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Scientific Investigations Report 2007–5185

U.S. GEOLOGICAL SURVEY
Scientific Investigations Report 2007–5185

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Table 3. Prediction errors of the Trading Tool when used to estimate the effects of several hypothetical heat-trading test cases.

[A positive mean, minimum, or maximum error indicates that the tool gave a result that was larger than that predicted by the Willamette River flow and temperature models. All results are based on the 95th percentile of the 7dADM water-temperature difference, as described in the section, “Methods.” Abbreviations: 7dADM, 7-day moving average of the daily maximum; °C, degrees Celsius]

Heat-trading
test case
Error (°C)
Mean Mean
absolute
Minimum Maximum
1 0.001 0.002 -0.005 0.005
2 -0.002 0.002 - 0.011 0.004
3 -0.001 0.001 -0.005 0.002
4 -0.003 0.003 -0.014 0.002

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