USGS Publications Warehouse

Refinement of a framework for Moving Aircraft River Velocimetry (MARV) and application to particle tracking along Alaskan rivers

Legleiter, Carl; Kinzel, Paul; Laker, Mark; Conaway, Jeff — Tue, 12 May 2026 13:47:57

Information on river velocities enhances understanding flood hazards, evaluating habitat conditions, and predicting the transport of floating materials. In this follow-up study, we used data from two new sites, one with a more complex morphology and the other with a lower suspended sediment concentration, to provide further evidence that Moving Aircraft River Velocimetry (MARV) can yield accurate velocity estimates ( R² up to 0.87 when compared to field measurements) for long segments of large, turbid rivers. The MARV workflow is packaged in freely available software and is robust to implementation details; neither buffering to mitigate edge effects nor a new approach to aggregating velocity vectors improved performance. MARV was not sensitive to parameters used to establish overlapping image sequences, but combining a long window with a short jump between consecutive windows was the optimal configuration. Although accuracy varied from one cross section to the next, agreement between remotely sensed velocities and those measured in the field was independent of position within a frame range. As an initial step toward application of the approach to help address practical problems, we showed how MARV can drive particle tracking models. Our first-order simulations suggest that channel morphology and flow velocity are the primary controls on travel time and particle fate, with diffusive processes playing a lesser role. Although MARV can be used to characterize an instantaneous flow field, a more comprehensive framework that accounts for other physical processes would be required to model specific types of events like oil spills.

Nest site and habitat changes over 15 years in a predicted climate refugium in Beluga, AK, USA, have a positive impact on Hudsonian godwit (Limosa haemastica) nest survival

Thu, 7 May 2026 14:50:17

Climate change is transforming the Arctic and sub-Arctic at a pace that threatens many taxa with population declines and extinction. However, some habitats–such as muskeg bogs–can serve as climatic refugia and lessen the effects of a changing climate on the species that rely on them. Hudsonian Godwits (Limosa haemastica) are a species of migratory shorebird that utilizes the muskeg bogs of Alaska and Canada to breed. Our study focused on a muskeg bog in Beluga, Alaska, USA to see if it had changed from 2009 to 2023, if the availability of Godwit nests sites in the bogs changed in concert, and if Godwit nest survival was affected by any of these changes. We found that, overall, the bog dried and became more vegetated, with the proportional cover of graminoids, shrubs, and forbs all increasing during our study. Godwit nest sites also changed, with the proportion of shrubs and graminoids around nests increasing over time. Nonetheless, these changes did not negatively impact Godwit nest survival. Instead, nest survival increased ~ 22% during our study period, and we observed no decline in the number of potential nests sites available to Godwits. Taken together, these results suggest that while muskeg bogs are changing, they are also currently acting as climate refugia for Godwits. However, it is unclear for how long muskeg bogs can continue to buffer Godwits and other species from the effects of climate change.

Dynamic drainage reorganization in Eastern Tibet: Insights from the Yangtze River first bend

Fri, 1 May 2026 15:26:27

The modern drainage network of eastern Tibet is widely believed to have developed through a series of river capture and flow reversal events; however, the timing and mechanisms driving this reorganization remain contentious. Among these events, the river capture that formed the First Bend of the Yangtze River (YFB) stands out as both iconic and particularly debated. Here we present sedimentary provenance data from the Late Miocene–Quaternary Dali Basin, located south of the YFB, which indicate that a southward-flowing Jinsha River (i.e., the present-day upper Yangtze River) sourced sediment to the Dali basin at ∼7.4–6.4 Ma in a drainage configuration different from that of today. Because this interval postdates the initial establishment of a near-modern Jinsha River system prior to the Miocene, our results imply at least two discrete fluvial reorganizations occurred at the YFB—one preceding ∼7.4 Ma and another following ∼6.4 Ma. By integrating these findings with landscape evolution modeling, we infer that the initiation of rapid uplift of the Yulong-Haba Mountains and the Diancang Shan may have been responsible for these drainage reorganizations. These results underscore that Cenozoic drainage systems on the eastern Tibetan Plateau have evolved dynamically on a short timescale of ∼10⁵–10⁶-year, rather than remaining in a long-term stationary configuration on ∼10⁷-year timescales.

