Interannual and interdecadal variability in United States surface-air temperatures, 1910-87
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Abstract
Monthly mean surface-air temperatures at 870 sites in the contiguous United States were analyzed for interannual and interdecadal variability over the time interval 1910-87. The temperatures were analyzed spatially by empirical-orthogonal-function analysis and temporally by singularspectrum analysis (SSA). The dominant modes of spatio-temporal variability are trends and nonperiodic variations with time scales longer than 15 years, decadal-scale oscillations with periods of roughly 7 and 10 years, and interannual oscillations of 2.2 and 3.3 years. Together, these modes contribute about 18% of the slower-than-annual United States temperature variance. Two leading components roughly capture the mean hemispheric temperature trend and represent a long-term warming, largest in the southwest, accompanied by cooling of the domain's southeastern quadrant. The extremes of the 2.2-year interannual oscillation characterize temperature differences between the Northeastern and Southwestern States, whereas the 3.3-year cycle is present mostly in the Western States. The 7- to 10-year oscillations are much less regular and persistent than the interannual oscillations and characterize temperature differences between the western and interior sectors of the United States. These continental- or regional-scale temperature variations may be related to climatic variations with similar periodicities, either global or centered in other regions; such variations include quasi-biennial oscillations over the tropical Pacific or North Atlantic and quasi-triennial oscillations of North Pacific sea-surface temperatures.
Study Area
Publication type | Article |
---|---|
Publication Subtype | Journal Article |
Title | Interannual and interdecadal variability in United States surface-air temperatures, 1910-87 |
Series title | Climatic Change |
DOI | 10.1007/BF01092980 |
Volume | 31 |
Issue | 1 |
Year Published | 1995 |
Language | English |
Publisher | Kluwer Academic Publishers |
Publisher location | Netherlands |
Larger Work Type | Article |
Larger Work Subtype | Journal Article |
Larger Work Title | Climatic Change |
First page | 35 |
Last page | 66 |
Country | United States |
Online Only (Y/N) | N |
Additional Online Files (Y/N) | N |
Google Analytic Metrics | Metrics page |