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Relative Coastal Change-Potential Assessment of Kenai Fjords National Park
USGS Open-File Report 2004-1373

Map of Coastal Change-Potential

Skip past contents informationTable of Contents Link to Title Page Link to Abstract page Link to Introduction Page Link to CPI Background Page Link to Data Ranking Page Link to KEFJ Page Link to Methods Page Link to Geologic Variables Page Link to Physical Process Variables Link to CPI Page Link to Results Page Link to Discussion Page Link to Conclusions Page Link to References Page

Data Ranking System

Table 1 shows the six variables described in the Introduction and includes both quantitative and qualitative information. The five quantitative variables are assigned a change-potential ranking based on their actual values, whereas the non-numerical geomorphology variable is ranked qualitatively according to the relative resistance of a given coastal landform to erosion. Shoreline change-potential is estimated using the relative resistance of the landform to erosion and the wave energy in the area. Rock-cliff areas are assigned low shoreline change-potential regardless of wave energy, because rock cliffs are not likely to experience significant erosion or accretion annually. Unconsolidated sediments within fjords are classified as moderate shoreline change-potential. Beaches along the exposed coast and areas where the termini of glaciers reach to or near the shoreline are classified as high shoreline change-potential. Regional coastal slopes range from very high change-potential, <4.59 percent, to very low change-potential at values >14.7 percent. The rate of relative sea-level change is ranked such that no change in sea level (0 mma-1) up to the modern rate of eustatic rise (1.8 mma-1) as very low change-potential. Since the global (eustatic) or "background" rate is common to all shorelines, the sea-level ranking reflects primarily local to regional isostatic or tectonic adjustment. Wave energy regime contributions to change-potential range from low within fjords to high along the outer coast. Tidal range is ranked such that microtidal (<1 m) coasts are very high change-potential and macrotidal (>6 m) coasts are very low change-potential.



Table 1. Ranges for Vulnerability Ranking of Variables on the U.S. Pacific Coast.

   Variables Very Low
1
Low
2
Moderate
3
High
4
Very High
5
GEOMORPHOLOGY Rocky cliffed coasts, Fjords Medium cliffs, Indented coasts Low cliffs, Glacial drift, Alluvial plains Cobble Beaches, Estuary, Lagoon Barrier beaches, Sand beaches, Salt marsh, Mud flats, Deltas, Mangrove, Coral reefs
ANNUAL SHORELINE CHANGE (EROSION/ACCRETION) POTENTIAL N/A Change Not Likely
Change may or may not occur
Change likely
N/A
COASTAL SLOPE (%) > 14.7 10.90 - 14.69
7.75 - 10.89
4.60 - 7.74
< 4.59
RELATIVE SEA-LEVEL CHANGE (mm/yr) 0 - 1.8
1.8 - 2.5
2.5 - 3.0
3.0 - 3.4
> 3.4
WAVE ENERGY REGIME (Mann, 1995) N/A
Low
Moderate
High
N/A
MEAN TIDE RANGE (m) > 6.0
4.0 - 6.0
2.0 - 4.0
1.0 - 2.0
< 1.0

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