Twentieth century extreme precipitation detected in a high-resolution, coastal lake-sediment record from California
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Abstract
California faces increasing economic and societal risks from extreme precipitation and flooding associated with atmospheric rivers (ARs) under projected twenty-first century climate warming. Lake sediments can retain signals of past extreme precipitation events, allowing reconstructions beyond the period of instrumental records. Here, we calibrate AR-related extreme precipitation from the last century to proxy data from lake sediments collected in the latitudinal zone of the highest frequency landfall for modern ARs in California. Excursions in erosional proxy data (Ti/Al) are positively and significantly correlated (rmedian = 0.45, pmedian = 0.04) with modern records of integrated vapor transport (IVT, kg m−1 s−1), a key metric of AR intensity, using correlations that incorporate age-model uncertainty. Despite the land-use change near the study site, the data suggest intense and long-lasting AR storms are identifiable in this sedimentary record. These results allow conservative inferences concerning past extreme hydrology at this site.
Study Area
| Publication type | Article |
|---|---|
| Publication Subtype | Journal Article |
| Title | Twentieth century extreme precipitation detected in a high-resolution, coastal lake-sediment record from California |
| Series title | Journal of Paleolimnology |
| DOI | 10.1007/s10933-024-00345-9 |
| Volume | 73 |
| Publication Date | October 29, 2024 |
| Year Published | 2025 |
| Language | English |
| Publisher | Springer |
| Contributing office(s) | Geology, Minerals, Energy, and Geophysics Science Center |
| Description | 17 p. |
| First page | 35 |
| Last page | 51 |
| Country | United States |
| State | California |
| Other Geospatial | Wildcat Lake |