Atmospheric river activity during the late Holocene exceeds modern range of variability in California

Nature Communications Earth and Environment
By: , and 

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Abstract

Atmospheric rivers are associated with some of the largest flood-producing precipitation events in western North America, particularly California. Insight into past extreme precipitation can be reconstructed from sedimentary archives on millennial timescales. Here we document atmospheric river activity near Leonard Lake, California, over 3,200 years, using a key metric of atmospheric river intensity, that is silicon/aluminum enriched layers that are highly correlated with modern records of integrated vapor transport. The late twentieth century had the highest median integrated vapor transport since the onset of the Medieval Climate Anomaly, with integrated vapor transport increasing during the Little Ice Age. The reconstruction suggests California has experienced pluvial episodes that exceeded any in the meteorologic instrumental era, with the largest episodes occurring two and three millennia ago. These results provide critical data to help avoid underestimation of potential risks and aid future planning scenarios.

Publication type Article
Publication Subtype Journal Article
Title Atmospheric river activity during the late Holocene exceeds modern range of variability in California
Series title Nature Communications Earth and Environment
DOI 10.1038/s43247-024-01357-z
Volume 5
Year Published 2024
Language English
Publisher Nature
Contributing office(s) Geology, Minerals, Energy, and Geophysics Science Center
Description 216, 8 p.
Country United States
State California
Other Geospatial Leonard Lake
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