Links
- The Publications Warehouse does not have links to digital versions of this publication at this time
- Download citation as: RIS | Dublin Core
Abstract
A network of geodetic lines spanning the San Andreas fault near the rupture zone of the 1966 Parkfield, California, earthquake (magnitude M=6) has been repeatedly surveyed since 1959. In the study reported here the average rates of line-length change since 1966 were inverted to determine the distribution of interseismic slip rate on the fault. These results indicate that the Parkfield rupture surface has not slipped significantly since 1966. Comparison of the geodetically determined seismic moment of the 1966 earthquake with the interseismic slip-deficit rate suggests that the strain released by the latest shock will most likely restored between 1984 and 1989, although this may not occur until 1995. These results lend independent support to the earlier forecast of an M=6 earthquake near Parkfield within 5 years of 1988.
| Publication type | Article |
|---|---|
| Publication Subtype | Journal Article |
| Title | Slip deficit on the San Andreas fault at Parkfield, California, as revealed by inversion of geodetic data |
| Series title | Science |
| Volume | 233 |
| Issue | 4771 |
| Year Published | 1986 |
| Language | English |
| Larger Work Type | Article |
| Larger Work Subtype | Journal Article |
| Larger Work Title | Science |
| First page | 1409 |
| Last page | 1413 |
| Google Analytic Metrics | Metrics page |