Released April 11, 2025 06:43 EST

2025, Open-File Report 2025-1005

Kristen L. Bouska, Joshua Booker, Suzi Clark, John Delaney, Josh Eash, Max Post van der Burg, Heidi Roop

Climate change presents new and compounding challenges to natural resource management. With changing climate patterns, managers are confronted with difficult decisions on how to minimize climate effects on habitats, infrastructure, and wildlife populations. To support climate adaptation decision making, we first conceptualized an approach that integrates the principles of the resist–accept–direct framework, climate scenario planning, and decision analysis into a general framework to support adaptation planning. This framework was implemented and refined by working with three National Wildlife Refuge System refuges within the Midwest Region. The objectives of this report are to describe the climate adaptation decision framework and provide guidance for how to apply the framework to support transparent, consistent, and decision-focused adaptation planning. We include a workbook to support the application of each step of the framework as well as lessons learned from our experiences developing the framework. The climate adaptation decision framework has wide applicability to aid adaptation planning within natural resource management and underscores the important role of engaging interest groups in climate adaptation decisions.

Released April 10, 2025 14:01 EST

2025, Open-File Report 2025-1010

Liana N. Heberer, Kristen A. Alkins, Curt D. Storlazzi, Susan A. Cochran, Ann E. Gibbs, Russell Sparks, Kristy Stone, Itana Silva, Tatiana Martinez, Cole Peralto, Arielle S. Levine, Douglas Stow, Jillian Maloney

The fringing coral reef off Olowalu, Maui, Hawaii, has been identified as a local conservation priority site. In 2007, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) produced a benthic habitat map of the Hawaiian Islands that was used as a foundation for this study. To support place-based management of the reef in the future, the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) mapped the geologic zone, major and dominant geomorphological structure, biological cover type, and percent of biological cover for 11 square kilometers (km²) of Olowalu Reef at a minimum mapping unit (MMU) of 100 square meters (m²) to create a benthic habitat map. Heads-up digitization was employed on 0.50-meter (m) natural color satellite orthoimagery with ancillary 1-m acoustic backscatter imagery from single-scan sonar (sound navigation and ranging). A 1-m, 4-m, and 8-m digital bathymetric model (DBM) was interpolated from bathymetric lidar (light detection and ranging), and various geomorphometric layers derived from the DBMs were used for habitat interpretation. Still-frame imagery of the seafloor extracted from vessel-towed underwater video transects on Olowalu Reef served as ground validation points (n=870) during active mapping and accuracy assessment points (n=216) for thematic accuracy assessment. Thematic accuracy was cross-validated by the Hawai‘i Department of Land and Natural Resources Division of Aquatic Resources. Final thematic accuracy was 88.8 percent for major structure, 85.6 percent for dominant structure, 86.0 percent for major biological cover, and 78.6 percent for type and percent of major biological cover. Reef and hardbottom constituted 52 percent of the total mapped habitat, comprising mostly aggregate reef (31 percent) and pavement (11 percent), with large swaths of spur-and-groove (9 percent). Of this hardbottom, 17 percent was covered with moderate (10 to <50 percent) coral and 27 percent with high coral cover (50 to <90 percent). High (50 to <90 percent) macroalgae cover dominated the continuous sand sheets in offshore bank/shelf zones.

The map created in this study supplements the NOAA 2007 map and expands on the observations made by USGS sampling of the reef. The NOAA 2007 map and our map differed in total areal extent by a negligible 6 m² and were in general thematic agreement. Our map is intended to serve as a baseline for public access, general research, local-level management, and reef change for future studies.

Released April 09, 2025 11:40 EST

2025, Fact Sheet 2024-3051

Christopher J. Schenk, Marilyn E. Tennyson, Tracey J. Mercier, Phuong A. Le, Andrea D. Cicero, Ronald M. Drake II, Sarah E. Gelman, Jane S. Hearon, Benjamin G. Johnson, Jenny H. Lagesse, Heidi M. Leathers-Miller, Kira K. Timm

Using a geology-based assessment methodology, the U.S. Geological Survey estimated undiscovered, technically recoverable mean resources of 61 million barrels of oil and 240 billion cubic feet of gas in the Los Angeles Basin Province.

Released April 09, 2025 10:00 EST

2025, Scientific Investigations Report 2025-5026

Jaclynne Polcino, John J. Trainor, Jerilyn V. Collenburg

In 2016, the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) carried out a hydraulic study within the upper Delaware River Basin for the purpose of determining the time of travel for water releases from the Brookfield Renewable U.S. hydroelectric plant at Lake Wallenpaupack, Pennsylvania, to reach the USGS streamgage located on the Delaware River at Montague, New Jersey (site number 01438500). From September 19 to October 14, 2016, Brookfield Renewable initiated repeated releases of approximately 650 cubic feet per second (ft³/s) and 1,440 ft³/s. Hydraulic signals from the releases were tracked at nine key locations between Lake Wallenpaupack and the USGS streamgage at Montague, New Jersey (01438500). Gage height data were recorded at streamgages at major confluences of the Lackawaxen and Delaware Rivers, Mongaup and Delaware Rivers, and the Neversink and Delaware Rivers. The time of travel to the USGS streamgage at Montague, New Jersey, was determined to be 1,185 minutes during the approximately 650 ft³/s releases and 960 minutes during the approximately 1,440 ft³/s releases. Elevated streamflow between Lake Wallenpaupack and the Montague streamgage from runoff events prior to the dam releases was found to decrease calculated time of travel identified during the study. The results from this study can be used as a guide to estimate time of travel while considering the water level of downstream streamflow, the volume of water being released, and other outside influences, such as precipitation and snowmelt.

Released April 09, 2025 09:57 EST

2025, Scientific Investigations Report 2025-5015

Alexandra C. Adams

The impoundment of Lake Conroe in 1973 created an important water resource for greater Houston, Texas. The U.S. Geological Survey, in cooperation with the San Jacinto River Authority, analyzed water-quality data collected from 1974 to 2021 at upreservoir, mid-reservoir, and downreservoir sites in Lake Conroe. Water-column and seasonal variability of selected water-quality constituents (physiochemical properties, major ions, nutrients, and trace metals) were assessed, as well as thermal stratification. Water-quality trends were evaluated for 1974–2021 and 1993–2021.

Near-surface water (1–3 feet below the water surface) was warmer and contained higher dissolved-oxygen concentrations compared to near-bottom water (2–3 feet above the reservoir bottom). Dissolved-oxygen concentrations were lowest in summer and highest in winter. Specific conductance was higher near the bottom and varied seasonally, being lowest in winter and highest in summer. Values of pH were generally higher at the surface, with some variability between sites and seasons. Water transparency was higher downreservoir and seasonally lowest in summer.

Major-ion concentrations varied minimally within the water column and seasonally, except for sulfate, which was higher in winter and lower in summer. Most nutrient and trace metal concentrations were highest near the bottom during summer, notably at deeper sites. Thermal stratification in Lake Conroe begins in spring and peaks in summer and was limited to the deeper parts of the reservoir. The seasonal variability observed in dissolved constituent concentrations was driven by thermal stratification. Trend analyses for 1974–2021 indicated positive trends in water temperature, dissolved oxygen, pH, potassium, sodium, and silica. Negative trends were detected for calcium and magnesium near the reservoir bottom. During 1993–2021, positive trends were detected for near-surface dissolved-oxygen concentration, specific conductance, pH, all major ions excluding sulfate, and near-surface ammonia plus organic nitrogen concentration. Negative trends were determined for ammonia, iron, and manganese concentrations. Water transparency generally decreased over time.

Released April 08, 2025 15:00 EST

2025, Fact Sheet 2024-3046

Paul C. Cross, Todd G. Wojtowicz

Introduction

In 2023, the U.S. Geological Survey, in collaboration with the U.S. Department of Agriculture Forest Service and the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, evaluated the costs and benefits of supplemental elk (Cervus elaphus canadensis) feeding in western Wyoming. Elk supplemental feeding is intended to maintain elk populations in the winter and limit elk damage to private property. Supplemental feeding is also used to minimize the transmission of brucellosis (Brucella abortus) from elk to cattle. If brucellosis is detected in cattle, the U.S. Department of Agriculture requires that the entire herd be euthanized or placed in quarantine until the herd passes several negative tests for the disease. However, supplemental feeding may enhance the transmission and effects of chronic wasting disease (CWD), which has no treatment or vaccine, is always fatal, and can remain infectious in the environment for many years. Key findings from the U.S. Geological Survey evaluation help assess the costs and benefits of four supplemental elk feeding alternatives and their potential implications for the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem.

Released April 08, 2025 14:25 EST

2025, Fact Sheet 2025-3018

Dan Walters

Introduction  

High-resolution elevation data are critical to applications of landscape modeling and planning, both of which have a significant effect on Rhode Island’s economy. In these and other enterprises, program managers, while aiming to strike a balance between accuracy and cost, strive to obtain the best available elevation data to help them address a range of issues. Programs focused on climate change, environmental management, transportation design and asset management, aviation navigation and safety, riverine ecosystem management, wildlife habitat characterization and management, shellfish aquaculture, and the management and mapping of forests, parks and recreation areas, soils, wetlands, and impervious surfaces are also among the critical applications that meet the State’s management needs and depend on light detection and ranging (lidar) data that provide a highly detailed three-dimensional (3D) model of the Earth’s surface and aboveground features.

The 3D Elevation Program (3DEP) is managed by the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) in partnership with Federal, State, Tribal, U.S. territorial, and local agencies to acquire consistent lidar coverage at quality level 2 or better to meet the many needs of the Nation and Rhode Island. The status of available and in-progress 3DEP baseline lidar data in Rhode Island is shown in figure 1. 3DEP baseline lidar data include quality level 2 or better, 1-meter or better digital elevation models, and lidar point clouds, and must meet the Lidar Base Specification version 1.2 (https://www.usgs.gov/3dep/lidarspec) or newer requirements. The National Enhanced Elevation Assessment identified user requirements and conservatively estimated that availability of lidar data would result in at least $178,560 in new benefits annually to the State. The top 10 Rhode Island business uses for 3D elevation data, which are based on the estimated annual conservative benefits of 3DEP, are shown in table 2.

Released April 08, 2025 10:50 EST

2025, Scientific Investigations Report 2025-5009

Joseph A. Hevesi, Wesley R. Henson, Randall T. Hanson, Elizabeth Rae Jachens, Sandra Bond, Marisa Melody Earll, Deidre Herbert

The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), in cooperation with the Monterey County Water Resources Agency, conducted studies to help evaluate the surface-water and groundwater resources of the Salinas Valley study area, consisting of the entire Salinas River watershed and several smaller, adjacent coastal watersheds draining into Monterey Bay. The Salinas Valley study area is a highly productive agricultural region that depends on the coordinated use of surface water and groundwater to meet demand for irrigation and public water supply. To continue to meet these demands, a better understanding of the historical water balance and the effects of water-resource development on the long-term sustainability of water resources in the Salinas Valley study area is needed.

Released April 08, 2025 08:37 EST

2025, Journal of Thermal Biology (129)

Matthew J. O'Donnell, Amy M. Regish, S.D. McCormick, Benjamin Letcher

Abundances of coldwater adapted stream fish populations are declining largely due to anthropogenic influences, including increased temperature. To persist in streams with unsuitable thermal habitat, fish must move to coldwater patches, acclimate, or adapt to water temperatures above thermal optima. Brook trout, a coldwater adapted salmonid, has previously displayed physiological plasticity and the ability for reversible thermal acclimation when reared at higher temperatures. However, because stream temperatures are not static, it is important to explore the rate at which thermal acclimation occurs to evaluate whether prior thermal experience will influence future thermal performance. To determine the temporal scale in loss of thermal acclimation as water temperatures cool, we acclimated brook trout to three thermal regimes: +0 °C (ambient; mimicking the daily average water temperature of a nearby long-term study site), as well as +2 °C and +4 °C above ambient. After 2 years of being reared under those conditions, fish from the warmer treatments were moved to a common, colder temperature (ambient). We then used critical thermal maximum to measure the loss in acclimation response of fish from each treatment over time. We found that regardless of initial acclimation temperature, thermal tolerance of warm acclimated fish decreased rapidly for 1 week, then gradually decreased, and was completely lost within 42 days. This gradual loss of acclimation may be valuable to persistence in warmer streams and will be important to include in models of the impact climate change has on brook trout and other aquatic ectotherms with significant thermal plasticity.

Released April 07, 2025 15:50 EST

2023, Open-File Report 2023-1032

Jonathan J.A. Dillow, Brian E. McCallum, Cory E. Angeroth

The Federal Priority Streamgage (FPS) network of the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), created in 1999 as the National Streamflow Information Program, receives Congressional appropriations to support the operation of a federally-funded “backbone” network of streamflow gages across the United States that are designated to meet the “Federal needs” or priorities of the country. Anticipating the evolution of Federal stakeholder water-data needs, the USGS launched a re-evaluation of the fundamental priorities for the FPS network in October 2020. In March 2022, the FPS Re-Prioritization Project used an online survey to solicit feedback from 767 stakeholders representing 22 Federal agencies who benefit from the FPS network. Additional feedback from survey respondents was obtained during online listening sessions to validate the USGS’s understanding of current Federal water-data needs. Results of the feedback show that the original five network priorities identified by the U.S. Geological Survey in 1999 are still valid but require modification to better incorporate additional needs, including Federal water operations, streamflow trends and extremes, water rights involving Federal lands, and streamflow data supporting ecosystem health. Federal stakeholder feedback also indicated that the inclusion of precipitation and water-temperature data collection, along with stream imagery, would enhance the value of the FPS network.

Results of the FPS Re-Prioritization Project and Open Season that ended in May 2024 revealed that the number of FPS locations meeting the updated eligibility criteria nearly tripled, which illustrates the value of the information provided by the FPS network. The Water Forecasting & Operations and the Water Quality network priorities contributed to the largest number of new eligible FPS sites, demonstrating the importance of the FPS network in supporting informed decisions related to the protection of life, property, the environment, and the economy of the United States.

Released April 07, 2025 14:02 EST

2025, Scientific Investigations Report 2025-5012

Rebecca M. Kreiling, Lynn A. Bartsch, Kenna J. Gierke, Patrik M. Perner, Faith A. Fitzpatrick, Hayley T. Olds

The U.S. Geological Survey and Milwaukee Metropolitan Sewerage District in Wisconsin have an ongoing partnership to monitor water quality in streams in the Milwaukee metropolitan area and to assess the effects of stream restoration on habitat and water quality. Because sediment nutrient dynamics can improve or further impair water quality, we measured sediment nitrogen and phosphorus concentrations, potential nitrogen removal, and potential phosphorus retention at 32 streams sites in the Milwaukee metropolitan area in summer 2022. Four of the sites were in rehabilitated stream reaches. Based on the results from this project, we provided a rating of good, fair, or poor for the sediment nutrient dynamics at each site.

