Evaluating observations in the context of predictions for the death valley regional groundwater system
By: D.M. Ely, M. C. Hill, C. R. Tiedeman, and G. M. O'Brien
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Abstract
When a model is calibrated by nonlinear regression, calculated diagnostic and inferential statistics provide a wealth of information about many aspects of the system. This work uses linear inferential statistics that are measures of prediction uncertainty to investigate the likely importance of continued monitoring of hydraulic head to the accuracy of model predictions. The measurements evaluated are hydraulic heads; the predictions of interest are subsurface transport from 15 locations. The advective component of transport is considered because it is the component most affected by the system dynamics represented by the regional-scale model being used. The problem is addressed using the capabilities of the U.S. Geological Survey computer program MODFLOW-2000, with its Advective Travel Observation (ADV) Package. Copyright ASCE 2004.
| Publication type | Conference Paper |
|---|---|
| Publication Subtype | Conference Paper |
| Title | Evaluating observations in the context of predictions for the death valley regional groundwater system |
| ISBN | 0784405174; 9780784405178 |
| DOI | 10.1061/40517(2000)390 |
| Volume | 104 |
| Year Published | 2004 |
| Language | English |
| Larger Work Title | Joint Conference on Water Resource Engineering and Water Resources Planning and Management 2000: Building Partnerships |
| Conference Title | Joint Conference on Water Resource Engineering and Water Resources Planning and Management 2000 |
| Conference Location | Minneapolis, MN |
| Conference Date | 30 July 2000 through 2 August 2000 |
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