Periodic autoregressive-moving average (PARMA) modeling with applications to water resources

Journal of the American Water Resources Association
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Abstract

Results involving correlation properties and parameter estimation for autoregressive-moving average models with periodic parameters are presented. A multivariate representation of the PARMA model is used to derive parameter space restrictions and difference equations for the periodic autocorrelations. Close approximation to the likelihood function for Gaussian PARMA processes results in efficient maximum-likelihood estimation procedures. Terms in the Fourier expansion of the parameters are sequentially included, and a selection criterion is given for determining the optimal number of harmonics to be included. Application of the techniques is demonstrated through analysis of a monthly streamflow time series.

Suggested Citation

Vecchia, A.V., 1985, Periodic autoregressive-moving average (PARMA) modeling with applications to water resources: Journal of the American Water Resources Association, v. 21, no. 5, p. 721-730, https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1752-1688.1985.tb00167.x.

Publication type Article
Publication Subtype Journal Article
Title Periodic autoregressive-moving average (PARMA) modeling with applications to water resources
Series title Journal of the American Water Resources Association
DOI 10.1111/j.1752-1688.1985.tb00167.x
Volume 21
Issue 5
Publication Date June 08, 2007
Year Published 1985
Language English
Publisher Wiley
Description 10 p.
First page 721
Last page 730
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