USGS - science for a changing world


U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 00-415

A Microsoft Windows Version of the MARK3

Monte Carlo Resource Simulator

 

 

Discussion of Disc Contents

System Requirements

Installation

Disclaimer

Known Program Bugs and Program Download

FIGURES:

Figure showing probability curve for tons of molybdenum.

Figure showing probability curve for tons of ore.

 

The information shown below is an example of the simulation results calculated by MARK3.

MARK3B SIMULATION RESULTS 

(EXPRESSED IN METRIC TONS) REQUESTED

BY: John Q. Geologist 

ASSESSMENT AREA: My Mine Area

DATE REQUESTED: Tuesday, October 03, 2000

AT TIME: 02:46:07 PM

1 --- Processing Model Number 5 --- EMPIRICAL

The code name assigned to this model calculation is QQ01

Probability of Zero Deposits = -1.0000

5 - Stockwork(Climax) Mo(16)

90 pct     50 pct     10 pct        Type

    3            5            10         EMPIRICAL

Random Number Seed = 970598764

SORTED SIMULATION RESULTS FOR MOLYBDENUM

ORDER OF OCCURRENCE

UNCONDITIONAL CONDITIONAL

     0   0.000000e+000  155 1.713755e+004

 250  4.611040e+005   409 8.633474e+005

 500  1.014982e+006   663 1.235599e+006

 750  1.366572e+006   917 1.566495e+006

1000 1.660628e+006 1171 1.855438e+006

1250 1.937372e+006 1425 2.120537e+006

1500 2.201168e+006 1679 2.392069e+006

1750 2.452438e+006 1933 2.628790e+006

2000 2.705131e+006 2187 2.894900e+006

2250 2.957709e+006 2441 3.170808e+006

2500 3.236605e+006 2695 3.453854e+006

2750 3.504813e+006 2949 3.746027e+006

3000 3.800252e+006 3203 4.076640e+006

3250 4.130923e+006 3457 4.403683e+006

3500 4.459719e+006 3711 4.736044e+006

3750 4.790257e+006 3965 5.106280e+006

4000 5.154680e+006 4219 5.579418e+006

4250 5.631162e+006 4473 6.173843e+006

4500 6.266507e+006 4727 7.051535e+006

4750 7.120271e+006 4981 9.629757e+006

4998 1.176081e+007 4998 1.176081e+007

 

EXPECTED MEAN MOLYBDENUM

UNCONDITIONAL CONDITIONAL

3.461449e+006          3.571473e+006

 

N = 0 FREQ(N) =   155 Prob(N) = 0.0286

N = 1 FREQ(N) =   140 Prob(N) = 0.0286

N = 2 FREQ(N) =   132 Prob(N) = 0.0286

N = 3 FREQ(N) =   534 Prob(N) = 0.1143

N = 4 FREQ(N) =  1004 Prob(N) = 0.2000

N = 5 FREQ(N) =   709 Prob(N) = 0.1400

N = 6 FREQ(N) =   417 Prob(N) = 0.0800

N = 7 FREQ(N) =   383 Prob(N) = 0.0800

N = 8 FREQ(N) =   429 Prob(N) = 0.0800

N = 9 FREQ(N) =   374 Prob(N) = 0.0800

N = 10 FREQ(N) = 722 Prob(N) = 0.1400

 

MEAN NUMBER OF DEPOSITS 5.7548

 

SORTED SIMULATION RESULTS FOR TONNES

ORDER OF OCCURRENCE

UNCONDITIONAL CONDITIONAL

      0 0.000000e+000   155 1.134716e+007

  250 2.541995e+008   409 4.613567e+008

  500 5.568751e+008   663 6.808854e+008

  750 7.418691e+008   917 8.548640e+008

1000 9.000628e+008 1171 9.969473e+008

1250 1.041351e+009 1425 1.128015e+009

1500 1.160651e+009 1679 1.260620e+009

1750 1.293597e+009 1933 1.391442e+009

2000 1.430986e+009 2187 1.521908e+009

2250 1.553417e+009 2441 1.669716e+009

2500 1.695540e+009 2695 1.805491e+009

2750 1.846710e+009 2949 1.966163e+009

3000 1.995934e+009 3203 2.108080e+009

3250 2.134428e+009 3457 2.283101e+009

3500 2.308923e+009 3711 2.474068e+009

3750 2.498124e+009 3965 2.668400e+009

4000 2.690447e+009 4219 2.894396e+009

4250 2.920445e+009 4473 3.184969e+009

4500 3.220960e+009 4727 3.555082e+009

4750 3.604571e+009 4981 4.630476e+009

4998 5.605702e+009 4998 5.605702e+009

 

EXPECTED MEAN TONNES

UNCONDITIONAL CONDITIONAL

1.798237e+009 1.855394e+009

 

N = 0 FREQ(N) = 155 Prob(N) = 0.0286

N = 1 FREQ(N) = 140 Prob(N) = 0.0286

N = 2 FREQ(N) = 132 Prob(N) = 0.0286

N = 3 FREQ(N) = 534 Prob(N) = 0.1143

N = 4 FREQ(N) = 1004 Prob(N) = 0.2000

N = 5 FREQ(N) = 709 Prob(N) = 0.1400

N = 6 FREQ(N) = 417 Prob(N) = 0.0800

N = 7 FREQ(N) = 383 Prob(N) = 0.0800

N = 8 FREQ(N) = 429 Prob(N) = 0.0800

N = 9 FREQ(N) = 374 Prob(N) = 0.0800

N = 10 FREQ(N) = 722 Prob(N) = 0.1400

 

MEAN NUMBER OF DEPOSITS 5.7548

U.S. Department of the Interior, U..S. Geological Survey

This page is https://pubs.usgs.gov/openfile/of00-415/output.htm

Contact: jduval@usgs.gov
Last modification: 02/21/2001 (jmw)