Human-induced changes in the hydrology of the Western United States

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Abstract

Observations have shown that the hydrological cycle of the western United States changed significantly over the last half of the 20th century. We present a regional, multivariable climate change detection and attribution study, using a high-resolution hydrologic model forced by global climate models, focusing on the changes that have already affected this primarily arid region with a large and growing population. The results show that up to 60% of the climate-related trends of river flow, winter air temperature, and snow pack between 1950 and 1999 are human-induced. These results are robust to perturbation of study variates and methods. They portend, in conjunction with previous work, a coming crisis in water supply for the western United States.
Publication type Article
Publication Subtype Journal Article
Title Human-induced changes in the hydrology of the Western United States
Series title Science
DOI 10.1126/science.1152538
Volume 319
Issue 5866
Year Published 2008
Language English
Contributing office(s) Toxic Substances Hydrology Program
Description 4 p.
First page 1080
Last page 1083
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