Sediment nitrogen removal and phosphorus retention in stream reaches increased as the proportion of fine particles increased. Bioavailable nitrogen and phosphorus concentrations increased in stream reaches as particle size decreased, especially at locations with more silt and clay. Particle size typically decreased from upstream to downstream, and several of the sites with finer particles were in downstream parts of the study area, especially in the Milwaukee Estuary sites. The sites that had more fine sediment and higher bioavailable nutrients also had elevated rates of nitrification and denitrification enzyme activity, which is a measurement of the potential nitrogen removal when nitrogen and carbon do not limit the denitrifying bacteria. Additionally, sites with fine sediment typically had the highest potential to retain phosphorus as fine sediment provides many binding sites for phosphorus. The binding sites can become saturated with phosphorus, however, increasing the potential for the phosphorus to be released to stream water. Five of the 32 sampled sites were potentially saturated with phosphorus. Sites that contained more agricultural land in their drainage areas were at higher risk of having sediment that was saturated or near-saturation; however, the sites that had more agricultural land in their drainage areas also had higher nitrification rates. Results from this study indicate that stream rehabilitation projects that promote sediment deposition and accumulation of organic matter in the stream channel can increase nitrogen removal and phosphorus retention.

Released April 07, 2025 08:01 EST

2025, Journal of Glaciology (71)

Lucas Zeller, Daniel J McGrath, Louis C. Sass, Caitlyn Florentine, Jacob Downs

The accumulation area ratio (AAR) of a glacier reflects its current state of equilibrium, or disequilibrium, with climate and its vulnerability to future climate change. Here, we present an inventory of glacier-specific annual accumulation areas and equilibrium line altitudes (ELAs) for over 3000 glaciers in Alaska and northwest Canada (88% of the regional glacier area) from 2018 to 2022 derived from Sentinel-2 imagery. We find that the 5 year average AAR of the entire study area is 0.41, with an inter-annual range of 0.25–0.49. More than 1000 glaciers, representing 8% of the investigated glacier area, were found to have effectively no accumulation area. Summer temperature and winter precipitation from ERA5-Land explained nearly 50% of the inter-annual ELA variability across the entire study region (R² = 0.47). An analysis of future climate scenarios (SSP2-4.5) projects that ELAs will rise by ∼170 m on average by the end of the 21st century. Such changes would result in a loss of 25% of the modern accumulation area, leaving a total of 1900 glaciers (22% of the investigated area) with no accumulation area. These results highlight the current state of glacier disequilibrium with modern climate, as well as glacier vulnerability to projected future warming.

Released April 07, 2025 07:50 EST

2025, Ecological Indicators (173)

Philip Savoy, Rebecca Michelle Gorney, Jennifer L. Graham

Cyanobacteria harmful algal blooms (cyanoHABs) are a global concern for aquatic ecosystem and human health. Limited funding for monitoring programs and inconsistent determination of cyanoHAB occurrence present challenges for identifying commonly effective variables for characterizing cyanoHABs and the development of generalized models. We compiled a combination of water quality measurements, lake morphology, climatology, remote sensing data, and observations of cyanoHAB occurrence across New York State and used this dataset to develop two sets of predictive models. The first model predicted chlorophyll a, a common indicator of algal biomass, and assessed the importance of variables for modeled predictions. The most important variables were then used in a second set of models to classify cyanoHAB occurrence. The irradiance attenuation coefficient (K_d), which was estimated from Secchi depth measurements, and total phosphorus were the two most important variables for predicting chlorophyll a. The second model examined several variables for their ability to classify cyanoHAB occurrence. Predicted cyanoHAB occurrence based on thresholds of chlorophyll a, K_d, or total nitrogen all had moderate agreement and were able to correctly classify approximately 70% of observed cyanoHABs. Our analysis indicated that multiple data types were important for predicting chlorophyll a statewide and that simple widely available water quality parameters could classify cyanoHABs occurrence with reasonable accuracy. Identifying variables that can be monitored with increased frequency and decreased latency to detect cyanoHAB occurrence will better inform water managers and provide valuable additional data for further refining predictive models of the likelihood of cyanoHABs occurrence.

Released April 06, 2025 09:14 EST

2025, Volcanica (8) 189-202

Sophia Wang, Guilherme Gualda, Jordan Edward Lubbers, Adam Kent

Diffusion geochronometry using Ti-in-quartz has become a valuable method in understanding the evolution of silicic magmas. However, four different options for Ti diffusivity (D_Ti) currently exist, spanning three orders of magnitude, resulting in substantially different estimated times and interpretations. We present Ti-in-quartz diffusion times for the Cerro Galán Ignimbrite using the Cherniak et al. [2007] (10.1016/j.chemgeo.2006.09.001), Audétat et al. [2021] (10.1130/g48785.1), Audétat et al. [2023] (10.1038/s41467-023-39912-5), and Jollands et al. [2020] (10.1130/g47238.1) D_Ti value and (1) compare these against plagioclase diffusion times derived from the same samples, (2) consider evidence for Ti diffusion in quartz under relevant magmatic timescales, and (3) compute derived quartz growth rates for crystals from the Cerro Galán Ignimbrite. On all accounts, we find that the Cherniak et al. [2007] diffusion coefficient yields diffusion times that agree much better with independent evidence than those derived using slower D_Ti values [Jollands et al. 2020; Audétat et al. 2021; 2023].

Released April 06, 2025 08:01 EST

2025, Remote Sensing (17)

Milad Niroumand-Jadidi, Carl J. Legleiter, Francesca Bovolo

CubeSats provide a wealth of high-frequency observations at a meter-scale spatial resolution. However, most current methods of inferring water depth from satellite data consider only a single image. This approach is sensitive to the radiometric quality of the data acquired at that particular instant in time, which could be degraded by various confounding factors, such as sun glint or atmospheric effects. Moreover, using single images in isolation fails to exploit recent improvements in the frequency of satellite image acquisition. This study aims to leverage the dense image time series from the SuperDove constellation via an ensembling framework that helps to improve empirical (regression-based) bathymetry retrieval. Unlike previous studies that only ensembled the original spectral data, we introduce a neural network-based method that instead ensembles the water depths derived from multi-temporal imagery, provided the data are acquired under steady flow conditions. We refer to this new approach as NN-depth ensembling. First, every image is treated individually to derive multitemporal depth estimates. Then, we use another NN regressor to ensemble the temporal water depths. This step serves to automatically weight the contribution of the bathymetric estimates from each time instance to the final bathymetry product. Unlike methods that ensemble spectral data, NN-depth ensembling mitigates against propagation of uncertainties in spectral data (e.g., noise due to sun glint) to the final bathymetric product. The proposed NN-depth ensembling is applied to temporal SuperDove imagery of reaches from the American, Potomac, and Colorado rivers with depths of up to 10 m and evaluated against in situ measurements. The proposed method provided more accurate and robust bathymetry retrieval than single-image analyses and other ensembling approaches.

Released April 05, 2025 08:46 EST

2025, Earth Surface Processes and Landforms (50)

Daniel J. Nowacki, Jessica R. Lacy, SeanPaul La Selle

Despite growing interest and investment in salt-marsh restoration, relatively few marshes subjected to restoration efforts have been systematically monitored to assess physical restoration trajectory or success. In south San Francisco Bay, CA, USA, where 83% of wetlands were lost via human manipulation, the largest wetland restoration effort on the U.S. west coast is currently underway, restoring approximately 6,000 ha of former salt-production ponds to mixed habitats. The Whale’s Tail–Cargill Mitigation salt-marsh complex in south San Francisco Bay has a century-long history of drainage, industrial use as salt-production ponds, and subsequent restoration and recovery. Restoration of the 20-ha Cargill Mitigation Marsh was initiated in the late 1990s when the levee surrounding the subsided, former salt-production pond was breached in two locations, enabling conversion back to salt-marsh habitat in the subsequent decades. Here we present time-series measurements of sediment fluxes in the primary tidal creek entering the salt-marsh complex, which are compared to decadal-scale sedimentation patterns determined from repeat elevation surveys and cores collected at the study site. All three methods show net sediment import to the restored marsh. The greatest equivalent sedimentation rates occurred early in the restoration, with generally decreasing rates through time. The long-term average, as determined from cores and expressed as a vertical sedimentation rate, is approximately 1.8 cm yr ^-1. Rates from the elevation data are between 1.4 and 2.6 cm yr^-1, with higher rates earlier in the restoration. The most recent estimates, computed from time-series instrument deployments, indicate seasonal variability in sediment import. Annualized rates are lower in winter, approximately 0.1 cm yr^-1, and higher in summer, approximately 1.7 cm yr^-1. Although our measured long-term equivalent sedimentation rates are considerably greater than the current local relative sea-level rise (SLR) of 0.3 cm yr^-1, an increase in SLR or decrease in available suspended sediment would threaten the ability of the marsh to keep pace with SLR and avoid drowning in the future.

Released April 04, 2025 10:19 EST

2025, Organic Geochemistry (204)

Aaron M. Jubb, Paul C. Hackley, Ryan J. McAleer, Jing Qu

Molecular characterization of sedimentary organic matter (SOM), termed macerals, is a common goal when seeking to understand petroleum generation as well as other geologic processes in deep time. However, unambiguous measurement of discrete macerals is challenging due to the small size of organic particles in sedimentary rocks, the proximity of different organic matter types to one another, mineral-organic matter interactions, and maceral mixing that occurs during SOM isolation prior to ex situ analysis. The recent advent of infrared spectrometers capable of nanometer-scale resolution and the application of these technologies to geologic samples has enabled advances in rapid, in situ molecular characterization of SOM allowing for insights into paleoenvironmental processes, such as organic matter productivity and preservation, among others. Here we employ one such technology, optical photothermal infrared (OPTIR) spectroscopy, to map SOM functional group distributions at 500-nm resolution in a sample from the Lower Cretaceous Sunniland Limestone of the South Florida Basin. Examined fields of view include occurrences of amorphous organic matter (AOM), inertinite, micrinite, solid bitumen, telalginite, and vitrinite. OPTIR data from these macerals are compared against traditional organic petrographic data from the same organic grains including fluorescence intensity and white light reflectance as well as against cathodoluminescence response, an emerging organic petrographic approach. Maceral oxygen content (using carbonyl functional group abundance as a proxy) is observed to vary widely between maceral types but correlates strongly with fluorescence and cathodoluminescence intensity as well as against reflectance. These findings highlight the important role that oxygen content plays in determining the optical properties of SOM and further demonstrate the ability of OPTIR to discriminate subtle molecular differences between SOM types.

Released April 04, 2025 07:53 EST

2025, Icarus (430)

A.B. Bryk, W.E. Dietrich, Kristen A. Bennett, V.K. Fox, C.M. Fedo, M.P. Lamb, E.S. Kite, L.M. Thompson, S.G. Banham, J. Schieber, J.A. Grant, A.R. Vasavada, A.A. Fraeman, Lauren A. Edgar, P. J. Gasda, R.C. Wiens, J.P. Grotzinger, K. Stack-Morgan, R.E. Arvidson, O. Gasnault, S. Le Mouelic, S. Gupta, R.M.E. Williams, R.Y. Sheppard, K.W. Lewis, D.M. Rubin, W. Rapin, M.N. Hughes, M. Turner, S.A. Wilson, J.M. Davis, R.E. Kronyak, L. Le Deit, L.C. Kah, J. Frydenvang, R.J. Sullivan, C.C. Bedford, E. Dehouck, H.E. Newsom, M.C. Malin

Evidence of paleo-rivers, fans, deltas, lakes, and channel networks across Mars has prompted much debate about what climate conditions would permit the formation of these surface water derived features. Pediments, gently sloping erosional surfaces of low relief developed in bedrock, have also been identified on Mars. On Earth, these erosional landforms, often thought to be created by overland flow and shallow channelized runoff, are typically capped by fluvial sediments, and thus in exceptionally arid regions, pediments are interpreted to record past wet periods. Here we document the Greenheugh pediment in Gale crater, exploiting the observational capability of the Curiosity rover. The absence of a fluvial cap suggests that the pediment was likely cut by wind erosion, not fluvial processes. The pediment was then buried by an aeolian deposit (Stimson sandstone) that mantled the lower footslopes of Aeolis Mons (informally known as Mt. Sharp). This burial terminated active wind erosion, preserving the pediment surface (as an angular unconformity). Groundwater was present prior-to, during, and shortly after Stimson deposition, perhaps contributing to lithification and certainly to early diagenesis. Post lithification, wind erosion first cut canyons in the northern most footslopes (north of Vera Rubin ridge). Unlithified gravels were deposited in these canyons, likely due to runoff from Mt. Sharp. Boulder-rich fluvial and debris flow deposits built a > 70 m thick sequence (Gediz Vallis ridge) on the southern Greenheugh pediment. Continued wind erosion left elevated patches of gravel on the northern footslopes, and exposure age dating shows that erosion essentially ceased before 1 Ga (but possibly much earlier). Erosion to the south led to emergence of Vera Rubin ridge, retreat of the Greenheugh pediment, and the formation of Glen Torridon valley. Hence, this footslope environment of Mt. Sharp records climate-driven periods of wind erosion, aeolian deposition (and groundwater activity), surface runoff and sediment deposition, followed by further significant wind erosion that declined to present very slow rates. This likely occurred during the late Hesperian and possibly into the Amazonian.

Released April 03, 2025 09:53 EST

2025, Frontiers in Marine Science (12)

Ramin Familkhalili, Curt Storlazzi, Michael Nemeth, Shay Viehman

Coastal resilience has become a pressing global issue due to the growing vulnerability of coastlines to the effects of climate change. Nature-based solutions have emerged as a promising approach to coastal protection to not only enhance coastal resilience, but also restore critical ecosystems. Coral reef restoration has the potential to provide ecosystem services benefits; however, there are still key uncertainties in linking restoration design to reductions in coastal flood hazard under current and future climate conditions. In this study, we applied one-dimensional and two-dimensional numerical coastal engineering models, calibrated and validated using field data, to evaluate the effectiveness of coral restoration scenarios on coastal waves, water levels, and flooding along the coast of San Juan, Puerto Rico, U.S.A. Model results indicate a small reduction in maximum water levels under the proposed restoration scenarios. This underscores the importance of these endeavors, not only for ecological preservation but also for preventing further reef deterioration. Such preservation is essential for mitigating the increased coastal risks anticipated in the future. Results from this study provide information to guide policymakers and coastal managers in making informed decisions on viable restoration project design options. By systematically evaluating how restoration location impacts coastal flood hazards, communities can develop and implement proactive strategies to mitigate flood-related risk. In addition, by restoring coral reefs, communities can contribute to environmental preservation while ensuring sustainable development and protection of coastal environments.

Released April 03, 2025 09:24 EST

2025, Science of the Total Environment (975)

C. Özgen Karacan, Itziar Irakulis-Loitxate, Robert A. Field, Peter D. Warwick

Emission monitoring at the facility level (bottom-up, BU) is key for accurate reporting of coal mine methane (CMM) emissions. Recent advances in aerial and satellite observations (top-down, TD) indicate that these methods have the potential to support CMM emissions monitoring and reporting of, as well as track the effectiveness of, mitigation actions. That said, studies have shown discrepancies between BU and TD estimations. Performing TD monitoring with concurrent BU measurements at the same mines may help address the observed discrepancies and improve quantification methods to narrow the gap between BU and TD data. This paper presents a comparison of concurrent BU-TD methane emission fluxes monitored from two ventilation shafts at a southwestern Virginia, USA, longwall mine to complement the existing body of studies on satellite-based monitoring of coal mines by incorporating continuous ground-based monitoring with concurrent TD monitoring of methane emission fluxes to address the gap and provide valuable insights into temporal emission patterns. The shafts were monitored on multiple dates between 2020 and 2023. BU monitoring was performed at the exhaust fans, while TD quantifications used PRISMA hyperspectral satellite data and two different wind reanalysis datasets (i.e., GEOS-FP and ERA5). This mine also offered a unique opportunity for BU-TD comparisons before and after ventilation air methane (VAM) oxidizer operation, which was installed at one of the shafts in 2022. The results showed that TD-estimated mean fluxes were generally lower than BU data, which were attributed to quantification difficulties associated with the low albedo caused by heavy vegetation and the terrain of the area. However, despite the discrepancies in mean emissions, both the interquartile range and the data range of the distributions generally overlapped, and the estimates correctly showed the emission trends.

