Arctic hydrology is experiencing rapid changes including earlier snow melt, permafrost degradation, increasing active layer depth, and reduced river ice, all of which are expected to lead to changes in stream flow regimes. Recently, long-term (>60 years) climate reanalysis and river discharge observation data have become available. We utilized these data to assess long-term changes in discharge and their hydroclimatic drivers. River discharge during the cold season (October–April) increased by 10% per decade. The most widespread discharge increase occurred in April (15% per decade), the month of ice break-up for the majority of basins. In October, when river ice formation generally begins, average monthly discharge increased by 7% per decade. Long-term air temperature increases in October and April increased the number of days above freezing (+1.1 d per decade) resulting in increased snow ablation (20% per decade) and decreased snow water equivalent (−12% per decade). Compared to the historical period (1960–1989), mean April and October air temperature in the recent period (1990–2019) have greater correlation with monthly discharge from 0.33 to 0.68 and 0.0–0.48, respectively. This indicates that the recent increases in air temperature are directly related to these discharge changes. Ubiquitous increases in cold and shoulder-season discharge demonstrate the scale at which hydrologic and biogeochemical fluxes are being altered in the Arctic.
We investigate the rates of magmatic processes using clinopyroxene diffusion chronometry on volcanic products erupted in August 2017 at the end of the 9-month eruption of Bogoslof volcano. The eruptive products contain plagioclase, clinopyroxene, and amphibole, all of which exhibit sharp chemical boundaries and are occasionally observed in multi-phase crystal clots with shared zoning boundaries across different mineral phases. At the shared boundaries in crystal clots, clinopyroxene and plagioclase continued to grow but abruptly changed composition from Mg# 81.7 ± 5.8 to 72.9 ± 3.0 and An82.5±1.4 to An61.3±5.7, respectively. Additionally, the sharp boundary marks where amphibole became unstable and began forming a reaction rim. Synthesizing these observations, we were able to determine that the shared boundaries formed as a result of rapid decompression during magma ascent, followed by storage in a shallow cryptodome, where magma accumulated prior to erupting.
In order to determine the timescales of magma ascent and subsequent crystal residence times, we applied diffusion chronometry on zoned clinopyroxene phenocrysts using Mg# concentrations at 1056 °C determined from Fe![\"single](\"https://sdfestaticassets-us-east-1.sciencedirectassets.com/shared-assets/55/entities/sbnd.gif\")
Ti oxide pairs. Our diffusion modeling results show that diffusion began at the stepwise boundaries in clinopyroxenes no more than180 days before the final explosive event.
Ti oxide pairs. Our diffusion modeling results show that diffusion began at the stepwise boundaries in clinopyroxenes no more than180 days before the final explosive event.These results were then used to calculate crystal growth rates for shared plagioclase and amphibole rims, as shared zones in crystal clots indicate that the boundaries in all three phases formed contemporaneously. We calculate growth rates of plagioclase crystals (1.7 ± 0.99 × 10−6 um/s) and amphibole reaction rims (2.8 ± 0.47 × 10−6 um/s). The calculated natural growth rate of plagioclase was then used to constrain additional magmatic timescales from growth rate chronometry, results of which support our diffusion timescales.
Our results indicate that the distinct boundaries in all three mineral phases formed due to ascent-driven decompression followed by shallow emplacement of mafic magma that occurred continually throughout the course of the eruption. By subtracting diffusion timescales from the date that the samples were erupted, the oldest crystal boundaries correspond to March 2017, seemingly correlating with increases in both seismicity and SO2 emissions. These observations may suggest that our petrochronometric results are supported by interdisciplinary observations.