Evaluating snow depth measurements from ground-penetrating radar and airborne lidar in boreal forest and tundra environments during the NASA SnowEx 2023 campaign

Mon, 27 Apr 2026 15:06:55

Snow is a vital component of high-latitude terrestrial systems, but environmental factors (e.g., permafrost) and complex vegetation challenge the accurate measurement of key snowpack properties. We evaluated local-scale ground-penetrating radar (GPR) and large-scale airborne lidar retrievals of snow depth collected during the NASA SnowEx 2023 campaign in tundra and boreal forest environments in Alaska along 44 short (3–12 m) transects. Compared to in situ observations, we identified modest biases for GPR snow depths (bias <0.03 m in tundra, +0.06 m in boreal forests) and larger biases for lidar snow depths in the boreal forests (–0.16 m). At the Upper Kuparuk-Toolik tundra site, lidar snow depths exhibited a small bias (–0.02 m), whereas the bias was much larger at the Arctic Coastal Plain tundra site (+0.19 m). For most sites, biases were primarily related to sub-snow vegetation, tussocks, and seasonally dynamic ground. However, we identified vertical alignment issues with the Arctic Coastal Plain lidar snow depth dataset that likely contributed to the higher bias. The complex ground surface and sub-snow vegetation in these environments present a challenge to established snow depth measurement methods, which needs to be considered when evaluating novel remote sensing approaches.

A practical decision tool for marine bird mortality assessments

Thu, 14 May 2026 14:01:51

Given the rise in anthropogenic, environmental, and disease events contributing to marine bird mortality, there is a critical need to improve the rigor of mortality assessments. Deficits in data collection and mortality estimation can hinder a manager’s ability to document the scale of events and assess population level impacts. Therefore, to inform decisions required during activities, such as conservation status assessments or harvest management, organizations may choose to incorporate mortality assessments into response plans. Resources, capacity, and assets to assess mortality vary across jurisdictions (federal, state, Indigenous, local, etc.), and clear guidance to support mortality assessments is often unavailable or not clearly addressed. Here, we present a decision support tool to help managers identify and evaluate survey options to assess bird mortality in a diverse array of scenarios. The objective of the decision tool is to improve data collection and availability, which will increase the ability to estimate mortality robustly, given situation-specific attributes and constraints. This decision tool is designed to guide the response when a mortality event is initially encountered and offers suggestions for assessment and reporting procedures in the absence of other guidance or to complement existing protocols. The decision tool is also meant to inform decision making for response determination and resource allocation. The tool facilitates examination of options for further assessment and monitoring, which users determine by examining questions pertaining to species prioritization, determination of mortality minimum spatial extent, and the potential magnitude of impacts on affected species. Finally, identification of appropriate survey methods that address imperfect detection when a complete census is not possible are determined by exploring location, spatial and temporal extent, and the type of species affected. Ultimately, this decision tool aims to facilitate and improve the standardization of mortality assessments, equipping managers with a practical resource to navigate the decision-making process for marine bird mortality estimation.

The Sedimentary Geochemistry and Paleoenvironments Project Phase 2 data release: An open data resource for the study of Earth's environmental history

Wed, 22 Apr 2026 15:01:35

Geochemical data from sedimentary rocks are the primary source of information regarding Earth's surface evolution through time, including its air and water envelopes and interactions with life and deep Earth processes. The Sedimentary Geochemistry and Paleoenvironments Project (SGP) is a scientific consortium centered around open data and community-driven development of cyberinfrastructure tools and resources for sedimentary geochemistry and Earth history. Here we describe the SGP Phase 2 data release, which focused on incorporating Paleoproterozoic and Mesoproterozoic (2500–1000 million years ago) data and better accommodating carbonate data. This data release was built through the involvement of >200 researchers worldwide in academia, government, and industry, and provides the largest available public data resource for our user community in the academic fields of geochemistry, sedimentology, tectonics, paleontology, Earth history, and paleoclimate, as well as the petroleum and minerals industries. The dataset now encompasses 126,006 samples and 4,132,371 geochemical analyses. In addition to direct entry by SGP Team Members, we have ingested and incorporated datasets from the Geoscience Australia OZCHEM database, the Alberta Geological Survey, and the Deep-Time Marine Sedimentary Element Database (DM-SED) compilation. This paper details sampling in the Phase 2 dataset with respect to age, geography, lithology, and other geological characteristics, documents access via our search website and API, discusses possible issues and/or biases in the dataset that could impact analyses, describes plans for governance and stewardship of data from Indigenous lands, and serves as the citable reference paper for the data release.