Released April 02, 2025 15:51 EST

2025, Parasites and Vectors (18)

Troy Koser, Aimee Hurt, Laura Thompson, Alyson Courtemanch, Benjamin Wise, Paul C. Cross

Background

Accurate surveillance data are critical for addressing tick and tick-borne pathogen risk to human and animal health. Current surveillance methods for detecting invading or expanding tick species are limited in their ability to scale efficiently to state or national levels. In this study we explored the potential use of scent detection dogs to assist field surveys for a hard tick species: Dermacentor albipictus.

Methods

We used a series of indoor and in situ training simulations to teach scent detection dogs to recognize D. albipictus scent, distinguish tick scent from associated vegetation, and develop a cautious search pattern. After training, we deployed both a scent detection dog survey team and a human-only survey team on transect and surveillance plot surveys then compared the detection rates and efficiency of both methods.

Results

Scent detection dogs required more time and money to train on field surveys but were comparable to traditional tick drags when accounting for cost per unit area surveyed. There was a lack of agreement on positive (ticks present) versus negative (ticks not present) sites between the two methods, implying that neither method is particularly reliable at detecting D. albipictus.

Conclusions

Estimating detection bias and false negative rates for tick surveillance methods such as tick drags will be important for accurately evaluating tick-borne disease risk across space and into the future. We found scent detection dogs to be a reasonable alternative sampling approach to consider when ticks are at low abundance or patchily distributed such as during tick range expansion or novel invasions. Scent detection dogs may also be useful for sampling for ticks in areas or along surfaces that are difficult to sample with the traditional tick drag technique like at ports of entry or livestock competitions.

Released April 02, 2025 09:25 EST

2025, Data in Brief (60)

Francisco Apen, Sean Patrick Gaynor, Blair Schoene

New isotope dilution thermal ionization mass spectrometry U-Pb data for Emerald Lake apatite demonstrate its potential as a reference material for geochronology. A three-dimensional ²³⁸U/²⁰⁶Pb-²⁰⁷Pb/²⁰⁶Pb-²⁰⁴Pb/²⁰⁶Pb isochron produces a 95.2 ± 1.1 Ma date with an initial Pb isotopic composition of ²⁰⁶Pb/²⁰⁴Pb = 18.85 ± 0.19 and ²⁰⁷Pb/²⁰⁴Pb = 15.68 ± 0.10 (n = 5, MSWD = 9.5). These data yield a weighted mean initial Pb-corrected ²⁰⁶Pb/²³⁸U date of 95.18 ± 0.10 Ma (n = 5, MSWD = 1.5) and a weighted mean initial Pb-corrected ²⁰⁷Pb/²³⁵U date of 95.20 ± 0.17 Ma (n = 5, MSWD = 0.5). The new high-precision U-Pb age of Emerald Lake apatite further enables its utility as a reference material for in situ U-Pb apatite geochronology. Aliquots of Emerald Lake apatite are available for distribution for use in future studies.

Released April 01, 2025 12:30 EST

2025, Fact Sheet 2025-3017

U.S. Geological Survey

The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) provides science and data on seabed mineral resources and ecosystems, as well as on the potential hazards associated with extraction. The Nation relies on minerals for infrastructure, technology, manufacturing, and energy production. Critical minerals are essential to the economic and national security of the United States and have a supply chain vulnerable to disruption.

For decades, USGS scientific innovation has contributed to the delineation of seabed mineral resources, the mechanisms of seabed mineral formation, and the environmental impacts of resource extraction. Since 1962, the USGS has also led scientific inquiries into the potential for deep sea mining. By providing impartial science on seabed minerals and their environmental setting in the deep oceans, the USGS enables decision-makers to evaluate the best practices for mineral resource development.

Released April 01, 2025 09:53 EST

2025, Environmental Monitoring and Assessment (197)

Aaron J. Porter

In recent years, local governments have invested heavily in management practices to reduce nutrient and sediment loads. These practices provide localities with nutrient and sediment regulatory reduction credits; however, their effects on water quality are poorly understood at the watershed scale. Long-term watershed-scale monitoring is essential for assessing progress toward water-quality goals, yet it has historically been lacking in urban watersheds. Since 2007, Fairfax County, Virginia, has partnered with the US Geological Survey to monitor and evaluate water-quality conditions in 20 small urban streams. This study assessed nutrient and suspended sediment loads, trends in concentration, and trends in load. Trends in load are affected by streamflow-induced variability that must be removed through a process called “flow-normalization;” however, existing methods have neither been applied to small urban watersheds nor to loads computed on a sub-daily timestep. In this study, four such methods also were assessed, and an adaptation of the weighted regressions on time, discharge, and season approach was found to be most effective. Loads, concentrations, and trends in load were spatially and temporally variable. Differences were attributed to physical watershed features such as geology, soils, and channel geomorphology, as well as urban sources such as turfgrass fertilization and septic infrastructure. Most notably, flow-normalized suspended sediment, nitrogen, and phosphorus loads decreased in two watersheds with completed stream restorations and increased in those with few implemented practices.

Released April 01, 2025 09:41 EST

2025, Marine and Coastal Fisheries: Dynamics, Management and Ecosystem Science (17)

Corbin David Hilling, Yan Jiao, Joseph Schmitt, Mary C. Fabrizio, Paul L. Angermeier, Donald J. Orth

Released April 01, 2025 08:59 EST

2025, Report

Hugh Ratcliffe, Katherine Charton, Marta P. Lyons, Olivia E. LeDee

No abstract available.

Released April 01, 2025 08:03 EST

2025, Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface (130)

Katherine R. Barnhart, David L. George, Andrew L. Collins, Lauren N. Schaefer, Dennis M. Staley

Subaerial rock slopes may generate a tsunami by rapidly moving into the water. Large uncertainty in landslide characteristics propagates into large uncertainty in tsunami hazard, making hazard assessment more difficult for land and emergency managers. Once a potentially tsunamigenic landslide is identified, it may not be clear which landslide characteristics contribute most significantly to uncertainty in the tsunami hazard. Our aim is to document the relative worth of different landslide characteristics (e.g., size, material properties) for reducing uncertainty in landslide-tsunami hazard assessments. Isolating the relative importance of specific landslide characteristics may inform prioritization of data collection and improve efficiency in understanding hazard. To accomplish this, we generated a set of 288 landslide-tsunami simulations in which we systematically varied the size and material properties of possible failure extents at the Barry Arm landslide complex in northwestern Prince William Sound, Alaska, USA. We find that for landslides smaller than the receiving waterbody, the landslide volume has the strongest effect on resulting wave characteristics and thus the highest leverage on reducing uncertainty in tsunami hazard. In contrast, for landslides substantially larger than the waterbody, the duration of rapid movement of the landslide has the highest leverage. Based on our results, we propose a classification scheme for subaerial landslides based on the relative size of the landslide and waterbody. Additionally, our results support the generation of a tsunami height transfer function between existing tide gages and a nearby coastal city. These results have direct implications for the practice of operational early warning.

Released April 01, 2025 08:00 EST

2025, Journal of Hydrology (651)

Rafael Daniel Vias, Birgir Hrafnkelsson, Timothy O. Hodson, Sölvi Rögnvaldsson, Axel Örn Jansson, Sigurdur M. Gardarsson

Hydrologic research and operations make extensive use of streamflow time series. In most applications, these time series are estimated from rating curves, which relate flow to some easy-to-measure surrogate, typically stage. The conventional stage-discharge rating takes the form of a segmented power law, with one segment for each hydrologic control at the stream gauge. However, these ratings are notoriously difficult to estimate with numerical methods, so that most are still developed manually. A few automated algorithms have emerged, but their use is sporadic, and their relative merits have not been rigorously assessed. One recently developed approach, the generalized power-law, avoids the segmenting problem by representing the power-law exponent as a Gaussian process. On the one hand, this representation is more flexible and easier to fit, but its flexibility might allow unrealistic solutions, so it needs to be tested under a range of conditions to assess its operational viability. This study evaluates the generalized power-law rating curve model by applying it to observations from 180 streams in Iceland, Sweden, and the United States. Overall, the model proved flexible and computationally robust, generating convincing rating curves across a range of geographic settings and was comparable to curves generated by a segmented rating model. Lastly, we propose a model-selection algorithm based on information theory to help identify the best rating curve model for a particular stream gauge.

Released March 31, 2025 10:10 EST

2025, Journal of Applied Volcanology (14)

Edward F. Younger, William Tollett, Matthew R. Patrick

The U.S. Geological Survey’s Hawaiian Volcano Observatory (HVO) has developed a new method to continuously monitor lava lake elevations. Since 2018, HVO has stationed a laser rangefinder on Kīlauea’s caldera rim. The instrument automatically measures lava lake elevation each second, with centimeter accuracy. A stream of elevation data flows to HVO’s database and public website, contributing a valuable channel to HVO’s volcano monitoring network. The data display is intuitive for users, providing essential information with a new level of clarity. HVO has used this method to track Kīlauea’s changing lava lake elevations over a series of eruptions, and the time series data show several volcanic processes: crater refilling, gas pistoning, lava lake surface behavior, and endogenous crater floor uplift. This technique is versatile, nimble, and easy to use. Continuous laser rangefinders may also prove useful for tracking lava lakes elsewhere, and for monitoring other hazards such as growing lava domes and debris flows.

Released March 31, 2025 10:01 EST

2025, Agrosystems, Geosciences & Environment (8)

Jonathan J. Halvorson, Angela Hansen, Catherine E. Stewart, Mark A. Liebig

Novel approaches that are fast and sensitive are needed to evaluate soil change and integrate soil ecosystem properties. Carbon (C) and nitrogen (N) extracted from soil with water are associated with plant nutrients and microbial activity but information about change over time in the US Great Plains is sparse. We used cool (20°C) and hot (80°C) water extracts from historic (1947) and contemporary (2018) soil samples collected at Moccasin, MT; Akron, CO; and Big Spring, TX; to examine changes to labile C and N and optical properties after 71 years of dryland cropping. Concentrations of C and N extracted with cool water decreased between 1947 and 2018 in surface (0–15.2 cm) samples from Moccasin, by 52% and 35%, and Big Spring, by 37% and 32%, but remained unchanged at Akron. Conversely, net (hot−cool) extractable C did not change at Moccasin or Big Spring but increased at Akron by 26%. Net extractable N decreased at Moccasin by 22% but did not change elsewhere. Sequential principal component analysis and stepwise discriminant analysis identified three important optical properties. Values of SUVA₂₅₄ (where SUVA₂₅₄ is the specific ultraviolet absorbance at 254 nm) in extracts did not change at Moccasin between 1947 and 2018 but increased at Akron, indicating increased aromaticity. Conversely, SUVA₂₅₄ decreased at Big Spring. Values for Sag_350–400 (where Sag_350–400 is the slope from a nonlinear fit of an exponential function to the absorption spectrum over the wavelength range from 350 to 400 nm), inversely related to extract molecular weight and aromaticity, decreased at Moccasin but not elsewhere. The proportion of recalcitrant to labile compounds, C:T (where C:T is the ratio of fluorescence intensity from Peak C [ex340/em440] to Peak T [ex275/em340]), increased in extracts from all sites but especially at Akron. Together, these methods provided insights into soil change while conserving samples.

Released March 30, 2025 07:56 EST

2025, Earth Surface Processes and Landforms (50)

Brittany Danielle Selander, Nancy C. Calhoun, William Burns, Jason W. Kean, Francis K. Rengers

In the steep and mountainous environment of western Oregon, debris flows pose a considerable threat to property, infrastructure and life. Wildfire is commonly known to increase the susceptibility of steep slopes to debris flows, but the extent of this process in the western Cascades is not well understood. The US Geological Survey (USGS) currently estimates postfire debris-flow likelihood and triggering rainfall thresholds using a model calibrated to a southern California inventory of debris flows generated by excess runoff within the first year after fire. Because of a lack of available data, this model has not been tested in western Oregon, or in locations where postfire debris flows initiate via other mechanisms (e.g., shallow landslides or in-channel failures). Using repeat field observations and aerial imagery, we developed two new debris-flow inventories within and adjacent to the perimeters of five 2020 wildfires in western Oregon: Archie Creek, Holiday Farm, Beachie Creek, Lionshead and Riverside. The first inventory focuses on postfire debris flows (2020–2022); the second focuses on debris flows prior to fires (1995–2020). Our inventories of prefire and postfire debris flows were used to document initiation mechanisms in Oregon's western Cascades and to evaluate the effects of wildfire. We found that wildfire changed the distribution of debris-flow initiation mechanisms in the western Cascades. After the wildfires, annual rates of runoff-generated debris flows increased by 22% and the number of shallow landslide-initiated debris flows decreased by 17% relative to before the wildfires. Despite this shift, shallow landsliding was the dominant debris-flow initiation mechanism in both unburned and burned environments. We found the performance of the current USGS debris-flow likelihood model was degraded relative to other previously tested locations across the intermountain western United States. Our results highlight the need for improved postfire hazard assessment in western Oregon based on regional model calibration that is tuned to the dominant debris-flow initiation mechanisms.

Released March 28, 2025 09:22 EST

2025, Geomorphology (479)

Carl J. Legleiter, Paul J. Kinzel

Although established techniques for remote sensing of river bathymetry perform poorly in turbid water, image velocimetry can be effective under these conditions. This study describes a framework for mapping both of these attributes: Depths Inferred from Velocities Estimated by Remote Sensing, or DIVERS. The workflow involves linking image-derived velocities to depth via a flow resistance equation and invoking an optimization algorithm. We generalized an earlier formulation of DIVERS by: (1) using moving aircraft river velocimetry (MARV) to obtain a continuous, spatially extensive velocity field; (2) working within a channel-centered coordinate system; (3) allowing for local optimization of multiple parameters on a per-cross section basis; and (4) introducing a second objective function that can be used when discharge is not known. We also quantified the sensitivity of depth estimates to each parameter and input variable. MARV-based velocity estimates agreed closely with field measurements (R²=0.81) and the use of DIVERS led to cross-sectional mean depths that were correlated with in situ observations (R²=0.75). Errors in the input velocity field had the greatest impact on depth estimates, but the algorithm was not highly sensitive to initial parameter estimates when a known discharge was available to constrain the optimization. The DIVERS framework is predicated upon a number of simplifying assumptions — steady, uniform, one-dimensional flow and a strict, purely local proportionality between depth and velocity — that impose important limitations, but our results suggest that the approach can provide plausible, first-order estimates of river depths.

Released March 27, 2025 14:00 EST

2025, Fact Sheet 2025-3012

Margaret C. McEachran, Katie M. Guntly-Yancey, Richard E.W. Berl, Donald Gentry, Michael C. Runge, Carl White, Jonathan D. Cook

Project Overview: The Klamath Tribes (TKT) are the Klamath, Modoc, and Yahooskin Paiute peoples, and are the first peoples of the land, having lived in ancestral lands of Oregon and California since time immemorial. Members of TKT have rights to hunt, fish, trap, and gather, including the harvest of mule deer (Odocoileus hemionus) and elk (Cervus canadensis nelsoni) within the 1.19 million acres of their Reserved Treaty Rights Area.

