Seasonal Kendall Test for Trend US Geological Survey, 2005 Data set: Example SK1a - Seasonal Kendall test, input type 1 The record is 12 complete water years with 12 seasons per year beginning in water year 1974. The tau correlation coefficient is -0.092 S = -22. z = -0.934 p = 0.3505 p = 0.3580 adjusted for correlation among seasons (such as serial dependence) The adjusted p-value should be used only for data with more than 10 annual values per season. The estimated trend may be described by the equation: Y = 488.0 + -6.333 * Time where Time = Year (as a decimal) - 1973.75 (beginning of first water year)