":false,"id":790876,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":11},{"text":"Riley, Seth P.D.","contributorId":145429,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Riley","given":"Seth","middleInitial":"P.D.","affiliations":[{"id":7237,"text":"NPS, Olympic National Park","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":790877,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":12},{"text":"Serieys, Laurel E K","contributorId":225263,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Serieys","given":"Laurel","email":"","middleInitial":"E K","affiliations":[{"id":27155,"text":"University of California Santa Cruz","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":790878,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":13},{"text":"VandeWoude, Sue","contributorId":212137,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"VandeWoude","given":"Sue","email":"","affiliations":[{"id":38434,"text":"College of Veterinary Medicine and Biomedical Sciences, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, USA","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":790879,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":14},{"text":"Carver, Scott 0000-0002-3579-7588","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3579-7588","contributorId":197456,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Carver","given":"Scott","email":"","affiliations":[],"preferred":false,"id":790880,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":15}]}}
,{"id":70228598,"text":"70228598 - 2020 - Climate and human water use diminish wetland networks supporting continental waterbird migration","interactions":[],"lastModifiedDate":"2022-02-14T17:22:16.822394","indexId":"70228598","displayToPublicDate":"2020-01-28T10:42:03","publicationYear":"2020","noYear":false,"publicationType":{"id":2,"text":"Article"},"publicationSubtype":{"id":10,"text":"Journal Article"},"seriesTitle":{"id":1837,"text":"Global Change Biology","active":true,"publicationSubtype":{"id":10}},"title":"Climate and human water use diminish wetland networks supporting continental waterbird migration","docAbstract":"<p><span>Migrating waterbirds moving between upper and lower latitudinal breeding and wintering grounds rely on a limited network of endorheic lakes and wetlands when crossing arid continental interiors. Recent drying of global endorheic water stores raises concerns over deteriorating migratory pathways, yet few studies have considered these effects at the scale of continental flyways. Here, we investigate the resiliency of waterbird migration networks across western North America by reconstructing long-term patterns (1984–2018) of terminal lake and wetland surface water area in 26 endorheic watersheds. Findings were partitioned regionally by snowmelt- and monsoon-driven hydrologies and combined with climate and human water-use data to determine their importance in predicting surface water trends. Nonlinear patterns of lake and wetland drying were apparent along latitudinal flyway gradients. Pervasive surface water declines were prevalent in northern snowmelt watersheds (lakes −27%, wetlands −47%) while largely stable in monsoonal watersheds to the south (lakes −13%, wetlands +8%). Monsoonal watersheds represented a smaller proportion of total lake and wetland area, but their distribution and frequency of change within highly arid regions of the continental flyway increased their value to migratory waterbirds. Irrigated agriculture and increasing evaporative demands were the most important drivers of surface water declines. Underlying agricultural and wetland relationships however were more complex. Approximately 7% of irrigated lands linked to flood irrigation and water storage practices supported 61% of all wetland inundation in snowmelt watersheds. In monsoonal watersheds, small earthen dams, meant to capture surface runoff for livestock watering, were a major component of wetland resources (67%) that supported networks of isolated wetlands surrounding endorheic lakes. Ecological trends and human impacts identified herein underscore the importance of assessing flyway-scale change as our model depictions likely reflect new and emerging bottlenecks to continental migration.