Modeling uncertainty: Quicksand for water temperature modeling

Hydrological Science and Technology



Uncertainty has been a hot topic relative to science generally, and modeling specifically. Modeling uncertainty comes in various forms: measured data, limited model domain, model parameter estimation, model structure, sensitivity to inputs, modelers themselves, and users of the results. This paper will address important components of uncertainty in modeling water temperatures, and discuss several areas that need attention as the modeling community grapples with how to incorporate uncertainty into modeling without getting stuck in the quicksand that prevents constructive contributions to policy making. The material, and in particular the reference, are meant to supplement the presentation given at this conference.

Publication type Article
Publication Subtype Journal Article
Title Modeling uncertainty: Quicksand for water temperature modeling
Series title Hydrological Science and Technology
Volume 19
Issue 1-4
Year Published 2003
Language English
Publisher American Institute of Hydrology
Publisher location St. Paul, MN
Contributing office(s) Fort Collins Science Center
Description 12 p.
First page 221
Last page 232
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