Changes in waterfowl migration phenologies in central North America: Implications for future waterfowl conservation

PLoS ONE
By: , and 

Links

Abstract

Globally, migration phenologies of numerous avian species have shifted over the past half-century. Despite North American waterfowl being well researched, published data on shifts in waterfowl migration phenologies remain scarce. Understanding shifts in waterfowl migration phenologies along with potential drivers is critical for guiding future conservation efforts. Therefore, we utilized historical (1955–2008) nonbreeding waterfowl survey data collected at 21 National Wildlife Refuges in the mid- to lower portion of the Central Flyway to summarize changes in spring and autumn migration phenology. We examined changes in the timing of peak abundance from survey data at monthly intervals for each refuge and species (or species group; n = 22) by year and site-specific temperature for spring (Jan–Mar) and autumn (Oct–Dec) migration periods. For spring (n = 187) and autumn (n = 194) data sets, 13% and 9% exhibited statistically significant changes in the timing of peak migration across years, respectively, while the corresponding numbers for increasing temperatures were 4% and 9%. During spring migration, ≥80% of significant changes in the timing of spring peak indicated advancements, while 67% of significant changes in autumn peak timing indicated delays both across years and with increasing temperatures. Four refuges showed a consistent pattern across species of advancing spring migration peaks over time. Advancements in spring peak across years became proportionally less common among species with increasing latitude, while delays in autumn peak with increasing temperature became proportionally more common. Our study represents the first comprehensive summary of changes in spring and autumn migration phenology for Central Flyway waterfowl and demonstrates significant phenological changes during the latter part of the twentieth century.

Study Area

Publication type Article
Publication Subtype Journal Article
Title Changes in waterfowl migration phenologies in central North America: Implications for future waterfowl conservation
Series title PLoS ONE
DOI 10.1371/journal.pone.0266785
Volume 17
Issue 5
Year Published 2022
Language English
Publisher PLoS
Contributing office(s) Coop Res Unit Atlanta
Description e0266785, 19 p.
Country United States
State Kansas, Nebraska, New Mexico, Oklahoma, Texas
Google Analytic Metrics Metrics page
Additional publication details