</span></p>","language":"English","publisher":"Wiley","doi":"10.1111/gcb.15010","usgsCitation":"Donnelly, J., King, S.L., Silverman, N., Collins, D., Carrera-Gonzalez, E., Lafon-Terrazas, A., and Moore, J., 2020, Climate and human water use diminish wetland networks supporting continental waterbird migration: Global Change Biology, v. 26, no. 4, p. 2042-2059, https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15010.","productDescription":"18 p.","startPage":"2042","endPage":"2059","ipdsId":"IP-112789","costCenters":[{"id":198,"text":"Coop Res Unit Atlanta","active":true,"usgs":true}],"links":[{"id":457990,"rank":0,"type":{"id":40,"text":"Open Access Publisher Index Page"},"url":"https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15010","text":"Publisher Index Page"},{"id":395897,"type":{"id":24,"text":"Thumbnail"},"url":"https://pubs.usgs.gov/thumbnails/outside_thumb.jpg"}],"country":"Mexico, United States","volume":"26","issue":"4","noUsgsAuthors":false,"publicationDate":"2020-02-13","publicationStatus":"PW","contributors":{"authors":[{"text":"Donnelly, J.P.","contributorId":276300,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Donnelly","given":"J.P.","email":"","affiliations":[{"id":36188,"text":"U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":834724,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":1},{"text":"King, Sammy L. 0000-0002-5364-6361 sking@usgs.gov","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5364-6361","contributorId":557,"corporation":false,"usgs":true,"family":"King","given":"Sammy","email":"sking@usgs.gov","middleInitial":"L.","affiliations":[{"id":198,"text":"Coop Res Unit Atlanta","active":true,"usgs":true}],"preferred":true,"id":834725,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":2},{"text":"Silverman, N.L.","contributorId":276301,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Silverman","given":"N.L.","email":"","affiliations":[{"id":56951,"text":"Adaptive Hydrology, LLC","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":834726,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":3},{"text":"Collins, D. P.","contributorId":276303,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Collins","given":"D. P.","affiliations":[{"id":36188,"text":"U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":834727,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":4},{"text":"Carrera-Gonzalez, E.M.","contributorId":276304,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Carrera-Gonzalez","given":"E.M.","affiliations":[{"id":56953,"text":"Ducks Unlimited - Mexico","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":834728,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":5},{"text":"Lafon-Terrazas, A.","contributorId":276305,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Lafon-Terrazas","given":"A.","email":"","affiliations":[{"id":56954,"text":"PROFAUNA","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":834729,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":6},{"text":"Moore, J.N.","contributorId":276306,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Moore","given":"J.N.","email":"","affiliations":[{"id":36523,"text":"University of Montana","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":834730,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":7}]}}
,{"id":70207987,"text":"ofr20191150 - 2020 - Forecasting future beach width- A case study along the Florida Atlantic coast","interactions":[],"lastModifiedDate":"2022-04-21T20:23:34.454243","indexId":"ofr20191150","displayToPublicDate":"2020-01-28T10:15:00","publicationYear":"2020","noYear":false,"publicationType":{"id":18,"text":"Report"},"publicationSubtype":{"id":5,"text":"USGS Numbered Series"},"seriesTitle":{"id":330,"text":"Open-File Report","code":"OFR","onlineIssn":"2331-1258","printIssn":"0196-1497","active":true,"publicationSubtype":{"id":5}},"seriesNumber":"2019-1150","displayTitle":"Forecasting Future Beach Width-A Case Study Along the Florida Atlantic Coast","title":"Forecasting future beach width- A case study along the Florida Atlantic coast","docAbstract":"<p>Historical cross-shore positions of the shoreline and dune base were used as inputs for a Kalman filter algorithm to forecast the positions of these features in the year 2028. The beach width was also computed as the cross-shore distance between the forecasted 2028 shoreline and dune-base positions. While it does not evaluate the suitability of a nesting beach or identify optimal nesting habitat, the beach width can be used as a proxy for habitat availability. An analysis was conducted along the Florida Atlantic coast with an initial goal of demonstrating a method that combines available data for shoreline and dune positions with a Kalman Filter algorithm developed to predict decadal-scale shoreline evolution and then uses these features to define future beach width. This section of the southeastern United States hosts the largest assemblage of nesting loggerhead sea turtles (<i>Caretta caretta</i>) in the world, in addition to other species, and critical habitat is designated as part of the species’ listing package under the Endangered Species Act of 1973 (16 U.S.C. ch. 35 § 1531 et seq) for most of the nesting beaches within the study area. This work introduces an approach to inform ecosystem services assessments using data typically derived for shoreline change and storm vulnerability models.