The 2022 Hunga-Tonga megatsunami: Near-field simulation of a once-in-a-century event

Science Advances
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Abstract

The Hunga Tonga–Hunga Ha’apai (HTHH) volcanic eruption in January 2022 generated catastrophic tsunami and contends for the largest natural explosion in more than a century. The main island, Tongatapu, suffered waves up to 17 m, and Tofua Island suffered waves up to 45 m, comfortably placing HTHH in the “megatsunami” league. We present a tsunami simulation of the Tongan Archipelago calibrated by field observations, drone, and satellite data. Our simulation emphasizes how the complex shallow bathymetry of the area acted as a low-velocity wave trap, capturing tsunami for more than 1 hour. Despite its size and long duration, few lives were lost. Simulation suggests that HTHH’s location relative to urban centers saved Tonga from a worse outcome. Whereas 2022 seems to have been a lucky escape, other oceanic volcanoes have the capacity to spawn future tsunami at HTHH scale. Our simulation amplifies the state of understanding of volcanic explosion tsunami and provides a framework for assessment of future hazards.

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Publication type Article
Publication Subtype Journal Article
Title The 2022 Hunga-Tonga megatsunami: Near-field simulation of a once-in-a-century event
Series title Science Advances
DOI 10.1126/sciadv.adf5493
Volume 9
Issue 15
Year Published 2023
Language English
Publisher American Association for the Advancement of Science’s (AAAS)
Contributing office(s) Geology, Minerals, Energy, and Geophysics Science Center
Description eadf549, 14 p.
Other Geospatial Tonga Archipelago
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