Missing link between the Hayward and Rodgers Creek faults

Science Advances
By: , and 



The next major earthquake to strike the ~7 million residents of the San Francisco Bay Area will most likely result from rupture of the Hayward or Rodgers Creek faults. Until now, the relationship between these two faults beneath San Pablo Bay has been a mystery. Detailed subsurface imaging provides definitive evidence of active faulting along the Hayward fault as it traverses San Pablo Bay and bends ~10° to the right toward the Rodgers Creek fault. Integrated geophysical interpretation and kinematic modeling show that the Hayward and Rodgers Creek faults are directly connected at the surface—a geometric relationship that has significant implications for earthquake dynamics and seismic hazard. A direct link enables simultaneous rupture of the Hayward and Rodgers Creek faults, a scenario that could result in a major earthquake (M = 7.4) that would cause extensive damage and loss of life with global economic impact.

Publication type Article
Publication Subtype Journal Article
Title Missing link between the Hayward and Rodgers Creek faults
Series title Science Advances
DOI 10.1126/sciadv.1601441
Volume 2
Issue 10
Year Published 2016
Language English
Publisher AAAS
Contributing office(s) Pacific Coastal and Marine Science Center
Description e1601441; 8 p.
First page 1
Last page 8
Google Analytic Metrics Metrics page
Additional publication details