Scientific Investigations Report 2010–5179
ABSTRACTMethods for estimating June and August median streamflows were developed for ungaged, unregulated streams in southern Maine. The methods apply to streams with drainage areas ranging in size from 0.4 to 74 square miles, with percentage of basin underlain by a sand and gravel aquifer ranging from 0 to 84 percent, and with distance from the centroid of the basin to a Gulf of Maine line paralleling the coast ranging from 14 to 94 miles. Equations were developed with data from 4 long-term continuous-record streamgage stations and 27 partial-record streamgage stations. Estimates of median streamflows at the continuous-record and partial-record stations are presented. A mathematical technique for estimating standard low-flow statistics, such as June and August median streamflows, at partial-record streamgage stations was applied by relating base-flow measurements at these stations to concurrent daily streamflows at nearby long-term (at least 10 years of record) continuous-record streamgage stations (index stations). Weighted least-squares regression analysis (WLS) was used to relate estimates of June and August median streamflows at streamgage stations to basin characteristics at these same stations to develop equations that can be used to estimate June and August median streamflows on ungaged streams. WLS accounts for different periods of record at the gaging stations. Three basin characteristics—drainage area, percentage of basin underlain by a sand and gravel aquifer, and distance from the centroid of the basin to a Gulf of Maine line paralleling the coast—are used in the final regression equation to estimate June and August median streamflows for ungaged streams. The three-variable equation to estimate June median streamflow has an average standard error of prediction from -35 to 54 percent. The three-variable equation to estimate August median streamflow has an average standard error of prediction from -45 to 83 percent. Simpler one-variable equations that use only drainage area to estimate June and August median streamflows were developed for use when less accuracy is acceptable. These equations have average standard errors of prediction from -46 to 87 percent and from -57 to 133 percent, respectively. |
First posted October 21, 2010 For additional information contact: Part or all of this report is presented in Portable Document Format (PDF); the latest version of Adobe Reader or similar software is required to view it. Download the latest version of Adobe Reader, free of charge. |
Lombard, P.J., 2010, June and August median streamflows estimated for ungaged streams in southern Maine: U.S. Geological Survey Scientific Investigations Report 2010–5179, 16 p., at http://pubs.usgs.gov/sir/2010/5179/.
Abstract
Introduction
Purpose and Scope
Description of Study Area
Data Collection and Analysis
Station Selection and Streamflow Measurements
Basin Characteristics
Computation of June and August Median Streamflows at Long-Term Continuous-Record Stations
Estimation of June and August Median Streamflows at Partial-Record Stations
June and August Median Streamflows Estimated for Ungaged Streams
Statistical Methods
Ordinary Least-Squares Regression
Weighted Least-Squares Regression
Average Standard Error of Prediction
Three-Variable Models
One-Variable Models
Summary and Conclusions
Acknowledgments
References Cited