</p>","language":"English","publisher":"U.S. Geological Survey","publisherLocation":"Reston, VA","doi":"10.3133/ofr20191150","usgsCitation":"Long, J.W., Henderson, R.E., and Thompson, D.M., 2020, Forecasting future beach width—A case study along the Florida Atlantic coast: U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 2019–1150, 13 p., https://doi.org/10.3133/ofr20191150.","productDescription":"vi, 13 p.","numberOfPages":"20","onlineOnly":"Y","additionalOnlineFiles":"N","ipdsId":"IP-112427","costCenters":[{"id":574,"text":"St. Petersburg Coastal and Marine Science Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"links":[{"id":371572,"rank":1,"type":{"id":24,"text":"Thumbnail"},"url":"https://pubs.usgs.gov/of/2019/1150/coverthb.jpg"},{"id":371577,"rank":2,"type":{"id":11,"text":"Document"},"url":"https://pubs.usgs.gov/of/2019/1150/ofr20191150.pdf","text":"Report","linkFileType":{"id":1,"text":"pdf"},"description":"OFR 2019-1150"},{"id":399439,"rank":3,"type":{"id":36,"text":"NGMDB Index Page"},"url":"https://ngmdb.usgs.gov/Prodesc/proddesc_109625.htm"}],"country":"United States","state":"Florida","geographicExtents":"{\n  \"type\": \"FeatureCollection\",\n  \"features\": [\n    {\n      \"type\": \"Feature\",\n      \"properties\": {},\n      \"geometry\": {\n        \"type\": \"Polygon\",\n        \"coordinates\": [\n          [\n            [\n              -80.771484375,\n              25.16517336866393\n            ],\n            [\n              -80.09033203125,\n              25.264568475331583\n            ],\n            [\n              -79.5849609375,\n              26.62781822639305\n            ],\n            [\n              -80.244140625,\n              28.013801376380712\n            ],\n            [\n              -81.23291015625,\n              30.751277776257812\n            ],\n            [\n              -81.76025390625,\n              30.770159115784214\n            ],\n            [\n              -81.73828125,\n              30.334953881988564\n            ],\n            [\n              -80.947265625,\n              28.401064827220896\n            ],\n            [\n              -80.419921875,\n              27.11781284232125\n            ],\n            [\n              -80.35400390625,\n              26.43122806450644\n            ],\n            [\n              -80.771484375,\n              25.16517336866393\n            ]\n          ]\n        ]\n      }\n    }\n  ]\n}","contact":"<p><a href=\"https://www.usgs.gov/centers/spcmsc\" data-mce-href=\"https://www.usgs.gov/centers/spcmsc\">St. Petersburg Coastal and Marine Science Center</a><br>U.S. Geological Survey<br>600 4th Street South<br>St. Petersburg, FL 33701</p>","tableOfContents":"<ul><li>Acknowledgments</li><li>Abstract</li><li>Introduction</li><li>Methods</li><li>Results</li><li>Discussion</li><li>Summary</li><li>References Cited</li></ul>","publishingServiceCenter":{"id":9,"text":"Reston PSC"},"publishedDate":"2020-01-28","noUsgsAuthors":false,"publicationDate":"2020-01-28","publicationStatus":"PW","contributors":{"authors":[{"text":"Long, Joseph W. 0000-0003-2912-1992","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2912-1992","contributorId":219235,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Long","given":"Joseph","email":"","middleInitial":"W.","affiliations":[{"id":32398,"text":"University of North Carolina Wilmington","active":true,"usgs":false}],"preferred":false,"id":780042,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":1},{"text":"Henderson, Rachel E. 0000-0001-5810-7941 rehenderson@contractor.usgs.gov","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5810-7941","contributorId":196870,"corporation":false,"usgs":true,"family":"Henderson","given":"Rachel","email":"rehenderson@contractor.usgs.gov","middleInitial":"E.","affiliations":[{"id":678,"text":"Woods Hole Coastal and Marine Science Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"preferred":true,"id":780041,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":2},{"text":"Thompson, David M. 0000-0002-7103-5740 dthompson@usgs.gov","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7103-5740","contributorId":3502,"corporation":false,"usgs":true,"family":"Thompson","given":"David","email":"dthompson@usgs.gov","middleInitial":"M.","affiliations":[{"id":574,"text":"St. Petersburg Coastal and Marine Science Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"preferred":true,"id":780043,"contributorType":{"id":1,"text":"Authors"},"rank":3}]}}