Anthropogenic changes threaten the well-being of mule deer and elk and of the Tribes that rely on them. Today, these species are a primary protein source for TKT. They are traded within TKT and among other Tribes and provide materials for cultural and sacred items such as regalia. However, mule deer numbers have been declining across the western states for the past several decades because of multiple stressors, including persistent and frequent drought and wildfires, habitat loss and degradation, vehicle mortality, and increasing barriers to migratory movements between summer and winter ranges. The migratory movements of mule deer, which allow deer to access the best available seasonal habitats, put them at risk of another potential stressor—infection with chronic wasting disease (CWD). Chronic wasting disease is a fatal prion disease of deer that has been detected in 36 U.S. states. It was detected in free-ranging mule deer in northern Idaho in 2021, prompting the Tribes to initiate a planning process for CWD surveillance, prevention, and response measures to preserve and protect the deer and elk within the Reserved Treaty Rights Area.

In 2023, the Klamath Tribes Natural Resources Department began to develop their CWD plan by incorporating preliminary input provided by the Klamath Indian Game Commission (KIGC) and working with scientists from the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS). This collaborative effort includes the application of structured decision making and the development of mathematical models to analyze potential CWD management strategies. The result will be a transparent assessment that incorporates TKT values throughout the process and can inform place-based management of the cultural, natural, and physical resources upon which the Tribes depend. In addition, this process may provide opportunities for broader coordination by natural resource management agencies to work together to ensure the long-term health and sustainability of deer and elk populations within the Reserved Treaty Rights Area and throughout the state of Oregon.

Released March 27, 2025 11:37 EST

2025, Scientific Investigations Report 2024-5110

Tyler V. King, Alysa M. Yoder

Total phosphorus (TP) concentrations and loads in the Boise River near Parma, Idaho, were examined to identify changes by month over a 19-year period from water year 2003 through water year 2021 and to evaluate the performance of three common water-quality models. Mean annual TP concentrations and loads were estimated to have reduced by approximately 60 percent over the study period. Mean annual TP concentrations were reduced from 0.42 milligrams per liter in 2003 to 0.18 milligrams per liter in 2021. Mean annual TP loads were reduced from 816 kilograms per day in 2003 to 302 kilograms per day in 2021. Mean annual concentrations and loads reduced by approximately 3 percent per year with the largest changes occurring in the non-irrigation season of October through April. The TP load remained highest in May across the model period while peak concentration shifted from January to March.

High-frequency TP data collected with an automated sampler every 49 hours enabled detailed model performance evaluation of the Load Estimator (LOADEST), Weighted Regressions on Time, Discharge, and Season (WRTDS), and WRTDS method with Kalman filtering (WRTDS_K) water-quality models generated with near-monthly data. All three models were generally able to reproduce the observed concentrations, with the largest errors occurring in the spring when observed concentrations were most variable. Annual TP loads varied by up to 27 percent, or approximately 128,000 kilograms, between the three models calibrated on monthly data. In this system with highly variable concentrations, we note that performance metrics for WRTDS_K based on monthly calibration data masked serious errors that were only revealed by comparing results against higher frequency (49-hour) autosampler data. This emphasizes the value of high frequency validation data to quantify uncertainty in water-quality models when applied to systems where concentrations change rapidly. Lastly, we identify that hydraulic routing may be a valuable addition to discharge, season, and time in water-quality modeling for systems with significant human intervention in natural hydro-biogeochemical processes.

Released March 27, 2025 11:18 EST

2025, Open-File Report 2021-1030-U

Mahesh Shrestha, Aparajithan Sampath, Minsu Kim, Seonkyung Park, Jeffrey Clauson

Executive Summary 

This report documents the system characterization of the Indian Space Research Organisation Resourcesat-2A Linear Imaging Self Scanning-4 (LISS–4) sensor. It is part of a series of system characterization reports produced by the U.S. Geological Survey Earth Resources Observation and Science Cal/Val Center of Excellence. These reports describe the methodology and procedures used for characterization, present technical and operational information about the specific sensing system being evaluated, and provide a summary of test measurements, data retention practices, data analysis results, and conclusions.

Resourcesat-2A was launched in 2016 on the Polar Satellite Launch Vehicle-C36; it is identical to Resourcesat-2, and together, they decrease imaging revisit time from 5 days to 2–3 days, providing data continuity and improved temporal resolution. Resouresat-2 and 2A carry the Advanced Wide Field Sensor, Linear Imaging Self Scanning-3, and LISS–4 medium-resolution imaging sensors, continuing the legacy of the Indian Space Research Organisation’s Indian Remote Sensing-1C/1D/P3 satellite programs. More information about the Indian Space Research Organisation’s satellites and sensors is available through the Joint Agency Commercial Imagery Evaluation Earth Observing Satellites Online Compendium at https://calval.cr.usgs.gov/apps/compendium/ and from the manufacturer at https://www.isro.gov.in/.

The Earth Resources Observation and Science Cal/Val Center of Excellence system characterization team assessed the geometric, radiometric, and spatial performances of the Resourcesat-2A LISS–4 sensor. Geometric performance is divided into the interior geometric performance of band-to-band registration and the exterior geometric performance of geolocation accuracy. The interior geometric performance had mean offsets in the range of −0.118 to 0.024 pixel in easting and −0.053 to 0.022 pixel in northing with root mean square error values from 0.067 to 0.230 pixel in easting and from 0.087 to 0.2 pixel in northing. The exterior geometric performance had offsets in the range of 2.55 to 7.85 meters (m) in easting and −6.15 to 11.15 m in northing with root mean square error values in the range of 2.6 to 8.2 m in easting and 6.35 to 11.8 m in northing compared to the U.S. Department of Agriculture National Agriculture Imagery Program and WorldView-3 orthoimages. The measured radiometric performance had offsets from 0.003 to 0.024 and slopes from 0.736 to 0.952, and spatial performance was in the range of 1.633 to 1.903 pixels for the full width at half maximum with a modulation transfer function at a Nyquist frequency in the range of 0.0529 to 0.0952.

Released March 27, 2025 10:04 EST

2025, JGR Biogeosciences (130)

Alana B. Spaetzel, James B. Shanley, Leslie A. DeSimone, John R. Mullaney

Reduction in point sources of nitrogen has led to improvement in water quality of the Long Island Sound (LIS) since 2000, but changes in nonpoint sources are less clear. A significant yet poorly quantified nonpoint nitrogen source is the forested landscape. Because a large proportion of the LIS basin is forested, even small areal inputs from the forested landscape have a large cumulative effect on nitrogen loading to LIS. Atmospheric nitrogen deposition, the primary source of nitrogen to forested landscapes in LIS basin, has been declining for several decades. However, nitrogen export in streams does not necessarily mirror nitrogen deposition. To assess forest nitrogen export to LIS, we estimated annual average concentrations and fluxes of nitrate in 17 forested watersheds in and near the LIS basin. Average flow-normalized nitrate-nitrogen concentrations ranged from less than 0.05–0.43 mg per liter among all sites; annual flow-normalized yields ranged from 0.45 to 4.3 kg per hectare. Flow-normalized annual average concentrations and yields of nitrate between water years 1991–2021 did not monotonically increase or decrease at most watersheds. Where determined, the other major N species generally had comparable magnitude and trends. Based on the watersheds analyzed in this study, forested areas are not responding uniformly to the continued decline of atmospheric nitrogen deposition. The variability among sites may indicate that local-scale factors exert substantial influence over the magnitude and trends in nitrogen exports. One watershed that had increasing development showed an increasing trend in nitrate, but not in dissolved organic nitrogen.

Released March 27, 2025 09:34 EST

2025, Transactions of the American Fisheries Society

Daniel S. Stich, Dewayne Fox, Amanda Higgs, David C. Kazyak, Richard Pendleton, Suresh A Sethi

Released March 27, 2025 09:27 EST

2025, Ecosphere (16)

Adrianne P. Smits, Ed K Hall, Bridget Deemer, Facundo Scordo, Carolina C. Barbosa, Stephanie M. Carlson, Kaelin M Cawley, Hans-Peter Grossart, Patrick T. Kelly, Stefano Mammola, Matthew R. Pintar, Caleb J. Robbins, Albert Ruhi Vidal, Mattia Sacco

Evaluating progress toward achieving freshwater conservation and sustainability goals requires transforming diverse types of data into useful information for scientists, managers, and other interest groups. Despite substantial increases in the volume of freshwater data collected worldwide, many regions and ecosystems still lack sufficient data collection and/or data access. We illustrate how these data challenges result from a diverse set of underlying mechanisms and propose solutions that can be applied by individuals or organizations. We discuss creative approaches to address data scarcity, including the use of community science, remote-sensing, environmental sensors, and legacy datasets. We highlight the importance of coordinated data collection efforts among groups and training programs to improve data access. At the institutional level, we emphasize the power of prioritizing data curation, incentivizing data publication, and promoting research that enhances data coverage and representativeness. Some of these strategies involve technological and analytical approaches, but many necessitate shifting the priorities and incentives of organizations such as academic and government research institutions, monitoring groups, journals, and funding agencies. Our overarching goal is to stimulate discussion to narrow the data disparities hindering the understanding of freshwater processes and their change across spatial scales.

Released March 27, 2025 08:15 EST

2025, Ecosphere (16)

Kaleb Goff, Meagan Ford Oldfather, Jan Nachlinger, Brian Smithers, Michael Koontz, Catie Bishop, Jim Bishop, Mary Burke, Seema Sheth

Plant communities on mountain summits are commonly long-lived, cold-adapted perennials with low dispersal ability. These characteristics in tandem with limited area to track suitable conditions make these mountain communities potentially highly vulnerable to climate change, and indicators of climate change impacts. We investigated temporal changes in plant communities on 29 arid mountain summits across eight study regions in California and Nevada, USA, over 19 years. We analyzed community dynamics in terms of species richness, turnover, gain and loss of functional groups, and relative abundance of functional groups. First, across all summits and regions, we found no change in species richness over time. Second, there was relatively high species turnover (21.7%) between the five-year survey intervals, but turnover was not significantly different from random expectation. Within functional groups, forbs had the greatest proportion of gains and cushions had the greatest proportion of losses. Third, qualitative abundance categories presented a small but consistent signal of decrease in the relative abundance of cushions, graminoids, and shrubs/trees over the study period. Across a broad geographic scale and nearly two decades, community patterns were widely similar, suggesting that climate change has not impacted local colonization or extirpation of mountaintop species in this arid region. These findings support observed differences in response to climate change between temperature-limited and water-limited regions globally, and highlight the lagged and variable nature of high-elevation systems. Our findings fill a major data gap on alpine plant community responses to climate change in the western United States and bolster the importance of long-term ecological monitoring with rapid climate change.

Released March 26, 2025 16:15 EST

2025, Fact Sheet 2025-3002

George N. D. Case, Garth E. Graham, Christopher Lawley, Evgeniy Bastrakov, David Huston, Albert H. Hofstra, Vladimir Lisitsin, Steph Hawkins, Bronwen Wang

Critical minerals are commodities essential to modern industrial and strategic technologies and are highly vulnerable to supply chain disruption. The Critical Minerals Mapping Initiative (CMMI) is a collaboration among the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), the Geological Survey of Canada, and Geoscience Australia that aims to deepen global understanding of where critical minerals are located. A key output of this initiative is the Critical Minerals in Ores (CMiO) database that is advancing our collective understanding of critical minerals distributions. For instance, publicly available data on the concentrations of many critical minerals are sparse because these commodities can only be produced in small, yet essential, quantities compared to the primary commodities like copper and zinc. The CMiO database helps bridge this gap by offering high-quality, multielement geochemical data from a wide variety of critical mineral-bearing deposits around the world. Importantly, it uses a novel consensus deposit environment, group, and type classification scheme developed by the agencies that allows comparisons among ore deposits from different regions. The CMiO database contains geochemical data for more than 20,000 samples from more than 100 deposit types comprising 10 deposit environments.

Released March 26, 2025 08:52 EST

2025, Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research

Lauren Sankovitch, Carolina Munoz-Saez, Adam M. Hudson, Linda V. Godfrey, Jay Michael Thompson

Continental hydrothermal systems are critical avenues for the crustal transport of heat and mass captured for geothermal energy and mineral exploration. Thus, understanding their temporal evolution and longevity is important for resource characterization. Deposits of microlaminated siliceous sinter, common surface expressions of high temperature reservoirs (> 170 °C), have the potential to trace hydrothermal histories. Geothermal reservoirs are often located within uranium-bearing silicic volcanic rock where subsurface fluid-rock interactions extract U into hydrothermal fluids. U incorporated in the surface sinter deposit has the potential to provide a U—Th disequilibrium dating option. We focus on samples from El Tatio geyser field in the Altiplano of northern Chile, the largest geothermal system in the Andes. Our resulting ²³⁰Th/U ages, along with the water and deposit elemental compositions, suggest concentrations of U and Th vary predictably along the sinter apron. While distal facies containing the highest U concentrations (> 50 μg/g) are least affected by detrital Th corrections, they can display suspected open-system behavior. In contrast, more medial facies, where bacterial mats and other porous textures are commonly concentrated, have only trace amounts of U (< 0.1 μg/g), which leads to unreliable or geologically improbable dates. Proximal facies tend to date most consistently. By comparing existing ¹⁴C ages with ²³⁰Th/U results, ²³⁰Th/U ages tend to be younger than the ¹⁴C ages, supporting the presence of a ¹⁴C-dead carbon influence. New data confirm that the onset of geothermal activity at El Tatio goes back to the late Pleistocene.

Released March 26, 2025 08:12 EST

2025, Journal of Wildlife Management

Gregory T. Wann, Ashley L. Whipple, Elizabeth Kari Orning, Megan M. McLachlan, Jeffrey L. Beck, Peter S. Coates, Courtney J. Conway, Jonathan B. Dinkins, Aaron N. Johnston, Christian A. Hagen, Paul Makela, David Naugle, Michael A Schroeder, James S. Sedinger, Brett L. Walker, Perry J. Williams, Richard D. Inman, Cameron L. Aldridge

Habitat features needed by wildlife can change in composition throughout the year, particularly in temperate ecosystems, leading to distinct seasonal spatial-use patterns. Studies of species-habitat associations therefore often focus on understanding relationships within discrete seasonal periods with common goals of prediction (e.g., habitat mapping) and inference (e.g., interpreting model coefficients). Across the range of the greater sage-grouse (Centrocercus urophasianus) of western North America, the increasing use of high-frequency tracking devices has led to a surge in habitat association studies covering multiple temporal periods and spatial extents. We reviewed the literature for seasonal habitat association studies corresponding to the second and third orders of selection (Johnson 1980). Our objectives were to summarize the methodological approaches used to estimate habitat associations to aid understanding in cross-study comparisons and identify common habitat features reported as selected or avoided within different seasonal periods. We reviewed 71 second- and third-order studies published from 2007–2023 that evaluated covariates collected in a geographic information system (GIS) and modeled probability of selection or intensity of use. The most common study design evaluated a single level of selection (third-order) and was multi-scale (i.e., covariates were measured at varying spatial grains). The most common model approach estimated habitat associations using resource selection functions (RSFs) fit with logistic regression. Studies mostly focused on the breeding periods and winter, but all seasons throughout the annual cycle were covered. There was clear support for selection of sagebrush and avoidance of trees and rugged terrain across seasons, and strong selection of mesic conditions in summer. However, habitat associations for most covariates were mixed, with proportionally equivalent selection and avoidance reported, even within the same seasons. Different factors hampered cross-study comparisons, including variation in study design, but additional contributors likely included important context-dependent habitat associations, such as functional responses to changing habitat availability. We suggest collaborative studies leveraging multiple datasets can help improve seasonal habitat inference by removing the effects of variable study designs.