Global glacier mass change in 2025

Thu, 9 Apr 2026 16:29:51

Glaciers lost 408 ± 132 Gt of mass during the hydrological year 2025, equivalent to 1.1 ± 0.4 mm sea-level rise. Since 1975, glacier mass loss has totalled 9,583 ± 1,211 Gt, equivalent to 26.4 ± 3.3 mm of sea-level rise, with six of the highest mass-loss years on record occurring in the past seven years.

Geologic map of the Emmons Lake volcanic center, Alaska

Thu, 2 Apr 2026 14:28:05

Introduction

The Emmons Lake volcanic center is a spatially clustered group of stratovolcanoes and calderas in the southwestern part of the Alaska Peninsula, Alaska. The volcanic center is characterized by several ice- and snow-clad stratovolcanoes located within and along the margins of a nested-caldera complex that includes Emmons Lake. A shieldlike ancestral edifice (ancestral Mount Emmons) is truncated by the caldera complex and forms a broad volcanic platform around the center. The main stratovolcanoes of the Emmons Lake volcanic center are Pavlof Sister, Pavlof Volcano, Little Pavlof, Double Crater, Mount Hague, and Mount Emmons. Several small unnamed cinder cones and vents also are located within Emmons Lake volcanic center and on the east flank of Pavlof Volcano. Many of these cones and vents have been the source of the young lava flows that mantle the floor of the caldera. Pavlof Volcano, in the northeastern part of the Emmons Lake volcanic center, is one of the most historically (that is, the past about 300 years) active volcanoes in Alaska, and eruptions from Pavlof Volcano pose the greatest hazards to the region.

Volcanic rocks of the Emmons Lake volcanic center overlie continental and marine sedimentary rocks of chiefly Late Jurassic to early Tertiary age. The oldest rocks in the area are those of the Naknek Formation, consisting of volcaniclastic sandstone, siltstone, and conglomerate of Late Jurassic age. The southern part of the area includes rocks of the Belkofski Formation, a thick sequence of volcaniclastic sandstone, siltstone, and conglomerate of middle Tertiary age. Lava flows, volcanic breccia, and fluvial volcaniclastic rocks of late Miocene age, which unconformably overlie the Belkofski Formation south of the Emmons Lake volcanic center, are primarily exposed on the islands just south of the Alaska Peninsula.

The Emmons Lake volcanic center was affected multiple times by glaciation associated with the glacier expansion that characterized the Quaternary. Glaciation has played a key role in shaping the present-day landscape, and much of the eruptive history of the Emmons Lake volcanic center has involved interactions with glacier ice. Thus, a brief review of the Quaternary glacial history of the area is provided to establish the physical context for Emmons Lake volcanic center eruptive activity.

Post-hatch ecology, diet, and first migration of juvenile Alaskan Bar-tailed Godwits

Mon, 11 May 2026 14:38:59

Life stages between hatching and adult recruitment are poorly described for most migratory shorebird species and represent a critical knowledge gap in understanding long-term population dynamics. We conducted a pilot study on the Seward Peninsula, Alaska, to assess the feasibility of following juvenile Bar-tailed Godwits Limosa lapponica baueri from their breeding grounds to their non-breeding grounds in New Zealand and Australia. Radio-tracked broods were highly mobile and moved hundreds to thousands of meters per day. They used low-elevation wetlands with dense shrub cover when younger, and more open, tundra-dominated ridgetops when older. Using DNA metabarcoding analysis of fecal samples, we found that chick diet consisted largely of flying insects (e.g. Tenthredinidae and Ichneumonidae) and small gastropods and appeared to increase in diversity with chick age. We followed one brood to near-fledging (ca. 26 days old) and deployed 5-g satellite transmitters on three chicks. One of these subsequently moved to the Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta, from where it flew 11 days and an estimated 13,391 km to Tasmania, which is the longest non-stop flight recorded for landbirds. These results provide the first information on the ecology of pre- and post-fledging young Bar-tailed Godwits in Alaska, and will inform future efforts to study this important life stage.

