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Human casualties in earthquakes: Modelling and mitigation

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Abstract

Earthquake risk modelling is needed for the planning of post-event emergency operations, for the development of insurance schemes, for the planning of mitigation measures in the existing building stock, and for the development of appropriate building regulations; in all of these applications estimates of casualty numbers are essential. But there are many questions about casualty estimation which are still poorly understood. These questions relate to the causes and nature of the injuries and deaths, and the extent to which they can be quantified. This paper looks at the evidence on these questions from recent studies. It then reviews casualty estimation models available, and finally compares the performance of some casualty models in making rapid post-event casualty estimates in recent earthquakes.

Suggested Citation

Spence, R., So, E., 2011, Human casualties in earthquakes: Modelling and mitigation, in Proceedings of the Ninth Pacific Conference on Earthquake Engineering: Building an earthquake resilient society, v. 2011, Aukland, New Zealand, April 14-16, 2011, 13 p.; Paper 224.

Publication type Conference Paper
Publication Subtype Conference Paper
Title Human casualties in earthquakes: Modelling and mitigation
Volume 2011
Year Published 2011
Language English
Publisher New Zealand Society for Earthquake Engineering
Publisher location Wellington, New Zealand
Contributing office(s) Geologic Hazards Science Center
Description 13 p.; Paper 224
Larger Work Type Book
Larger Work Subtype Conference publication
Larger Work Title Proceedings of the Ninth Pacific Conference on Earthquake Engineering: Building an earthquake resilient society
Conference Title 2011 Pacific Conference on Earthquake Engineering
Conference Location Aukland, New Zealand
Conference Date April 14-16, 2011
Additional publication details