Technical comment on “Global pattern of nest predation is disrupted by climate change in shorebirds”

Martin Bulla; Jeroen Reneerkens; Emily L. Weiser; Aleksandr Sokolov; Audrey R. Taylor; Benoit Sittler; Brian J McCaffery; Daniel R. Ruthrauff; Daniel H. Catlin; David C. Payer; David H. Ward; Diana V Solovyeva; Eduardo Santos; Eldar Rakhimberdiev; Erica Nol; Eunbi Kwon; Glen S. Brown; Glenda D Hevia; H. River Gates; James A. Johnson; Jan A. van Gils; Jannik Hansen; Jean-Francois Lamarre; Jennie Rausch; Jesse R. Conklin; Joe Liebezeit; Joel Bety; Johannes Lang; Jose A. Alves; Juan Fernandez-Elipe; Klaus-Michael Exo; Loic Bollache; Marcelo Bertellotti; Marie-Andree Giroux; Martijn van de Pol; Matthew D. Johnson; Megan L. Boldenow; Mihai Valcu; Mikhail Soloviev; Natalya Sokolova; Nathan R. Senner; Nicholas Lecomte; Nicolas Meyer; Niels Martin Schmidt; Olivier Gilg; Paul A Smith; Paula Machin; Rebecca L McGuire; Ricardo AS Cerboncini; Richard Ottvall; Rob van Bemmelen; Rose J Swift; Sara T Saalfeld; Sara E Jamieson; Stephen C. Brown; Theunis Piersma; Tomas Albrecht; Veronica L D’Amico; Richard B. Lanctot; Bart Kempenaers

doi:10.1126/science.aaw8529

Technical comment on “Global pattern of nest predation is disrupted by climate change in shorebirds”

Science

By: Martin Bulla, Jeroen Reneerkens, Emily L. Weiser, Aleksandr Sokolov, Audrey R. Taylor, Benoit Sittler, Brian J McCaffery, Daniel R. Ruthrauff, Daniel H. Catlin, David C. Payer, David H. Ward, Diana V Solovyeva, Eduardo Santos, Eldar Rakhimberdiev, Erica Nol, Eunbi Kwon, Glen S. Brown, Glenda D Hevia, H. River Gates, James A. Johnson, Jan A. van Gils, Jannik Hansen, Jean-Francois Lamarre, Jennie Rausch, Jesse R. Conklin, Joe Liebezeit, Joel Bety, Johannes Lang, Jose A. Alves, Juan Fernandez-Elipe, Klaus-Michael Exo, Loic Bollache, Marcelo Bertellotti, Marie-Andree Giroux, Martijn van de Pol, Matthew D. Johnson, Megan L. Boldenow, Mihai Valcu, Mikhail Soloviev, Natalya Sokolova, Nathan R. Senner, Nicholas Lecomte, Nicolas Meyer, Niels Martin Schmidt, Olivier Gilg, Paul A Smith, Paula Machin, Rebecca L McGuire, Ricardo AS Cerboncini, Richard Ottvall, Rob van Bemmelen, Rose J Swift, Sara T Saalfeld, Sara E Jamieson, Stephen C. Brown, Theunis Piersma, Tomas Albrecht, Veronica L D’Amico, Richard B. Lanctot, and Bart Kempenaers

https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aaw8529

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Data Release: USGS data release - No evidence for disruption of global patterns of nest predation in shorebirds: Scripts
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Abstract

Kubelka et al. (Report, 9 November 2018, p. 680-683) claim that climate change has disrupted patterns of nest predation in shorebirds. They report that predation rates have increased since the 1950s, especially in the Arctic. We describe methodological problems with their analyses and argue that there is no solid statistical support for their claims.

Suggested Citation

Bulla, M., Reneerkens, J., Weiser, E.L., Sokolov, A., Taylor, A.R., Sittler, B., McCaffery, B.J., Ruthrauff, D.R., Catlin, D.H., Payer, D.C., Ward, D.H., Solovyeva, D.V., Santos, E., Rakhimberdiev, E., Nol, E., Kwon, E., Brown, G.S., Hevia, G.D., Gates, H.R., Johnson, J.A., van Gils, J.A., Hansen, J., Lamarre, J., Rausch, J., Conklin, J.R., Liebezeit, J., Bety, J., Lang, J., Alves, J.A., Fernandez-Elipe, J., Exo, K., Bollache, L., Bertellotti, M., Giroux, M., van de Pol, M., Johnson, M.D., Boldenow, M.L., Valcu, M., Soloviev, M., Sokolova, N., Senner, N.R., Lecomte, N., Meyer, N., Schmidt, N.M., Gilg, O., Smith, P.A., Machin, P., McGuire, R., Cerboncini, R.A., Ottvall, R., van Bemmelen, R., Swift, R., Saalfeld, S.T., Jamieson, S.E., Brown, S.C., Piersma, T., Albrecht, T., D’Amico, V.L., Lanctot, R., Kempenaers, B., 2019, Technical comment on “Global pattern of nest predation is disrupted by climate change in shorebirds”: Science, v. 364, no. 6445, eaaw8529, 6 p., https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aaw8529.

Additional publication details
Publication type	Article
Publication Subtype	Journal Article
Title	Technical comment on “Global pattern of nest predation is disrupted by climate change in shorebirds”
Series title	Science
DOI	10.1126/science.aaw8529
Volume	364
Issue	6445
Year Published	2019
Language	English
Publisher	American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAA Science)
Contributing office(s)	Alaska Science Center, Alaska Science Center Biology MFEB, Upper Midwest Environmental Sciences Center, Upper Midwest Water Science Center
Description	eaaw8529, 6 p.