Climate change scenario planning for resource stewardship at Wind Cave National Park

Natural Resource Report NPS/NRSS/NRR—2021/2274
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This report explains scenario planning as a climate change adaptation tool in general, then describes how it was applied to Wind Cave National Park as the second part of a pilot project to dovetail climate change scenario planning with National Park Service (NPS) Resource Stewardship Strategy development.

In the orientation phase, Park and regional NPS staff, other subject-matter experts, natural and cultural resource planners, and the climate change core team who led the scenario planning project identified priority resource management topics and associated climate sensitivities. Next, the climate change core team used this information to create a set of four divergent climate futures—summaries of relevant climate data from individual climate projections—to encompass the range of ways climate could change in coming decades in the park. Participants in the scenario planning workshop then developed climate futures into robust climate-resource scenarios that considered expert-elicited resource impacts and identified potential management responses. Finally, the scenario-based resource responses identified by park staff and subject matter experts were used to integrate climate-informed adaptations into resource stewardship goals and activities for the park's Resource Stewardship Strategy. This process of engaging resource managers in climate change scenario planning ensures that their management and planning decisions are informed by assessments of critical future climate uncertainties.

Study Area

Publication type Report
Publication Subtype Federal Government Series
Title Climate change scenario planning for resource stewardship at Wind Cave National Park
Series title Natural Resource Report
Series number NPS/NRSS/NRR—2021/2274
DOI 10.36967/nrr-2286672
Year Published 2021
Language English
Publisher National Park Service
Contributing office(s) Northern Prairie Wildlife Research Center, North Central Climate Adaptation Science Center
Description ix, 114 p.
Country United States
State South Dakota
Other Geospatial Wind Cave National Park
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