Development of a global seismic risk model
Earthquake Spectra
By: Vitor Silva, Desmond Amo-Oduro, Alejandro Calderon, Catarina Costa, Jamal Dabbeek, Venetia Despotaki, Luis Martins, Marco Pagani, Anirudh Rao, Michele Simionato, Daniele Vigano, Catalina Yepes-Estrada, Ana Beatriz Acevedo, Helen Crowley, Nick Horspool, Kishor S. Jaiswal, Murray Journeay, and Massimiliano Pittore
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Abstract
Since 2015 the Global Earthquake Model (GEM) Foundation and its partners have been supporting regional programmes and bilateral collaborations to develop an open global earthquake risk model. These efforts led to the development of a repository of probabilistic seismic hazard models, a global exposure dataset comprising structural and occupancy information regarding the residential, commercial and industrial buildings, and a comprehensive set of fragility and vulnerability functions for the most common building classes. These components were used to estimate probabilistic earthquake risk globally using the OpenQuake-engine, an open-source software for seismic hazard and risk analysis. This model allows estimating a number of risk metrics such as annualized average losses or aggregated losses for particular return periods, which are fundamental to the development and implementation of earthquake risk mitigation measures.
Suggested Citation
Silva, V., Amo-Oduro, D., Calderon, A., Costa, C., Dabbeek, J., Despotaki, V., Martins, L., Pagani, M., Rao, A., Simionato, M., Vigano, D., Yepes-Estrada, C., Acevedo, A.B., Crowley, H., Horspool, N., Jaiswal, K.S., Journeay, M., and Pittore, M., 2020, Development of a global seismic risk model: Earthquake Spectra, v. 36, no. s1, p. 372-394, https://doi.org/10.1177/8755293019899953.
| Publication type | Article |
|---|---|
| Publication Subtype | Journal Article |
| Title | Development of a global seismic risk model |
| Series title | Earthquake Spectra |
| DOI | 10.1177/8755293019899953 |
| Volume | 36 |
| Issue | s1 |
| Publication Date | February 02, 2020 |
| Year Published | 2020 |
| Language | English |
| Publisher | SAGE |
| Contributing office(s) | Geologic Hazards Science Center |
| Description | 13 p. |
| First page | 372 |
| Last page | 394 |