Challenges and opportunities for national-scale projections of future coastal landscape change

Mon, 18 May 2026 14:55:52

Local to global scale projections of future coastal landscape change are essential to improve land and resource management decisions that aim to prepare for and reduce risk exposure to impending coastal hazards. However, the availability of actionable knowledge is often limited due to the complexity of drivers of change, their consequences, and uncertainties that span disciplines. Varying spatial and temporal scales of physical processes that occur on landscapes with differing levels of coastal development and modification complicate decision-making. This paper reviews advances in observational approaches, modeling, and quantification of uncertainty to support the next generation of coastal change projections. We also highlight transdisciplinary opportunities for making this information more accessible and useful to support decision-making in the coastal zone. This includes consideration of different levels of user engagement to address specific needs, as well as resources and mechanisms that can support knowledge transfer broadly. A central recommendation is the development of a coordinated framework to support research integration including three components: accounting for relevant drivers, processes, and feedbacks; working with users to identify their information needs; and generating meaningful projections and uncertainty. Actions that would support such frameworks include the evaluation of models through coordinated research approaches and multi-model comparisons; ongoing investments in observations and data-driven approaches necessary to understand this complex environment; expansion of modeling capabilities using novel techniques; prioritization of co-development efforts between researchers and users; and continued training and support for transdisciplinary research.

Rapid seismic and infrasound assessment of large landslides: A case study from Denali National Park and Preserve (Alaska)

Thu, 26 Mar 2026 20:12:07

Large, rapid landslides are a global hazard that can occur in remote, mountainous areas. Eyewitness reports of landslides and satellite imagery can often be limited or delayed, particularly during inclement weather. However, landslide-generated seismic and infrasound (low-frequency atmospheric sound) waves can be remotely detected in near real-time. This information can significantly expedite characterization and possible landslide response activities. Here, we highlight these capabilities using a > 4 million m³ ice–rock avalanche in Denali National Park and Preserve (Alaska). This event was detected via a landslide-specific seismic location and volume estimation algorithm deployed in Alaska, and — notably — by standard earthquake monitoring systems. Following rapid detection of this event, we combined its seismic and infrasound dataset with optical, synthetic aperture radar, and oblique aerial imagery, multitemporal digital elevation models, and a numerical flow model to reconstruct its failure timeline and dynamics. We apply array processing to infrasound signals traveling > 250 km and find that two precursory events occurred minutes prior to the main failure. We use long-period seismic signals to infer the force exerted by the landslide on the Earth and constrain the rheological parameters of our numerical flow simulation with this result and deposit morphology. The main failure produced a steeply-dipping impulsive initial downward force and reached speeds exceeding 60 m/s. This impulsive force generated relatively strong seismic body waves, which contributed to the earthquake system detection. This large, remote Alaska landslide underscores the key value of seismic and infrasound analysis for rapid landslide assessment and motivates efforts to further operationalize these approaches.

The collective application of shorebird tracking data to conservation

Tue, 24 Mar 2026 15:43:44

Addressing urgent conservation issues, such as the drastic declines of North American migratory birds, requires creative, evidence-based, efficient, and collaborative approaches. The abundance of over 50% of monitored North American shorebird populations has declined by over 50% since 1980. To address these declines, we developed a partnership of scientists and practitioners called the Shorebird Science and Conservation Collective (hereafter the collective). The collective was founded to translate the combined findings of shorebird tracking data into on-the-ground conservation action. With advice from an advisory group, the collective acts as an intermediary whereby dedicated staff collate and analyze data contributions from scientists to support knowledge requests from conservation practitioners. In its first three years, data contributions from 75 organizations include over 7.1 million shorebird observations forming movement paths of 3420 individuals representing 36 species tracked across the Americas and have informed 18 conservation projects spanning education, land and species management, land conservation, and policy requests. Others engaged in translational science from big data could consider similar knowledge-sharing models that prioritize usable data products, foster collaborative engagement between science experts and practitioners, build focused communities around topics or taxonomic groups, and employ a proof-of-concept phase to develop scalable solutions while making progress toward long-term funding to sustain impact. As the volume of scientific data continues to grow, intermediaries, such as the collective, can be vital liaisons to rapidly integrate and interpret research to support conservation action. Dedicated to the memory of Shiloh Schulte and his conservation achievements for shorebirds.