Released March 25, 2025 10:22 EST

2025, Movement Ecology (13)

Toshio Doroff Matsuoka, Vijay P. Patil, Jerry W. Hupp, Alan G. Leach, John Reed, James S. Sedinger, David H. Ward

Background

Since the 1980s, Pacific Black Brant (Branta bernicla nigricans, hereafter brant) have shifted their winter distribution northward from Mexico to Alaska (approximately 4500 km) with changes in climate. Alongside this shift, the primary breeding population of brant has declined. To understand the population-level implications of the changing migration strategy of brant, it is important to connect movement and demographic data. Our objectives were to calculate migratory connectivity, a measure of spatial and temporal overlap during the non-breeding period, for Arctic and subarctic breeding populations of brant, and to determine if variation in migration strategies affected nesting phenology and nest survival.

Methods

We derived a migratory network using light-level geolocator migration tracks from an Arctic site (Colville River Delta) and a subarctic site (Tutakoke River) in Alaska. Using this network, we quantified the migratory connectivity of the two populations during the winter. We also compared nest success rates among brant that used different combinations of winter sites and breeding sites.

Results

The two breeding populations were well mixed during the winter, as indicated by a migratory connectivity score close to 0 (− 0.06) at the primary wintering sites of Izembek Lagoon, Alaska (n = 11 brant) and Baja California, Mexico (n = 48). However, Arctic birds were more likely to migrate the shorter distance to Izembek (transition probability = 0.24) compared to subarctic birds (transition probability = 0.09). Nest survival for both breeding populations was relatively high (0.88–0.92), and we did not detect an effect of wintering site on nest success the following year.

Conclusions

Nest survival of brant did not differ among brant that used wintering sites despite a 4500 km difference in migration distances. Our results also suggested that the growing Arctic breeding population is unlikely to compensate for declines in the larger breeding population of brant in the subarctic. However, this study took place in 2011–2014 and wintering at Izembek Lagoon may have greater implications for reproductive success under future climate conditions.

Released March 25, 2025 10:05 EST

2025, Geosphere

Michael C. Sitar, John S. Singleton, Jeffrey M. Rahl, Jonathan Caine, Jacob King, Andrew R C Kylander-Clark, Paul O’Sullivan

The Sangre de Cristo Range in southern Colorado exposes some of the deepest Cenozoic structural levels in the Rocky Mountain region, including mylonitic shear zones associated with both the Laramide orogeny and Rio Grande rift. We investigated the relation between Laramide contraction and Rio Grande rift extension with detailed geologic mapping, kinematic analysis, and geochronometry in a 50 km² area centered on the Independence Mine shear zone (IMSZ). The 15−100-m-thick IMSZ is one of several shallowly to moderately (∼45° ± 20°) W-SW−dipping brittle-plastic shear zones along the western flank of the range. These shear zones display microstructural evidence of initiation as top-NE contractional mylonite zones, consistent with regional Laramide kinematics, which have been pervasively overprinted by shear fabrics indicating top-SW extensional reactivation. Both top-NE and top-SW shear fabrics involve cataclasis and quartz dislocation creep, although top-SW shear is more commonly localized along phyllosilicate-lined shear bands. Shear zones are hosted predominately within Proterozoic gneiss, and contain abundant chlorite and white mica derived from alteration of hornblende and feldspar, which indicates that weakening driven by fluid reactions played an important role in localizing strain. Extensional overprinting appears to be most pervasive along more steeply dipping portions of shear zones and where secondary phyllosilicates form an interconnected weak phase, which suggests that reactivation was primarily controlled by geometry and rheological contrasts inherited from contraction. One top-SW shear zone adjacent to the IMSZ cuts a late Oligocene gabbro stock, and monazite grains synkinematic with top-SW shear in the IMSZ yielded late Oligocene to Early Miocene U-Th-Pb dates that correspond with initiation of the Rio Grande rift. Reactivation of weak reverse faults may represent an important structural control during initial extension in the middle crust, prior to slip along the high-angle Sangre de Cristo normal fault system.

Released March 25, 2025 09:35 EST

2025, Fisheries

Benjamin Marcy-Quay, Sean Alois Lewandoski, Ryan M. Booth, Michael J. Connerton, Aaron K. Jubar, Chris D. Legard, Brian O'Malley, Scott E Prindle, Alexandra W Sumner, Matthew J. Symbal, Andy Todd, Michael J. Yuille, Ted J. Treska, Michael J. Siefkes, Nicholas S. Johnson

The Sea Lamprey Petromyzon marinus control program in the Laurentian Great Lakes is one of the longest-running and most successful invasive species suppression programs in the world. Although several techniques are used to suppress Sea Lamprey, the control program relies heavily on regular application of lampricide to kill stream-dwelling larvae. The COVID-19 pandemic disrupted lampricide application from 2020 to 2022, which provided a unique opportunity to test how Sea Lamprey populations and wound counts on fishes would respond. We evaluated the consequences of decreased control effort at a basin-wide level using standard control program metrics and through a focused analysis of multispecies wounding in Lake Ontario, which experienced the greatest disruption in Sea Lamprey control. The reduction in control effort corresponded to increased basin-wide adult Sea Lamprey abundance but was only weakly associated with Lake Trout Salvelinus namaycush wounding. However, the novel multispecies wounding rate metric calculated for Lake Ontario increased and was consistent with observations by anglers and managers regarding a sharp increase in Sea Lamprey abundance following reduced effort. Ultimately, our research highlights that consistent treatment is critically important for preventing damage stemming from Sea Lamprey and that reductions in suppression could quickly lead to a resurgence in abundance.

Released March 24, 2025 15:17 EST

2025, Nature Astronomy

A.P. Green, Catherine Elder, Michael Thomas Bland, Paul Tackley, Paul K. Byrne

The internal ocean of Jupiter’s moon Europa is thought to be a prime candidate for hosting extraterrestrial life. Europa’s silicate interior may contribute to habitability via the generation of reactants through hydrothermal activity, serpentinization, or other geological processes occurring on or just below Europa’s seafloor. However, silicate melting is thought to occur at >100 km depth in Europa’s mantle and it is unknown if this magma is able to penetrate and travel through the moon’s likely thick, brittle lithosphere to erupt at the seafloor. Here we combine previous modeling approaches to Europan interior melt generation and lithospheric dyke transport to show that Europan seafloor volcanism is strongly inhibited by its lithosphere. The low stress state of the Europan interior hinders the ability of dykes to penetrate through the lithosphere. Should dykes form, they penetrate <5% of the 200–250 km-thick lithosphere. Low mantle melt fractions (3–5%) drive sluggish pore-space magma flow, leading to dyke influxes 10,000 times lower than that necessary for seafloor eruption. These results strongly suggest that models of Europan habitability reliant on present-day volcanism at its seafloor are implausible.

Released March 24, 2025 14:45 EST

2025, Fact Sheet 2025-3006

Martin A. Briggs, David M. Rey, Chad C. Opatz, Neil C. Terry, Connor P. Newman, Lance R. Gruhn, Carole D. Johnson

Fiber-optic distributed temperature sensing instruments harness the temperature-dependent properties of glass to measure temperature continuously along optical fibers by using precise pulses of laser light. In the mid-2000s, this technology was refined for environmental monitoring purposes such as snowpack-air exchange, groundwater/surface-water exchange, and lake-water stratification. Fiber-optic distributed temperature sensing has revealed unprecedented details about preferential flow processes; however, the method is labor intensive and requires specific training, resulting in limited use by the broader water community. With the ongoing national implementation of the U.S. Geological Survey Next Generation Water Observing System, there has been renewed interest in harnessing the unique spatiotemporal monitoring capabilities of fiber-optic distributed temperature sensing. This fact sheet briefly describes this technology, highlights uses by the U.S. Geological Survey, and discusses current applications and future opportunities.

Released March 24, 2025 10:27 EST

2025, Eos, American Geophysical Union

Abigail Benson, Stace Beaulieu, Bradley Wade Bishop, Stephen C. Diggs, Stephen Killfoile Formel

The volumes and varieties of data coming from all types of scientific instrumentation around the globe and beyond are rapidly growing. To reuse and capitalize on these data effectively, scientists must be able to share and access them efficiently, which requires the data to be well managed. Many scientists intuit that research data management (RDM) done well does not mean using dusty USB drives or aging laptops for storage. Yet the path to strong data management is not always clear. How is RDM done? Who does it? For science to advance, we need to bolster cyberinfrastructure and human capacity to ensure that the data being collected are reusable by both humans and machines.

Released March 24, 2025 09:17 EST

2025, Groundwater

Brandon Fleming, Kenneth Belitz, Courtney D. Killian

No abstract available.

Released March 24, 2025 09:11 EST

2025, Geochimica et Cosmochimica Acta

Jack N. Carter, Caroline Hasler, Anthony Fuentes, Andrew Tholt, Leah E. Morgan, Paul R. Renne

The K/Ar and ⁴⁰Ar/³⁹Ar geochronometers are based on the naturally occurring radionuclide ⁴⁰K. Their precision and accuracy are limited by uncertainties on the ⁴⁰K decay constants and, in the case of the ⁴⁰Ar/³⁹Ar geochronometer, the isotopic composition of neutron fluence monitors. To address these limitations, we introduce a Bayesian calibration of the ⁴⁰K decay scheme. We formulate robust priors for all model parameters including partial ⁴⁰K decay constants, ²³⁸U and ²³⁵U decay constants, and age offset parameters to account for phenomena that can perturb apparent U-Pb and ⁴⁰Ar/³⁹Ar ages. We then harness a set of complementary ⁴⁰Ar/³⁹Ar, ²³⁸U/²⁰⁶Pb, and ²³⁵U/²⁰⁷Pb data from well- characterized geological samples with ages from 1.919 ka to 2000 Ma to derive Bayesian estimates of the ⁴⁰K decay constants. Posterior values for the partial ⁴⁰K decay constants are λ_β-= (4.9252 ± 0.0054) × 10⁻¹⁰ yr⁻¹, λ_β+ = (5.6658 ± 0.1543) × 10⁻¹⁵ yr⁻¹, λ_EC0 = (5.7404 ± 0.0053) × 10⁻¹¹ yr⁻¹, and λ_EC0= (4.9060 ± 0.2942)× 10⁻¹³ yr⁻¹ (uncertainties reported at the 68 % (1 σ) credible interval). These combine to a total ⁴⁰K decay constant λ_tot= (5.5042 ± 0.0054)× 10⁻¹⁰ yr⁻¹. Model estimates of the ²³⁸U and ²³⁵U decay constants are statistically indistinguishable from those reported by Jaffey et al. (1971). Posterior values of the ⁴⁰K decay constants and the ⁴⁰Ar*/⁴⁰K isotopic composition of Fish Canyon sanidine (FCs) define a K/Ar FCs age of 28.183 ± 0.017 Ma (1 σ). Significantly, Bayesian calibrated ⁴⁰Ar/³⁹Ar ages align with astronomically tuned ages throughout the Cenozoic and with ²³⁸U/²⁰⁶Pb and ²³⁵U/²⁰⁷Pb ages in the Mesozoic, Paleozoic, and Proterozoic, as well as having comparable precision to the ²³⁸U/²⁰⁶Pb method. Thus, Bayesian calibration of the 40 K decay scheme and the K/Ar age of FCs reconciles the ⁴⁰Ar/³⁹Ar, U-Pb, and astronomical chronometers.

Released March 24, 2025 08:13 EST

2025, Scientific Data (12)

Lucila Marie Corro, Kenneth J. Bagstad, Mehdi Heris, Peter Christian Ibsen, Karen Schleeweis, James E. Diffendorfer, Austin Troy, Kevin Megown, Jarlath P.M. O'Neil-Dunne

Moderate-resolution (30-m) national map products have limited capacity to represent fine-scale, heterogeneous urban forms and processes, yet improvements from incorporating higher resolution predictor data remain rare. In this study, we applied random forest models to high-resolution land cover data for 71 U.S. urban areas, moderate-resolution National Land Cover Database (NLCD) Tree Canopy Cover (TCC), and additional explanatory climatic and structural data to develop an enhanced urban TCC dataset for U.S. urban areas. With a coefficient of determination (R²) of 0.747, our model estimated TCC within 3% for 62 urban areas and added 13.4% more city-level TCC on average, compared to the native NLCD TCC product. Cross validations indicated model stability suitable for building a national-scale TCC dataset (median R² of 0.752, 0.675, and 0.743 for 1,000-fold cross validation, urban area leave-one-out cross validation, and cross validation by Census block group median year built, respectively). Additionally, our model code can be used to improve moderate-resolution TCC in other parts of the world where high-resolution land cover data have limited spatiotemporal availability.

Released March 23, 2025 08:08 EST

2025, Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth (130)

Anthony Francis Pivarunas, Margaret Susan Avery, Jonathan T. Hagstrum, Scott E.K. Bennett, Andrew T. Calvert

The Picture Gorge Basalt (PGB) is part of the Miocene Columbia River Basalt Group (CRBG). The PGB, which outcrops in eastern Oregon, is considered coincident in time with the voluminous Grande Ronde Basalt. New radiometric ages have expanded the age‐range of the PGB, suggesting it began erupting prior to the Steens Basalt to its south and continued until after cessation of the Grande Ronde Basalt eruptions, an interval of 1.5 Ma. However, the existing paleomagnetism of the PGB implies this eruption timeline is an overestimate. To reconcile the radiometric and paleomagnetic timescales for the PGB, we conducted a paleomagnetic study on sections of the PGB to construct a detailed, high‐quality magnetostratigraphy. Our data indicate the stratigraphically lowest lava flows in the PGB are of reversed polarity, revealing a new paleomagnetic transition with the PGB and a reversed (R)–normal (N)–reversed (R) sequence. This suggests one of two timeline possibilities for PGB volcanism: (a) eruptions began and during through CRBG polarity chrons R0–N0–R1, penecontemporaneous with Steens Basalt, or (b) eruptions began and persisted during CRBG polarity chrons R1–N1–R2. Our work supports a longer interval of PGB volcanism than was suggested by previous paleomagnetic data but is at odds with the suggestion that PGB eruptions lasted through the entire main CRBG. We favor a scenario wherein PGB eruptions begin with R0 and continue into the R1 paleomagnetic interval. The paleomagnetic results also record a ∼18° vertical‐axis rotation of east‐central Oregon after ∼16 Ma with respect to stable North America.

