Assessing the added value of antecedent streamflow alteration information in modeling stream biological condition
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Abstract
In stream systems, disentangling relationships between biology and flow and subsequent prediction of these relationships to unsampled streams is a common objective of large-scale ecological modeling. Often, streamflow metrics are derived from aggregating continuous streamflow records available at a subset of stream gages into long-term flow regime descriptors. Despite demonstrated value, shortcomings of these long-term approaches include spatial restriction to locations with long-term continuous flow records (commonly, biased toward larger systems) and omission of potentially ecologically important short-term (i.e., ≤1 year) antecedent streamflow information. We used long-term flow regime and short-term antecedent streamflow alteration information to evaluate relative performance in modeling stream fish biological condition. We compared results to understand whether short-term antecedent streamflow information improved models of fish biological condition. Results indicated that models incorporating short-term antecedent data performed better than those relying solely on long-term flow regime data (kappa statistic = 0.29 and 0.23, respectively) and improved prediction accuracy among stream sizes and in six of nine ecoregions. Additionally, models relying solely on short-term streamflow information performed similarly to those with only long-term streamflow information (kappa = 0.23). Incorporating short-term antecedent streamflow metrics may provide added ecological information not fully captured by long-term flow regime summaries in macroscale modeling efforts or perform similarly to long-term streamflow data when long-term data are not available.
| Publication type | Article |
|---|---|
| Publication Subtype | Journal Article |
| Title | Assessing the added value of antecedent streamflow alteration information in modeling stream biological condition |
| Series title | Science of the Total Environment |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.168258 |
| Volume | 908 |
| Year Published | 2024 |
| Language | English |
| Publisher | Elsevier |
| Contributing office(s) | Leetown Science Center, Dakota Water Science Center, Eastern Ecological Science Center |
| Description | 168258, 9 p. |