,{"id":70208621,"text":"70208621 - 2020 - Estimating rupture dimensions of three major earthquakes in Sichuan, China, for early warning and rapid loss estimates","interactions":[],"lastModifiedDate":"2020-04-06T22:00:14.898294","indexId":"70208621","displayToPublicDate":"2020-01-28T06:34:20","publicationYear":"2020","noYear":false,"publicationType":{"id":2,"text":"Article"},"publicationSubtype":{"id":10,"text":"Journal Article"},"seriesTitle":{"id":1135,"text":"Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America","onlineIssn":"1943-3573","printIssn":"0037-1106","active":true,"publicationSubtype":{"id":10}},"title":"Estimating rupture dimensions of three major earthquakes in Sichuan, China, for early warning and rapid loss estimates","docAbstract":"Large earthquakes like in Wenchuan in 2008, MW 7.9, Sichuan, China, provide opportunity for earthquake early warning (EEW) as many heavily shaken areas are far (~50 km) from the epicenter and warning time could be long enough (≥ 5 s) to take effective preventative action. On the other hand, earthquakes with magnitudes larger than ~M 6.5 are challenging for EEW since source dimensions need to be defined in order to adequately estimate shaking. The Finite-Fault Rupture Detector (FinDer) is an approach to identify fault rupture extents from real-time strong motion and/or broadband records. In this study, we playback local and regional on-scale strong motion waveforms recorded during the 2008 MW 7.9 Wenchuan, 2013 MW 6.6 Lushan, and 2017 MW 6.5 Jiuzhaigou earthquakes to study the performance of FinDer for the current layout of the China Strong Motion Network. Overall, the FinDer line-source models agree well with the observed spatial distribution of aftershocks and fault models determined from waveform inversion. However, since FinDer models are constructed to characterize seismic ground motions (as needed for EEW) instead of source parameters, the rupture length can be overestimated for events radiating high levels of high-frequency motions, as is the case in the Lushan earthquake. If the set of strong motion data used had been available in real-time, 50% to 80% of sites experiencing shaking of intensity MMI IV-VII (light to very strong) and 30% experiencing VIII-IX (severe to violent) could have been issued a warning with 10 s and 5 s, respectively, before the arrival of the destructive S-wave. We also show that loss estimates after devastating earthquakes based on the FinDer line-source are more accurate compared to a point-source model. For the Wenchuan earthquake, for example, they predict a four to six times larger number of fatalities and injured, which is consistent with official reports. At the same time, these losses could be provided 1/2~3 hours faster than if based on more complex inversion rupture models.","language":"English","publisher":"Seismological Society of America","doi":"10.1785/0120190117","usgsCitation":"Li, J., Bose, M., Wyss, M., Wald, D.J., Hutchinson, A., Clinton, J.F., Wu, Z., Jiang, C., and Zhou, S., 2020, Estimating rupture dimensions of three major earthquakes in Sichuan, China, for early warning and rapid loss estimates: Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, v. 110, no. 2, p. 920-936, https://doi.org/10.1785/0120190117.","productDescription":"17 p.","startPage":"920","endPage":"936","ipdsId":"IP-111175","costCenters":[{"id":300,"text":"Geologic Hazards Science Center","active":true,"usgs":true}],"links":[{"id":372479,"type":{"id":24,"text":"Thumbnail"},"url":"https://pubs.usgs.gov/thumbnails/outside_thumb.jpg"}],"country":"China","city":"Sichuan","geographicExtents":"{\n  \"type\": \"FeatureCollection\",\n  \"features\": [\n    {\n      \"type\": \"Feature\",\n      \"properties\": {},\n      \"geometry\": {\n        \"type\": \"Polygon\",\n        \"coordinates\": [\n          [\n            [\n              71.015625,\n              35.460669951495305\n            ],\n            [\n              100.8984375,\n              20.96143961409684\n            ],\n            [\n              115.6640625,\n              18.312810846425442\n            ],\n            [\n              123.3984375,\n              31.353636941500987\n            ],\n            [\n              123.74999999999999,\n              40.17887331434696\n            ],\n            [\n              135,\n              47.517200697839414\n            ],\n            [\n              123.3984375,\n              53.54030739150022\n            ],\n            [\n              114.60937499999999,\n              47.040182144806664\n            ],\n            [\n              122.34374999999999,\n              46.31658418182218\n            ],\n            [\n              107.22656249999999,\n              41.77131167976407\n            ],\n            [\n              94.921875,\n              44.33956524809713\n            ],\n            [\n              86.8359375,\n              49.38237278700955\n            ],\n            [\n              75.234375,\n              40.17887331434696\n            ],\n            [\n              71.015625,\n              35.460669951495305\n            ]\n          ]\n        ]\n      }\n    }\n  ]\n}","volume":"110","issue":"2","publishingServiceCenter":{"id":2,"text":"Denver PSC"},"noUsgsAuthors":false,"publicationDate":"2020-01-28","publicationStatus":"PW","contributors":{"authors":[{"text":"Li, Jiawei","contributorId":222638,"corporation":false,"usgs":false,"family":"Li","given":"Jiawei","email":"","affiliations":[{"id":40574,"text":"Institute of Geophysics, China Earthquake Administration, Beijing, China; 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