From points to forecasts: Predicting invasive species habitat suitability in the near term
Diversity
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Abstract
We used near-term climate scenarios for the continental United States, to model 12 invasive plants species. We created three potential habitat suitability models for each species using maximum entropy modeling: (1) current; (2) 2020; and (3) 2035. Area under the curve values for the models ranged from 0.92 to 0.70, with 10 of the 12 being above 0.83 suggesting strong and predictable species-environment matching. Change in area between the current potential habitat and 2035 ranged from a potential habitat loss of about 217,000 km2, to a potential habitat gain of about 133,000 km2.
| Publication type | Article |
|---|---|
| Publication Subtype | Journal Article |
| Title | From points to forecasts: Predicting invasive species habitat suitability in the near term |
| Series title | Diversity |
| DOI | 10.3390/d2050738 |
| Volume | 2 |
| Issue | 5 |
| Publication Date | May 12, 2010 |
| Year Published | 2010 |
| Language | English |
| Contributing office(s) | Fort Collins Science Center |
| Description | 30 p. |
| First page | 738 |
| Last page | 767 |
| Country | United States |
| Online Only (Y/N) | N |
| Additional Online Files (Y/N) | N |