CHARMECK USGS

Effects of August 1995 and July 1997 Storms in the City of Charlotte and Mecklenburg County, North Carolina

Prepared in cooperation with the City of Charlotte and Mecklenburg County


In this report --
BLUE DOT Introduction
BLUE DOT Rainfall in the City of Charlotte and Mecklenburg County During the Storms of August 26-28, 1995, and July 22-24, 1997
BLUE DOT Flooding in the City of Charlotte and Mecklenburg County as a Result of the Storms of August 26-28, 1995, and July 22-24, 1997
BLUE DOT Effects of the August 26-28, 1995, and July 22-24, 1997, Storms on Water Quality
BLUE DOT References
Frequently asked questions --
BLUE DOT How can we have two "100-year floods" in less than two years?
BLUE DOT What is a recurrence interval?
BLUE DOT Does a 100-year storm always cause a 100-year flood?
BLUE DOT How can the same streamflow be a 100-year flood at one location and only a 50-year flood at another?
BLUE DOT Determination of Peak Flows

HOW CAN WE HAVE TWO "100-YEAR FLOODS" IN LESS THAN TWO YEARS?

This question points out the importance of proper terminology. The term "100-year flood" is used in an attempt to simplify the definition of a flood that statistically has a 1-percent chance of occurring in any given year. Likewise, the term "100-year storm" is used to define a rainfall event that statistically has this same 1-percent chance of occurring. In other words, over the course of 1 million years, these events would be expected to occur 10,000 times. The amount of rainfall in the city of Charlotte and Mecklenburg County and the subsequent flooding in August 1995 had no influence on the events of July 1997. These events, as well as any recurring events, are assumed to be statistically independent of each other.

Therefore, each year begins with the same 1-percent chance that a 100-year event will occur.
Recurrence interval, in years Probability of occurrence in any given year Percent chance of occurrence in any given year
100
50
25
10
5
2
1 in 100
1 in 50
1 in 25
1 in 10
1 in 5
1 in 2
1
2
4
10
20
50

Briar Creek Flooded homes along Myers Park Drive when Briar Creek overflowed its banks. (Photograph from The Charlotte Observer/Gary O'Brien)

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Last modified: Wed Jul 8 14:23:22 1998