Observed and potential range shifts of native and non-native species with climate change

Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics
By: , and 

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Abstract

There is broad concern that the range shifts of global flora and fauna will not keep up with climate change, increasing the likelihood of population declines and extinctions. Many populations of nonnative species already have advantages over native species, including widespread human-aided dispersal and release from natural enemies. But do nonnative species also have an advantage with climate change? Here, we review observed and potential range shifts for native and nonnative species globally. We show that nonnative species are expanding their ranges orders of magnitude faster than native species, reflecting both traits that enable rapid spread and ongoing human-mediated introduction. We further show that nonnative species have large potential ranges and range expansions with climate change, likely due to a combination of widespread introduction and broader climatic tolerances. With faster spread rates and larger potential to persist or expand, nonnative populations have a decided advantage in a changing climate.
Publication type Article
Publication Subtype Journal Article
Title Observed and potential range shifts of native and non-native species with climate change
Series title Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics
DOI 10.1146/annurev-ecolsys-102722-013135
Volume 55
Year Published 2024
Language English
Publisher Annual Reviews
Contributing office(s) Pacific Island Ecosystems Research Center
Description 18 p.
First page 23
Last page 40
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