Released March 21, 2025 09:28 EST

2025, Ecosphere (16)

K. Dana Chadwick, Frank W. Davis, Kimberley Miner, Ryan Pavlick, Mark Reynolds, Philip A. Townsend, Philip Brodrick, Christiana Ade, Jean Allen, Leander D. L. Anderegg, Yoseline Angel, Indra Boving, Kristin B. Byrd, Petya Campbell, Luke Carberry, Katherine Cavanaugh, Kyle C. Cavanaugh, Kelly Easterday, Regina Eckert, Michelle M. Gierach, Kaitlin Gold, Erin Hestir, Fred Huemmrich, Maggie Klope, Raymond F. Kokaly, Piper Lovegreen, Kelly Luis, Conor McMahon, Nicholas Nidzieko, Francisco Ochoa, Anna Ongjoco, Elsa Ordway, Madeleine Pascolini-Campbell, Natalie Queally, Dar A. Roberts, Clare Saiki, Fabian D Schneider, Alexey N. Shiklomanov, German Silva, Jordan Snyder, Michele Thornton, Anna Trugman, Nidhi Vinod, Ting Zheng, Dulcinea M. Avouris, Brianna Baker, Latha Baskaran, Tom Bell, Megan Berg, Michael Bernas, Niklas Bohn, Renato Braghiere, Zach Breuer, Andrew J. Brooks, Nolan Burkard, Julia Burmistrova, Kerry-Anne Cawse-Nicholson, John Chapman, Johana Chazaro-Haraksin, Joel Cryer, K.C. Cushman, Kyla M. Dahlin, Phuong Dao, Athena DiBartolo, Michael Eastwood, Clayton D. Elder, Angela Giordani, Kathleen Grant, Robert O. Green, Alexa Hanson, Brendan Heberlein, Mark Helmlinger, Simon Hook, Daniel J. Jensen, Emma Johnson, Marie Johnson, Michael Kiper, Christopher Kibler, Jennifer Y. King, Kyle Kovach, Aaron Kreisberg, Daniel Lacey, Evan Lang, Christine M. Lee, Amanda M Lopez, Brittany Lopez Barreto, Andrew Maguire, Elliott Marsh, Charles E. Miller, Dieu My Nguyen, Cassandra Nickles, Jonathan Ocón, Elijah Papen, Maria Park, Benjamin Poulter, Ann M. Raiho, Porter Reim, Timothy J. Robinson, Fernando Romero Galvan, Ethan Shafron, Brenen R. Skalitzky, Sydney Stroschein, Nicole Chin Taylor, David R. Thompson, Kate Thompson, Cecily Tye, Joelie Van Beek, Cecilia Vanden Heuvel, Jonathan Vellanoweth, Evert Vermeer, Claire Villanueva-Weeks, Kristen Zumdahl, David Schimel

We stand at the threshold of a transformative era in Earth observation, marked by space-borne visible-to-shortwave infrared (VSWIR) imaging spectrometers that promise consistent global observations of ecosystem function, phenology, and inter- and intra-annual change. However, the full value of repeat spectroscopy, the information embedded within different temporal scales, and the reliability of existing algorithms across diverse ecosystem types and vegetation phenophases have remained elusive due to the absence of suitable sub-seasonal spectroscopy data. In response, the Surface Biology and Geology (SBG) High-Frequency Time Series (SHIFT) campaign was initiated during late February 2022 in Santa Barbara County, California. SHIFT, designed to support NASA's SBG mission, addressed mission scoping, scientific advancement, applications development, and community building. This ambitious endeavor included weekly Airborne Visible InfraRed Imaging Spectrometer-Next Generation (AVIRIS-NG) imagery acquisitions for 13 weeks (spanning February 24 to May 29, 2022), accompanied by coordinated terrestrial vegetation and coastal aquatic data collection. We describe the rich datasets collected and illustrate how the complex sub-seasonal patterns of change can be linked to biological science and applications, surpassing insights from multispectral observations. Leveraging open-source processing methods and cloud-based analysis tools, the SHIFT campaign showcases the readiness of the scientific community to harness ecological insights from remotely sensed hyperspectral time series. We provide an overview of SHIFT's goals, data collections, preliminary results, and the collaborative efforts of early career scientists committed to unlocking the transformative potential of high-frequency time series data from space-borne VSWIR imaging spectrometers.

Released March 21, 2025 09:21 EST

2025, Journal of Applied Ecology

Marisa Takada Martinez, Laura D'Acunto, Stephanie Romanach

1. Understanding how species populations change with environmental conditions is important for implementing effective habitat management and conservation strategies. Challenges to evaluating population-level responses to environmental conditions arise when data are sparse or not spatiotemporally aligned, especially for at-risk species with small, declining numbers.
2. We synthesized 30 years (1992–2021) of three partially aligned data sets to build a Bayesian integrated population model (IPM) and evaluate demographic and environmental drivers of growth rates for six separately managed ‘subpopulations’ (A–F) of the federally endangered Cape Sable seaside sparrow endemic to the Florida Everglades.
3. We found that juvenile survival peaked at inundation periods (hydroperiods) around 100–220 days and dropped sharply outside those values, while adult survival increased with longer periods of water depth <20 cm, but not with longer periods of water depth >20 cm. Fecundity increased when water depths were more stable, more area was dry, intervals between fires were longer and less area was burned.
4. Changes in population growth rates tended to occur in years that juvenile and adult survival were associated with hydroperiod, especially in the two largest subpopulations B and E. Population growth rates were also associated with hydrologic conditions during the breeding season and fire dynamics through changes in fecundity, most notably in the smaller subpopulations A, C/F and D.
5. Synthesis and applications. Our IPM represents the first long-term population analysis of the Cape Sable seaside sparrow connecting demographic processes to environmental factors. Our results suggest that sustaining periods of shallow water year-round may enhance Cape Sable seaside sparrow survival and population growth. Also, limiting water depth variability and maintaining dry conditions during the breeding season and inhibiting fires in consecutive years may increase fecundity and population growth. Identifying the mechanistic links between environmental and population dynamics could inform how species are expected to respond to management decisions and anticipated ecosystem changes.

Released March 20, 2025 15:43 EST

2025, San Francisco Estuary and Watershed Science (23)

Rosemary Hartman, Noah Knowles, Amanda Fencl, Julia Ekstrom

Droughts are frequent events in the western United States, and can disrupt water supply and degrade water quality, challenging water management in the Sacramento–San Joaquin Delta (Delta). This chapter for the State of Bay–Delta Science report describes what drought means for the Delta, how drought is managed in the Delta, and how drought management has changed over time. Projections of future climate indicate the possibility of increased frequency and severity of droughts which would have increasing effects on California’s water system, society, and ecological functions within and beyond the Delta. California has experienced several major droughts in the 20th and 21st centuries, each of which has caused significant social and ecological impacts and motivated improvements in water management. Droughts decrease native fish populations, increase harmful algal blooms, and promote the spread of many invasive plant and animal species. For people living within the Delta and those that rely on Delta water exports, droughts increase drinking water costs and decrease agricultural production, negatively affecting agricultural economies and labor markets. Tools developed in response to droughts include actions that increase supply, such as building water infrastructure, actions to reduce demand, such as water conservation campaigns, and mitigation actions, such as monetary relief for drought-impacted communities. Improving drought resilience requires development of additional drought responses, increased forecasting accuracy, and increased awareness of impacts on vulnerable communities and ecosystems. Even with development of additional management actions, strategies, and regulations, there will likely be difficulties meeting the current levels of demand for water. Drought conditions already cause conflict between human and environmental uses, and with more extreme droughts possible in the future and projected increases in demand, it will be challenging to provide for all users’ needs even with major changes to water management in the Delta.

Released March 20, 2025 13:10 EST

2025, Open-File Report 2025-1004

Tom D. Byl, Devin M. Moore, Champagne Cunningham, De’Etra Young

The Southeastern United States has many lakes, streams, and reservoirs that serve as important drinking water sources with recreational, agricultural, and ecological uses. However, harmful algal blooms (HABs) are becoming more common in these waters, causing health issues for humans and animals. HABs have been listed as a contaminant of emerging concern, and the magnitude, frequency, and duration of HABs appear to be increasing at the global scale. While it is well known that nutrients stimulate algae growth, it is not clear how climate change and other parameters stimulate the development of toxin production by HABs. The scientific literature describes parameters, such as storm occurrence, temperature, dissolved metals, erosion of soils, increasing length of growing season, discharge, and hydroperiod, that may affect algae growth and toxin production. Climate and hydrologic models address many of the physical and environmental parameters that influence HABs, but no climate models directly address HABs. This report compiles information from the existing literature pertaining to HABs and the modeling and forecasting of HABS. This compilation is done through the incorporation of climate change models. HAB research that involves climate change will require multiple disciplines that bring together ecologists, hydrologists, climatologists, engineers, economists, and new technology. Resource managers could use geographic data about the occurrence and distribution of HABs to develop models that identify waterbodies more vulnerable to HAB events. Development of such models will require teams capable of integrating biological, chemical, and physical factors. Model development will require additional research that can resolve anthropogenic and climate-related environmental factors to identify trends in freshwater HABs. The complexity and interconnectedness of the parameters that influence HAB occurrences will make model development challenging and require rigorous regional calibration.

Released March 20, 2025 09:20 EST

2025, Data Report 1202

Joel B. Sankey, Nathaniel D. Bransky, Lori M. Pigue, Keith A. Kohl, Thomas M. Gushue

In May 2021, the U.S. Geological Survey’s Grand Canyon Monitoring and Research Center acquired airborne multispectral high-resolution data for the Colorado River in the Grand Canyon, Arizona. The image data, which consist of four spectral bands (red, band 1; green, band 2; blue, band 3; and near infrared, band 4) with a ground resolution of 20 centimeters, are available as 16-bit unsigned-integer GeoTIFF files in Sankey and others (2024) (available online at https://doi.org/10.5066/P9BBGN6G). The image files are projected in the State Plane Coordinate System, using the central Arizona zone (202) with the North American Datum of 1983 National Adjustment of 2011. The assessed spatial accuracy for these data is based on 47 ground-control points that were independent from the ground-control points used by the contractor for aerotriangulation and is reported at the 95-percent confidence level as 0.514 meter (m) and a root mean square error of 0.297 m. The intended uses of this dataset are primarily in support of scientific research and monitoring applications. Examples of these applications include high-resolution spatial and temporal change detection of the river channel, geomorphic landforms, riparian vegetation, and backwater and nearshore habitat, as well as other ecosystem-wide mapping. These imagery data also serve as reference material for field science mission planning, as base data for field data collection including community science activities, and as a highly detailed guide for technical boat operation during science activities such as reconnaissance for nighttime missions and navigating rapids during low flows.

Released March 20, 2025 08:09 EST

2025, Climate of the Past (21) 661-677

Jade Margerum, Julia Homann, Stuart Umbo, Gernot Nehrke, Thorsten Hoffmann, Anton Vaks, Aleksandr Kononov, Alexander Osintsev, Alena Maria Giesche, Andrew Mason, Franziska A. Lechleitner, Gideon M. Henderson, Ola Kwiecien, Sebastian F.M. Breitenbach

Wildfires are a rapidly increasing threat to boreal forests. While our understanding of the drivers behind wildfires and their environmental impact is growing, it is mostly limited to the observational period. Here we focus on the boreal forests of southern Siberia and exploit a U–Th-dated stalagmite from Botovskaya Cave, located in the upper Lena region of southern Siberia, to document wildfire activity and vegetation dynamics during parts of two warm periods: the Last Interglacial (LIG; specifically part of the Last Interglacial maximum between 124.1 and 118.8 ka) and the Holocene (10–0 ka). Our record is based on levoglucosan (Lev), a biomarker sensitive to biomass burning, and on lignin oxidation products (LOPs) that discriminate between open and closed forest and hard- or softwood vegetation. In addition, we used carbonate carbon stable isotope ratios (δ¹³C), which reflect a dominant control of the host rock, to evaluate soil respiration and local infiltration changes. Our LOP data suggest that, during the Last Interglacial, the region around Botovskaya Cave was characterised by open forest, which by ca. 121.5 ka underwent a transition from fire-resistant hardwood to fire-prone softwood. The Lev record indicates that fire activity was high and increased towards the end of Last Interglacial just before 119 ka. In contrast, the Holocene was characterised by a closed-forest environment with mixed hard- and softwood vegetation. Holocene fire activity varied but at a much lower level than during the Last Interglacial. We attribute the changes in wildfire activity during the intervals of interest to the interplay between vegetation and climate. The open forests of the Last Interglacial were more likely to ignite than their closed Holocene equivalents, and their flammability was aided by warmer and drier summers and a stronger seasonal temperature contrast due to the increase in seasonal insolation difference compared to the Holocene. Our comparison of the last two interglacial intervals suggests that, with increasing global temperatures, the boreal forest of southern Siberia may become progressively more vulnerable to higher wildfire activity.

Released March 19, 2025 11:57 EST

2025, Scientific Investigations Report 2025-5013

Evin J. Fetkovich, Amy S. Morris, Isaac A. Dale, Chloe Codner, Ethan A. Kirby, Colin A. Baciocco, Ian M.J. Rogers, Derrick L. Wagner, Zachary D. Tomlinson, Eric G. Fiorentino

The 1973 Oklahoma Groundwater Law (Oklahoma Statute §82–1020.5) requires that the Oklahoma Water Resources Board conduct hydrologic investigations of the State’s groundwater basins to support a determination of the maximum annual yield for each groundwater basin. Every 20 years, the Oklahoma Water Resources Board is required to update the hydrologic investigation on which the maximum annual yield determinations were based. The maximum annual yield allocated per acre of land is used to set the equal-proportionate share pumping rate. The maximum annual yield of 5,913,600 acre-feet per year and equal-proportionate-share of 2.1 acre-feet per acre per year currently (2025) in place for the Antlers aquifer were issued by the Oklahoma Water Resources Board on February 14, 1995. Because more than 20 years have elapsed since the 1995 final order for the Antlers aquifer was issued, the U.S. Geological Survey, in cooperation with the Oklahoma Water Resources Board, completed an in-depth hydrologic study that included a hydrogeologic framework and conceptual groundwater-flow model for the 1980–2022 study period.

The results of an analysis of land use, long-term climate patterns, streamflow and base-flow patterns, historical groundwater use, as well as groundwater-level fluctuations across the Antlers aquifer are described. In addition, groundwater quality was analyzed for total dissolved solids concentrations and major ions for the Antlers aquifer. An updated hydrogeologic framework was developed that included refining the aquifer boundary in Oklahoma, the creation of new potentiometric surface and saturated thickness of fresh groundwater maps, one multiple-well aquifer test, slug tests, and an analysis of lithologic logs across the aquifer. A conceptual groundwater flow model and water budget were developed by incorporating estimates of recharge from precipitation, saturated-zone evapotranspiration, streambed seepage, lateral groundwater flows, vertical leakage, and withdrawals from groundwater wells.

Released March 19, 2025 11:45 EST

2025, Fact Sheet 2024-3050

Christopher J. Schenk, Tracey J. Mercier, Phuong A. Le, Andrea D. Cicero, Ronald M. Drake II, Sarah E. Gelman, Jane S. Hearon, Benjamin G. Johnson, Jenny H. Lagesse, Heidi M. Leathers-Miller, Kira K. Timm

Using a geology-based assessment methodology, the U.S. Geological Survey estimated undiscovered, technically recoverable mean conventional resources of 1.2 billion barrels of oil and 6.4 trillion cubic feet of gas in Oman.

Released March 19, 2025 09:44 EST

2025, Hydrological Processes (39)

John C. Hammond, Bailey Anderson, Caelan Simeone, Manuela Brunner, Eduardo Munoz-Castro, Stacey A. Archfield, Eugene Magee, Rachael Armitage

In this commentary, we aim to (1) describe ways that hydrological intensification and hydrological whiplash (sub-seasonal transitions between hydrological extremes) may impact water management decision-making, (2) introduce the complexities of identifying and quantifying hydrological extreme transitions, (3) discuss the processes controlling hydrological transitions and trends in hydrological extremes through time, (4) discuss considerations involved in modeling hydrological extreme transitions, and (5) motivate additional research by suggesting priority research questions that diverge from an assumption of independence between extreme events.

