Disease or drought: Environmental fluctuations release zebra from a potential pathogen-triggered ecological trap

Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences
By: , and 

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Abstract

When a transmission hotspot for an environmentally persistent pathogen establishes in otherwise high-quality habitat, the disease may exert a strong impact on a host population. However, fluctuating environmental conditions lead to heterogeneity in habitat quality and animal habitat preference, which may interrupt the overlap between selected and risky habitats. We evaluated spatio-temporal patterns in anthrax mortalities in a plains zebra (Equus quagga) population in Etosha National Park, Namibia, incorporating remote-sensing and host telemetry data. A higher proportion of anthrax mortalities of herbivores was detected in open habitats than in other habitat types. Resource selection functions showed that the zebra population shifted habitat selection in response to changes in rainfall and vegetation productivity. Average to high rainfall years supported larger anthrax outbreaks, with animals congregating in preferred open habitats, while a severe drought forced animals into otherwise less preferred habitats, leading to few anthrax mortalities. Thus, the timing of anthrax outbreaks was congruent with preference for open plains habitats and a corresponding increase in pathogen exposure. Given shifts in habitat preference, the overlap in high-quality habitat and high-risk habitat is intermittent, reducing the adverse consequences for the population.

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Publication type Article
Publication Subtype Journal Article
Title Disease or drought: Environmental fluctuations release zebra from a potential pathogen-triggered ecological trap
Series title Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences
DOI 10.1098/rspb.2021.0582
Volume 288
Issue 1952
Year Published 2021
Language English
Publisher The Royal Society
Contributing office(s) Coop Res Unit Leetown
Description 20210582, 10 p.
Country Namibia
Other Geospatial Etosha National Park
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