Simulation of forest changes related to hydrologic variables in the Atchafalaya River basin, Louisiana

Journal of Research of the U.S. Geological Survey
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Abstract

Results of forest-trend modeling from one data set in the Atchafalaya River basin show that predicted forest acreage totals for 16 forest types agree within 30 percent of actual values in two-thirds of the comparisons. A forest-trend simulation model based on statistical regression relations of forest and hydrologic variables and constrained by forest succession concepts was developed using observed data from twenty-four 8-square-mile (20.74-square-kilometre) quadrats. Forest and hydrologic data at each quadrat were sampled in time at three 4-mile (6.44-kilometre)-wide strips across the basin. The model predicts changes in forest-type acreages due to hydrologic change in time steps, or forest acreage transition, of 21 years. Further basin-wide quadrat simulations are planned using hydrologic input data from a flow-sediment model of the basin currently being developed. Other ecosystem models could be appended to the forest-trend simulation model.

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Publication type Article
Publication Subtype Journal Article
Title Simulation of forest changes related to hydrologic variables in the Atchafalaya River basin, Louisiana
Series title Journal of Research of the U.S. Geological Survey
Volume 4
Issue 4
Year Published 1976
Language English
Publisher U. S. Geological Survey
Description 9 p.
First page 481
Last page 489
Country United States
State Louisiana
Other Geospatial Atchafalaya River basin
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