Released March 19, 2025 09:32 EST

2025, Applied Geochemistry (184)

R. Blaine McCleskey, Charles A. Cravotta III, Matthew P. Miller, Tanner William Chapin, Fred D. Tillman, Gabrielle L. Keith

Salinity levels in streams and tributaries of the Colorado River Basin have been a major concern for the United States and Mexico for over 50 years as the water is used by millions of people for domestic and industrial purposes. Recently, the United States Geological Survey expanded stream monitoring networks including the number of sites where continuous (15-min) specific conductance is measured in the Colorado River Headwaters and Gunnison River Basin located east of the Colorado-Utah state line (hereafter, UCOL). The purpose of this study is to apply a proxy method to determine salinity and total dissolved solids concentrations from specific conductance and major-ion water type that is applicable to monitoring sites in the UCOL. Within the UCOL, carbonate rich waters originate from high-elevation mountain regions in the eastern UCOL, calcium sulfate rich waters are mainly found in the western half of the UCOL including the Gunnison River Basin, and waters of variable composition are found along the lower reaches of the Colorado River and Eagle River. It was found that the chemistry of sites with variable composition changes seasonally and is impacted by both geogenic and anthropogenic processes, potentially including seasonal application of deicing road salt. The specific conductance – water type proxy can be used to reliably (±10 %) predict salinity and total dissolved solids at 66 monitoring sites in the UCOL. The method is rapid, can generate high-resolution measurements, is cost-effective, and greatly expands the utility of specific conductance measurements. Furthermore, the high-resolution estimates provide an accurate approach to determining long-term salinity loads as short-term events are accurately accounted for.

Released March 19, 2025 07:56 EST

2025, Seismological Research Letters

Bruce E. Shaw, Kevin Ross Milner, Christine A. Goulet

We use the deterministic earthquake simulator RSQSim to generate complex sequences of ruptures on fault systems used for hazard assessment. We show that the source motions combined with a wave propagation code create surface ground motions that fall within the range of epistemic uncertainties for the Next Generation Attenuation‐West2 set of empirical models. We show the model is well calibrated where there are good data constraints, and has good correspondence in regions with fewer data constraints. We show magnitude, distance, and mechanism dependence all arising naturally from the same underlying friction. The deterministic physics‐based approach provides an opportunity for better understanding the physical origins of ground motions. For example, we find that reduced stress drops in shallow layers relative to constant stress drop with depth lead to peak ground velocities in the near field that better match empirical models. The simulators may also provide better extrapolations into regimes that are poorly empirically constrained by data because physics, rather than surface shaking data parameterizations, is underlying the extrapolations. Having shown the model is credible, we apply it to a problem where observations are lacking. We examine the case of crustal faults above a shallow subduction interface seen to break coseismically in simulations of the New Zealand fault system. These types of events were left out of consideration in the most recent New Zealand national seismic hazard model due to the modeling complexity and lack of observational data to constrain ground‐motion models (GMMs). Here, we show that in the model, by breaking up the coseismic crustal and interface rupturing fault motions into two separate subevents, and then recombining the resulting ground‐motion measures in a square‐root‐of‐sum‐of‐squares incoherent manner, we reproduce well the ground‐motion measures from the full event rupture. This provides a new method for extrapolating GMMs to more complex multifault ruptures.

Released March 18, 2025 16:15 EST

2025, Fact Sheet 2024-3037

Annie Simpson, Mark T. Wiltermuth, Mireya Dorado

The pervasive and insidious threat of invasive species costs the United States more than $120 billion, annually. An invasive species is an organism that is not native to a locality and causes (or is likely to cause) harm. An introduced species is one that is nonnative to a locality and occurs there because of human activities or their consequences, including the species’ intentional or unintentional escape, release, dissemination, or placement. The United States Register of Introduced and Invasive Species (US-RIIS, ver. 2.0) contains 14,700 records for three localities: Alaska (545 records), Hawaii (5,628 records), and the conterminous United States (L48; 8,527 records). For these localities, the US-RIIS catalogs introduced species that have become established, thus providing a basis for their prioritization and management. To be included on the US-RIIS, a species must be nonnative to the entire locality and reproducing anywhere in the locality. Each US-RIIS record has information on taxonomy, dates of introduction (where available; version 2.0 for 47 percent of the records), invasion status (invasive or introduced), use for biocontrol (if applicable), and a citation for the information source(s). The US-RIIS was designed to be compatible with country contributions to the Global Register of Introduced and Invasive Species Initiative, which compiles annotated and verified country-wide inventories of introduced and invasive species. Within the US-RIIS, the density of introduced species per 10,000 square kilometers among the localities ranges markedly, from 3 in Alaska to 1,988 in Hawaii (11 in the L48). The comparative taxonomic composition of the largest groups in the sublists also varies: the Alaska sublist has a majority of flowering plants; Hawaii has a majority of insects; and the L48 is about equally divided between insects and flowering plants. Another benefit of the US-RIIS is that it provides a baseline for effective modeling of species trends and interactions, geospatially and temporally; therefore, it can also be used to track introduced sleeper species that will eventually become invasive.

Released March 18, 2025 09:37 EST

2025, Fish and Fisheries

David Benoit, Daniel Zielinski, Reid G Swanson, Donald Jackson, Robert L. McLaughlin, Theodore Castro-Santos, R. Andrew Goodwin, Thomas C. Pratt, Andrew M. Muir

The importance of connectivity for freshwater organisms is widely recognised, yet in-stream barriers associated with population declines and increased risk of extinction remain globally ubiquitous. Despite their negative consequences, these barriers can protect aquatic communities by limiting the spread of invasive species, leading to conflicting management goals in some regions. Selective fish passage is a solution for the conflicting goals of passing native, desirable species while restricting the spread of invasives. Approaches that can target groups of species sharing similar attributes (i.e. guilds) are likely to be more efficient than those that target species individually, particularly in taxonomically diverse systems. We explored the guild structure of 220 Great Lakes freshwater fishes based on morphological, phenological, physiological and behavioural attributes associated with passage and movement. We identified five distinct guilds as well as the attributes most important for defining these groupings: maximum total length, trophic level, relative eye size, spawning temperature, spawning season, presence/absence of ampullary electroreceptors and the presence/absence of hearing specialisations. The approaches outlined in this work can be generalised to enhance selective fish passage in aquatic ecosystems worldwide.

Released March 17, 2025 11:28 EST

2025, Open-File Report 2023-1066

Stacie A. Hathaway, James D. Jacobi, Robert Peck, Adam R. Backlin, Cynthia J. Hitchcock, Robert N. Fisher

Introduction

The U.S. Air Force (USAF) issued funds to the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) to update the biosecurity plan, create a current (2019) flora and fauna species identification index, and do container evaluations for the presence of potential invasives. The current (2019) biosecurity protocols used for prevention were evaluated, and new biodiversity surveys were completed for terrestrial vegetation and arthropods and included the first formal reptile surveys. Results from field efforts add to existing knowledge and may identify new species arrivals to Wake.

One goal of this project was to update and compile established species information for the atoll and create species identification guides for the three taxonomic groups surveyed. We made these flora and fauna species identification guides by compiling results of the recent (2019) and historical surveys. The guides can be used as resident desktop references, as a baseline for assessing future natural resource surveys, and to assist with guiding management actions. We refer herein to biosecurity and integrated pest management plan materials, which we created simultaneously to inform current (2019) biosecurity and to identify some of the top invasive species at Wake. This study was done in cooperation with the USAF, and surveys were performed for the 611th Civil Engineer Squadron Natural Resources Program, ACES PROJECT #YGFZ170002 under agreement number F2MUAA7116GW02 between the USAF and the USGS Western Ecological Research Center.

Released March 17, 2025 11:20 EST

2025, Scientific Investigations Report 2025-5007

Michael N. Fienen, Laura A. Schachter, Randall J. Hunt

The history-matching approach to parameter estimation with models enables a powerful offshoot analysis of data worth—using the uncertainty of a model forecast as a metric for the worth of data. Adding observation data will either have no impact on forecast uncertainty or will reduce it. Removing existing data will either have no impact on forecast uncertainty or will increase it. The history-matching framework makes it possible to perform this quantitative analysis leveraging the connections among observations, model parameters, and model forecasts. We show this behavior on a specific groundwater flow model of the Mississippi Alluvial Plain and show where the analysis can be informative for considering the potential design of an observation network based on existing or potential observations.

Released March 17, 2025 10:48 EST

2025, Journal of Wildlife Diseases

Jeffrey M. Lorch, A. Tobin, Alexandria Annelise Argue, Valerie I. Shearn-Bochsler, Brenda M. Berlowski-Zier, Kyle George, Katherine H. Haman, Anne Ballmann

The impacts of white-nose syndrome (WNS) on many bat species in eastern North America have been well documented because of the length of time that the causative agent, Pseudogymnoascus destructans (Pd), has been present and the ability to monitor bat hibernacula in that region. However, the disease outcomes for bat species in western North America are less known because of the more recent arrival of Pd and the challenges associated with monitoring hibernating bat populations in parts of the western US. We report on mortality events involving Yuma myotis (Myotis yumanensis) bats at two locations in King and Benton counties, Washington, US, that were attributed to WNS during the late winters of 2020–21 and 2024, respectively. All bats that were grossly examined had depleted subcutaneous white adipose tissue, tested positive for the presence of Pd, had histopathologic lesions consistent with WNS, and did not exhibit evidence of other disease processes that may have contributed to death. Mortality was likely higher than what was documented because the locations of the Pd-contaminated hibernacula from which the bats originated were inaccessible or unknown and thus could not be surveyed. These findings indicate that Yuma myotis may be highly susceptible to WNS, and close monitoring is warranted to understand how WNS will affect population trends in this (and other) western bat species.

Released March 17, 2025 09:50 EST

2025, Ecology and Evolution (15)

Steven J. Hromada, Jason L. Jones, Jocelyn B. Stalker, Dustin A. Wood, A.G. Vandergast, C. Richard Tracy, C.M. Gienger, Kenneth E. Nussear

Describing future habitat for sensitive species can be helpful in planning conservation efforts to ensure species persistence under new climatic conditions. The Gila monster (Heloderma suspectum) is an iconic lizard of the southwestern United States. The northernmost range of Gila monsters is the Mojave Desert, an area experiencing rapid human population growth and urban sprawl. To understand current and potential future habitat for Gila monsters in the Mojave Desert, we fit ensemble species distribution models using known locations and current environmental variables known to be important to the species' biology. We then projected future suitable habitat under different climate forecasts based on IPCC emission scenarios. To ensure that Gila monsters would be able to disperse to newly suitable habitat, we fit Brownian Bridge movement models using telemetry data from two locations in Nevada. This model indicated that Gila monsters prefer to move through areas with a moderate slope and higher shrub cover. Modeled current suitable habitat for Gila monsters in Nevada was primarily in rugged bajadas and lower elevations at the bases of mountain ranges. Predictions of potential future habitat suggested that overall habitat suitability through 2082 would remain relatively stable throughout the study area in the lower emissions scenario, but in the high emissions scenario potential habitat is greatly reduced in many lower-elevation areas. Future habitat areas at higher elevations under the high emissions scenario showed moderate increases in suitability, though occupancy would likely be limited by Gila monster dispersal capabilities. Finally, we determined how well the protected area network of our study area encompassed future Gila monster habitat to highlight potential opportunities to protect this important species.

Released March 17, 2025 09:48 EST

2025, Geochemical Perspectives Letters (34) 25-30

S. Bernard, O. Beyssac, J.A. Manrique, G. Lopez Reyes, A. Ollila, S. Le Mouelic, P.S.A. Beck, P. Pilleri, O. Forni, S. Julve-Gonzales, M. Veneranda, I. Reyes Rodriguez, J.M. Madariaga Mota, J. Aramenda, K. Castro, E. Clave, C. Royer, T. Fornaro, B. Bousquet, S.K. Sharma, J.R. Johnson, E. Cloutis, Travis S.J. Gabriel, P.Y. Meslin, O. Gasnault, A. Cousin, R.C. Wiens, S. Maurice

The Perseverance rover is exploring Jezero crater on Mars, one of its goals being to collect samples to be returned to Earth to search for organic remains of ancient Martian life. However, the organic content of these rocks has likely suffered from the radiation environment on the surface of Mars to an extent yet to be quantified. For the first time, a 1000 sols long ageing experiment was conducted at the surface of Mars, i.e. under actual Martian conditions, relying on the 100 % organic Ertalyte target carried by Perseverance. White at landing, the Ertalyte target has turned brown with time, while its Raman signal changed, with a modification of the background (its maximum has shifted from 1500 to 2000 cm⁻¹) and a reduction of the contribution of the Raman signal of Ertalyte (by a factor of 5 over the first 500 sols). Given the intrinsic resistance of the Ertalyte to UV exposure, which is not anticipated for most Martian organic materials, these results suggest that exposure at the surface of Mars will make the detection of Martian organic molecules challenging.

Released March 16, 2025 11:34 EST

2025, Water Resources Research (3)

Lee R. Harrison, Carl J. Legleiter, Brandon Overstreet, James White

Continuous, high-resolution data for characterizing freshwater habitat conditions can support successful management of endangered salmonids. Uncrewed aircraft systems (UAS) make acquiring such fine-scale data along river channels more feasible, but workflows for quantifying reach-scale salmon habitats are lacking. We evaluated the potential for UAS-based mapping of hydraulic habitats using spectrally based depth retrieval and particle image velocimetry (PIV) by comparing these methods to a more well-established flow modeling approach. Our results indicated that estimates of water depth, depth-averaged velocity, and flow direction derived via remote sensing and modeling techniques were comparable and in good agreement with field measurements. Predictions of spring-run Chinook salmon (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha) juvenile rearing habitat produced from PIV and model output were similar, with small errors relative to direct field observations. Estimates of hydraulic heterogeneity based on kinetic energy gradients in the flow field were generally consistent between PIV and flow modeling, but errors relative to field measurements were larger. PIV results were sensitive to the velocity index (α) used to convert surface velocities to depth-averaged velocities. Sun glint precluded PIV analysis along the margins of some images and a large degree of overlap between frames was thus required to obtain continuous coverage of the reach. Similarly, shadows cast by riparian vegetation caused gaps in spectrally based bathymetric maps. Despite these limitations, our results suggest that for sites with sufficient water surface texture, UAS-based PIV can provide detailed hydraulic habitat information at the reach scale, with accuracies comparable to traditional field methods and multidimensional flow modeling.

Released March 15, 2025 11:10 EST

2025, Hydrological Processes (39)

Joshua R. Benton, Daniel H. Doctor

Estimates of dynamic groundwater volumes supplying baseflow to streams are important for water availability projections during extended periods of drought. The primary goals of this study were to provide dynamic storage volume estimates, inferred from streamflow recession analysis, for baseflow regimes within seven gaged catchments within the Neversink Reservoir Watershed (NRW), a critical municipal water source for New York City. Additionally, geomorphological properties, surficial geology and hydro-meteorological processes were quantified and described in relation to time and spatially variable recession behaviour and storage estimates across the NRW. To explore these relationships, we (1) evaluated seasonal trends in streamflow recession behaviour in relation to modelled potential evapotranspiration (PET) and catchment runoff rates, (2) derived empirical streamflow models for cool-season runoff using both linear and nonlinear reservoir assumptions for baseflow and (3) calculated metrics related to the geology and geomorphology of each catchment and compared these metrics to area normalised baseflow dynamic storage estimates. Results show that baseflow recession behaves as a nonlinear reservoir, and applying linear groundwater reservoir assumptions may underestimate the total dynamic storage volumes compared to what would be predicted for a nonlinear reservoir. Increases in PET caused decreases in storage conditions that resulted in increased recession rates and nonlinearity in streamflow recession during the growing season. Additionally, we found that while no single physical catchment characteristic solely predicted catchment storage dynamics, sediment volume and stream gradients were stronger predictors of normalised storage volumes than catchment surface area or surface topography alone. Within the NRW, catchments with the highest sediment volume exhibited the lowest recession rates and higher dynamic storage volumes, while the smallest catchment, mostly devoid of sediment, had the fastest recession rate and lowest dynamic storage volume.

