Seasonal Kendall Test for Trend US Geological Survey, 2005 Data set: Example SK1b - Seasonal Kendall test, input type 1 The record is 14 complete water years with 12 seasons per year beginning in water year 1972. The tau correlation coefficient is -0.060 S = -41. z = -0.872 p = 0.3834 p = 0.4323 adjusted for correlation among seasons (such as serial dependence) The adjusted p-value should be used only for data with more than 10 annual values per season. The estimated trend may be described by the equation: Y = 0.5049 + -0.4608E-01 * Time where Time = Year (as a decimal) - 1971.75 (beginning of first water year)