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Scientific Investigations Report 2010–5016

Development of an Environmental Flow Framework for the McKenzie River Basin, Oregon

Table 15. Hydrologic changes in selected reaches, McKenzie River, Oregon.

[Pre- and post-dam period of records are in water years. Recurrence intervals for the small and large floods are 2 and 10 years, respectively, and based on daily mean, not annual peak streamflow data]

  Pre-dam
1936–1962
Post-dam
1963–2008
Percentage
change
Reach 1 below Trail Bridge Dam at McKenzie River near Belknap Springs (14158850)
Number of years in period 27 46
Percent streamflow exceedance, in cubic feet per second
10th 1,520 1,509 -0.7
50th 884 916 3.6
90th 601 622 3.5
10th/50th 1.72 1.65 -4.2
Median Julian date of the annual minimum daily streamflow 281 284  
Percent of years having one or more small floods per year 44 37 -17
Percent of years having two or more small floods per year 15 2.2 -85
Percent of years having one or more large floods per year 7.4 2.2 -71
Median of the large-flood magnitudes, in cubic feet per second 6,540 7,650 17
Reach 3 below Cougar Dam at South Fork McKenzie River, near Rainbow (14159500)
Number of years in period 28 45
Percent streamflow exceedance, in cubic feet per second
10th 1,700 1,430 -16
50th 604 705 17
90th 235 277 18
10th/50th 2.81 2.03 -28
Median Julian date of the annual minimum daily streamflow 275 64  
Percent of years having one or more small floods per year 46 4.4 -90
Percent of years having two or more small floods per year 7.1 .0 -100
Percent of years having one or more large floods per year 7.1 .0 -100
Median of the large-flood magnitudes, in cubic feet per second 13,950 0 -100
Reach 5 below Blue River Dam, at Blue River, near Blue River (14162200)
Number of years in period 33 40
Percent streamflow exceedance, in cubic feet per second
10th 1,044 1,006 -3.6
50th 256 294 15
90th 32 51 59
10th/50th 4.08 3.42 -16
Median Julian date of the annual minimum daily streamflow 271 52.5  
Percent of years having one or more small floods per year 45 0 -100
Percent of years having two or more small floods per year 12 0 -100
Percent of years having one or more large floods per year 9.1 0 -100
Median of the large-flood magnitudes, in cubic feet per second 12,690 0 -100
Reach 7 at McKenzie River near Vida (14162500)
Number of years in period 39 46
Percent streamflow exceedance, in cubic feet per second
10th 7,000 6,970 -0.4
50th 3,030 3,230 6.6
90th 1,600 2,167 35
10th/50th 2.31 2.16 -6.6
Median Julian date of the annual minimum daily streamflow 276 282  
Percent of years having one or more small floods per year 44 2.2 -95
Percent of years having two or more small floods per year 13 0.0 -100
Percent of years having one or more large floods per year 7.7 2.2 -72
Median of the large-flood magnitudes, in cubic feet per second 47,900 43,200 -10
Reach 12 at McKenzie River near Coburg (14165500)
Number of years in period 27 46
Percent streamflow exceedance, in cubic feet per second
10th 10,500 9,860 -6.1
50th 4,304 4,096 -4.8
90th 1,820 2,390 31
10th/50th 2.44 2.41 -1.3
Median Julian date of the annual minimum daily streamflow 274 259  
Percent of years having one or more small floods per year 44 11 -76
Percent of years having two or more small floods per year 15 0 -100
Percent of years having one or more large floods per year 7.4 2.2 -71
Median of the large-flood magnitudes, in cubic feet per second 67,400 83,100 23

First posted February 8, 2010

For additional information contact:
Director, Oregon Water Science Center
U.S. Geological Survey
2130 SW 5th Avenue
Portland, Oregon 97201
http://or.water.usgs.gov

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