Released March 14, 2025 15:26 EST

2025, Scientific Investigations Report 2025-5011

Shana L. Mashburn, Evin J. Fetkovich, Hayden A. Lockmiller, Chloe Codner, Ethan Allen Kirby, Isaac A. Dale, Colin A. Baciocco

The Arbuckle-Simpson aquifer is divided spatially into three parts (eastern, central, and western). The largest groundwater withdrawals are from the eastern part of the Arbuckle-Simpson aquifer, which provides water to approximately 39,000 people in Ada and Sulphur, Oklahoma, and surrounding areas. The Arbuckle-Simpson aquifer, including the eastern part, is designated a sole source aquifer for its service area. Based primarily on data collected between 2003 and 2008, a series of comprehensive hydrologic studies of the Arbuckle-Simpson aquifer was published to provide the information necessary to perform groundwater-flow model simulations so that the Oklahoma Water Resources Board could determine how much water could be withdrawn from the aquifer while maintaining flow to springs and streams. As part of the Phase 1 studies, an aquifer water budget was developed from a numerical model for the period 2003–08. For this report, Phase 1 refers to the 2003–08 data collection period, although for some of the analyses, data collected prior to 2003 were used to inform model development work. Allocation of water from this aquifer was then established by the Oklahoma Water Resources Board in 2013. Additional well-spacing rules were also established by the Oklahoma Water Resources Board for sensitive sole source groundwater basins. To determine how the water budget for the eastern part of the Arbuckle-Simpson aquifer has changed over time, recently collected hydrologic data (2018–23) were compared to data collected during 2003–08. The analysis of changes in the aquifer water budget from 2003–08 to 2018–23 could help resource managers better understand changes in the overall balance of water in storage and the potential effects on streamflow, changes in groundwater levels, and the effects of different water uses in the aquifer area on available water in the eastern part of the Arbuckle-Simpson aquifer and streams overlying the eastern part of the Arbuckle-Simpson aquifer.

Released March 14, 2025 12:28 EST

2025, Scientific Investigations Report 2025-5019

Seth A. Siefken, Tara Williams-Sether, Nancy A. Barth, Katherine J. Chase, Mark A. Cedar Face

The U.S. Geological Survey, in cooperation with the Montana Department of Natural Resources and Conservation, North Dakota Department of Water Resources, South Dakota Department of Transportation, and the Wyoming Water Development Office, has developed standard methods of peak-flow frequency analysis for studies in Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Wyoming. These methods describe the implementation of national flood frequency guidelines described in Bulletin 17C (https://doi.org/10.3133/tm4B5) for the four States and deviations from Bulletin 17C standard procedures to accommodate unusual hydrologic conditions. A U.S. Geological Survey data release accompanying this report (https://doi.org/10.5066/P1WHRK8H) provides example peak-flow frequency analyses for selected streamgages in the study area. The methods described in this report can be used to publish similar data releases for other streamgages in the study area.

Released March 14, 2025 10:50 EST

2025, Fact Sheet 2025-3003

Jeffrey L. Mauk, Nick A. Karl, Justin S. Pierson, Carma A. San Juan

The Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act of 2021 required the Secretary of the Interior to establish a program to inventory abandoned hard-rock mines in the United States. The Department of the Interior’s Office of Environmental Policy and Compliance asked the U.S. Geological Survey’s Mineral Deposit Database project (USMIN) to use existing data sources to build an inventory of all individual abandoned mine features in the United States. In addition to feature locations, this new database documents the surface land management agency, associated physical and environmental hazards, and any completed mitigation efforts. This information will improve risk assessment and support land management efforts, including hazard mitigation, ecosystem restoration planning, and reclamation. This fact sheet provides a brief overview of USMIN’s collaborative efforts with Federal, State, and Tribal agencies to build a comprehensive and authoritative national inventory of abandoned mine features.

Released March 14, 2025 10:34 EST

2025, Scientific Investigations Report 2024-5131

Emily A. Wei, Jennifer L. Miselis, Noreen A. Buster, Arnell S. Forde

The U.S. Geological Survey assessed the Quaternary evolution of Seven Mile Island, New Jersey, to quantify coastal sediment availability, which is crucial for establishing sediment budgets, understanding sediment dispersal, and managing coastlines. This report presents preliminary interpretations of seismic profiles, maps of Holocene sand thickness from the shoreline to 2 kilometers offshore, and tables quantifying the volume of available sediment along the coastal margin based on data collected during 2021 and 2022. The results reveal spatial variability in the thickness and cross-shore extent of Holocene sand. The study area was separated into northern, central, and southern zones by using underlying stratigraphy and geomorphic features. The characteristics and spatial extent of the Holocene sand deposit indicate that hydrodynamic processes contribute to its spatial variability. Northern Seven Mile Island contains the thickest deposits of Holocene sand that were formed by sediment bypass around the Townsends Inlet ebb-tidal delta. Specifically, swash bars have welded to the updrift end of Seven Mile Island and have formed thick deposits of Holocene sand that thicken landward and taper seaward. Despite their thickness, these deposits have the smallest cross-shore extent; therefore, northern Seven Mile Island has the smallest volume of Holocene sand of the three geomorphic zones. Central Seven Mile Island has the thinnest Holocene sand deposits because this section of the barrier island is outside the influence of ebb-tidal deltas. Southern Seven Mile Island has the greatest volumes of Holocene sand because of increased accommodation and deposition adjacent to the Hereford Inlet ebb-tidal delta. Even though tidal inlets exert variable influence on the three geomorphic zones, sediment is distributed fairly uniformly within each geomorphic zone; each of the three zones contains 31.05–36.48 percent of the volume of available Holocene sand.

Released March 13, 2025 13:26 EST

2025, Scientific Investigations Report 2024-5128

Paul E. Misut

The U.S. Geological Survey, in cooperation with the Suffolk County Water Authority, evaluated the aquifer transmissivity and storage properties at the Alvahs Lane well field north of the village of Cutchogue, New York. This analysis of aquifer properties provides the Suffolk County Water Authority with hydrogeologic information needed to develop water supplies to meet the increasing water demands of the residents of Suffolk County, New York.

An aquifer test was conducted at the Alvahs Lane well field from October 18 through October 21, 2022, when a production well was pumped at 550 gallons per minute for about 24 hours, and groundwater-level drawdown and recovery were measured in two monitoring wells. The three wells are screened in a glaciofluvial aquifer under unconfined (water table) conditions. Drawdown and recovery data were analyzed with an analytical solution for partial penetration and delayed yield in an unconfined aquifer to provide estimates of the glaciofluvial aquifer properties. Inclusion of lateral aquifer boundaries was not necessary for the analysis to result in satisfactory matches with the observed water-level responses. Aquifer transmissivity was estimated at 32,000 feet squared per day. Assuming a saturated aquifer thickness of 120 feet, this result is equivalent to a horizontal hydraulic conductivity value of 270 feet per day. Specific yield was estimated at 0.15 (dimensionless). The estimated properties are consistent with those of a highly transmissive unconfined aquifer.

Released March 13, 2025 12:40 EST

2025, Data Report 1206

Kaitlin L. Laabs, Janet R. Barclay, John R. Mullaney

Excessive nitrogen discharge is a major concern for the Long Island Sound. Programs have been implemented to reduce point sources of nitrogen to the sound, but little is known about the nonpoint sources. This study aims to better understand the current groundwater contributions of nitrogen from nonpoint sources in the Long Island Sound watershed.

During the spring and summer of 2022, the U.S. Geological Survey, in cooperation with the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, collected water-quality samples to analyze nutrients (nitrogen and phosphorus), chloride, and bromide at 45 stations in the Long Island Sound watershed in Connecticut, New York, and Rhode Island. The stations were in small drainage watersheds (5 to 30 square kilometers) in the southern part of the Long Island Sound watershed. During two separate synoptic sampling events, water-quality samples and instantaneous streamflow measurements were collected under base-flow conditions (where the streamflow is dominated by groundwater inputs rather than overland flow or runoff flow). One sampling event was in the nongrowing season (April 24–25, 2022), and the other was in the growing season (June 30–July 1, 2022). To calculate instantaneous nitrogen loads and yields, streamflow was measured at the time of sample collection.

Nitrogen concentrations, loads, and yields varied among sampling stations and by season. Total filtered nitrogen concentrations were generally lower in the nongrowing season (from less than 0.14 to 1.9 milligrams per liter) than in the growing season (from less than 0.23 to 3.0 milligrams per liter). Nitrate plus nitrite concentrations showed little variation between the nongrowing and growing seasons. Unfiltered ammonia plus organic nitrogen concentrations were generally lower in the nongrowing season (from less than 0.07 to 0.83 milligram per liter) than in the growing season (from 0.11 to 0.98 milligram per liter). In contrast, total filtered and unfiltered nitrogen loads and yields were higher in the nongrowing season than during the growing season, likely because streamflows were higher during the nongrowing season. Total unfiltered nitrogen yields during the nongrowing season ranged from less than 0.15 to 5.0 kilograms per square kilometer per day. Total unfiltered nitrogen yields during the growing season ranged from less than 0.12 to 2.5 kilograms per square kilometer per day. Total filtered nitrogen yields during the nongrowing season ranged from less than 0.13 to 5.2 kilograms per square kilometer per day. Total filtered nitrogen yields during the growing season ranged from less than 0.06 to 2.5 kilograms per square kilometer per day.

Released March 13, 2025 11:45 EST

2025, Fact Sheet 2024-3049

Christopher J. Schenk, Tracey J. Mercier, Phuong A. Le, Andrea D. Cicero, Ronald M. Drake II, Sarah E. Gelman, Jane S. Hearon, Benjamin G. Johnson, Jenny H. Lagesse, Heidi M. Leathers-Miller, Kira K. Timm

Using a geology-based assessment methodology, the U.S. Geological Survey estimated undiscovered, technically recoverable mean conventional resources of 47 million barrels of oil and 876 billion cubic feet of gas in upper Paleozoic reservoirs of the Wind River Basin, Bighorn Basin, and Powder River Basin Provinces.

Released March 13, 2025 11:04 EST

2025, Hydrological Processes (39)

Jeremy Giovando, Wyatt Reis, Wei Zhang, Nancy A. Barth

In June 2022, a historic flood event occurred in the headwaters of the Yellowstone River Basin. The flood resulted in millions of dollars in damages and substantial interruptions to Yellowstone National Park. The 2022 flood event was substantially higher in magnitude than other high-peak flow events over the last 30 years. The high discharge was primarily due to the combination of hydrologic mechanisms initiated by rain-on-snow, including a high-elevation snowpack that peaked later than average. However, the contributions of each hydrologic driver, rain and snow, have not been quantified and could be important for understanding future flood events in the region. The contribution of snowmelt to the total terrestrial water input (TWI) varied throughout the area, yet was concentrated in the headwaters of the Yellowstone, Stillwater, and Boulder rivers, along with the headwaters of Rock Creek in Wyoming and Montana. The primary atmospheric contributions to the TWI during the 2022 event were precipitation from moisture transported from the Pacific Ocean that converged over the Greater Yellowstone Area (GYA) and snowmelt from residual snowpack in the northeast part of Yellowstone National Park.

Released March 13, 2025 10:03 EST

2025, Journal of Fish of Biology

P.J. Rudershausen, Matthew J. O'Donnell

The mummichog Fundulus heteroclitus is a trophically important fish inhabiting Atlantic coastal salt marshes, with few in situ estimates of overwinter survival throughout the species range. We estimated overwinter apparent survival rates of F. heteroclitus at the approximate mid-latitudinal species range [coastal North Carolina (USA)] in four tidal creeks that experience variable winter water temperatures. To estimate apparent survival, we fitted a Cormack-Jolly-Seber model to daily mark-resight data autonomously obtained from fish marked with passive integrated transponder tags. Creek, year, mean daily water temperature, change in mean daily temperature, fish length and fish condition were considered for effects on the modelled parameters: apparent survival (Φ) (product of true survival and site fidelity) and detection probability (p). Modelling showed that water temperature and fish metrics were not related to Φ. Water temperature was directly related to p, indicating reduced fish activity and thus reduced detection probability or poor antenna detection performance at low temperatures. Creek was related to Φ and p, and the creek most open to its downstream estuary (lacking a culvert) had lower rates than the others. Greater loss (fish mortality plus emigration) in this one creek may more effectively transfer production of F. heteroclitus to larger waterbodies via emigration or predation. Conversely, lower Φ may reflect reduced detection efficiency. The results suggest that F. heteroclitus survival is insensitive to variable winter water temperatures typical of thermal dynamics in shallow estuaries in this region of its range. Median creek-specific overwinter Φ rates (range of median values, 2 × 10⁻⁸, 0.04) were roughly equal to previously published rates for these creeks during the growing season (April–October). At these latitudes and with increasingly moderate winters, the results indicate that natural mortality could arise equally or more so from predation during the growing season than mechanisms such as starvation, direct mortality, thermal morbidity and stress-related susceptibility to predation resulting from intermittently low water temperatures during the overwinter season.

Released March 13, 2025 09:40 EST

2025, Emerging Infectious Diseases (31) 804-808

Andrew M. Ramey, Kimberlee B. Beckmen, David T. Saafeld, Kerry Nicholson, Buck A. Mangipane, Laura Celeste Scott, David E. Stallknecht, Rebecca L. Poulson

Serum samples from wild mammals inhabiting Alaska, USA, showed that 4 species, including Ursus arctos bears and Vulpes vulpes foxes, were exposed to influenza A(H5N1) viruses. Results indicated some mammals in Alaska survived H5N1 virus infection. Surveillance efforts may be improved by incorporating information on susceptibility and detectable immune responses among wild mammals.

Released March 13, 2025 09:05 EST

2025, Newsletter

Kyra Harvey, Jennifer L. McKay

This Memo to All Banders (MTAB 111) was released in March 2025. Subjects in this this memo are 1. The Chief’s Chirp; 2. Alerts – Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza; 3. Staff updates – celebrating Karen Jone’s remarkable career and retirement, meeting reports and a field trip; 4. News – BandIt end of life! (starting February 1st, 2025 the BBL will no longer be accepting BandIt files), Notes From the Field: Black-bellied Whistling Ducks, Longevity records update, ABA Bird of the Year the Common Loon, EESC signs partnership with Audubon Society, and what 100 years of USGS bird monitoring data tells us about hummingbirds; 5. A note from the permitting shelves – changes to the application process for new master personal or station permits and don’t wait to submit authorization requests; 6. A note from the supply room – best practices for band supply; 7. Data management –  banding data submission for birds released from rehabilitation; 8. Frequently asked questions – I had to replace a federal metal band or auxiliary marker, how should I submit this data to the BBL? 9. Banding and encounter highlights; 10. Message to the Flyways; 11. Recent literature; 12. Moments in history; 13. Upcoming events; and 14. Request for information.