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Fault displacement hazard for strike-slip faults

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Abstract

In this paper we summarize data, methods, and models developed for a probabilistic assessment of fault displacement hazards across the U.S. We compare earthquake displacement data and empirical fault displacement models that have been developed for normal faults, strike-slip faults, and reverse faults. In general, the data and models are similar near the center of the fault for the three faulting types, but differ near the ends with the strike-slip data being lower than the reverse and normal faulting data. We also compare these U.S. models with data and equations developed using Japanese fault displacement data. The Japan model is also similar to the U.S. models near the center of the fault but decays less rapidly near the ends of the fault. In addition, we discuss impacts of models developed to analyze off-fault strain on secondary faults, multi-strand displacement hazard, and various mapping quality factors. For our study, we show example fault displacements for a M 7 fault with recurrence of 800 and 1600 years. We conclude that a deterministic assessment of fault displacements is often higher than the probabilistic displacements for less active faults with earthquake rupture recurrence that is longer than the hazard return period of interest. Fault displacement hazard is applied in engineering applications for buildings, bridges, pipelines, and nuclear facilities. We present three applications for fault displacement hazard at nuclear facilities and important structures.
Publication type Conference Paper
Publication Subtype Conference Paper
Title Fault displacement hazard for strike-slip faults
Volume 3
Year Published 2018
Language English
Publisher Earthquake Engineering Research Institute
Contributing office(s) Earthquake Science Center, Geologic Hazards Science Center
Description 12 p.
Larger Work Type Book
Larger Work Subtype Conference publication
Larger Work Title Earthquake Engineering. National Conference. 11TH 2018. (11NCEE) (12 Vols) Integrating Science, Engineering, and Policy
First page 1794
Last page 1805
Conference Title Eleventh U.S. National Conference on Earthquake Engineering
Conference Location Los Angeles, CA
Conference Date June 25-29, 2018
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